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Deportivo Pasto v Atlético Nacional : Liga BetPlay match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estadio Departamental Libertad, San Juan de Pasto

Efraín Juárez Váldez pays counterpart Gustavo Atilano Florentín a visit on Sunday morning in the Liga BetPlay, as their Atlético Nacional and Deportivo Pasto teams go head to head at the Estadio Departamental Libertad. In this preview you'll find odds for 17 different markets, alongside bespoke data that changes as you go between markets. Our predictions run off the last 20 matches, so all statistics are shown for each side's last 20 too. Home, away and overall records can be explored, while you'll also find head to head (H2H) history later on in the preview.

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Deportivo Pasto's next match is v Rionegro at 23:00 on Saturday 12th October
Atlético Nacional's next match is v Fortaleza CEIF at 23:00 on Saturday 12th October
The last Colombian Liga BetPlay meeting between Dep. Pasto and A. Nacional was on Sunday 6th October 2024
Colombian Liga BetPlay
October 6th 2024
Dep. Pasto 1
2 A. Nacional
 
D. Moreno Mosquera 82'20' A. Román Mosquera
90' A. Román Mosquera
 
PAS
NAC
Shots On
7
5
Shots Off
12
3
Corners
8
2
Possession
45%
55%
Fouls
17
8
Yellow/red cards
5/1
2/0
 
Dep. PastoA. Nacional
 
D. Martínez Marín
B. Carabalí Bonilla
I. Alba Marín (J. Franco Caicedo 46')
M. Castaño Grisales (J. Castilla 46')
J. Cuenú Rodríguez
N. Gil Uribe
D. Chávez (S. Tréllez Viveros 76')
K. Londoño Asprilla
V. Mejía Mina
D. Moreno Mosquerafootball icon
R. Vanegas Zúñiga (G. Torres Grueso 13')
L. Marquines Preciado
J. Aguirre Tabares
J. Castro Dinas
football iconfootball iconA. Román Mosquera
S. Velásquez Uribe
S. Guzmán Mendoza
(J. Campuzano Puentes 71') J. Zapata Zumaque
(P. Ceppelini Gatto 76') E. Cardona Bedoya
(J. Torres Patiño 84') M. Hinestroza Angulo
(D. Asprilla Rivas 71') A. Sarmiento Salas
(K. Viveros Rodallega 85') A. Morelos Aviléz
Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

Fans may not be thrilled to read this, but we're not predicting a goal-fest here. The stats suggest Dep. Pasto and A. Nacional both struggle to score on a consistent basis, and the odds suggest it's likely there's fewer than 2 goals in total as they go head-to-head. We think they're probably right and, in the absence of obvious outright winners to back, under 2.5 goals feels like the right bet on this match.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Dep. Pasto
38%
11/8
17%
11/8
15%
Draw
30%
21/10
8%
9/5
3%
A. Nacional
32%
11/5
23%
19/10
21%
Dep. Pasto 1-0
14%
5/1
20%
19/4
18%
Draw 1-1
13%
5/1
9%
19/4
Draw 0-0
13%
11/219/4
12%
A. Nacional 1-0
12%
6/111/2
Dep. Pasto 2-0
7%
9/1
23%
17/2
21%
Dep. Pasto 2-1
7%
9/1
17%
17/2
5%
A. Nacional 2-1
7%
11/1
9%
10/1
22%
A. Nacional 2-0
6%
12/1
8%
11/1
20%
Draw 2-2
4%
18/1
12%
14/1
15%
Dep. Pasto 3-0
3%
22/1
21%
18/1
17%
Dep. Pasto 3-1
3%
22/1
12%
18/1
A. Nacional 3-1
2%
33/1
48%
20/1
24%
A. Nacional 3-0
2%
33/1
31%
22/1
21%
Dep. Pasto 3-2
1%
40/128/1
12%
A. Nacional 3-2
1%
40/128/1
12%
Over 2.5 Goals
34%
8/5
8%
6/4
9%
Under 2.5 Goals
66%
19/40
3%
2/5
7%
Home 1st Goal
47%
5/6
19%
-
Away 1st Goal
44%
7/5
26%
-
No 1st Goal
9%
11/2-
BTTS - Yes
42%
6/5
10%
6/5
10%
BTTS - No
58%
8/13
6%
8/13
6%
BTTS - Home Win
13%
11/2
7%
5/1
BTTS - Draw
18%
4/1
11%
18/5
5%
BTTS - Away Win
11%
7/1
23%
6/1
27%
Home/draw
68%
4/11
9%
7/20
10%
Away/draw
62%
8/15
9%
8/15
13%
Home/away
70%
4/11
3%
4/11
Over 1.5 Goals
61%
1/2
4%
1/2
4%
Under 1.5 Goals
39%
6/4
5%
13/10
8%
Over 3.5 Goals
16%
9/2
22%
19/5
14%
Under 3.5 Goals
84%
1/7
3%
2/15
3%
Over 4.5 Goals
6%
12/1
18%
17/2
19%
Under 4.5 Goals
94%
1/25
1%
1/40
2%
Over 5.5 Goals
2%
25/1
13%
18/1
27%
Under 5.5 Goals
98%
1/1501/1000
Over 0.5 Goals
87%
1/10
1%
1/10
2%
Under 0.5 Goals
13%
6/1
8%
9/2
8%
Home DNB
59%
4/6
13%
4/6
17%
Away DNB
53%
11/10
17%
11/10
24%
Dep. Pasto win to nil
25%
5/2
19%
-
A. Nacional win to nil
21%
7/2
13%
-
Dep. Pasto / Dep. Pasto
19%
3/1
16%
29/10
19%
Dep. Pasto / A. Nacional
3%
33/128/1
26%
Dep. Pasto / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Draw / Dep. Pasto
15%
9/2
8%
9/2
8%
Draw / A. Nacional
12%
11/2
8%
11/2
18%
Draw / Draw
21%
3/1
8%
14/5
5%
A. Nacional / Dep. Pasto
3%
33/125/1
A. Nacional / A. Nacional
16%
9/2
27%
19/5
20%
A. Nacional / Draw
6%
14/112/1
8%
bet365
Win / draw / win form
Dep. Pasto 16TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
9
D
3
Lost
8
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
7
A. Nacional 12TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
8
D
4
Lost
8
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
10
D
4
Lost
6
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
A. Nacional have beaten Dep. Pasto in 3 consecutive league meetings
11
A. Nacional have not lost to Dep. Pasto in 11 consecutive league meetings
League games at Dep. Pasto since 2018
Dep. Pasto
A. Nacional
Goals: Scored
2
7
Games: Scored
2 / 6
5 / 6
Clean sheets
1 / 6
4 / 6
D
2
NAC
4
League games at A. Nacional since 2018
A. Nacional
Dep. Pasto
Goals: Scored
13
5
Games: Scored
7 / 8
4 / 8
Clean sheets
4 / 8
1 / 8
PAS
1
D
1
NAC
6
Goal Statistics

Deportivo Pasto's defensive record is very strong, G. Florentín's men having conceded 1 or less in 6 consecutive Liga BetPlay games. An average PG rating of 1.0 for Atlético Nacional makes sense in this context.

Dep. Pasto 16th A. Nacional 12th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.1
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 71% probability that Dep. Pasto will score no more than 1 goal
0
37%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 74% probability of A. Nacional scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-16
Dep. Pasto have scored 16% fewer goals at home than predicted
+12
A. Nacional have scored 12% more goals when away than predicted
1.1
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga BetPlay - 2024/2024 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/285506/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Dep. Pasto
PG (predicted goals)
A. Nacional
1.1
1
Attack rating
PAS
NAC
20%
better
view stats
Games scored18
19
Failed to score12
10
Scored first11
13
Goals scored25
39
Avg. goals scored0.8
1.3
Avg. shots per game10
12
Avg. shots per goal12
9
Conversion rate for8
11
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
+20%
Defence rating
6%
better
PAS
NAC
view stats
Games conceded17
19
Clean sheets13
10
Conceded first15
12
Goals conceded28
30
Avg. goals conceded0.9
1
Avg. shots/game conceded9
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded9
8
Conversion rate against11%
12%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
+6%

Dep. Pasto v A. Nacional Liga BetPlay lLine ups will show here when available.

Dep. Pasto Liga BetPlay squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
307312
K LondoñoD MorenoK LondoñoN Gil
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Martínez GLK231
4
1
I Alba DEF3022
7
-
B Carabalí DEF29
10
-
J Cuenú DEF121
4
-
N Gil DEF261
12
-
M Castaño DEF7
1
-
K Londoño MID3053
8
-
V Mejía MID291
7
1
D Chávez MID305
9
-
D Moreno FWD137
2
-
R Vanegas FWD71
1
-
Subs
K Larrota GLK4
-
J Franco DEF7
-
C Arrieta DEF282
8
-
C Ayala MID10
3
-
G Torres MID13
-
J Castilla MID71
2
-
S Tréllez FWD202
5
-
A. Nacional Liga BetPlay squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
25858
J AguirreK ViverosE Cardona J Castro
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Marquinez GLK4
1
-
J Castro DEF2431
8
-
J Aguirre DEF2531
6
1
A Román DEF74
1
-
S Uribe DEF12
1
-
S Guzmán MID4
1
-
J Zapata MID91
2
-
M Hinestroza MID911
2
-
E Cardona  MID1255
4
-
A Sarmiento MID1311
1
-
A Morelos FWD1121
3
-
Subs
H Castillo GLK25
2
-
J Torres DEF9
1
-
J Campuzano MID101
3
-
K Toscano MID7
2
-
P Ceppelini MID2524
4
-
K Viveros FWD218
5
2
D Asprilla FWD112
1
-