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Vitória v Atlético Mineiro : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 14th Mar, 21:30 BST, Estádio Manoel Barradas, Salvador

Jair Zaksauskas Ribeiro Ventura welcomes Jorge Luis Sampaoli Moya to the Estádio Manoel Barradas on Saturday night, as their Vitória and Atlético Mineiro troops do battle in the Serie A. Our predictions are based on extensive statistical analysis of both teams' performance, across seventeen of the main markets. The data and the odds change with each market, and head to head (H2H) statistics are included for all.


Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We can expect some goalmouth action in this one, but don't count on an all-time classic. Under 3.5 goals is our prediction, meaning no more than 3 goals will be scored in total during a standard 90 mins. The best odds are below, followed by recent form statistics and head-to-head (H2H) records.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
There is a 51% chance of both teams scoring within the 90 minutes of this match, as calculated by KickOff’s predictive algorithm. That makes ‘BTTS – yes’ the most probable outcome in this market, and it’s available at a best price of 1.83.

Explore the winning strategies and tips from expert BTTS tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Vitoria
37%
2.502.60
3%
Draw
27%
3.203.30
A Mineiro
36%
2.752.75
Draw 1-1
13%
6.005.75
Vitoria 1-0
11%
7.507.00
A Mineiro 1-0
10%
8.007.00
Draw 0-0
8%
8.008.00
Vitoria 2-1
8%
10.008.50
A Mineiro 2-1
8%
11.009.50
Vitoria 2-0
7%
12.0010.00
A Mineiro 2-0
6%
13.0011.00
Draw 2-2
5%
15.0013.00
Vitoria 3-1
3%
21.0017.00
A Mineiro 3-1
3%
23.0019.00
Vitoria 3-0
3%
26.0019.00
A Mineiro 3-0
3%
29.0019.00
Vitoria 3-2
2%
34.0026.00
A Mineiro 3-2
2%
34.0026.00
Over 2.5 Goals
45%
2.152.15
3%
Under 2.5 Goals
55%
1.671.65
Home 1st Goal
48%
1.952.00
Away 1st Goal
47%
2.052.05
No 1st Goal
5%
8.507.50
BTTS - Yes
51%
1.911.91
3%
BTTS - No
49%
1.911.80
BTTS - Home Win
16%
5.505.25
BTTS - Draw
19%
4.334.40
BTTS - Away Win
16%
6.005.50
Home/draw
64%
1.401.44
Away/draw
63%
1.501.50
3%
Home/away
73%
1.361.33
Over 1.5 Goals
71%
1.361.36
2%
Under 1.5 Goals
29%
3.202.88
Over 3.5 Goals
24%
4.003.90
Under 3.5 Goals
76%
1.251.22
Over 4.5 Goals
11%
8.008.00
Under 4.5 Goals
89%
1.081.06
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
17.0015.00
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1.031.01
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1.081.06
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
8.008.00
Home DNB
56%
1.801.80
Away DNB
55%
1.911.91
1%
Vitoria win to nil
21%
4.00-
A Mineiro win to nil
20%
4.50-
Vitoria / Vitoria
19%
4.334.00
Vitoria / A Mineiro
3%
29.0023.00
Vitoria / Draw
6%
15.0012.00
Draw / Vitoria
14%
6.005.75
Draw / A Mineiro
13%
6.506.00
Draw / Draw
17%
4.754.60
4%
A Mineiro / Vitoria
3%
29.0021.00
9%
A Mineiro / A Mineiro
19%
4.504.20
3%
A Mineiro / Draw
6%
15.0012.00
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Both teams to score form
5
Vitoria have scored in 5 consecutive league games
5
A Mineiro have conceded in 5 consecutive away league games
Vitoria 16TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
5
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Yes
8
No
12
HOME FORM Both Teams To Score
Vitoria1 - 2Flamengo
Vitoria2 - 0Remo
Vitoria1 - 0Sao Paulo
Vitoria2 - 0Mirassol
Vitoria0 - 0Botafogo
Vitoria1 - 0Internacional
Vitoria0 - 1Corinthians
Vitoria2 - 1Bahia
Vitoria1 - 0Ceara
Vitoria0 - 1Fluminense
Vitoria1 - 0A Mineiro
Vitoria2 - 2Juventude
Vitoria2 - 2Palmeiras
Vitoria2 - 2S. Recife
Vitoria1 - 0Bragantino
Vitoria0 - 0Cruzeiro
Vitoria0 - 1Santos
Vitoria2 - 1Vasco d Gama
Vitoria1 - 1Gremio
Vitoria2 - 1Fortaleza
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Yes
8
No
12
OVERALL FORM Both Teams To Score
AVitoria1 - 1Bahia
HVitoria1 - 2Flamengo
AVitoria1 - 5Palmeiras
HVitoria2 - 0Remo
HVitoria1 - 0Sao Paulo
AVitoria0 - 4Bragantino
HVitoria2 - 0Mirassol
AVitoria3 - 1S. Recife
AVitoria0 - 0Palmeiras
HVitoria0 - 0Botafogo
HVitoria1 - 0Internacional
AVitoria1 - 3Cruzeiro
HVitoria0 - 1Corinthians
AVitoria1 - 0Santos
HVitoria2 - 1Bahia
AVitoria3 - 4Vasco d Gama
HVitoria1 - 0Ceara
AVitoria1 - 3Gremio
HVitoria0 - 1Fluminense
AVitoria0 - 2Fortaleza
A Mineiro 13TH
20 league games
Away
5
Overall
Goals: Scored
13
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
8 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
12 / 20
Yes
6
No
14
AWAY FORM Both Teams To Score
Gremio2 - 1A Mineiro
Bragantino1 - 0A Mineiro
Fortaleza1 - 0A Mineiro
Bragantino2 - 0A Mineiro
S. Recife2 - 4A Mineiro
Internacional0 - 0A Mineiro
Corinthians1 - 0A Mineiro
Fluminense3 - 0A Mineiro
Botafogo1 - 0A Mineiro
Vitoria1 - 0A Mineiro
Sao Paulo2 - 0A Mineiro
Vasco d Gama1 - 1A Mineiro
Flamengo1 - 0A Mineiro
Palmeiras3 - 2A Mineiro
Bahia2 - 1A Mineiro
Ceara0 - 1A Mineiro
Cruzeiro0 - 0A Mineiro
Juventude0 - 1A Mineiro
Mirassol2 - 2A Mineiro
Santos2 - 0A Mineiro
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Yes
8
No
12
OVERALL FORM Both Teams To Score
HA Mineiro1 - 0Internacional
AA Mineiro1 - 2Gremio
HA Mineiro3 - 3Remo
AA Mineiro0 - 1Bragantino
HA Mineiro2 - 2Palmeiras
HA Mineiro5 - 0Vasco d Gama
HA Mineiro0 - 3Palmeiras
AA Mineiro0 - 1Fortaleza
HA Mineiro1 - 1Flamengo
AA Mineiro0 - 2Bragantino
HA Mineiro3 - 3Fortaleza
AA Mineiro4 - 2S. Recife
HA Mineiro3 - 0Bahia
AA Mineiro0 - 0Internacional
HA Mineiro1 - 0Ceara
AA Mineiro0 - 1Corinthians
HA Mineiro1 - 1Cruzeiro
HA Mineiro3 - 1S. Recife
AA Mineiro0 - 3Fluminense
HA Mineiro0 - 0Juventude
Both teams to score head to head (H2H)
6
Vitoria have scored in 6 consecutive league meetings with A Mineiro
League games at Vitoria since 2018
Vitoria
A Mineiro
Goals: Scored
6
2
Games: Scored
3 / 3
1 / 3
Clean sheets
2 / 3
0 / 3
Yes
1
No
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Vitoria
Yes
|
No
Vitoria1 - 0
Vitoria4 - 2
Vitoria1 - 0
League games at A Mineiro since 2018
A Mineiro
Vitoria
Goals: Scored
6
5
Games: Scored
3 / 3
3 / 3
Clean sheets
0 / 3
0 / 3
Yes
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT A Mineiro
Yes
|
No
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
A Mineiro2 - 1
Goal Statistics
Vitoria 16th A Mineiro 13th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
9%
4+
There is a 64% probability that Vitoria will score no more than 1 goal
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 65% probability that A Mineiro will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-10
Vitoria’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-33
A Mineiro have scored 33% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.2
average goals scored
0.7
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2026/2026 season
Vitoria
PG (predicted goals)
A Mineiro
1.3
1.2
Attack rating
9%
better
VIT
AMN
view stats
Games scored4
4
Failed to score0
1
Scored first2
2
Goals scored5
7
Avg. goals scored1.3
1.4
Avg. shots per game8
8
Avg. shots per goal6
6
Conversion rate for16
17
Avg. XG for1.6
1.1
KickOff rating
+9%
Defence rating
1%
better
VIT
AMN
view stats
Games conceded3
4
Clean sheets1
1
Conceded first2
3
Goals conceded8
8
Avg. goals conceded2
1.6
Avg. shots/game conceded9
12
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
8
Conversion rate against22%
13%
Avg. XG against1.3
1.3
KickOff rating
+1%

Vitoria v A Mineiro Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Vitoria Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE
A Mineiro Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE