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Ajax v RKC Waalwijk : Eredivisie match betting preview, prediction and odds

Johan Cruijff Arena, Amsterdam

We’ve Eredivisie action to look forward to on Saturday evening, as Francesco Farioli and his Ajax side host Henk Fraser’s RKC Waalwijk at the Amsterdam ArenA. You'll see stats supporting our top of Ajax to win below, but be sure to take a look at the 16 other betting markets we're covering too. We aim to deliver as full a picture as possible, with Eredivisie performances and head to heads (H2Hs) included, so that you feel able to make a well-informed bet. Finally, be sure to get the best odds and bet smart.

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Ajax's next match is v Heerenveen at 13:30 on Sunday 19th January
RKC Waalwijk's next match is v S.Rotterdam at 19:00 on Sunday 19th January
The last Dutch Eredivisie meeting between Ajax and Waalwijk was on Saturday 11th January 2025
Dutch Eredivisie
January 11th 2025
Ajax 2
1 Waalwijk
 
S. Berghuis 4'86' M. Ihattaren
K. Taylor 41'
 
AJA
WAA
Shots On
4
3
Shots Off
7
2
Corners
9
1
Possession
60%
40%
Fouls
7
17
Yellow/red cards
1/0
 
AjaxWaalwijk
 
R. Pasveer
D. Rugani
D. Rensch
J. Hato (O. Wijndal 46')
Y. Baas
K. Taylorfootball icon (K. Fitz-Jim 57')
J. Henderson (B. van den Boomen 68')
D. Klaassen
M. Godts (C. Akpom 75')
B. Brobbey (W. Weghorst 57')
S. Berghuisfootball icon
J. Kesting
L. Wouters
F. Al Mazyani
(J. Lelieveld 46') A. Meijers
L. van Gelderen
(T. van de Loo 82') G. Roemeratoe
Y. Oukili
football iconM. Ihattaren
(D. Cleonise 46') S. van der Water
(A. Jakobsen 68') R. Margaret
(O. Zawada 53') M. Kramer

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Eredivisie Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Ajax to win

It looks like we could well have a dominant side in this fixture, and it's Ajax. Their recent form stats show they're capable at home, and historical head-to-head (H2H) data proves they can get the job done against Waalwijk too. The odds point towards Francesco Farioli's side claiming victory in the win / draw / win market, and that's our strong prediction for Saturday evening too.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Ajax are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 79% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.12.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Ajax
79%
1/8
4%
2/15
1%
Draw
13%
9/1
25%
17/2
5%
Waalwijk
8%
14/1
15%
16/1
Ajax 2-0
10%
7/113/2
Ajax 3-0
10%
13/26/1
Ajax 2-1
8%
11/1
9%
17/2
Ajax 3-1
8%
10/1
10%
8/1
5%
Ajax 4-0
7%
8/1
10%
15/2
6%
Ajax 1-0
7%
12/1
18%
9/1
Ajax 4-1
6%
12/110/1
Draw 1-1
6%
18/1
27%
14/1
Ajax 5-0
4%
12/1
13%
10/1
Draw 2-2
3%
28/1
12%
22/1
Ajax 5-1
3%
18/1
10%
14/1
Ajax 3-2
3%
25/118/1
Draw 0-0
2%
33/1
31%
22/1
12%
Ajax 4-2
2%
28/122/1
Waalwijk 2-1
2%
40/1
21%
28/1
Over 2.5 Goals
72%
1/4
6%
1/4
Under 2.5 Goals
28%
3/1
18%
5/2
3%
Home 1st Goal
62%
1/6-
Away 1st Goal
37%
4/1
5%
-
No 1st Goal
1%
33/1
31%
-
BTTS - Yes
53%
19/2019/20
3%
BTTS - No
47%
4/54/5
3%
BTTS - Home Win
38%
11/8
5%
11/8
BTTS - Draw
10%
10/1
22%
9/1
BTTS - Away Win
5%
20/118/1
Home/draw
92%
1/33
1%
1/66
Away/draw
21%
5/1
20%
5/1
Home/away
87%
1/16
2%
1/18
1%
Over 1.5 Goals
88%
1/14
1%
1/14
Under 1.5 Goals
12%
8/1
13%
13/2
Over 3.5 Goals
51%
4/6
7%
7/10
2%
Under 3.5 Goals
49%
11/10
10%
21/20
2%
Over 4.5 Goals
31%
6/4
9%
6/4
2%
Under 4.5 Goals
68%
1/2
7%
10/21
1%
Over 5.5 Goals
17%
3/1
20%
3/1
Under 5.5 Goals
83%
2/9
4%
2/9
Over 0.5 Goals
97%
1/200
1%
1/1000
Under 0.5 Goals
2%
33/1
31%
22/1
12%
Home DNB
88%
1/25
1%
1/50
Away DNB
17%
12/1
18%
12/1
Ajax win to nil
41%
10/11
5%
-
Waalwijk win to nil
3%
25/1
13%
-
Ajax / Ajax
56%
4/9
8%
10/21
3%
Ajax / Waalwijk
1%
66/1
31%
50/1
Ajax / Draw
3%
25/1
13%
22/1
Draw / Ajax
20%
3/116/5
3%
Draw / Waalwijk
3%
33/1
17%
25/1
Draw / Draw
6%
14/1
25%
11/1
8%
Waalwijk / Ajax
5%
16/116/1
Waalwijk / Waalwijk
3%
33/1
31%
20/1
11%
Waalwijk / Draw
3%
28/1
12%
22/1
Win / draw / win Eredivisie table

Ajax have played 17 matches so far this season and lay in 2nd place in the Eredivisie league table. Ajax are unbeaten at home after 8 games and have kept 5 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 16 games against teams below in the table, having won 11, drawn 3 and lost 2 matches. They have kept 8 clean sheets and have scored in every game. Ajax have outscored their opponents by 37 goals to 18 goals.

Home League Performance

Ajax have played 8 games at home winning 7, drawing 1 and losing 0 games. They have scored 20 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and conceded 5 goals at home.

Waalwijk are in 18th position in the Eredivisie on 7 points having played 17 matches so far this season. Waalwijk are having a poor run against away teams, having not won a match so far this season. They have also not scored in 2 of those games.

Away League Performance

6 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 23 goals and kept no clean sheets. They have scored 9 goals in total and failed to score in 2 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

17 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 12 games, drawn 4 and won 1. Waalwijk have conceded 41 goals, scored 18, failed to score in 5 fixtures and have kept 1 clean sheet.

Won
Draw
Lost
Ajax
Waalwijk
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
PSV1815124646 
w
 
3-2A
Mar 30
Mar 15
l
 
5-1A
2
Ajax Home1813322242 
-
-
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-1A
3
Utrecht181233739 
d
 
2-2A
-
Apr 25
l
 
3-2F
4
Feyenoord1810531835 
Feb 2
w
 
0-2F
l
 
2-3F
May 14
5
Twente1810441534 
May 18
d
 
2-2A
d
 
2-2A
Feb 16
6
AZ Alkmaar1810351433 
Mar 16
l
 
2-1A
l
 
0-3A
Mar 9
7
GA Eagles18846628 
Feb 23
d
 
1-1A
May 18
l
 
2-0A
8
Fortuna18747-325 
w
 
5-0F
Feb 9
Feb 28
l
 
3-2A
9
Heerenveen18738-1224 
w
 
1-0F
Jan 19
May 10
d
 
1-1A
10
Willem II18648-222 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 13
Jan 26
l
 
3-0A
11
NAC187110-1022 
Apr 6
l
 
2-1A
Feb 9
l
 
4-1A
12
NEC186210020 
May 11
w
 
1-2A
l
 
0-3A
Apr 11
13
PEC Zwolle18459-1117 
w
 
2-0F
Mar 9
d
 
1-1F
Mar 29
14
Groningen17458-1217 
w
 
3-1F
May 14
l
 
1-2A
May 3
15
Heracles17368-1515 
Feb 16
w
 
3-4A
Apr 6
d
 
2-2A
16
S.Rotterdam18279-1213 
Apr 27
w
 
0-2F
l
 
1-2A
Jan 19
17
Almere City182412-2710 
w
 
3-0F
Mar 2
w
 
2-0F
Feb 2
18
Waalwijk Away181413-247 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-2F
-
-
UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
UEFA Europa League Qualifiers
UEFA Conference League Qualifiers Play Off
Relegation Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Ajax 2ND
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
48
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
13
Draw
7
Goals: Scored
46
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
14
D
4
L
2
Waalwijk 18TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
45
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
W
2
D
4
Lost
14
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
45
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
W
2
Draw
5
Lost
13
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
11
Ajax have beaten Waalwijk in 11 consecutive league meetings
11
Ajax have not lost to Waalwijk in 11 consecutive league meetings
League games at Ajax since 2020
Ajax
Waalwijk
Goals: Scored
16
4
Games: Scored
5 / 5
3 / 5
Clean sheets
2 / 5
0 / 5
AJA
5
League games at Waalwijk since 2019
Waalwijk
Ajax
Goals: Scored
4
17
Games: Scored
3 / 6
6 / 6
Clean sheets
0 / 6
3 / 6
AJA
6
Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.9 is decent for Ajax in their clash with RKC Waalwijk, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 48 consecutive Eredivisie outings.

Ajax 2nd Waalwijk 18th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.9
goals
0.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
1
16%
2
23%
3
22%
4
16%
5+
22%
There is a 84% probability that Ajax will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
44%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4+
There is a 80% probability of Waalwijk scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+11
Ajax have scored 11% more goals at home than predicted
+10
Waalwijk’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.4
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
2.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Eredivisie - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/278793/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Ajax
PG (predicted goals)
Waalwijk
2.9
0.8
Attack rating
47%
better
AJA
WAA
view stats
Games scored17
12
Failed to score0
5
Scored first9
4
Goals scored37
18
Avg. goals scored2.2
1.1
Avg. shots per game10
7
Avg. shots per goal5
7
Conversion rate for22
15
Avg. XG for1.8
1.2
KickOff rating
+47%
Defence rating
47%
better
AJA
WAA
view stats
Games conceded9
16
Clean sheets8
1
Conceded first8
13
Goals conceded16
41
Avg. goals conceded0.9
2.4
Avg. shots/game conceded8
14
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
6
Conversion rate against12%
18%
Avg. XG against1
2.1
KickOff rating
+47%

Ajax v Waalwijk Eredivisie lLine ups will show here when available.

Ajax Eredivisie squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
17654
R PasveerD KlaassenJ HatoJ Hato
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Pasveer GLK171
-
D Rensch DEF131
2
-
D Rugani DEF7
-
Y Baas  DEF151
2
-
J Hato DEF1625
4
-
D Klaassen MID1662
-
J Henderson MID164
3
-
K Taylor MID1855
-
S Berghuis  FWD1011
1
-
B Brobbey FWD1613
4
-
M Godts FWD1531
1
-
Subs
J Gorter GLK
-
D Ramaj GLK1
-
O Wijndal DEF5
2
-
A Kaplan DEF4
1
-
A Gaaei DEF1211
3
-
S Mannsverk MID2
1
-
B Boomen MID11
-
K Fitz-Jim MID152
-
C Akpom FWD1521
-
B Traoré FWD1752
-
W Weghorst FWD1461
2
-
C Rasmussen  FWD6
1
-
Waalwijk Eredivisie squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
16533
G RoemeratoeO ZawadaR MargaretY Oukili
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Kesting GLK3
-
F. Al Mazyani DEF7
1
1
L Gelderen DEF16
2
-
L Wouters DEF10
-
A Meijers DEF10
1
1
G Roemeratoe MID161
2
-
Y Oukili MID161
2
1
S Water MID111
-
M Ihattaren MID1021
-
R Margaret MID1843
-
M Kramer  FWD8
1
1
Subs
L. Vogels GLK
-
J Houwen GLK12
-
J Lelieveld DEF13
1
-
R Eijma DEF16
-
T. van de Loo MID121
-
K Felida MID1
1
-
P Vroegh MID2
-
A Jakobsen MID4
-
C Lokesa MID9
1
-
D Cleonise FWD1712
1
-
O Zawada FWD155
1
R Niemeijer FWD7
1
-