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AZ v Ajax : Eredivisie match betting preview, prediction and odds

AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar

Home advantage is often beneficial in the Eredivisie, and Maarten Martens’s AZ will have the joy of it on Sunday afternoon. Francesco Farioli’s Ajax are their opponents at the AFAS Stadion. We've got predictions, tips, and the best odds and head-to-head statistics across every market, so there's nowhere better to prepare Eredivisie clash.

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AZ's next match is v Ludogorets at 17:45 on Thursday 12th December
Ajax's next match is v Lazio at 20:00 on Thursday 12th December
The last Dutch Eredivisie meeting between AZ Alkmaar and Ajax was on Sunday 8th December 2024
Dutch Eredivisie
December 8th 2024
AZ Alkmaar 2
1 Ajax
 
T. Parrott 65'81' M. Godts
M. Lahdo 76'
 
AZ
AJA
Shots On
4
3
Shots Off
5
3
Corners
6
3
Possession
43%
57%
Fouls
16
11
Yellow/red cards
1/0
2/0
 
AZ AlkmaarAjax
 
J. Zoet
S. Maikuma (D. Kasius 90')
W. Goes
A. Penetra Correia
D. Wolfe
S. Mijnans
J. Clasie
P. Koopmeiners
T. Parrottfootball icon (M. Meerdink 90')
E. Poku (K. Smit 83')
R. van Bommel (M. Lahdo 66')
R. Pasveer
J. Šutalo
J. Hato
Y. Baas
A. Gaaei
B. van den Boomen
(C. Kjelder Rasmussen 78') K. Taylor
(K. Fitz-Jim 73') D. Klaassen
(M. Godts 73') C. Akpom
(B. Traoré 63') S. Berghuis
(B. Brobbey 63') W. Weghorst

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Eredivisie Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Both teams to score

We have a pair of strong, attacking groups going head-to-head and, as such, we are predicting both of them to score at least 1 goal during the 90 mins. Can respective managers Maarten Martens or Francesco Farioli find a tactical plan to top their opponent? Latest form stats and historical head-to-heads, as well as the latest odds from the bookmakers, suggest that's unlikely.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think AZ Alkmaar are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 40% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 3.10.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
AZ Alkmaar
40%
8/5
4%
13/8
3%
Draw
23%
13/55/2
3%
Ajax
37%
31/20
6%
8/5
8%
Draw 1-1
10%
13/2
7%
11/2
AZ Alkmaar 2-1
8%
9/18/1
Ajax 2-1
8%
9/1
5%
15/2
Draw 2-2
7%
11/19/1
9%
AZ Alkmaar 1-0
6%
10/19/1
5%
Ajax 1-0
6%
10/1
10%
17/2
6%
AZ Alkmaar 2-0
5%
14/112/1
AZ Alkmaar 3-1
5%
18/1
10%
14/1
Ajax 2-0
5%
14/1
15%
12/1
18%
Ajax 3-1
4%
18/114/1
AZ Alkmaar 3-2
4%
22/116/1
11%
Ajax 3-2
4%
22/116/1
Draw 0-0
4%
14/110/1
AZ Alkmaar 3-0
3%
25/1
10%
20/1
Ajax 3-0
3%
25/1
13%
18/1
Over 2.5 Goals
65%
3/5
6%
8/13
3%
Under 2.5 Goals
35%
13/10
10%
6/5
5%
Home 1st Goal
49%
1/1
2%
-
Away 1st Goal
49%
4/5-
No 1st Goal
2%
14/1-
BTTS - Yes
66%
8/15
3%
8/15
4%
BTTS - No
34%
11/8
6%
7/5
7%
BTTS - Home Win
24%
10/3
9%
16/5
7%
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/33/1
5%
BTTS - Away Win
22%
10/33/1
Home/draw
63%
1/2
2%
1/2
3%
Away/draw
60%
1/2
4%
10/21
3%
Home/away
77%
2/73/10
1%
Over 1.5 Goals
84%
2/11
2%
1/5
2%
Under 1.5 Goals
16%
7/2
4%
16/5
8%
Over 3.5 Goals
42%
6/4
5%
29/20
6%
Under 3.5 Goals
58%
1/2
4%
1/2
4%
Over 4.5 Goals
24%
10/3
13%
16/5
13%
Under 4.5 Goals
76%
1/5
3%
1/5
3%
Over 5.5 Goals
12%
8/1
18%
7/1
11%
Under 5.5 Goals
88%
1/14
2%
1/18
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1/331/33
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
14/110/1
Home DNB
56%
5/6
4%
10/11
2%
Away DNB
53%
5/6
2%
5/6
5%
AZ Alkmaar win to nil
16%
9/2-
Ajax win to nil
15%
4/1
11%
-
AZ Alkmaar / AZ Alkmaar
19%
10/316/5
AZ Alkmaar / Ajax
4%
22/118/1
AZ Alkmaar / Draw
7%
12/110/1
8%
Draw / AZ Alkmaar
13%
11/25/1
Draw / Ajax
13%
11/2
8%
19/4
Draw / Draw
14%
5/117/4
Ajax / AZ Alkmaar
4%
22/1
12%
18/1
10%
Ajax / Ajax
20%
3/13/1
7%
Ajax / Draw
7%
12/110/1
8%
bet365
Win / draw / win Eredivisie table

AZ Alkmaar have played 14 matches so far this season and are in 6th position in the league. AZ Alkmaar have a shocking record against teams above them in the league, they have lost all 3 matches and failed to score in 0 of those games.

Performance against teams above them in the league

3 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 3 games, drawn zero and won zero. AZ Alkmaar have conceded 7 goals, scored 4, scored in every game and kept no clean sheets.

Home league performance

AZ Alkmaar have played 7 games at home, winning 3, drawing 1 and losing 3 fixtures. They have scored 16 goals, conceded 9 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and scored in every home league game.

Ajax lay in 2nd place on 33 points in the Eredivisie league table having played 14 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 13 games against teams below them in the table, winning 9, drawing 3 and losing 1 game. They have scored 28 goals and kept 6 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Ajax have conceded 12 goals and scored in every game.

Away league performance

Ajax have played 7 away games, winning 4, drawing 2 and losing 1 game. They have scored an average of 2 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.3 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
PSV1514014442 
l
 
1-2A
Jan 11
w
 
3-2A
Mar 30
2
Utrecht151122935 
l
 
1-2F
Jan 18
d
 
2-2A
May 4
3
Ajax Away1510321633 
w
 
2-1F
Mar 16
-
-
4
Feyenoord159511932 
Apr 6
l
 
3-2F
Feb 2
w
 
0-2F
5
Twente158431028 
Dec 21
May 14
May 18
d
 
2-2A
6
AZ Alkmaar Home158251226 
-
-
Mar 16
l
 
2-1A
7
NAC15717-622 
Apr 27
Dec 15
Apr 6
l
 
2-1A
8
GA Eagles15636221 
d
 
2-2F
May 4
Jan 26
d
 
1-1A
9
Fortuna15546-419 
Feb 16
l
 
1-0A
w
 
5-0F
Feb 9
10
Heerenveen15537-1218 
w
 
9-1F
Mar 2
w
 
1-0F
Jan 19
11
NEC15519216 
w
 
1-0F
Mar 30
May 11
w
 
1-2A
12
Willem II15447-216 
l
 
1-2A
Feb 2
w
 
1-0F
Apr 13
13
PEC Zwolle15447-916 
Feb 9
w
 
1-2F
w
 
2-0F
Mar 9
14
Groningen15447-1016 
May 11
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
3-1F
May 14
15
Heracles15357-1214 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 13
Feb 16
w
 
3-4A
16
S.Rotterdam15258-1011 
Jan 26
w
 
1-2F
Apr 27
Dec 22
17
Waalwijk151311-226 
Mar 9
w
 
0-3F
Jan 11
w
 
0-2F
18
Almere City151311-276 
May 18
w
 
0-1F
Dec 15
Mar 2
UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
UEFA Europa League Qualifiers
UEFA Conference League Qualifiers Play Off
Relegation Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
AZ Alkmaar 6TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
45
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
11
D
3
Lost
6
Goals: Scored
41
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
11
D
3
Lost
6
Ajax 3RD
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
43
Conceded
40
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
10
Draw
5
Lost
5
Goals: Scored
44
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
13
Draw
5
L
2
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
6
AZ Alkmaar have not lost to Ajax in 6 consecutive league meetings
League games at AZ Alkmaar since 2015
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
Goals: Scored
11
13
Games: Scored
7 / 9
6 / 9
Clean sheets
3 / 9
2 / 9
AZ
4
D
2
AJA
3
League games at Ajax since 2016
Ajax
AZ Alkmaar
Goals: Scored
20
8
Games: Scored
7 / 9
5 / 9
Clean sheets
4 / 9
2 / 9
AZ
3
D
1
AJA
5
Goal Statistics

AZ have been reliable in attack of late, scoring in 6 consecutive Eredivisie outings. Their PG of 1.7 against Ajax on Sunday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

AZ Alkmaar 6th Ajax 3rd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.7
goals
1.6
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
18%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4+
9%
There is a 82% probability that AZ Alkmaar will score 1 or more goals
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
8%
There is a 80% probability that Ajax will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+8
AZ Alkmaar’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+13
Ajax have scored 13% more goals when away than predicted
2.3
average goals scored
2.2
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
2.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Eredivisie - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/278766/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
AZ Alkmaar
PG (predicted goals)
Ajax
1.7
1.6
Attack rating
AZ
AJA
21%
better
view stats
Games scored12
14
Failed to score2
0
Scored first10
7
Goals scored26
31
Avg. goals scored1.9
2.2
Avg. shots per game12
11
Avg. shots per goal7
5
Conversion rate for15
21
Avg. XG for1.7
1.9
KickOff rating
+21%
Defence rating
0%
better
AZ
AJA
view stats
Games conceded9
8
Clean sheets5
6
Conceded first3
7
Goals conceded15
14
Avg. goals conceded1.1
1
Avg. shots/game conceded7
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
8
Conversion rate against15%
12%
Avg. XG against1.2
1
KickOff rating
0%

AZ Alkmaar v Ajax Eredivisie lLine ups will show here when available.

AZ Alkmaar Eredivisie squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
15844
S MijnansT ParrottD WolfeS Mijnans
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Zoet GLK4
-
S Maikuma DEF13
2
-
W Goes DEF111
3
-
A Penetra DEF14
-
D Wolfe DEF144
2
1
P Koopmeiners MID1512
-
S Mijnans MID1532
4
-
J Clasie MID132
-
E Poku FWD61
1
-
T Parrott FWD1581
-
R Bommel FWD1222
2
-
Subs
D Deen GLK
-
H Verhulst GLK
-
D Kasius DEF1222
1
-
M Wit DEF41
1
-
B Indi  DEF2
-
M Dekker DEF6
1
1
K. Smit MID4
-
Z Buurmeester MID811
-
D. Kwakman MID4
1
-
M Meerdink FWD124
1
-
J. Addai FWD8
-
M. Lahdo FWD92
-
Ajax Eredivisie squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
14644
R PasveerD KlaassenJ HatoJ Hato
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Pasveer GLK141
-
A Gaaei DEF1111
3
-
J Sutalo DEF151
3
-
Y Baas  DEF121
2
-
J Hato DEF1424
4
-
B Boomen MID10
-
D Klaassen MID1361
-
K Taylor MID1524
-
S Berghuis  FWD81
1
-
W Weghorst FWD1151
2
-
C Akpom FWD1221
-
Subs
J Gorter GLK
-
D Ramaj GLK1
-
O Wijndal DEF3
1
-
A Kaplan DEF3
1
-
D Rugani DEF4
-
J Henderson MID132
2
-
K Fitz-Jim MID121
-
K Hlynsson MID31
-
B Brobbey FWD1312
4
-
M Godts FWD1231
1
-
B Traoré FWD1542
-
C Rasmussen  FWD6
1
-