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AZ v Ajax : Eredivisie match betting preview, prediction and odds

AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar

Fred Grim is aiming for a precious away win in the Eredivisie on Sunday afternoon, as he takes his Ajax side to the AFAS Stadion to visit AZ and Maarten Martens. Recent form, head to head (H2H) stats, predictions and odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers are all shown below. It's our job to give you all the information you need to place a smart, well-informed bet. Here we've gone for over 2.5 goals, but why not flip through the tabs and find the one you like best?

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AZ's next match is v Excelsior at 17:45 on Saturday 14th February
Ajax's next match is v Fortuna at 19:00 on Saturday 14th February
The last Dutch Eredivisie meeting between AZ Alkmaar and Ajax was on Sunday 8th February 2026
Dutch Eredivisie
February 8th 2026
AZ Alkmaar 1
1 Ajax
 
W. Goes 52'90' K. Fitz-Jim
 
AZ
AJA
Shots On
6
2
Shots Off
2
5
Corners
2
4
Possession
38%
62%
Fouls
11
12
Yellow/red cards
3/0
 
AZ AlkmaarAjax
 
S. Maikuma (M. Chávez García 43')
W. Goesfootball icon
A. Penetra Correia
P. Koopmeiners
T. Parrott
I. Jensen (W. Pinto Batista 73')
J. Zoet
M. De Wit
K. Boogaard
M. Šín (J. Hornkamp 46')
R. Daal (I. Sadiq 73')
V. Jaroš
A. Gaaei
(O. Zinchenko 76') O. Wijndal
Y. Regeer
K. Dolberg
(W. Weghorst 88') M. Godts
Y. Baas
J. Šutalo
(K. Fitz-Jim 66') D. Klaassen
(O. Edvardsen 76') R. Bounida
(O. Gloukh 76') S. Steur

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Eredivisie Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

Both our prediction and odds from the bookies suggest that this Eredivisie clash should present fine viewing for neutrals in the ground, with at least 3 goals to scored in the fixture. As we don't have an obvious winner here given their recent form, we're going with the statistics and past head-to-head (H2H) records below, both of which point firmly in the direction of a tip of over 2.5 goals.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think AZ Alkmaar are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 40% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.20.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
AZ Alkmaar
40%
23/201/8
12%
Draw
21%
27/1011/2
5%
Ajax
39%
15/840/1
8%
Draw 1-1
8%
7/15/1
7%
AZ Alkmaar 2-1
8%
17/225/1
6%
Ajax 2-1
8%
10/140/1
5%
Draw 2-2
7%
10/190/1
5%
AZ Alkmaar 3-1
5%
14/1100/1
8%
Ajax 3-1
5%
20/1150/1
12%
AZ Alkmaar 3-2
5%
18/1125/1
13%
Ajax 3-2
5%
20/1250/1
AZ Alkmaar 1-0
4%
12/13/10
5%
Ajax 1-0
4%
14/14/1
17%
AZ Alkmaar 2-0
4%
14/16/1
9%
Ajax 2-0
4%
18/19/1
13%
Draw 3-3
3%
28/1200/1
13%
AZ Alkmaar 3-0
3%
22/140/1
12%
Ajax 3-0
2%
33/122/1
9%
Over 2.5 Goals
74%
1/214/1
8%
Under 2.5 Goals
26%
6/41/100
10%
Home 1st Goal
49%
4/57/5
6%
Away 1st Goal
49%
1/16/5
5%
No 1st Goal
1%
18/116/5
8%
BTTS - Yes
73%
4/917/4
3%
BTTS - No
27%
13/81/7
5%
BTTS - Home Win
27%
5/222/1
15%
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/35/1
5%
BTTS - Away Win
26%
7/233/1
2%
Home/draw
61%
2/51/200
6%
Away/draw
60%
4/619/4
9%
Home/away
79%
2/71/10
3%
Over 1.5 Goals
90%
1/711/5
3%
Under 1.5 Goals
10%
9/23/10
13%
Over 3.5 Goals
54%
6/550/1
14%
Under 3.5 Goals
46%
8/131/1000
9%
Over 4.5 Goals
34%
11/4100/1
19%
Under 4.5 Goals
66%
1/41/1000
6%
Over 5.5 Goals
19%
6/11/50
31%
Under 5.5 Goals
81%
1/101/50
3%
Over 0.5 Goals
98%
1/501/5
Under 0.5 Goals
2%
18/116/5
20%
Home DNB
55%
4/61/1000
10%
Away DNB
53%
11/1033/1
11%
AZ Alkmaar win to nil
13%
4/1-
Ajax win to nil
12%
11/2-
AZ Alkmaar / AZ Alkmaar
22%
5/211/1
16%
AZ Alkmaar / Ajax
4%
22/128/1
10%
AZ Alkmaar / Draw
7%
12/122/1
Draw / AZ Alkmaar
14%
5/113/5
Draw / Ajax
11%
13/221/10
13%
Draw / Draw
13%
11/22/1
8%
Ajax / AZ Alkmaar
4%
20/133/1
12%
Ajax / Ajax
18%
7/29/1
7%
Ajax / Draw
7%
12/120/1
8%
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Win / draw / win Eredivisie table

AZ Alkmaar have played 21 matches so far this season and are in 7th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

7 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 4 games, drawn 1 and won 2. AZ Alkmaar have conceded 14 goals, scored 9, failed to score in 1 match and kept 2 clean sheets.

Home league performance

AZ Alkmaar have played 10 games at home, winning 4, drawing 4 and losing 2 fixtures. They have scored 21 goals, conceded 19 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and scored in every home league game.

Ajax lay in 4th place on 38 points in the Eredivisie league table having played 21 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 18 games against teams below them in the table, winning 9, drawing 6 and losing 3 games. They have scored 35 goals and kept 4 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Ajax have conceded 24 goals and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

Ajax have played 10 away games, winning 3, drawing 6 and losing 1 game. They have scored an average of 2.2 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.9 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
PSV2219214059 
l
 
1-5A
Mar 7
May 2
d
 
2-2A
2
Feyenoord2213362042 
d
 
3-3F
May 10
w
 
2-0F
Mar 22
3
NEC2112542141 
l
 
1-3A
l
 
2-1A
Feb 21
d
 
2-2A
4
Ajax2210931339 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-2F
-
-
5
S.Rotterdam221138-736 
Feb 22
w
 
0-1F
Mar 14
d
 
3-3F
6
Twente2281041234 
May 3
l
 
1-0A
Apr 4
w
 
2-3A
7
AZ Alkmaar22967133 
-
-
l
 
0-2A
d
 
1-1A
8
Groningen22949131 
w
 
4-1F
Mar 22
w
 
2-0F
Mar 7
9
Fortuna227510-526 
Apr 4
l
 
4-3A
Feb 14
w
 
1-3A
10
Excelsior227510-1326 
d
 
1-1F
Feb 14
l
 
1-2A
d
 
2-2F
11
PEC Zwolle227510-1426 
d
 
2-2F
l
 
3-1A
w
 
3-1F
Mar 1
12
Heerenveen21678-425 
Apr 12
l
 
3-1A
d
 
1-1F
May 17
13
Utrecht21669224 
w
 
4-1F
Mar 1
May 10
l
 
2-1A
14
GA Eagles214116-323 
d
 
2-2A
Apr 23
d
 
2-2F
d
 
2-2F
15
FC Volendam225611-1321 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
2-2A
w
 
2-0F
d
 
1-1A
16
Telstar223811-1217 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-1F
w
 
2-0F
w
 
2-3F
17
Heracles225215-2617 
Mar 15
w
 
1-2F
w
 
2-0F
Apr 11
18
NAC223712-1316 
May 17
w
 
0-1F
w
 
2-1F
Apr 25
UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
UEFA Europa League Qualifiers
UEFA Conference League Qualifiers Play Off
Relegation Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
8
Ajax have not lost in 8 consecutive league games
AZ Alkmaar
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
39
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
9
Draw
7
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
AZ Alkmaar1 - 3NEC
AZ Alkmaar1 - 1Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar1 - 0FC Volendam
AZ Alkmaar2 - 2GA Eagles
AZ Alkmaar1 - 5PSV
AZ Alkmaar4 - 1Utrecht
AZ Alkmaar2 - 1Telstar
AZ Alkmaar2 - 2PEC Zwolle
AZ Alkmaar3 - 3Feyenoord
AZ Alkmaar4 - 1Groningen
AZ Alkmaar3 - 2Twente
AZ Alkmaar4 - 1Heerenveen
AZ Alkmaar1 - 1Almere City
AZ Alkmaar3 - 0Groningen
AZ Alkmaar1 - 1NAC
AZ Alkmaar0 - 1Feyenoord
AZ Alkmaar2 - 2Waalwijk
AZ Alkmaar1 - 0Fortuna
AZ Alkmaar2 - 0PEC Zwolle
AZ Alkmaar1 - 2S.Rotterdam
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HAZ Alkmaar1 - 3NEC
AAZ Alkmaar1 - 0Telstar
HAZ Alkmaar1 - 1Excelsior
AAZ Alkmaar1 - 3PEC Zwolle
HAZ Alkmaar1 - 0FC Volendam
AAZ Alkmaar3 - 4Fortuna
HAZ Alkmaar2 - 2GA Eagles
AAZ Alkmaar0 - 1Twente
AAZ Alkmaar1 - 3Heerenveen
HAZ Alkmaar1 - 5PSV
AAZ Alkmaar1 - 0S.Rotterdam
HAZ Alkmaar4 - 1Utrecht
AAZ Alkmaar2 - 0Ajax
HAZ Alkmaar2 - 1Telstar
AAZ Alkmaar1 - 2NEC
HAZ Alkmaar2 - 2PEC Zwolle
HAZ Alkmaar3 - 3Feyenoord
AAZ Alkmaar2 - 1Heracles
AAZ Alkmaar1 - 0NAC
AAZ Alkmaar2 - 2FC Volendam
Ajax
20 league games
Away
Overall
8
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
10
Draw
7
L
3
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Excelsior2 - 2Ajax
Telstar2 - 3Ajax
NEC2 - 2Ajax
Fortuna1 - 3Ajax
Utrecht2 - 1Ajax
Twente2 - 3Ajax
S.Rotterdam3 - 3Ajax
PSV2 - 2Ajax
FC Volendam1 - 1Ajax
GA Eagles2 - 2Ajax
Groningen2 - 2Ajax
Utrecht4 - 0Ajax
Willem II1 - 2Ajax
PSV0 - 2Ajax
PEC Zwolle0 - 1Ajax
Almere City0 - 1Ajax
Fortuna0 - 2Ajax
Heerenveen0 - 2Ajax
S.Rotterdam0 - 2Ajax
AZ Alkmaar2 - 1Ajax
Goals: Scored
39
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
9
Draw
8
L
3
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AAjax2 - 2Excelsior
HAjax2 - 0FC Volendam
HAjax2 - 2GA Eagles
AAjax3 - 2Telstar
AAjax2 - 2NEC
HAjax2 - 0Feyenoord
AAjax3 - 1Fortuna
HAjax2 - 0Groningen
HAjax1 - 2Excelsior
AAjax1 - 2Utrecht
HAjax1 - 1Heerenveen
AAjax3 - 2Twente
HAjax0 - 2AZ Alkmaar
AAjax3 - 3S.Rotterdam
HAjax2 - 1NAC
AAjax2 - 2PSV
HAjax3 - 1PEC Zwolle
AAjax1 - 1FC Volendam
HAjax2 - 0Heracles
AAjax2 - 2GA Eagles
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
AZ Alkmaar have beaten Ajax in 3 consecutive home league meetings
9
AZ Alkmaar have not lost to Ajax in 9 consecutive league meetings
League games at AZ Alkmaar since 2015
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
Goals: Scored
13
14
Games: Scored
8 / 10
7 / 10
Clean sheets
3 / 10
2 / 10
AZ
5
D
2
AJA
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT AZ Alkmaar
AZ Alkmaar2 - 1
AZ Alkmaar2 - 0
AZ Alkmaar2 - 1
Draw2 - 2Draw
0 - 3Ajax
AZ Alkmaar1 - 0
AZ Alkmaar1 - 0
1 - 2Ajax
Draw2 - 2Draw
0 - 3Ajax
League games at Ajax since 2016
Ajax
AZ Alkmaar
Goals: Scored
22
12
Games: Scored
8 / 11
7 / 11
Clean sheets
4 / 11
3 / 11
AZ
4
D
2
AJA
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Ajax
0 - 2AZ Alkmaar
Draw2 - 2Draw
1 - 2AZ Alkmaar
Draw0 - 0Draw
1 - 2AZ Alkmaar
Ajax2 - 0
0 - 2AZ Alkmaar
Ajax5 - 0
Ajax3 - 0
Ajax4 - 1
Ajax4 - 1
Goal Statistics

AZ have been reliable in front of goal of late, scoring in 7 consecutive Eredivisie outings. Their PG of 1.9 against Ajax on Sunday suggests that run is likely to continue.

AZ Alkmaar Ajax
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.9
goals
1.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
14%
1
28%
2
27%
3
18%
4+
13%
There is a 86% probability that AZ Alkmaar will score 1 or more goals
0
15%
1
28%
2
27%
3
17%
4+
13%
There is a 85% probability that Ajax will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-7
AZ Alkmaar’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+3
Ajax’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.0
average goals scored
1.9
average goals scored
1.5
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Eredivisie - 2025/2026 season
AZ Alkmaar
PG (predicted goals)
Ajax
1.9
1.9
Attack rating
AZ
AJA
7%
better
view stats
Games scored20
20
Failed to score1
1
Scored first12
13
Goals scored36
41
Avg. goals scored1.7
2
Avg. shots per game11
11
Avg. shots per goal7
6
Conversion rate for15
17
Avg. XG for2.1
1.7
KickOff rating
+7%
Defence rating
AZ
AJA
10%
better
view stats
Games conceded16
16
Clean sheets5
5
Conceded first9
8
Goals conceded35
28
Avg. goals conceded1.7
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded9
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
7
Conversion rate against18%
14%
Avg. XG against1.4
1.4
KickOff rating
+10%

AZ Alkmaar v Ajax Eredivisie lLine ups will show here when available.

AZ Alkmaar Eredivisie squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
221128
A PenetraT ParrottM WitW Goes
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Zoet GLK7
-
S Maikuma DEF5
-
W Goes DEF211
8
-
A Penetra DEF2211
4
-
M Wit DEF2122
8
-
P Koopmeiners MID211
5
-
K. Boogaard MID51
1
-
I Jensen MID2112
-
M Šín MID1511
1
-
R. Daal MID141
-
T Parrott FWD17111
2
-
Subs
D Deen GLK
-
H Verhulst GLK
-
M Dekker DEF6
-
M. Chávez García DEF151
4
-
E. Dijkstra DEF8
1
-
B Duijl DEF
-
R Ichihara DEF
-
R. Robbemond MID
-
Weslley FWD1822
-
I Sadiq FWD172
3
-
J Hornkamp FWD5
-
A. Oufkir FWD3
-
Ajax Eredivisie squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
191074
Y Baas M GodtsM GodtsY Regeer
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
V Jaroš GLK18
1
-
A Gaaei DEF183
2
-
J Sutalo DEF13
1
-
Y Baas  DEF1941
2
1
O Wijndal DEF141
3
-
D Klaassen MID2242
1
-
Y Regeer MID182
4
-
S. Steur MID8
-
R. Bounida FWD124
2
-
K Dolberg FWD1231
1
-
M Godts FWD20107
2
-
Subs
J. Heerkens GLK
-
P. Peters Reverson GLK
-
J. Mokio DEF151
-
A. Bouwman DEF61
2
-
T Tomiyasu DEF1
-
L Rosa DEF16
2
-
K Itakura DEF141
1
-
O Zinchenko DEF1
-
K Fitz-Jim MID111
2
-
O Gloukh MID2155
2
-
O Edvardsen FWD141
2
-
W Weghorst FWD1761
4
-