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Ajax v Excelsior : Eredivisie match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 22nd Nov, 17:45 BST, Johan Cruijff Arena, Amsterdam

It's an away trip for Ruben den Uil's Excelsior side on Saturday evening, as they visit the Johan Cruijff Arena for a Eredivisie clash with Fred Grim's Ajax. All the odds are provided directly from top bookmakers, while predictions are algorithmically generated from statistics over a 20-game period. We focus especially on Eredivisie match data, including head to head (H2H) records. Explore it all using the tabs below.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Eredivisie Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Ajax to win

Studying the bookies' odds and collated statistics regarding both sides ahead of this Eredivisie game, a bet on win / draw / win for Ajax to win on home turf is what we would suggest. We predict they will overpower Excelsior, and head-to-head (H2H) records show they have the pedigree to do so. It could be a tighter than we expect, but Ajax to win is the bet come Saturday evening.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Ajax are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 68% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.36.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Ajax
68%
1.33
5%
1.36
2%
Draw
18%
5.00
9%
5.50
8%
Excelsior
14%
8.00
16%
7.50
6%
Ajax 2-0
10%
8.50
6%
8.00
Ajax 2-1
10%
9.007.50
6%
Ajax 1-0
9%
11.009.00
Draw 1-1
8%
10.00
9%
9.50
5%
Ajax 3-0
8%
10.00
11%
9.00
6%
Ajax 3-1
8%
10.009.00
Ajax 4-0
5%
15.00
15%
13.00
8%
Draw 2-2
5%
17.00
11%
13.00
13%
Ajax 4-1
4%
15.0013.00
8%
Excelsior 2-1
4%
21.00
19%
17.00
11%
Draw 0-0
4%
21.0017.00
11%
Excelsior 1-0
4%
26.00
10%
19.00
10%
Ajax 3-2
4%
21.0015.00
Ajax 5-0
2%
26.00
13%
19.00
Ajax 4-2
2%
29.0021.00
Over 2.5 Goals
63%
1.401.40
3%
Under 2.5 Goals
37%
2.882.80
3%
Home 1st Goal
59%
1.36
2%
1.35
2%
Away 1st Goal
39%
3.00
8%
3.25
4%
No 1st Goal
2%
21.0017.00
BTTS - Yes
55%
1.67
2%
1.62
2%
BTTS - No
45%
2.10
2%
2.15
BTTS - Home Win
33%
2.502.45
3%
BTTS - Draw
14%
6.00
8%
6.00
8%
BTTS - Away Win
8%
12.00
20%
9.50
5%
Home/draw
86%
1.08
1%
1.09
1%
Away/draw
32%
3.25
13%
3.10
6%
Home/away
82%
1.17
3%
1.14
1%
Over 1.5 Goals
84%
1.111.11
Under 1.5 Goals
16%
6.505.75
4%
Over 3.5 Goals
41%
2.00
5%
1.95
2%
Under 3.5 Goals
59%
1.73
4%
1.75
3%
Over 4.5 Goals
23%
3.40
5%
3.10
3%
Under 4.5 Goals
77%
1.30
2%
1.33
1%
Over 5.5 Goals
11%
6.005.25
5%
Under 5.5 Goals
89%
1.131.13
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1.021.01
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
21.0017.00
Home DNB
81%
1.11
3%
1.12
2%
Away DNB
26%
6.50
19%
5.50
8%
Ajax win to nil
35%
2.63
11%
-
Excelsior win to nil
6%
17.00
11%
-
Ajax / Ajax
42%
1.91
6%
1.91
4%
Ajax / Excelsior
2%
41.00
20%
34.00
Ajax / Draw
5%
17.00
11%
15.00
Draw / Ajax
19%
4.33
8%
4.33
Draw / Excelsior
5%
17.00
19%
13.00
13%
Draw / Draw
10%
9.00
5%
8.00
6%
Excelsior / Ajax
5%
17.0015.00
Excelsior / Excelsior
7%
13.00
24%
10.00
9%
Excelsior / Draw
5%
19.00
10%
15.00
12%
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Win / draw / win Eredivisie table

Ajax have played 12 matches so far this season and lay in 4th place in the Eredivisie league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 10 games against teams below in the table, having won 5, drawn 4 and lost 1 match. They have kept 2 clean sheets and have scored in every game. Ajax have outscored their opponents by 22 goals to 11 goals.

Home League Performance

Ajax have played 6 games at home winning 4, drawing 1 and losing 1 game. They have scored 10 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and conceded 5 goals at home.

Excelsior are in 16th position in the Eredivisie on 10 points having played 12 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

4 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 16 goals and kept no clean sheets. They have scored 6 goals in total and failed to score in 2 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

10 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 7 games, drawn 0 and won 3. Excelsior have conceded 19 goals, scored 8, failed to score in 3 fixtures and have kept 2 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Ajax
Excelsior
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
PSV1210112331 
May 2
d
 
2-2A
l
 
1-2F
Jan 10
2
Feyenoord129121928 
Dec 14
Mar 21
l
 
1-2F
Mar 14
3
AZ Alkmaar12732724 
l
 
0-2A
Feb 7
Feb 14
Dec 14
4
Ajax12552520 
-
-
Feb 1
Nov 22
5
Utrecht12615619 
May 10
l
 
2-1A
Apr 23
l
 
4-1A
6
Groningen12615019 
Nov 30
Mar 7
Dec 5
May 2
7
NEC12534918 
Feb 21
Dec 20
Apr 4
l
 
5-0A
8
Twente12444216 
Apr 4
w
 
2-3A
w
 
1-0F
Jan 24
9
GA Eagles12444116 
Jan 17
d
 
2-2F
Feb 28
l
 
2-0A
10
Fortuna12516-216 
Feb 14
Dec 6
w
 
1-0F
Feb 21
11
S.Rotterdam12516-1016 
Mar 14
d
 
3-3F
l
 
0-1A
May 17
12
Heerenveen12354-214 
d
 
1-1F
May 17
Mar 7
l
 
2-1F
13
FC Volendam12345-413 
Jan 24
d
 
1-1A
May 10
w
 
1-2F
14
NAC12336-612 
w
 
2-1F
Apr 23
Nov 29
Feb 7
15
PEC Zwolle12336-1312 
w
 
3-1F
Feb 28
Dec 20
Apr 11
16
Excelsior12318-1210 
Nov 22
Feb 1
-
-
17
Telstar12237-79 
w
 
2-0F
Jan 11
Jan 16
d
 
2-2A
18
Heracles12309-169 
w
 
2-0F
Apr 11
l
 
1-2F
Mar 21
UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
UEFA Europa League Qualifiers
UEFA Conference League Qualifiers Play Off
Relegation Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Ajax 4TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
39
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
14
D
4
L
2
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Ajax1 - 1Heerenveen
Ajax0 - 2AZ Alkmaar
Ajax2 - 1NAC
Ajax3 - 1PEC Zwolle
Ajax2 - 0Heracles
Ajax2 - 0Telstar
Ajax2 - 0Twente
Ajax0 - 3NEC
Ajax1 - 1S.Rotterdam
Ajax3 - 1NAC
Ajax2 - 2AZ Alkmaar
Ajax2 - 0GA Eagles
Ajax4 - 0Heracles
Ajax2 - 1Feyenoord
Ajax2 - 1Waalwijk
Ajax3 - 0Almere City
Ajax2 - 2Utrecht
Ajax2 - 0PEC Zwolle
Ajax3 - 2PSV
Ajax1 - 0Willem II
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
9
Draw
7
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AAjax1 - 2Utrecht
HAjax1 - 1Heerenveen
AAjax3 - 2Twente
HAjax0 - 2AZ Alkmaar
AAjax3 - 3S.Rotterdam
HAjax2 - 1NAC
AAjax2 - 2PSV
HAjax3 - 1PEC Zwolle
AAjax1 - 1FC Volendam
HAjax2 - 0Heracles
AAjax2 - 2GA Eagles
HAjax2 - 0Telstar
HAjax2 - 0Twente
AAjax2 - 2Groningen
HAjax0 - 3NEC
HAjax1 - 1S.Rotterdam
AAjax0 - 4Utrecht
AAjax2 - 1Willem II
HAjax3 - 1NAC
AAjax2 - 0PSV
Excelsior 16TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
56
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
W
1
Draw
5
Lost
14
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Telstar2 - 2Excelsior
GA Eagles2 - 0Excelsior
Heerenveen2 - 1Excelsior
FC Volendam1 - 2Excelsior
Utrecht4 - 1Excelsior
NEC5 - 0Excelsior
Feyenoord4 - 0Excelsior
Ajax2 - 2Excelsior
PEC Zwolle2 - 1Excelsior
GA Eagles3 - 0Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar4 - 0Excelsior
Fortuna5 - 2Excelsior
S.Rotterdam4 - 2Excelsior
Almere City2 - 1Excelsior
PSV3 - 1Excelsior
Twente4 - 2Excelsior
Waalwijk2 - 2Excelsior
Utrecht2 - 2Excelsior
FC Volendam3 - 1Excelsior
Vitesse0 - 0Excelsior
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
39
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
5
D
2
Lost
13
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HExcelsior1 - 2Heracles
AExcelsior2 - 2Telstar
AExcelsior0 - 2GA Eagles
HExcelsior1 - 0Fortuna
AExcelsior1 - 2Heerenveen
HExcelsior1 - 2PSV
AExcelsior2 - 1FC Volendam
HExcelsior0 - 1S.Rotterdam
HExcelsior1 - 0Twente
AExcelsior1 - 4Utrecht
HExcelsior1 - 2Feyenoord
AExcelsior0 - 5NEC
AExcelsior0 - 4Feyenoord
HExcelsior4 - 0Heracles
HExcelsior0 - 3NEC
AExcelsior2 - 2Ajax
HExcelsior4 - 0FC Volendam
AExcelsior1 - 2PEC Zwolle
HExcelsior0 - 2PSV
AExcelsior0 - 3GA Eagles
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
12
Ajax have not lost to Excelsior in 12 consecutive league meetings
League games at Ajax since 2016
Ajax
Excelsior
Goals: Scored
22
6
Games: Scored
6 / 6
4 / 6
Clean sheets
2 / 6
0 / 6
AJA
5
D
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Ajax
Draw2 - 2Draw
Ajax7 - 1
Ajax6 - 2
Ajax3 - 1
Ajax1 - 0
Ajax3 - 0
League games at Excelsior since 2015
Excelsior
Ajax
Goals: Scored
6
18
Games: Scored
5 / 6
6 / 6
Clean sheets
0 / 6
1 / 6
AJA
4
D
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Excelsior
Draw2 - 2Draw
1 - 4Ajax
1 - 7Ajax
1 - 2Ajax
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 2Ajax
Goal Statistics

Excelsior have been abject at the back of late, conceding 2 or more goals in 3 consecutive Eredivisie games. This run could continue, with Ajax's PG an impressive 2.3.

Ajax 4th Excelsior 16th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.3
goals
0.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
10%
1
23%
2
26%
3
20%
4+
20%
There is a 67% probability that Ajax will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
39%
1
37%
2
17%
3
4+
There is a 76% probability of Excelsior scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-13
Ajax have scored 13% fewer goals at home than predicted
-10
Excelsior’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.0
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
2.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Eredivisie - 2025/2026 season
Ajax
PG (predicted goals)
Excelsior
2.3
0.9
Attack rating
32%
better
AJA
EXC
view stats
Games scored11
9
Failed to score1
3
Scored first7
7
Goals scored22
11
Avg. goals scored1.8
0.9
Avg. shots per game11
9
Avg. shots per goal6
9
Conversion rate for17
11
Avg. XG for1.6
1.5
KickOff rating
+32%
Defence rating
10%
better
AJA
EXC
view stats
Games conceded10
10
Clean sheets2
2
Conceded first5
5
Goals conceded17
23
Avg. goals conceded1.4
1.9
Avg. shots/game conceded9
12
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
6
Conversion rate against15%
16%
Avg. XG against1.5
2
KickOff rating
+10%

Ajax v Excelsior Eredivisie lLine ups will show here when available.

Ajax Eredivisie squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
12643
K TaylorW WeghorstM GodtsK Taylor
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
O Gloukh MID1242
2
-
D Klaassen MID1221
1
-
K Taylor MID1223
3
-
Y Baas  DEF111
1
-
W Weghorst FWD1161
3
-
R Moro FWD111
1
-
M Godts FWD1054
1
-
V Jaroš GLK9
-
L Rosa DEF9
1
-
J Sutalo DEF9
-
A Gaaei DEF91
1
-
O Wijndal DEF9
2
-
O Edvardsen FWD9
2
-
Y Regeer MID81
2
-
J. Mokio MID8
-
S Berghuis  FWD812
-
K Itakura DEF71
1
-
K Fitz-Jim MID6
2
-
J. McConnell MID4
-
R Pasveer GLK3
-
R. Bounida FWD3
-
G. Alders DEF2
-
K Dolberg FWD2
-
D. Christoffel Annum-Assamoah Konadu FWD2
-
A. Bouwman DEF1
-
Excelsior Eredivisie squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
12223
C WidellG RegtI YegoianI Bronkhorst
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Meissen DEF121
1
-
I Bronkhorst DEF12
3
-
C Widell DEF12
1
-
A Carlén MID121
3
-
G Regt FWD1221
2
-
D Fernandes FWD1211
-
M Duinen FWD111
1
-
S Gassel GLK10
-
A Zagre DEF101
2
1
I Yegoian MID1012
-
S Wlodarczyk FWD102
-
N Naujoks MID91
1
-
S Mitrovic FWD7
-
J. Armantrading FWD6
1
-
L Schouten DEF51
-
S. Hendrikx DEF5
1
N. Martens DEF51
-
S. Middendorp MID5
-
C. Nadje MID5
1
-
D. Yun FWD51
-
Z. Booth FWD3
-
C Raatsie GLK2
-
S Janssen DEF2
-
M Tielemans MID2
-
T. Holla GLK1
-
N. Groen FWD1
-