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Ajax v Heracles Almelo : Eredivisie match betting preview, prediction and odds

Amsterdam ArenA, Amsterdam

Erwin van de Looi pays counterpart Francesco Farioli a visit on Sunday afternoon in the Eredivisie, as their Heracles Almelo and Ajax sides face each other at the Amsterdam ArenA. Stats power the predictions below for seventeen markets, and switching between them shows bespoke analysis, including head-to-head, form and a whole lot more besides. Odds are also provided. Click on the tabs below to see it all.

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Ajax's next match is v Union SG at 20:00 on Thursday 20th February
Heracles Almelo's next match is v PEC Zwolle at 13:30 on Sunday 2nd March
The last Dutch Eredivisie meeting between Ajax and Heracles was on Sunday 16th February 2025
Dutch Eredivisie
February 16th 2025
Ajax 4
0 Heracles
 
M. Godts 17'
B. Brobbey 42'
O. Edvardsen 56'
D. Klaassen 66'
 
AJA
HER
Shots On
6
4
Shots Off
4
2
Corners
5
4
Possession
56%
44%
Fouls
13
14
 
AjaxHeracles
 
R. Pasveer
J. Hato
J. Šutalo
D. Janse
A. Gaaei
K. Fitz-Jim (J. Mokio 68')
D. Klaassenfootball icon
B. Traoré (C. Kjelder Rasmussen 68')
M. Godtsfootball icon (O. Edvardsen 46')
B. Brobbeyfootball icon (R. Bounida 77')
S. Berghuis (S. Steur 83')
F. de Keijzer
(J. Hoogma 75') I. Mesík
M. Rots
D. Mirani
(M. Benita 64') J. Wieckhoff
(D. van Kaam 64') T. Bruns
B. De Keersmaecker
S. Scheperman
L. Kulenović
J. Talvitie
(B. Limbombe 74') S. Podgoreanu

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Eredivisie Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Ajax to win

We are predicting Ajax will be victorious come the end of the 90 minutes on Sunday in the win / draw / win market. The latest form statistics and historical head-to-head (H2H) data below all that they're well placed to do just that and, as favourites with the bookies, the odds back that up too. Expect jubilant celebrations among the home fans when that final whistle blows at Johan Cruijff Arena.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Ajax are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 71% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.22.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Ajax
71%
1/3
17%
1/3
11%
Draw
17%
19/4
23%
9/2
27%
Heracles
11%
15/2
16%
15/2
29%
Ajax 2-0
12%
13/26/1
Ajax 1-0
10%
17/2
18%
7/1
11%
Ajax 2-1
10%
8/1
18%
13/2
12%
Ajax 3-0
9%
8/1
20%
15/2
13%
Draw 1-1
8%
10/1
27%
17/2
21%
Ajax 3-1
7%
10/1
10%
17/2
6%
Ajax 4-0
5%
12/1
50%
11/1
26%
Draw 0-0
4%
18/1
27%
14/1
21%
Ajax 4-1
4%
16/1
31%
12/1
8%
Draw 2-2
4%
20/1
19%
14/1
21%
Heracles 1-0
4%
22/1
32%
18/1
17%
Heracles 2-1
3%
20/1
28%
18/1
17%
Ajax 3-2
3%
22/1
12%
16/1
Ajax 5-0
2%
25/1
53%
18/1
27%
Ajax 5-1
2%
28/1
38%
20/1
24%
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
19/40
11%
10/21
10%
Under 2.5 Goals
40%
8/5
24%
6/4
17%
Home 1st Goal
60%
2/9
4%
-
Away 1st Goal
37%
3/1
16%
-
No 1st Goal
3%
18/1
27%
-
BTTS - Yes
50%
4/5
8%
4/5
3%
BTTS - No
50%
19/20
8%
19/20
5%
BTTS - Home Win
31%
7/4
10%
13/8
7%
BTTS - Draw
13%
6/1
26%
11/2
24%
BTTS - Away Win
6%
12/1
20%
11/1
29%
Home/draw
89%
1/12
2%
1/12
4%
Away/draw
29%
9/4
35%
9/4
28%
Home/away
83%
1/7
6%
2/13
6%
Over 1.5 Goals
82%
1/7
4%
2/13
5%
Under 1.5 Goals
18%
9/2
21%
4/1
17%
Over 3.5 Goals
38%
6/5
20%
6/5
15%
Under 3.5 Goals
62%
8/13
11%
8/13
11%
Over 4.5 Goals
20%
11/4
36%
13/5
24%
Under 4.5 Goals
79%
1/4
11%
1/4
8%
Over 5.5 Goals
10%
6/1
40%
11/2
30%
Under 5.5 Goals
90%
1/10
6%
1/10
4%
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1/50
1%
1/80
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
18/1
27%
14/1
21%
Home DNB
84%
1/9
4%
1/10
4%
Away DNB
23%
11/2
28%
11/2
32%
Ajax win to nil
41%
5/4
19%
-
Heracles win to nil
5%
14/1
29%
-
Ajax / Ajax
43%
10/11
22%
10/11
16%
Ajax / Heracles
2%
40/145/1
18%
Ajax / Draw
5%
18/1
26%
16/1
19%
Draw / Ajax
20%
3/13/1
Draw / Heracles
5%
16/1
26%
14/1
29%
Draw / Draw
10%
15/2
29%
7/1
27%
Heracles / Ajax
5%
16/116/1
Heracles / Heracles
6%
14/1
42%
12/1
24%
Heracles / Draw
4%
20/1
27%
18/1
17%
Win / draw / win Eredivisie table

Ajax have played 21 matches so far this season and lay in 2nd place in the Eredivisie league table. Ajax are unbeaten at home after 10 games and have kept 5 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 20 games against teams below in the table, having won 15, drawn 3 and lost 2 matches. They have kept 10 clean sheets and have scored in every game. Ajax have outscored their opponents by 45 goals to 28 goals.

Home League Performance

Ajax have played 10 games at home winning 9, drawing 1 and losing 0 games. They have scored 24 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and conceded 7 goals at home.

Heracles are in 15th position in the Eredivisie on 24 points having played 22 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

6 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 21 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 8 goals in total and failed to score in 5 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

17 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 8 games, drawn 5 and won 4. Heracles have conceded 36 goals, scored 23, failed to score in 4 fixtures and have kept 1 clean sheet.

Won
Draw
Lost
Ajax
Heracles
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Ajax Home2217323154 
-
-
l
 
3-4F
l
 
4-0A
2
PSV2316434552 
w
 
3-2A
Mar 30
l
 
1-3F
May 14
3
Utrecht231274643 
d
 
2-2A
Apr 20
d
 
1-1F
l
 
1-0A
4
Feyenoord2211742040 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-2F
May 3
l
 
5-2A
5
AZ Alkmaar2212461740 
Mar 16
l
 
2-1A
Apr 13
l
 
1-0A
6
Twente2211651639 
May 18
d
 
2-2A
Mar 30
l
 
5-0A
7
GA Eagles221057635 
Feb 23
d
 
1-1A
w
 
4-2A
l
 
4-1F
8
Groningen237610-1027 
w
 
3-1F
May 14
d
 
1-1F
Apr 23
9
Heerenveen237610-1527 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-2F
w
 
2-1F
Mar 15
10
NAC238312-1527 
Apr 6
l
 
2-1A
w
 
2-0F
d
 
1-1A
11
Fortuna227510-1126 
w
 
5-0F
w
 
0-2F
d
 
2-2F
Mar 8
12
NEC227411225 
May 11
w
 
1-2A
May 18
w
 
1-2F
13
PEC Zwolle236710-825 
w
 
2-0F
Mar 9
Mar 2
l
 
3-0A
14
Willem II236611-824 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 13
d
 
1-1F
May 9
15
Heracles Away23599-1524 
w
 
4-0F
w
 
3-4A
-
-
16
S.Rotterdam234811-1420 
Apr 27
w
 
0-2F
d
 
1-1A
d
 
0-00-0
17
Waalwijk234514-1617 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-2F
d
 
2-2F
Apr 6
18
Almere City223514-3114 
w
 
3-0F
Mar 2
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-2F
UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
UEFA Europa League Qualifiers
UEFA Conference League Qualifiers Play Off
Relegation Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
6
Ajax have won 6 consecutive league games
24
Ajax have not lost in 24 consecutive home league games
6
Heracles have not lost in 6 consecutive league games
Ajax 1ST
20 league games
Home
24
Overall
6
Goals: Scored
45
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
13
Draw
7
Goals: Scored
44
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
15
D
3
L
2
Heracles 15TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
6
Goals: Scored
14
Conceded
42
Games: Scored
9 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
11 / 20
W
4
D
2
Lost
14
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
36
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
5
Draw
8
Lost
7
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
4
Ajax have beaten Heracles in 4 consecutive league meetings
8
Ajax have not lost to Heracles in 8 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Ajax since 2016
Ajax
Heracles
Goals: Scored
22
4
Games: Scored
7 / 8
4 / 8
Clean sheets
4 / 8
1 / 8
AJA
6
D
2
League games at Heracles since 2015
Heracles
Ajax
Goals: Scored
9
15
Games: Scored
5 / 9
6 / 9
Clean sheets
3 / 9
4 / 9
AJA
5
D
1
HER
3
Goal Statistics

Ajax's forwards have been in fine form of late, finding the net twice or more in 6 consecutive Eredivisie matches. A PG of 2.3 suggests that run should continue on Sunday afternoon.

Ajax 1st Heracles 15th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.3
goals
0.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
10%
1
23%
2
26%
3
20%
4+
20%
There is a 67% probability that Ajax will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
45%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4+
There is a 81% probability of Heracles scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+3
Ajax’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-35
Heracles have scored 35% fewer goals when away than predicted
2.3
average goals scored
0.7
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
2.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Eredivisie - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/278835/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Ajax
PG (predicted goals)
Heracles
2.3
0.8
Attack rating
35%
better
AJA
HER
view stats
Games scored21
16
Failed to score0
6
Scored first13
12
Goals scored45
28
Avg. goals scored2.1
1.3
Avg. shots per game10
9
Avg. shots per goal5
7
Conversion rate for21
14
Avg. XG for1.9
1.2
KickOff rating
+35%
Defence rating
35%
better
AJA
HER
view stats
Games conceded11
18
Clean sheets10
4
Conceded first8
8
Goals conceded18
39
Avg. goals conceded0.9
1.8
Avg. shots/game conceded8
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded9
6
Conversion rate against11%
16%
Avg. XG against0.9
2
KickOff rating
+35%

Ajax v Heracles Eredivisie lLine ups will show here when available.

Ajax Eredivisie squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
21875
R PasveerO EdvardsenJ HatoJ Hato
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Pasveer GLK211
-
A Gaaei DEF1613
3
-
J Sutalo DEF192
3
-
D. Janse DEF3
-
J Hato DEF1927
5
-
D Klaassen MID2072
-
K Fitz-Jim MID192
2
-
B Traoré MID2153
-
S Berghuis  MID1413
1
-
M Godts MID1741
1
-
B Brobbey FWD2033
4
-
Subs
J Gorter GLK
-
Matheus GLK
-
L Rosa DEF
-
D Rugani DEF9
-
J. Mokio DEF2
-
N. Verschuren DEF
-
P. Ugwu DEF
-
S. Steur MID1
-
R. Bounida MID1
-
O Edvardsen FWD21
1
-
C Rasmussen  FWD91
1
-
D. Christoffel Annum-Assamoah Konadu FWD
-
Heracles Eredivisie squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
22825
F KeijzerL. KulenovićJ WieckhoffS Scheperman
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
F Keijzer GLK221
1
-
J Wieckhoff DEF92
1
-
D Mirani DEF222
2
-
I Mesík DEF22
3
-
M Rots DEF51
-
S Scheperman MID131
5
-
B Keersmaecker MID1942
2
1
J. Talvitie MID192
1
-
T Bruns MID1211
1
-
S Podgoreanu MID2111
2
-
L. Kulenović FWD1682
-
Subs
T Jansink GLK
-
J. te Fruchte GLK
-
K Leerdam DEF
-
J Hoogma DEF82
-
L Milani DEF6
2
-
S. Bultman DEF
-
M Benita DEF181
2
-
J Bruijn MID8
-
D Kaam MID192
2
-
B Limbombe FWD10
-
D. van Oorschot FWD1
-