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AZ v Excelsior : Eredivisie match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 14th Dec, 15:45 BST, AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar

Sunday afternoon at the AFAS Stadion, and it’s a Eredivisie showdown between AZ and Excelsior. Maarten Martens and Ruben den Uil going all-out to claim victory. We've got predictions, tips, and odds and head-to-head stats across every market, so there really is only one place to get ready for this Eredivisie clash.


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Best Tip: AZ Alkmaar to win

We are predicting AZ Alkmaar will claim victory after 90 mins on Sunday in the win / draw / win market. The latest form stats and historical head-to-head (H2H) data below all point in that direction and, as favourites with the bookies, the odds back that up too. There could be wild scenes among the home fans when that final whistle blows at AFAS Stadion.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think AZ Alkmaar are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 62% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.33.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
AZ Alkmaar
62%
1.33
6%
1.33
2%
Draw
18%
5.50
16%
5.75
Excelsior
20%
8.00
28%
8.50
6%
AZ Alkmaar 2-1
9%
9.008.00
AZ Alkmaar 3-1
7%
10.008.50
6%
Draw 1-1
7%
11.0010.00
Draw 2-2
6%
17.00
13%
15.00
AZ Alkmaar 2-0
6%
9.00
5%
8.00
AZ Alkmaar 3-2
5%
19.0015.00
AZ Alkmaar 3-0
5%
10.009.00
Excelsior 2-1
5%
21.00
9%
19.00
AZ Alkmaar 1-0
5%
12.009.00
5%
AZ Alkmaar 4-1
5%
15.0012.00
AZ Alkmaar 4-2
3%
26.0021.00
11%
AZ Alkmaar 4-0
3%
15.0012.00
Excelsior 3-2
3%
41.0034.00
17%
Excelsior 1-0
3%
26.00
10%
21.00
Draw 3-3
3%
41.0029.00
15%
Over 2.5 Goals
76%
1.36
3%
1.36
1%
Under 2.5 Goals
24%
3.10
8%
2.90
3%
Home 1st Goal
54%
1.361.30
2%
Away 1st Goal
45%
3.003.50
3%
No 1st Goal
1%
23.0017.00
BTTS - Yes
70%
1.62
3%
1.65
2%
BTTS - No
30%
2.20
2%
2.15
BTTS - Home Win
40%
2.402.38
3%
BTTS - Draw
16%
6.006.00
BTTS - Away Win
14%
11.0011.00
10%
Home/draw
80%
1.081.07
Away/draw
38%
3.253.30
3%
Home/away
82%
1.14
3%
1.13
Over 1.5 Goals
91%
1.101.11
1%
Under 1.5 Goals
9%
7.006.00
Over 3.5 Goals
56%
1.831.91
3%
Under 3.5 Goals
44%
1.831.83
1%
Over 4.5 Goals
37%
3.003.00
4%
Under 4.5 Goals
63%
1.361.35
1%
Over 5.5 Goals
21%
5.505.00
4%
Under 5.5 Goals
79%
1.141.14
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
98%
1.011.00
Under 0.5 Goals
2%
23.0017.00
11%
Home DNB
74%
1.13
2%
1.09
1%
Away DNB
33%
6.00
8%
6.50
8%
AZ Alkmaar win to nil
22%
2.63
4%
-
Excelsior win to nil
6%
17.00-
AZ Alkmaar / AZ Alkmaar
43%
1.911.85
1%
AZ Alkmaar / Excelsior
2%
41.0034.00
AZ Alkmaar / Draw
5%
17.0015.00
Draw / AZ Alkmaar
19%
4.334.20
Draw / Excelsior
5%
17.0015.00
Draw / Draw
9%
9.508.00
6%
Excelsior / AZ Alkmaar
5%
15.0015.00
Excelsior / Excelsior
6%
13.0012.00
9%
Excelsior / Draw
5%
19.0017.00
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Win / draw / win Eredivisie table

AZ Alkmaar have played 15 matches so far this season and lay in 5th place in the Eredivisie league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 11 games against teams below in the table, having won 6, drawn 3 and lost 2 matches. They have kept 2 clean sheets and have failed to score in 1 fixture. AZ Alkmaar have outscored their opponents by 28 goals to 14 goals.

Home League Performance

AZ Alkmaar have played 7 games at home winning 3, drawing 3 and losing 1 game. They have scored 18 goals, kept 0 clean sheets and conceded 15 goals at home.

Excelsior are in 13th position in the Eredivisie on 16 points having played 15 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

4 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 17 goals and kept no clean sheets. They have scored 8 goals in total and failed to score in 2 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

11 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 8 games, drawn 0 and won 3. Excelsior have conceded 21 goals, scored 8, failed to score in 4 fixtures and have kept 2 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
AZ Alkmaar
Excelsior
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
PSV1513112940 
l
 
1-5A
Mar 7
l
 
1-2F
Jan 10
2
Feyenoord1511132334 
d
 
3-3F
May 10
l
 
1-2F
Mar 14
3
NEC158341427 
Jan 31
l
 
2-1A
Apr 4
l
 
5-0A
4
Ajax15753826 
Feb 7
w
 
0-2F
Feb 1
w
 
1-2F
5
AZ Alkmaar15744425 
-
-
Feb 14
Dec 14
6
Groningen15726023 
w
 
4-1F
Mar 21
l
 
0-2A
May 2
7
Utrecht15645622 
w
 
4-1F
Feb 28
Apr 23
l
 
4-1A
8
Twente15564321 
May 2
l
 
1-0A
w
 
1-0F
Jan 24
9
S.Rotterdam15627-1120 
Feb 21
w
 
0-1F
l
 
0-1A
May 17
10
GA Eagles15465-118 
d
 
2-2A
Apr 23
Feb 28
l
 
2-0A
11
Fortuna15537-418 
Apr 4
Dec 21
w
 
1-0F
Feb 21
12
Heerenveen15456-317 
Apr 11
l
 
3-1A
Mar 7
l
 
2-1F
13
Excelsior15519-1216 
Dec 14
Feb 14
-
-
14
PEC Zwolle15447-1716 
d
 
2-2F
Jan 17
Dec 20
Apr 11
15
FC Volendam15357-814 
Jan 10
d
 
2-2A
May 10
w
 
1-2F
16
Heracles15429-1414 
Mar 14
w
 
1-2F
l
 
1-2F
Mar 21
17
NAC15339-912 
May 17
w
 
0-1F
w
 
1-0F
Feb 7
18
Telstar15258-811 
w
 
2-1F
Jan 25
Jan 16
d
 
2-2A
UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
UEFA Europa League Qualifiers
UEFA Conference League Qualifiers Play Off
Relegation Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
AZ Alkmaar 5TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
40
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
11
Draw
6
L
3
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
AZ Alkmaar2 - 2GA Eagles
AZ Alkmaar1 - 5PSV
AZ Alkmaar4 - 1Utrecht
AZ Alkmaar2 - 1Telstar
AZ Alkmaar2 - 2PEC Zwolle
AZ Alkmaar3 - 3Feyenoord
AZ Alkmaar4 - 1Groningen
AZ Alkmaar3 - 2Twente
AZ Alkmaar4 - 1Heerenveen
AZ Alkmaar1 - 1Almere City
AZ Alkmaar3 - 0Groningen
AZ Alkmaar1 - 1NAC
AZ Alkmaar0 - 1Feyenoord
AZ Alkmaar2 - 2Waalwijk
AZ Alkmaar1 - 0Fortuna
AZ Alkmaar2 - 0PEC Zwolle
AZ Alkmaar1 - 2S.Rotterdam
AZ Alkmaar1 - 0Twente
AZ Alkmaar2 - 1Ajax
AZ Alkmaar1 - 0Heracles
Goals: Scored
42
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
11
Draw
5
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HAZ Alkmaar2 - 2GA Eagles
AAZ Alkmaar0 - 1Twente
AAZ Alkmaar1 - 3Heerenveen
HAZ Alkmaar1 - 5PSV
AAZ Alkmaar1 - 0S.Rotterdam
HAZ Alkmaar4 - 1Utrecht
AAZ Alkmaar2 - 0Ajax
HAZ Alkmaar2 - 1Telstar
AAZ Alkmaar1 - 2NEC
HAZ Alkmaar2 - 2PEC Zwolle
HAZ Alkmaar3 - 3Feyenoord
AAZ Alkmaar2 - 1Heracles
AAZ Alkmaar1 - 0NAC
AAZ Alkmaar2 - 2FC Volendam
HAZ Alkmaar4 - 1Groningen
HAZ Alkmaar3 - 2Twente
HAZ Alkmaar4 - 1Heerenveen
HAZ Alkmaar1 - 1Almere City
AAZ Alkmaar3 - 2Twente
HAZ Alkmaar3 - 0Groningen
Excelsior 13TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
57
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
20 / 20
Clean sheets
0 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
W
2
D
4
Lost
14
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Ajax1 - 2Excelsior
Telstar2 - 2Excelsior
GA Eagles2 - 0Excelsior
Heerenveen2 - 1Excelsior
FC Volendam1 - 2Excelsior
Utrecht4 - 1Excelsior
NEC5 - 0Excelsior
Feyenoord4 - 0Excelsior
Ajax2 - 2Excelsior
PEC Zwolle2 - 1Excelsior
GA Eagles3 - 0Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar4 - 0Excelsior
Fortuna5 - 2Excelsior
S.Rotterdam4 - 2Excelsior
Almere City2 - 1Excelsior
PSV3 - 1Excelsior
Twente4 - 2Excelsior
Waalwijk2 - 2Excelsior
Utrecht2 - 2Excelsior
FC Volendam3 - 1Excelsior
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
7
D
2
Lost
11
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HExcelsior0 - 2Groningen
HExcelsior1 - 0NAC
AExcelsior2 - 1Ajax
HExcelsior1 - 2Heracles
AExcelsior2 - 2Telstar
AExcelsior0 - 2GA Eagles
HExcelsior1 - 0Fortuna
AExcelsior1 - 2Heerenveen
HExcelsior1 - 2PSV
AExcelsior2 - 1FC Volendam
HExcelsior0 - 1S.Rotterdam
HExcelsior1 - 0Twente
AExcelsior1 - 4Utrecht
HExcelsior1 - 2Feyenoord
AExcelsior0 - 5NEC
AExcelsior0 - 4Feyenoord
HExcelsior4 - 0Heracles
HExcelsior0 - 3NEC
AExcelsior2 - 2Ajax
HExcelsior4 - 0FC Volendam
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
AZ Alkmaar have beaten Excelsior in 3 consecutive home league meetings
League games at AZ Alkmaar since 2016
AZ Alkmaar
Excelsior
Goals: Scored
14
4
Games: Scored
5 / 6
3 / 6
Clean sheets
3 / 6
1 / 6
AZ
4
D
1
EXC
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT AZ Alkmaar
AZ Alkmaar4 - 0
AZ Alkmaar5 - 0
AZ Alkmaar2 - 1
0 - 2Excelsior
Draw1 - 1Draw
AZ Alkmaar2 - 0
League games at Excelsior since 2015
Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar
Goals: Scored
13
11
Games: Scored
6 / 6
6 / 6
Clean sheets
0 / 6
0 / 6
AZ
1
D
3
EXC
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Excelsior
Draw1 - 1Draw
Excelsior2 - 1
Excelsior4 - 2
1 - 2AZ Alkmaar
Draw3 - 3Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.6 is fairly strong for AZ in their meeting with Excelsior, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 32 consecutive Eredivisie outings.

AZ Alkmaar 5th Excelsior 13th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.6
goals
1.4
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
8%
1
20%
2
25%
3
22%
4+
25%
There is a 25% probability that AZ Alkmaar will score 4 or more goals in this match
0
24%
1
34%
2
24%
3
12%
4+
There is a 76% probability that Excelsior will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-1
AZ Alkmaar’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-1
Excelsior’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.0
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
2.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Eredivisie - 2025/2026 season
AZ Alkmaar
PG (predicted goals)
Excelsior
2.6
1.4
Attack rating
31%
better
AZ
EXC
view stats
Games scored13
11
Failed to score1
4
Scored first9
9
Goals scored26
14
Avg. goals scored1.7
0.9
Avg. shots per game11
9
Avg. shots per goal6
9
Conversion rate for16
11
Avg. XG for2.1
1.4
KickOff rating
+31%
Defence rating
5%
better
AZ
EXC
view stats
Games conceded11
12
Clean sheets3
3
Conceded first5
6
Goals conceded22
26
Avg. goals conceded1.5
1.7
Avg. shots/game conceded9
12
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
7
Conversion rate against17%
14%
Avg. XG against1.4
2
KickOff rating
+5%

AZ Alkmaar v Excelsior Eredivisie lLine ups will show here when available.

AZ Alkmaar Eredivisie squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
15857
A PenetraT ParrottS MijnansW Goes
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Penetra DEF151
3
-
S Mijnans MID1535
1
-
W Goes DEF14
7
-
M Wit DEF1411
6
-
P Koopmeiners MID14
2
-
K. Smit MID1422
4
-
I Jensen FWD141
-
R Owusu-Oduro GLK13
-
I Sadiq FWD122
2
-
Weslley FWD1222
-
D Kasius DEF1121
2
-
M Šín MID1111
1
-
T Parrott FWD108
2
-
L Zeefuik FWD10
1
-
M. Chávez García DEF91
2
-
M Meerdink FWD831
1
-
R. Daal FWD81
-
J Clasie MID7
3
1
D. Kwakman MID5
-
M Dekker DEF4
-
E. Dijkstra DEF4
-
J Zoet GLK3
-
Excelsior Eredivisie squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
15424
C WidellN NaujoksR MeissenI Bronkhorst
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Meissen DEF152
3
-
I Bronkhorst DEF15
4
-
C Widell DEF15
2
-
D Fernandes FWD1511
-
G Regt FWD1521
2
-
A Carlén MID141
3
-
S Gassel GLK13
-
M Duinen FWD131
1
-
A Zagre DEF121
3
1
I Yegoian MID1212
1
-
N Naujoks MID124
1
-
S Wlodarczyk FWD112
-
J. Armantrading FWD9
1
-
S Mitrovic FWD9
-
L Schouten DEF71
-
N. Martens DEF71
-
S. Hendrikx DEF6
1
S. Middendorp MID6
1
D. Yun FWD61
1
-
C. Nadje MID5
1
-
S Janssen DEF4
-
L Hartjes MID3
-
Z. Booth FWD3
-
C Raatsie GLK2
-
M Tielemans MID2
-
T. Holla GLK1
-
N. Groen FWD1
-