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Santos v Vila Nova : Serie B match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 2nd Nov, 19:30 BST, Estádio Urbano Caldeira, Santos

Fábio Carille's Santos side are on home soil in the Serie B on Saturday evening, as Thiago Carvalho de Oliveira's Vila Nova visit the Estádio Urbano Caldeira. In this preview you'll find odds for 17 different betting markets plus predictions, stats and head to head (H2H) data for the two sides. You can access it all using the tabs below.


Best Tip: Santos to win

It looks like we could well have a dominant side in this fixture, and it's Santos. Their recent form statistics show what they've got in their locker in front of their own fans, and historical head-to-head (H2H) data proves they know how to beat Vila Nova too. The odds point towards Fábio Carille's side claiming victory in the win / draw / win market, and that's our strong prediction for Saturday evening too.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Santos are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 64% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.44.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Santos
64%
-2/5
5%
Draw
22%
-3/1
5%
Vila Nova
15%
-11/2
13%
Santos 1-0
14%
-9/2
4%
Santos 2-0
13%
-5/1
Draw 1-1
10%
-13/2
Santos 2-1
10%
-13/2
Santos 3-0
8%
-15/2
6%
Draw 0-0
7%
-15/2
6%
Santos 3-1
6%
-10/1
Vila Nova 1-0
5%
-12/1
8%
Vila Nova 2-1
4%
-16/1
13%
Santos 4-0
4%
-14/1
Draw 2-2
4%
-16/1
13%
Santos 4-1
3%
-18/1
Santos 3-2
2%
-20/1
Vila Nova 2-0
2%
-22/1
Santos 5-0
1%
-25/1
Over 2.5 Goals
49%
-10/11
Under 2.5 Goals
51%
-3/4
Home 1st Goal
58%
--
Away 1st Goal
37%
--
No 1st Goal
5%
--
BTTS - Yes
45%
-23/20
2%
BTTS - No
55%
-8/13
3%
BTTS - Home Win
24%
-13/5
BTTS - Draw
15%
-5/1
9%
BTTS - Away Win
6%
-11/1
9%
Home/draw
85%
-1/11
2%
Away/draw
36%
-17/10
8%
Home/away
78%
-2/9
Over 1.5 Goals
74%
-2/7
Under 1.5 Goals
26%
-21/10
Over 3.5 Goals
27%
-11/5
Under 3.5 Goals
73%
-2/7
Over 4.5 Goals
13%
-19/4
Under 4.5 Goals
87%
-1/11
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
-10/1
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
-1/80
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
-1/25
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
-7/1
Home DNB
79%
-2/15
2%
Away DNB
30%
-17/4
14%
Santos win to nil
40%
--
Vila Nova win to nil
8%
--
Santos / Santos
36%
-23/20
4%
Santos / Vila Nova
2%
-40/1
21%
Santos / Draw
5%
-14/1
Draw / Santos
20%
-29/10
3%
Draw / Vila Nova
6%
-11/1
9%
Draw / Draw
14%
-9/2
Vila Nova / Santos
4%
-18/1
Vila Nova / Vila Nova
8%
-9/1
5%
Vila Nova / Draw
5%
-14/1
bet365
Win / draw / win form
3
Santos have won 3 consecutive home league games
7
Santos have not lost in 7 consecutive home league games
Santos 1ST
20 league games
Home
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
11
Draw
5
L
4
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
10
Draw
7
L
3
Vila Nova 6TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
14
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
W
3
D
4
Lost
13
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
8
D
4
Lost
8
bet365
bet365
Goal Statistics

Santos have been consistent in attack of late, finding the net in 11 consecutive Serie B games. Their PG of 1.9 against Vila Nova on Saturday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

An absolutely dreadful PG of just 0.8 should cause concerns for Vila Nova fans, as should a 7 Serie B games run in which they have failed to score more than 1 goal.

Santos 1st Vila Nova 6th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.9
goals
0.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
15%
1
29%
2
27%
3
17%
4+
12%
There is a 85% probability that Santos will score 1 or more goals
0
47%
1
36%
2
13%
3
4+
There is a 83% probability of Vila Nova scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
=0
Santos’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-31
Vila Nova have scored 31% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.6
average goals scored
0.7
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
1.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie B - 2024/2024 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/273815/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Santos
PG (predicted goals)
Vila Nova
1.9
0.8
Attack rating
27%
better
STS
VNO
view stats
Games scored29
23
Failed to score5
11
Scored first24
17
Goals scored51
36
Avg. goals scored1.5
1.1
Avg. shots per game11
9
Avg. shots per goal7
9
Conversion rate for14
12
Avg. XG for1.1
0
KickOff rating
+27%
Defence rating
31%
better
STS
VNO
view stats
Games conceded18
24
Clean sheets16
10
Conceded first8
16
Goals conceded28
44
Avg. goals conceded0.8
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded9
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded11
8
Conversion rate against9%
13%
Avg. XG against0.8
0
KickOff rating
+31%

Santos v Vila Nova Serie B lLine ups will show here when available.

Santos Serie B squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
32988
D PitucaGiulianoG AugustoG Escobar
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Otero MID3332
5
-
D Pituca MID3343
3
-
Gil DEF311
1
-
G Escobar DEF3012
7
1
J Schmidt MID301
7
-
G Augusto FWD2888
2
-
G Brazão GLK27
3
-
J. Pedro Chermont Crema DEF2724
4
-
Giuliano MID2691
2
-
J Furch FWD253
-
W Bigode FWD2551
3
-
Hayner DEF20
5
-
J Paula DEF19
2
-
R Ferreira DEF191
2
1
Serginho MID1823
2
-
Pedrinho FWD162
3
-
T Rincón  MID12
3
-
W. da Silva Costa FWD1224
-
Patrick MID91
1
-
I Laquintana FWD9
-
Sandry MID81
2
-
J Paulo GLK7
-
J. de Souza Menezes DEF52
1
-
Alex  DEF5
-
J Basso DEF41
-
Aderlan DEF4
1
-
Miguelito MID4
1
-
L Peres DEF31
-
B Arce FWD2
-
D Diógenes GLK1
-
H. Carvalho Machado Silva MID1
-
Vila Nova Serie B squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
328511
D JúniorAlessonAlessonI Henrique
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Júnior GLK32
2
-
J. Ribeiro da Silva DEF322
4
-
Alesson FWD3285
4
-
Cristiano MID311
10
-
H Almeida FWD3161
3
-
Elias DEF3024
3
-
Rhuan DEF2811
7
-
Ralf MID281
-
I Henrique MID2323
11
-
J Todinho FWD2361
9
-
Emerson FWD193
3
-
J Quintero DEF18
4
-
L Naninho MID1712
1
-
Arilson MID15
1
-
Apodi FWD151
1
-
D Denílson FWD101
-
Gabriel FWD8
1
-
E Davis  DEF711
1
-
Dankler DEF5
3
-
Álex Silva Quiroga DEF5
2
-
G Lacerda DEF4
-
Marcondes DEF3
-
F. das Neves Gerônimo de Almeida DEF3
-
Halls GLK2
-
E. Fernandes Gomes Junior MID2
-
Vanderley DEF1
-
E Messias FWD1
1
-