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Ajax v Fortuna Sittard : Eredivisie match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 14th Feb, 19:00 BST, Johan Cruijff Arena, Amsterdam

It's an away match for Danny Buijs's Fortuna Sittard side on Saturday evening, as they travel to the Johan Cruijff Arena for a Eredivisie showdown with Fred Grim's Ajax. We have custom-designed stats for all of the main betting markets, from both teams to score to double chance, including form and historical head to head (H2H) data. Predictions are calculated from these, and the odds come directly from the UK's biggest bookmakers.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Eredivisie Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We do not expect to see a a bore-draw or a sneaky 1-0 win here, and instead we're predicting over 1.5 goals. That means that Ajax and Fortuna will score a minimum of two between them during 90 minutes. This is based on each side's recent form stats, as well as past records of their head-to-head clashes. We give it a probability of 81%. Bookmakers have it available at 1.14.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Ajax are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 59% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.40.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Ajax
59%
4/11
6%
2/5
3%
Draw
21%
15/4
13%
17/4
9%
Fortuna
19%
7/1
23%
6/1
Draw 1-1
10%
17/2
6%
8/1
6%
Ajax 2-1
10%
15/213/2
Ajax 1-0
10%
8/1
5%
13/2
6%
Ajax 2-0
10%
13/2
6%
6/1
7%
Ajax 3-1
7%
10/117/2
Ajax 3-0
6%
17/2
5%
15/2
6%
Fortuna 2-1
5%
22/1
10%
16/1
Draw 2-2
5%
16/1
13%
14/1
15%
Fortuna 1-0
5%
22/116/1
Draw 0-0
5%
16/114/1
15%
Ajax 3-2
3%
20/116/1
Ajax 4-1
3%
16/114/1
Ajax 4-0
3%
14/1
12%
12/1
Fortuna 2-0
3%
40/125/1
Fortuna 3-1
2%
50/133/1
Over 2.5 Goals
58%
8/15
2%
1/2
Under 2.5 Goals
42%
7/5
4%
7/5
2%
Home 1st Goal
56%
4/11
3%
1/3
2%
Away 1st Goal
42%
21/10
3%
12/5
3%
No 1st Goal
3%
16/112/1
BTTS - Yes
56%
3/4
3%
4/5
6%
BTTS - No
44%
1/1
2%
19/20
5%
BTTS - Home Win
29%
7/49/5
4%
BTTS - Draw
17%
5/1
9%
19/4
5%
BTTS - Away Win
10%
12/1
18%
9/1
5%
Home/draw
81%
1/12
3%
1/10
Away/draw
41%
2/1
14%
19/10
5%
Home/away
79%
2/11
3%
1/6
1%
Over 1.5 Goals
80%
1/71/6
2%
Under 1.5 Goals
20%
9/219/5
Over 3.5 Goals
36%
5/4
2%
5/4
2%
Under 3.5 Goals
64%
4/7
3%
4/7
2%
Over 4.5 Goals
19%
3/1
7%
14/5
3%
Under 4.5 Goals
81%
2/9
2%
2/9
2%
Over 5.5 Goals
9%
7/1
14%
6/1
8%
Under 5.5 Goals
91%
1/12
2%
1/12
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/401/66
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
16/114/1
15%
Home DNB
74%
1/9
2%
1/8
2%
Away DNB
34%
11/2
8%
17/4
5%
Ajax win to nil
31%
6/4
5%
-
Fortuna win to nil
9%
14/1-
Ajax / Ajax
42%
20/21
3%
19/20
3%
Ajax / Fortuna
2%
40/133/1
Ajax / Draw
5%
16/1
13%
14/1
15%
Draw / Ajax
19%
10/310/3
2%
Draw / Fortuna
5%
16/1
13%
12/1
Draw / Draw
10%
7/113/2
7%
Fortuna / Ajax
5%
18/1
12%
16/1
Fortuna / Fortuna
7%
12/1
8%
17/2
Fortuna / Draw
5%
18/1
12%
14/1
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Win / draw / win Eredivisie table

Ajax have played 22 matches so far this season and lay in 4th place in the Eredivisie league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 19 games against teams below in the table, having won 9, drawn 7 and lost 3 matches. They have kept 4 clean sheets and have failed to score in 1 fixture. Ajax have outscored their opponents by 42 goals to 33 goals.

Home League Performance

Ajax have played 11 games at home winning 7, drawing 2 and losing 2 games. They have scored 19 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and conceded 9 goals at home.

Fortuna are in 9th position in the Eredivisie on 26 points having played 22 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

7 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 21 goals and kept no clean sheets. They have scored 14 goals in total and failed to score in 3 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

11 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 6 games, drawn 2 and won 3. Fortuna have conceded 26 goals, scored 19, failed to score in 1 fixture and have kept no clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Ajax
Fortuna
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
PSV2219214059 
May 2
d
 
2-2A
l
 
1-2A
l
 
5-2A
2
Feyenoord2213362042 
w
 
2-0F
Mar 22
May 3
l
 
2-0A
3
NEC2112542141 
Feb 21
d
 
2-2A
w
 
3-2F
Feb 28
4
Ajax2210931339 
-
-
l
 
1-3F
Feb 14
5
S.Rotterdam221138-736 
Mar 14
d
 
3-3F
d
 
2-2F
d
 
1-1A
6
Twente2281041234 
Apr 4
w
 
2-3A
Mar 21
l
 
3-2A
7
AZ Alkmaar22967133 
l
 
0-2A
d
 
1-1A
w
 
4-3F
Apr 4
8
Groningen22949131 
w
 
2-0F
Mar 7
l
 
1-2A
w
 
1-2A
9
Fortuna227510-526 
Feb 14
w
 
1-3A
-
-
10
Excelsior227510-1326 
l
 
1-2A
d
 
2-2F
Feb 20
l
 
1-0A
11
PEC Zwolle227510-1426 
w
 
3-1F
Mar 1
May 10
l
 
1-0A
12
Heerenveen21678-425 
d
 
1-1F
May 17
w
 
2-0F
Apr 25
13
Utrecht21669224 
May 10
l
 
2-1A
w
 
1-0F
May 17
14
GA Eagles214116-323 
d
 
2-2F
d
 
2-2F
d
 
2-2A
d
 
2-2F
15
FC Volendam225611-1321 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
1-1A
w
 
1-0F
Mar 14
16
Telstar223811-1217 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
2-3F
Mar 8
w
 
1-3F
17
Heracles225215-2617 
w
 
2-0F
Apr 11
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-1A
18
NAC223712-1316 
w
 
2-1F
Apr 25
Apr 12
l
 
2-1A
UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
UEFA Europa League Qualifiers
UEFA Conference League Qualifiers Play Off
Relegation Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Ajax 4TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
13
D
4
L
3
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Ajax2 - 0FC Volendam
Ajax2 - 2GA Eagles
Ajax2 - 0Feyenoord
Ajax2 - 0Groningen
Ajax1 - 2Excelsior
Ajax1 - 1Heerenveen
Ajax0 - 2AZ Alkmaar
Ajax2 - 1NAC
Ajax3 - 1PEC Zwolle
Ajax2 - 0Heracles
Ajax2 - 0Telstar
Ajax2 - 0Twente
Ajax0 - 3NEC
Ajax1 - 1S.Rotterdam
Ajax3 - 1NAC
Ajax2 - 2AZ Alkmaar
Ajax2 - 0GA Eagles
Ajax4 - 0Heracles
Ajax2 - 1Feyenoord
Ajax2 - 1Waalwijk
Goals: Scored
38
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
9
Draw
8
L
3
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AAjax1 - 1AZ Alkmaar
AAjax2 - 2Excelsior
HAjax2 - 0FC Volendam
HAjax2 - 2GA Eagles
AAjax3 - 2Telstar
AAjax2 - 2NEC
HAjax2 - 0Feyenoord
AAjax3 - 1Fortuna
HAjax2 - 0Groningen
HAjax1 - 2Excelsior
AAjax1 - 2Utrecht
HAjax1 - 1Heerenveen
AAjax3 - 2Twente
HAjax0 - 2AZ Alkmaar
AAjax3 - 3S.Rotterdam
HAjax2 - 1NAC
AAjax2 - 2PSV
HAjax3 - 1PEC Zwolle
AAjax1 - 1FC Volendam
HAjax2 - 0Heracles
Fortuna 9TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
38
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
20 / 20
Clean sheets
0 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
W
4
Draw
5
Lost
11
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Heracles2 - 1Fortuna
Groningen1 - 2Fortuna
GA Eagles2 - 2Fortuna
PEC Zwolle1 - 0Fortuna
S.Rotterdam1 - 1Fortuna
PSV5 - 2Fortuna
Excelsior1 - 0Fortuna
Twente3 - 2Fortuna
Feyenoord2 - 0Fortuna
Telstar1 - 3Fortuna
NAC2 - 1Fortuna
Almere City1 - 1Fortuna
PSV4 - 1Fortuna
Twente1 - 1Fortuna
Groningen1 - 0Fortuna
Waalwijk1 - 2Fortuna
AZ Alkmaar1 - 0Fortuna
Heerenveen2 - 2Fortuna
NEC4 - 1Fortuna
Utrecht2 - 5Fortuna
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
7
D
4
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HFortuna2 - 2S.Rotterdam
AFortuna1 - 2Heracles
AFortuna2 - 1Groningen
HFortuna1 - 2PSV
AFortuna2 - 2GA Eagles
HFortuna4 - 3AZ Alkmaar
AFortuna0 - 1PEC Zwolle
HFortuna1 - 3Ajax
HFortuna1 - 1Heracles
AFortuna1 - 1S.Rotterdam
HFortuna2 - 0Heerenveen
AFortuna2 - 5PSV
HFortuna1 - 2Groningen
AFortuna0 - 1Excelsior
HFortuna1 - 0FC Volendam
AFortuna2 - 3Twente
HFortuna1 - 0Utrecht
AFortuna0 - 2Feyenoord
AFortuna3 - 1Telstar
HFortuna3 - 2NEC
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Ajax have beaten Fortuna in 3 consecutive league meetings
14
Ajax have not lost to Fortuna in 14 consecutive league meetings
League games at Ajax since 2019
Ajax
Fortuna
Goals: Scored
30
4
Games: Scored
7 / 7
2 / 7
Clean sheets
5 / 7
0 / 7
AJA
6
D
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Ajax
Ajax5 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
Ajax4 - 0
Ajax5 - 0
Ajax5 - 2
Ajax5 - 0
Ajax4 - 0
League games at Fortuna since 2018
Fortuna
Ajax
Goals: Scored
4
17
Games: Scored
3 / 7
6 / 7
Clean sheets
1 / 7
4 / 7
AJA
6
D
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Fortuna
1 - 3Ajax
0 - 2Ajax
Draw0 - 0Draw
2 - 3Ajax
0 - 5Ajax
1 - 2Ajax
0 - 2Ajax
Goal Statistics

Ajax's forwards have been in fine form of late, finding the net twice or more in 8 consecutive Eredivisie games. A PG of 2.0 suggests that run should continue on Saturday evening.

Ajax 4th Fortuna 9th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.0
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
14%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4+
14%
There is a 86% probability that Ajax will score 1 or more goals
0
36%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 73% probability that Fortuna will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-16
Ajax have scored 16% fewer goals at home than predicted
+11
Fortuna have scored 11% more goals when away than predicted
1.9
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Eredivisie - 2025/2026 season
Ajax
PG (predicted goals)
Fortuna
2
1
Attack rating
21%
better
AJA
FOR
view stats
Games scored21
19
Failed to score1
3
Scored first13
10
Goals scored42
33
Avg. goals scored1.9
1.5
Avg. shots per game11
9
Avg. shots per goal6
6
Conversion rate for17
16
Avg. XG for1.7
1.4
KickOff rating
+21%
Defence rating
21%
better
AJA
FOR
view stats
Games conceded17
19
Clean sheets5
3
Conceded first9
12
Goals conceded29
38
Avg. goals conceded1.3
1.7
Avg. shots/game conceded9
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
6
Conversion rate against14%
16%
Avg. XG against1.3
1.8
KickOff rating
+21%

Ajax v Fortuna Eredivisie lLine ups will show here when available.

Ajax Eredivisie squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
191074
Y Baas M GodtsM GodtsY Regeer
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Klaassen MID2242
1
-
O Gloukh MID2155
2
-
M Godts FWD20107
2
-
Y Baas  DEF1941
2
1
V Jaroš GLK18
1
-
A Gaaei DEF183
2
-
Y Regeer MID182
4
-
W Weghorst FWD1761
4
-
L Rosa DEF16
2
-
K Taylor MID1524
3
-
J. Mokio MID151
-
O Wijndal DEF141
3
-
K Itakura DEF141
1
-
R Moro FWD141
1
-
O Edvardsen FWD141
2
-
J Sutalo DEF13
1
-
R. Bounida MID124
2
-
K Dolberg FWD1231
1
-
K Fitz-Jim MID111
2
-
S. Steur MID8
-
S Berghuis  FWD812
-
A. Bouwman DEF61
2
-
D. Christoffel Annum-Assamoah Konadu FWD5
-
R Pasveer GLK4
-
J. McConnell MID4
-
G. Alders DEF3
-
Fortuna Eredivisie squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
21868
M BranderhorstK SierhuisM IhattarenJ. Hubner
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
I Márquez DEF22
3
-
D Limnios  FWD223
1
-
K Peterson FWD2222
1
-
M Branderhorst GLK21
3
-
P. Brittijn MID2131
5
-
P Gladon FWD2142
1
-
S Adewoye DEF20
5
-
I Pinto DEF205
2
-
M Ihattaren MID1946
3
-
K Sierhuis FWD198
3
-
R Fosso MID171
4
-
J. Hubner DEF1511
7
1
J Dahlhaus DEF151
3
-
J Lonwijk MID154
1
-
Édouard Michut MID14
3
-
M. Aiko FWD1322
2
-
L. Tunjic MID122
1
-
S Ottele DEF8
2
-
H Mendes DEF6
-
S Bastien MID5
-
M. Kerkez DEF3
-
A Halilovic MID31
-
T. Schenkhuizen MID2
-
L Koopmans GLK1
-