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Ajax v Sparta Rotterdam : Eredivisie match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 14th Mar, 20:00 BST, Johan Cruijff Arena, Amsterdam

Maurice Steijn takes his Sparta Rotterdam team to the Johan Cruijff Arena in the Eredivisie on Saturday night, with Óscar García Junyent's Ajax their challengers. For each and every Eredivisie fixture, KickOff dives into the statistics for multiple markets. Key stats, including head-to-head results, are then brought forward alongside the best odds.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Eredivisie Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The stats suggest we don't have an obvious winner in this fixture, but there's plenty of reasons to believe that Ajax and S.Rotterdam will score 2 or more goals between them. That has been the case when they've gone head-to-head in years gone by, and neither Fred Grim or Maurice Steijn has subjected their supporters to too many 0-0s recently either. The bookmakers are predicting over 1.5 goals too, with odds of 1.14 equating to about a 80% probability.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Ajax are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 54% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.62.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Ajax
54%
8/13
3%
8/13
4%
Draw
23%
7/2
4%
16/5
6%
S.Rotterdam
24%
7/2
17%
19/5
9%
Draw 1-1
11%
8/1
6%
13/2
Ajax 2-1
10%
15/213/2
Ajax 1-0
9%
9/115/2
11%
Ajax 2-0
8%
9/115/2
11%
S.Rotterdam 2-1
6%
14/1
12%
12/1
Ajax 3-1
6%
11/1
9%
9/1
S.Rotterdam 1-0
6%
18/1
11%
14/1
Draw 2-2
6%
12/110/1
9%
Ajax 3-0
5%
12/1
8%
10/1
9%
Draw 0-0
5%
20/1
12%
14/1
Ajax 3-2
4%
18/114/1
S.Rotterdam 2-0
3%
28/1
15%
20/1
Ajax 4-1
3%
20/1
11%
14/1
Ajax 4-0
2%
22/116/1
12%
S.Rotterdam 3-1
2%
33/1
17%
22/1
13%
Over 2.5 Goals
58%
19/401/2
1%
Under 2.5 Goals
42%
8/529/20
2%
Home 1st Goal
54%
1/2
4%
10/21
3%
Away 1st Goal
44%
6/4
5%
7/4
5%
No 1st Goal
3%
20/1
12%
14/1
BTTS - Yes
58%
8/154/7
5%
BTTS - No
42%
11/85/4
7%
BTTS - Home Win
27%
15/815/8
BTTS - Draw
18%
4/1
10%
18/5
4%
BTTS - Away Win
13%
6/1
12%
6/1
7%
Home/draw
76%
2/11
4%
2/11
1%
Away/draw
46%
5/4
3%
5/4
7%
Home/away
77%
2/11
2%
2/9
Over 1.5 Goals
80%
1/7
3%
2/13
1%
Under 1.5 Goals
20%
9/2
9%
4/1
4%
Over 3.5 Goals
35%
6/55/4
5%
Under 3.5 Goals
65%
8/133/5
3%
Over 4.5 Goals
19%
11/411/4
6%
Under 4.5 Goals
81%
1/41/4
2%
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
6/16/1
8%
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
1/101/12
2%
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/50
1%
1/80
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
20/1
12%
14/1
Home DNB
69%
1/4
4%
1/4
2%
Away DNB
40%
11/4
13%
13/5
9%
Ajax win to nil
26%
12/5-
S.Rotterdam win to nil
11%
10/1
9%
-
Ajax / Ajax
34%
7/5
3%
13/10
5%
Ajax / S.Rotterdam
3%
28/125/1
12%
Ajax / Draw
6%
12/111/1
8%
Draw / Ajax
17%
15/4
6%
19/5
Draw / S.Rotterdam
8%
10/1
8%
9/1
10%
Draw / Draw
12%
6/111/2
8%
S.Rotterdam / Ajax
4%
18/116/1
S.Rotterdam / S.Rotterdam
11%
7/1
6%
6/1
7%
S.Rotterdam / Draw
6%
14/111/1
Win / draw / win Eredivisie table

Ajax have played 26 matches so far this season and lay in 5th place in the Eredivisie league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 21 games against teams below in the table, having won 9, drawn 8 and lost 4 matches. They have kept 5 clean sheets and have failed to score in 2 fixtures. Ajax have outscored their opponents by 48 goals to 33 goals.

Home League Performance

Ajax have played 13 games at home winning 8, drawing 3 and losing 2 games. They have scored 24 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and conceded 11 goals at home.

S.Rotterdam are in 7th position in the Eredivisie on 38 points having played 26 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

6 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 23 goals and kept 5 clean sheets. They have scored 18 goals in total and failed to score in 2 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

9 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 6 games, drawn 2 and won 1. S.Rotterdam have conceded 29 goals, scored 12, failed to score in 2 fixtures and have kept no clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Ajax
S.Rotterdam
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
PSV2622224468 
May 2
d
 
2-2A
Apr 11
l
 
6-1A
2
Feyenoord2615472049 
w
 
2-0F
Mar 22
l
 
0-4A
w
 
3-4F
3
NEC2613762146 
d
 
1-1F
d
 
2-2A
d
 
1-1F
l
 
3-1A
4
Twente26111141844 
Apr 4
w
 
2-3A
l
 
1-5A
May 10
5
Ajax26111141444 
-
-
d
 
3-3A
Mar 14
6
AZ Alkmaar261169139 
l
 
0-2A
d
 
1-1A
l
 
0-1A
l
 
3-1A
7
S.Rotterdam2611510-1038 
Mar 14
d
 
3-3F
-
-
8
Heerenveen261079037 
d
 
1-1F
May 17
l
 
0-3A
l
 
2-1A
9
Utrecht26989735 
May 10
l
 
2-1A
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-1F
10
Groningen2610412034 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
3-1A
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-2F
11
Fortuna269512-932 
w
 
4-1F
w
 
1-3A
d
 
1-1F
d
 
2-2A
12
GA Eagles266119-429 
d
 
2-2F
d
 
2-2F
May 3
w
 
0-3F
13
PEC Zwolle267811-1629 
w
 
3-1F
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1F
l
 
1-0A
14
FC Volendam267613-1527 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
1-1A
Mar 21
w
 
0-1F
15
Excelsior267514-1726 
l
 
1-2A
d
 
2-2F
May 17
w
 
0-1F
16
Telstar265912-724 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
2-3F
w
 
1-0F
Apr 22
17
NAC265813-1423 
w
 
2-1F
Apr 25
w
 
1-0F
Apr 5
18
Heracles265318-3318 
w
 
2-0F
Apr 11
w
 
2-0F
l
 
3-0A
UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
UEFA Europa League Qualifiers
UEFA Conference League Qualifiers Play Off
Relegation Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
6
Ajax have not lost in 6 consecutive home league games
5
S.Rotterdam have not won in 5 consecutive league games
Ajax 5TH
20 league games
Home
6
Overall
Goals: Scored
38
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
12
Draw
5
L
3
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
8
Draw
8
L
4
S.Rotterdam 7TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
5
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
8
D
4
Lost
8
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
7
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
17
Ajax have not lost to S.Rotterdam in 17 consecutive league meetings
League games at Ajax since 2017
Ajax
S.Rotterdam
Goals: Scored
21
6
Games: Scored
8 / 8
5 / 8
Clean sheets
3 / 8
0 / 8
AJA
7
D
1
League games at S.Rotterdam since 2016
S.Rotterdam
Ajax
Goals: Scored
9
22
Games: Scored
5 / 9
9 / 9
Clean sheets
0 / 9
4 / 9
AJA
7
D
2
Goal Statistics

Ajax's fans will be hoping for goals on Saturday night, not least because Sparta Rotterdam have conceded in each of their last 5 Eredivisie outings. A PG of 1.8 for Ó. García Junyent's side suggests that run should continue.

Ajax 5th S.Rotterdam 7th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.8
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
16%
1
29%
2
27%
3
17%
4+
12%
There is a 84% probability that Ajax will score 1 or more goals
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 67% probability that S.Rotterdam will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-12
Ajax have scored 12% fewer goals at home than predicted
+5
S.Rotterdam’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.9
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Eredivisie - 2025/2026 season
Ajax
PG (predicted goals)
S.Rotterdam
1.8
1.2
Attack rating
24%
better
AJA
SPA
view stats
Games scored24
21
Failed to score2
5
Scored first15
14
Goals scored48
33
Avg. goals scored1.8
1.3
Avg. shots per game11
10
Avg. shots per goal6
8
Conversion rate for17
13
Avg. XG for1.7
1.4
KickOff rating
+24%
Defence rating
2%
better
AJA
SPA
view stats
Games conceded20
17
Clean sheets6
9
Conceded first10
12
Goals conceded34
43
Avg. goals conceded1.3
1.7
Avg. shots/game conceded9
12
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
7
Conversion rate against14%
14%
Avg. XG against1.4
1.7
KickOff rating
+2%

Ajax v S.Rotterdam Eredivisie lLine ups will show here when available.

Ajax Eredivisie squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
231385
Y Baas M GodtsM GodtsW Weghorst
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Klaassen MID2552
1
-
O Gloukh MID2455
2
-
M Godts FWD24138
2
-
Y Baas  DEF2341
2
1
W Weghorst FWD2162
5
-
Y Regeer MID202
5
-
V Jaroš GLK19
1
-
A Gaaei DEF194
2
-
L Rosa DEF19
2
-
O Wijndal DEF181
3
-
J. Mokio MID1821
-
J Sutalo DEF17
1
-
R. Bounida MID1614
3
-
K Dolberg FWD1632
1
-
K Taylor MID1524
3
-
K Fitz-Jim MID151
2
-
K Itakura DEF141
1
-
O Edvardsen FWD141
2
-
R Moro FWD141
1
-
S. Steur MID11
-
S Berghuis  FWD1112
1
-
A. Bouwman DEF71
2
-
D. Christoffel Annum-Assamoah Konadu FWD6
-
R Pasveer GLK4
-
J. McConnell MID4
-
G. Alders DEF3
-
S.Rotterdam Eredivisie squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
261035
J DrommelT LauritsenT LauritsenM. Young
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Drommel GLK26
1
-
T Lauritsen FWD26103
4
-
M. Young DEF251
5
-
T Quintero DEF241
4
1
J Kitolano MID2452
3
-
M Bergen FWD2332
1
-
B Indi  DEF221
3
1
S Sambo DEF202
5
-
P Clement MID2023
2
-
A. Santos MID181
2
-
J Baas MID18
3
-
S Mito FWD1753
-
A. Oufkir FWD1612
2
-
J Toornstra MID14
5
-
L Duijvestijn MID13
2
-
P Aanholt DEF1213
1
-
S Bakari DEF11
-
M Kleijn DEF101
-
S Ltaief MID91
-
J Guzmán MID5
-
T Velthuis DEF3
-