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Derby County v Stoke City: Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Pride Park Stadium, Derby

Michael O'Neill takes his Stoke City side to the Pride Park Stadium in the Championship on Saturday afternoon, with Wayne Rooney's Derby County their rivals. Neither side has managed to dominate this tie since 1992, with 5 of 22 Championship matches ending level, Derby County winning 9 and Stoke City victorious on 8 occasions.

Goals have been an issue for Derby County of late. It has been 7 Championship matches since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.0 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Saturday afternoon against Stoke City.

Derby 24th Stoke 5th
Bookmakers prediction
Bookmakers prediction
1.0
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 75% probability
Derby will score
0 - 1 goal
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 62% probability
Stoke will score
0 - 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
-17
Derby have scored 17% fewer goals than predicted by the bookmakers
-28
Stoke have scored 28% fewer goals than predicted by the bookmakers
20 home / away league games
1.1
average goals scored
0.8
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Derby
All competitions
Championship
Stoke
Derby
A
2-1
H
1-1
A
2-0
A
0-0
H
2-1
A
1-0
24th Aug
31 days
25th Sep
Stoke
A
3-0
H
2-1
H
1-1
A
2-1
A
1-3
H
2-0
28th Aug
28 days
25th Sep
Change market and stats
Change odds
PredictionsAddBet365BetfairBetfredBetVictorCoralPaddy
Power
888Sport
Derby
27%
11/413/513/513/511/413/511/4
Draw
28%
21/102/121/1085/4021/102/12/1
Stoke
45%
23/206/55/46/56/523/2023/20
Stoke 1-0
14%
5/15/15/15/15/15/15/1
Draw 1-1
13%
5/19/25/111/25/15/15/1
Draw 0-0
10%
11/211/26/113/26/111/26/1
Derby 1-0
10%
7/115/27/18/115/215/215/2
Stoke 2-0
9%
8/117/28/19/117/217/28/1
Stoke 2-1
8%
17/217/28/19/117/217/28/1
Derby 2-1
6%
12/111/112/113/112/111/123/2
Derby 2-0
5%
16/114/114/119/118/113/116/1
Draw 2-2
4%
18/116/116/119/118/114/115/1
Stoke 3-0
4%
18/120/120/121/120/118/118/1
Stoke 3-1
4%
20/120/120/125/120/118/118/1
Derby 3-1
2%
33/133/133/145/140/125/133/1
Stoke 3-2
2%
40/140/133/145/140/135/133/1
Derby 3-0
2%
40/140/140/160/155/135/140/1
Derby 3-2
1%
40/150/150/160/155/145/145/1
Over 2.5 Goals
39%
6/46/46/48/529/2031/2031/20
Under 2.5 Goals
61%
8/151/21/21/21/29/2013/25
Home 1st Goal
43%
8/57/57/529/2031/207/5-
Away 1st Goal
50%
8/115/64/531/405/65/6-
No 1st Goal
7%
11/211/26/113/26/111/2-
BTTS - Yes
45%
11/1011/1011/1021/2011/1011/1027/25
BTTS - No
55%
4/68/114/68/114/613/207/10
BTTS - Home Win
11%
15/213/215/215/27/113/2-
BTTS - Draw
18%
15/47/27/219/57/27/218/5
BTTS - Away Win
17%
9/29/29/29/217/49/2-
Home/draw
55%
4/68/134/613/207/108/134/6
Home/away
72%
4/111/31/32/72/51/34/11
Away/draw
73%
1/41/42/72/72/72/927/100
Over 1.5 Goals
66%
1/240/854/940/851/24/94/9
Under 1.5 Goals
34%
13/813/813/831/206/48/517/10
Over 3.5 Goals
19%
4/14/17/29/219/521/54/1
Under 3.5 Goals
81%
1/61/61/61/81/61/81/6
Over 4.5 Goals
8%
10/110/19/1-10/19/111/1
Under 4.5 Goals
92%
1/201/251/25-1/201/501/20
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
22/120/120/1-28/118/128/1
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
1/661/5001/80-1/801/5001/100
Over 0.5 Goals
90%
1/91/101/101/161/101/141/10
Under 0.5 Goals
10%
11/211/211/213/211/26/113/2
Home DNB
27%
6/431/206/46/46/431/208/5
Away DNB
45%
1/29/201/28/151/29/2012/25
Derby win to nil
17%
9/24/14/122/59/24/1-
Stoke win to nil
28%
11/512/523/109/411/512/5-
Derby / Derby
14%
5/19/25/111/211/29/227/5
Derby / Stoke
3%
28/130/125/133/133/125/129/1
Derby / Draw
5%
14/113/114/118/116/112/113/1
Draw / Derby
11%
13/213/26/17/113/26/17/1
Draw / Stoke
17%
4/14/14/19/219/54/121/5
Draw / Draw
20%
10/33/13/118/516/53/113/4
Stoke / Derby
2%
40/140/133/140/150/135/140/1
Stoke / Stoke
23%
13/511/413/514/511/411/413/5
Stoke / Draw
6%
14/113/112/118/116/112/113/1
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Derby since 1994
Derby
Stoke
Goals: Scored
21
10
Games: Scored
7 / 11
6 / 11
Clean sheets
5 / 11
4 / 11
DER
7
D
2
STK
2
All league games since 1994
Derby
Stoke
Goals: Scored
32
25
Games: Scored
14 / 22
16 / 22
Clean sheets
6 / 22
8 / 22
DER
9
D
5
STK
8
Win / draw / win form
6
Derby have not won in 6 consecutive home league games
4
Derby have draw in 4 consecutive home league games
Derby 24TH
20 league games
Home
6
Overall
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
Draw
9
Lost
5
Goals: Scored
15
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
W
2
Draw
7
Lost
11
Stoke 5TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
16
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
W
4
Draw
10
Lost
6
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
7
Win / draw / win Championship table
Derby
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
Stoke
HomeAwayTEAMPLDWDLGDPTSHomeAway
Nov 20
Mar 12
 Bournemouth9630921 
Oct 19
Feb 26
Dec 26
d
 
0-00-0
 West Brom9540819 
Oct 1
Apr 9
Mar 19
Oct 23
 Coventry9612619 
May 7
Dec 18
Apr 15
Nov 23
 Fulham95221117 
Jan 22
l
 
3-0A
w
 
2-1F
Dec 29
 Stoke Away9522317 
-
-
Oct 30
Mar 15
 Blackburn9441716 
Nov 27
Apr 18
d
 
1-1F
Feb 5
 Huddersfield9414113 
w
 
2-1A
Jan 29
Apr 23
Dec 4
 Bristol C9342113 
Apr 15
Nov 24
Sep 29
Jan 1
 Reading9414-213 
w
 
3-2F
Feb 5
Nov 27
Apr 18
 QPR9333312 
Apr 23
Dec 4
Jan 15
l
 
1-0A
 Sheff Utd9333112 
Apr 2
Oct 16
Jan 29
l
 
2-0A
 Birmingham9333012 
Feb 19
d
 
0-00-0
May 7
Dec 18
 Cardiff9324-211 
Oct 30
Mar 16
Dec 11
Apr 30
 Blackpool9324-411 
Mar 5
Nov 3
Apr 2
Oct 16
 Preston9243-210 
Jan 1
Sep 28
Oct 19
Feb 26
 Luton9243-310 
Feb 23
Nov 6
Oct 2
Apr 9
 Swansea9243-310 
Feb 8
w
 
1-3F
Feb 23
Nov 6
 Millwall9162-29 
Mar 19
Oct 23
d
 
0-00-0
Feb 12
 M'Boro9234-29 
Dec 11
Apr 30
Mar 5
Nov 3
 Barnsley9153-48 
d
 
1-1F
Dec 26
Feb 19
l
 
2-1F
 Peterborough9216-107 
Nov 20
Mar 12
d
 
1-1F
Jan 22
 Nottm Forest9126-55 
w
 
1-0F
Feb 12
Feb 8
w
 
0-1F
 Hull9126-95 
w
 
2-0F
Jan 15
-
-
 Derby Home9243-20 
Dec 29
l
 
2-1A