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Ñublense v La Serena : Primera Division match betting preview, prediction and odds

Fri 25th Apr, 23:00 BST, Estadio Bicentenario Municipal N, Chillán

Ñublense and La Serena meet at the Estadio Bicentenario Municipal N on Friday night, with both Francisco Esteban Arrué Pardo and Erwin Koeman hoping for success in the Primera Division. Form, head-to-head stats, predictions and odds from leading bookmakers are all laid out below. We're here to give you everything you need to place an intelligent bet. We've backed under 3.5 goals, but why not use the stats to find the perfect bet for you?

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We think there's minimal chance that this fixture will deliver more than 3 goals at most, and the odds and statistics are in line with KO's predictive algorithm on this one. Nublense and La Serena haven't typically treated their fans to thrillers of late, whether that be in Primera Division individually or when going head-to-head. So, without a compelling favourite win or double chance market, we're suggesting under 3.5 goals. The UK's top bookies have that available at a best price of 1.30.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Nublense are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 54% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.80.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Nublense 54%	4/5 4%	-
Draw 25%	12/5 3%	-
La Serena 21%	16/5 7%	-
Nublense 1-0 13%	6/1 7%	-
Draw 1-1 12%	11/2 7%	-
Nublense 2-0 10%	15/2	-
Nublense 2-1 10%	15/2	-
Draw 0-0 8%	17/2 14%	-
La Serena 1-0 7%	11/1 8%	-
Nublense 3-0 6%	14/1 15%	-
La Serena 2-1 5%	14/1	-
Nublense 3-1 5%	14/1	-
Draw 2-2 4%	14/1	-
La Serena 2-0 3%	20/1 9%	-
Nublense 3-2 2%	28/1 12%	-
Nublense 4-0 2%	28/1	-
Nublense 4-1 2%	33/1 17%	-
La Serena 3-1 2%	33/1	-
Over 2.5 Goals 47%	1/1 8%	-
Under 2.5 Goals 53%	4/5 8%	-
Home 1st Goal 54%	8/15 2%	-
Away 1st Goal 41%	7/4 5%	-
No 1st Goal 5%	17/2 14%	-
BTTS - Yes 48%	5/6 2%	-
BTTS - No 52%	5/6 4%	-
BTTS - Home Win 22%	3/1 7%	-
BTTS - Draw 17%	15/4	-
BTTS - Away Win 9%	15/2	-
Home/draw 79%	2/9 3%	-
Away/draw 46%	19/20 5%	-
Home/away 75%	3/10 1%	-
Over 1.5 Goals 72%	3/10 4%	-
Under 1.5 Goals 28%	12/5 9%	-
Over 3.5 Goals 25%	5/2 17%	-
Under 3.5 Goals 75%	2/7 5%	-
Over 4.5 Goals 12%	6/1 17%	-
Under 4.5 Goals 88%	1/10 2%	-
Over 5.5 Goals 5%	16/1 31%	-
Under 5.5 Goals 95%	1/40 2%	-
Over 0.5 Goals 92%	1/16 1%	-
Under 0.5 Goals 8%	9/1 9%	-
Home DNB 71%	1/3 2%	-
Away DNB 39%	9/4 4%	-
Nublense win to nil 32%	2/1	-
La Serena win to nil 12%	6/1 13%	-
Nublense / Nublense 28%	2/1 9%	-
Nublense / La Serena 2%	33/1	-
Nublense / Draw 6%	14/1	-
Draw / Nublense 18%	15/4 6%	-
Draw / La Serena 10%	15/2 11%	-
Draw / Draw 15%	9/2	-
La Serena / Nublense 4%	22/1 10%	-
La Serena / La Serena 12%	6/1 7%	-
La Serena / Draw 6%	14/1	-

Win / draw / win form

Nublense have drawn 4 consecutive home league games

Nublense have not won in 5 consecutive league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

11 / 20

Clean sheets

9 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Nublense	0 - 0	Coquimbo
Nublense	1 - 1	Iquique
Nublense	1 - 1	U. Catolica
Nublense	1 - 1	Deportes Limache
Nublense	1 - 4	Universidad
Nublense	2 - 0	Iquique
Nublense	0 - 1	U. La Calera
Nublense	1 - 0	Cobresal
Nublense	0 - 0	U. Espanola
Nublense	1 - 1	Everton (CHI)
Nublense	1 - 2	U. Catolica
Nublense	3 - 0	Huachipato
Nublense	2 - 2	O'Higgins
Nublense	6 - 0	Cobreloa
Nublense	0 - 2	Palestino
Nublense	3 - 0	Colo-Colo
Nublense	1 - 0	Copiapo
Nublense	1 - 2	Audax
Nublense	0 - 0	Coquimbo
Nublense	0 - 1	Huachipato

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Nublense	0 - 0	Coquimbo
A	Nublense	0 - 3	U. Espanola
H	Nublense	1 - 1	Iquique
A	Nublense	0 - 2	Palestino
H	Nublense	1 - 1	U. Catolica
A	Nublense	2 - 1	Everton (CHI)
H	Nublense	1 - 1	Deportes Limache
A	Nublense	0 - 5	Universidad
A	Nublense	0 - 1	Huachipato
H	Nublense	1 - 4	Universidad
A	Nublense	3 - 1	O'Higgins
H	Nublense	2 - 0	Iquique
H	Nublense	0 - 1	U. La Calera
A	Nublense	1 - 0	Cobreloa
H	Nublense	1 - 0	Cobresal
A	Nublense	1 - 1	Palestino
A	Nublense	1 - 2	Colo-Colo
H	Nublense	0 - 0	U. Espanola
H	Nublense	1 - 1	Everton (CHI)
A	Nublense	1 - 0	Copiapo

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

18 / 20

Clean sheets

2 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Universidad	3 - 1	La Serena
Huachipato	3 - 1	La Serena
O'Higgins	1 - 1	La Serena
Cobresal	3 - 1	La Serena
Audax	3 - 0	La Serena
Palestino	5 - 0	La Serena
Curico Unido	1 - 0	La Serena
U. Espanola	0 - 1	La Serena
Everton (CHI)	4 - 0	La Serena
Cobresal	1 - 1	La Serena
Coquimbo	2 - 0	La Serena
Colo-Colo	3 - 0	La Serena
U. La Calera	1 - 1	La Serena
Universidad	2 - 0	La Serena
U. Catolica	0 - 2	La Serena
Huachipato	2 - 3	La Serena
Nublense	3 - 1	La Serena
Antofagasta	2 - 2	La Serena
O'Higgins	3 - 0	La Serena
U. La Calera	1 - 2	La Serena

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	La Serena	1 - 3	Universidad
H	La Serena	2 - 1	Everton (CHI)
A	La Serena	1 - 3	Huachipato
H	La Serena	1 - 0	U. La Calera
A	La Serena	1 - 1	O'Higgins
H	La Serena	1 - 0	U. Espanola
A	La Serena	1 - 3	Cobresal
H	La Serena	1 - 3	Colo-Colo
A	La Serena	0 - 3	Audax
H	La Serena	2 - 1	U. La Calera
A	La Serena	0 - 5	Palestino
H	La Serena	1 - 2	Universidad
A	La Serena	0 - 1	Curico Unido
A	La Serena	1 - 0	U. Espanola
H	La Serena	0 - 4	U. Catolica
A	La Serena	0 - 4	Everton (CHI)
H	La Serena	0 - 1	Huachipato
A	La Serena	1 - 1	Cobresal
H	La Serena	3 - 0	Nublense
A	La Serena	0 - 2	Coquimbo

Goal Statistics

	Nublense 12th	La Serena 10th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.6 goals	0.9 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 20% 1 32% 2 26% 3 14% 4+ There is a 80% probability that Nublense will score 1 or more goals	0 40% 1 37% 2 17% 3 4+ There is a 77% probability of La Serena scoring 1 goal or less

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-20 Nublense have scored 20% fewer goals at home than predicted	-52 La Serena have scored 52% fewer goals when away than predicted
	1.3 average goals scored	0.9 average goals scored
	0.9 conceded	2.2 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Primera Division - 2025/2025 season

NUB

SER

47%

better

view stats

Games scored	4		8
Failed to score	4		0
Scored first	2		4
Goals scored	5		9
Avg. goals scored	0.6		1.1
Avg. shots per game	8		8
Avg. shots per goal	13		7
Conversion rate for	8		13
Avg. XG for	0		0
KickOff rating		+47%

NUB

SER

better

view stats

Games conceded	7		6
Clean sheets	1		2
Conceded first	5		4
Goals conceded	14		14
Avg. goals conceded	1.8		1.8
Avg. shots/game conceded	12		11
Avg. shots/goal conceded	7		6
Conversion rate against	14%		16%
Avg. XG against	0		0
KickOff rating		+9%

Nublense v La Serena Primera Division lLine ups will show here when available.

Nublense Primera Division squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
8	1	1	3
N Pérez	L Reyes	P Sánchez	O Bosso

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
N Pérez GLK	8			-
L Reyes MID	8	1		1 -
P Sánchez FWD	8	1	1	2 -
G Sosa FWD	8			1 -
O Bosso DEF	7		1	3 -
G Graciani MID	7	1		-
F Mateos MID	7	1		1 -
L Molina FWD	7	1		-
B Cerezo DEF	6		1	1 -
J Campusano DEF	6			2 -
I Agüero MID	6			1 1
E Valencia MID	6			1
P Rubio FWD	6			2 -
P Calderón DEF	5		1	3 -
D. Sanhueza DEF	5			1 -
M. Plaza Berrios MID	5			1
B Oyarzo FWD	5			-
M Rodríguez FWD	4			-
R González DEF	3			-
F Borowsky DEF	2			2 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
1	5	1	2
L Reyes	G Sosa	P Sánchez	B Oyarzo

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
P Sánchez FWD	1	2	1
G Graciani MID	1	5
F Mateos MID	1	2
L Molina FWD	1	1
L Reyes MID	1	2
P Calderón DEF			1
M Rodríguez FWD				1
B Oyarzo FWD		2		2
I Agüero MID		1
P Rubio FWD		1
B Cerezo DEF		1	1	1
O Bosso DEF			1
G Sosa FWD		5

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
424	14	40
L Reyes	L Reyes	L Reyes

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
L Reyes MID	424	14	40
O Bosso DEF	238	7	30
B Cerezo DEF	218	12	23
J Campusano DEF	212	8	21
F Mateos MID	203	12	27
N Pérez GLK	186	1	5
I Agüero MID	157	6	15
G Graciani MID	137	6	29
D. Sanhueza DEF	125	8	15
P Rubio FWD	122		15
E Valencia MID	121	4	10
P Calderón DEF	120	5	22
P Sánchez FWD	94	6	16
M Rodríguez FWD	94	3	17
B Oyarzo FWD	88	4	23
M. Plaza Berrios MID	85	3	21
F Borowsky DEF	72	9	13
G Sosa FWD	61	3	20
L Molina FWD	56	5	8
R González DEF	26		2

La Serena Primera Division squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
6	2	1	3
L Alarcón	S Berriel	J Orellana	F Chamorro

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
L Alarcón DEF	6			-
A. Zanini DEF	6			-
J Orellana DEF	6		1	-
S Berriel MID	6	2		2 -
F Chamorro MID	6		1	3 -
S Díaz MID	6			1 -
G Jara FWD	6			-
L Ovando FWD	6			-
F Cerda GLK	5			1 -
N Ferreyra DEF	4	1		-
M Rivera MID	4	1		-
E Moreira FWD	4			1 -
J Vargas FWD	4	1		1 -
M Pinto DEF	2		1	-
E Sanhueza GLK	1			-
J Fuentes DEF	1			-
M Ramirez DEF	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
2	5	1	1
S Berriel	S Berriel	J Orellana	J Orellana

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
S Berriel MID	2	5
N Ferreyra DEF	1	1
J Vargas FWD	1	2
M Rivera MID	1	1
L Alarcón DEF		1
M Pinto DEF		1	1
E Moreira FWD		1
L Ovando FWD		1
G Jara FWD		4		1
F Chamorro MID		1	1	1
J Orellana DEF			1	1
M Ramirez DEF		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
252	26	46
L Alarcón	S Díaz	S Díaz

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
L Alarcón DEF	252	6	30
A. Zanini DEF	243	1	21
S Díaz MID	219	26	46
F Cerda GLK	189		4
S Berriel MID	180	7	14
J Orellana DEF	145	12	16
F Chamorro MID	115	4	21
J Vargas FWD	112		7
L Ovando FWD	81	4	18
G Jara FWD	77		16
M Rivera MID	53	3	10
E Moreira FWD	43		22
E Sanhueza GLK	40
N Ferreyra DEF	29		1
M Ramirez DEF	25	4	4
J Fuentes DEF	17	1	2
M Pinto DEF	8		1

Chilean Primera Division match betting previews, predictions and odds

U. Catolica v Everton (CHI)

Sat 26th Apr, 01:30

Cobresal v Deportes Limache

Palestino v Universidad

Sun 27th Apr, 20:00

Huachipato v U. Espanola

Sun 27th Apr, 22:30

Deportes Limache v Colo-Colo

Fri 2nd May, 23:00

U. Espanola v Cobresal

Sat 3rd May, 01:30

Everton (CHI) v Palestino

Sat 3rd May, 17:30

Universidad v U. Catolica

Nublense v U. La Calera

Mon 5th May, 01:00

Ñublense v La Serena : Primera Division match betting preview, prediction and odds

Nublense v La Serena Primera Division lLine ups will show here when available.

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