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AZ v Heracles Almelo : Eredivisie match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 15th Mar, 13:30 BST, AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar

Maarten Martens's AZ side are on home soil in the Eredivisie on Sunday afternoon, as Bas Sibum's Heracles Almelo visit the AFAS Stadion. This preview has the best odds for seventeen different betting markets, alongside bespoke data that changes as you go through them. Our predictions run off 20-game form, so all statistics are shown from a 20-game perspective. Home, away and overall records can be explored, while you'll also find head-to-head history a little further down the page.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Eredivisie Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: AZ Alkmaar to win

As the AZ Alkmaar players prepare themselves for this game, the bookmakers have predicted success for them. The odds and our pre-match statistics below also point that way, as does the historical head-to-head (H2H) information we use in our predictive algorithms. The AFAS Stadion hasn't been an easy place to go for Heracles in the past, and we we think that will be the case again on Sunday afternoon. A win / draw / win home win is the way to go.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think AZ Alkmaar are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 60% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.44.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
AZ Alkmaar
60%
21/50
6%
4/9
Draw
20%
4/1
10%
19/5
Heracles
20%
11/2
22%
11/2
AZ Alkmaar 2-1
10%
15/2
6%
13/2
Draw 1-1
8%
17/2
5%
7/1
AZ Alkmaar 2-0
8%
7/1
6%
13/2
AZ Alkmaar 3-1
7%
10/1
10%
9/1
AZ Alkmaar 1-0
7%
8/1
15%
7/1
Draw 2-2
6%
16/112/1
AZ Alkmaar 3-0
6%
9/1
11%
8/1
Heracles 2-1
5%
18/1
19%
14/1
13%
AZ Alkmaar 3-2
4%
20/116/1
AZ Alkmaar 4-1
4%
18/1
27%
14/1
Heracles 1-0
4%
20/1
19%
14/1
AZ Alkmaar 4-0
3%
16/1
31%
12/1
Draw 0-0
3%
16/1
19%
14/1
AZ Alkmaar 4-2
3%
33/1
17%
22/1
Heracles 3-2
2%
40/1
20%
33/1
Over 2.5 Goals
68%
8/15
6%
8/15
Under 2.5 Goals
32%
7/5
11%
11/8
Home 1st Goal
55%
2/5
5%
4/11
1%
Away 1st Goal
44%
15/8
8%
11/5
3%
No 1st Goal
1%
16/1
19%
14/1
BTTS - Yes
64%
3/48/11
BTTS - No
36%
1/11/1
BTTS - Home Win
34%
15/8
6%
9/5
BTTS - Draw
17%
5/1
8%
9/2
BTTS - Away Win
13%
10/1
20%
8/1
Home/draw
80%
1/9
3%
1/9
Away/draw
40%
7/4
12%
17/10
3%
Home/away
80%
1/6
1%
2/11
Over 1.5 Goals
87%
1/6
4%
2/13
Under 1.5 Goals
13%
4/1
17%
19/5
Over 3.5 Goals
47%
11/8
7%
13/10
Under 3.5 Goals
53%
8/15
6%
4/7
Over 4.5 Goals
28%
3/1
14%
29/10
Under 4.5 Goals
72%
2/9
5%
2/9
Over 5.5 Goals
14%
7/1
23%
6/1
Under 5.5 Goals
86%
1/12
3%
1/12
Over 0.5 Goals
97%
1/40
1%
1/66
Under 0.5 Goals
3%
16/1
19%
14/1
Home DNB
74%
1/6
4%
2/13
1%
Away DNB
34%
4/1
21%
19/5
5%
AZ Alkmaar win to nil
26%
13/8
5%
-
Heracles win to nil
7%
12/1
24%
-
AZ Alkmaar / AZ Alkmaar
39%
11/10
9%
21/20
3%
AZ Alkmaar / Heracles
2%
40/128/1
AZ Alkmaar / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Draw / AZ Alkmaar
19%
10/3
8%
17/5
2%
Draw / Heracles
6%
14/1
21%
11/1
Draw / Draw
11%
13/2
17%
6/1
Heracles / AZ Alkmaar
4%
18/1
12%
16/1
Heracles / Heracles
8%
11/1
20%
8/1
6%
Heracles / Draw
5%
16/1
10%
14/1
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Win / draw / win Eredivisie table

AZ Alkmaar have played 26 matches so far this season and lay in 6th place in the Eredivisie league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 18 games against teams below in the table, having won 10, drawn 4 and lost 4 matches. They have kept 4 clean sheets and have failed to score in 1 fixture. AZ Alkmaar have outscored their opponents by 43 goals to 32 goals.

Home League Performance

AZ Alkmaar have played 12 games at home winning 5, drawing 5 and losing 2 games. They have scored 25 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and conceded 21 goals at home.

Heracles are in 18th position in the Eredivisie on 18 points having played 26 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

11 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 37 goals and kept no clean sheets. They have scored 11 goals in total and failed to score in 6 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

26 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 18 games, drawn 3 and won 5. Heracles have conceded 65 goals, scored 32, failed to score in 11 fixtures and have kept 2 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
AZ Alkmaar
Heracles
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
PSV2622224468 
l
 
1-5A
l
 
2-1F
l
 
1-3A
l
 
4-3A
2
Feyenoord2615472049 
d
 
3-3F
May 10
l
 
0-7A
l
 
4-2A
3
NEC2613762146 
l
 
1-3A
l
 
2-1A
l
 
1-4F
l
 
4-1A
4
Twente26111141844 
May 3
l
 
1-0A
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-1F
5
Ajax26111141444 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-2F
Apr 11
l
 
2-0A
6
AZ Alkmaar261169139 
-
-
l
 
1-2A
Mar 15
7
S.Rotterdam2611510-1038 
w
 
3-1F
w
 
0-1F
w
 
3-0F
l
 
2-0A
8
Heerenveen261079037 
Apr 12
l
 
3-1A
l
 
0-3A
Apr 5
9
Utrecht26989735 
w
 
4-1F
l
 
2-0A
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
4-0A
10
Groningen2610412034 
w
 
4-1F
Mar 22
May 17
l
 
4-0A
11
Fortuna269512-932 
Apr 4
l
 
4-3A
w
 
2-1F
d
 
1-1A
12
GA Eagles266119-429 
d
 
2-2A
Apr 23
w
 
4-2F
l
 
4-0A
13
PEC Zwolle267811-1629 
d
 
2-2F
l
 
3-1A
w
 
8-2A
May 3
14
FC Volendam267613-1527 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
2-2A
Apr 26
l
 
3-0A
15
Excelsior267514-1726 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
1-2A
Mar 20
w
 
1-2A
16
Telstar265912-724 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-1F
d
 
1-1A
May 10
17
NAC265813-1423 
May 17
w
 
0-1F
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-1F
18
Heracles265318-3318 
Mar 15
w
 
1-2F
-
-
UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
UEFA Europa League Qualifiers
UEFA Conference League Qualifiers Play Off
Relegation Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
5
Heracles have lost 5 consecutive away league games
6
Heracles have not won in 6 consecutive away league games
AZ Alkmaar 6TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
40
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
9
Draw
8
L
3
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
AZ Alkmaar3 - 1S.Rotterdam
AZ Alkmaar1 - 1Ajax
AZ Alkmaar1 - 3NEC
AZ Alkmaar1 - 1Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar1 - 0FC Volendam
AZ Alkmaar2 - 2GA Eagles
AZ Alkmaar1 - 5PSV
AZ Alkmaar4 - 1Utrecht
AZ Alkmaar2 - 1Telstar
AZ Alkmaar2 - 2PEC Zwolle
AZ Alkmaar3 - 3Feyenoord
AZ Alkmaar4 - 1Groningen
AZ Alkmaar3 - 2Twente
AZ Alkmaar4 - 1Heerenveen
AZ Alkmaar1 - 1Almere City
AZ Alkmaar3 - 0Groningen
AZ Alkmaar1 - 1NAC
AZ Alkmaar0 - 1Feyenoord
AZ Alkmaar2 - 2Waalwijk
AZ Alkmaar1 - 0Fortuna
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
8
D
3
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AAZ Alkmaar1 - 2PSV
AAZ Alkmaar0 - 2Utrecht
HAZ Alkmaar3 - 1S.Rotterdam
AAZ Alkmaar2 - 1Excelsior
HAZ Alkmaar1 - 1Ajax
HAZ Alkmaar1 - 3NEC
AAZ Alkmaar1 - 0Telstar
HAZ Alkmaar1 - 1Excelsior
AAZ Alkmaar1 - 3PEC Zwolle
HAZ Alkmaar1 - 0FC Volendam
AAZ Alkmaar3 - 4Fortuna
HAZ Alkmaar2 - 2GA Eagles
AAZ Alkmaar0 - 1Twente
AAZ Alkmaar1 - 3Heerenveen
HAZ Alkmaar1 - 5PSV
AAZ Alkmaar1 - 0S.Rotterdam
HAZ Alkmaar4 - 1Utrecht
AAZ Alkmaar2 - 0Ajax
HAZ Alkmaar2 - 1Telstar
AAZ Alkmaar1 - 2NEC
Heracles 18TH
20 league games
Away
5
Overall
Goals: Scored
16
Conceded
52
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
W
2
D
3
Lost
15
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
GA Eagles4 - 0Heracles
NEC4 - 1Heracles
Feyenoord4 - 2Heracles
S.Rotterdam2 - 0Heracles
PSV4 - 3Heracles
Fortuna1 - 1Heracles
Excelsior1 - 2Heracles
FC Volendam3 - 0Heracles
Twente2 - 1Heracles
NAC2 - 1Heracles
Groningen4 - 0Heracles
Ajax2 - 0Heracles
Utrecht4 - 0Heracles
PSV4 - 1Heracles
Willem II1 - 2Heracles
Groningen4 - 1Heracles
Waalwijk0 - 0Heracles
Heerenveen1 - 1Heracles
Fortuna1 - 0Heracles
Ajax4 - 0Heracles
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
47
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
5
D
3
Lost
12
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HHeracles0 - 0Utrecht
HHeracles1 - 3PSV
AHeracles0 - 4GA Eagles
HHeracles0 - 1NAC
AHeracles1 - 4NEC
HHeracles2 - 1Fortuna
AHeracles2 - 4Feyenoord
HHeracles0 - 2Twente
AHeracles0 - 2S.Rotterdam
HHeracles0 - 3Heerenveen
AHeracles3 - 4PSV
HHeracles1 - 1Telstar
AHeracles1 - 1Fortuna
HHeracles4 - 2GA Eagles
AHeracles2 - 1Excelsior
HHeracles8 - 2PEC Zwolle
AHeracles0 - 3FC Volendam
HHeracles0 - 7Feyenoord
AHeracles1 - 2Twente
HHeracles3 - 0S.Rotterdam
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
9
AZ Alkmaar have not lost to Heracles in 9 consecutive home league meetings
League games at AZ Alkmaar since 2015
AZ Alkmaar
Heracles
Goals: Scored
26
5
Games: Scored
9 / 9
5 / 9
Clean sheets
4 / 9
0 / 9
AZ
8
D
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT AZ Alkmaar
AZ Alkmaar1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
AZ Alkmaar2 - 1
AZ Alkmaar5 - 0
AZ Alkmaar2 - 0
AZ Alkmaar2 - 1
AZ Alkmaar5 - 0
AZ Alkmaar5 - 1
AZ Alkmaar3 - 1
League games at Heracles since 2016
Heracles
AZ Alkmaar
Goals: Scored
18
19
Games: Scored
8 / 9
7 / 9
Clean sheets
2 / 9
1 / 9
AZ
5
HER
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Heracles
1 - 2AZ Alkmaar
Heracles1 - 0
Heracles5 - 0
Heracles3 - 2
1 - 2AZ Alkmaar
Heracles3 - 2
0 - 3AZ Alkmaar
1 - 2AZ Alkmaar
3 - 6AZ Alkmaar
Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.3 is fairly strong for AZ in their clash with Heracles Almelo, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 43 consecutive Eredivisie matches.

AZ's defensive record is very strong, M. Martens's men having conceded 1 or less in 5 consecutive Eredivisie outings. An average PG rating of 1.2 for Heracles Almelo makes sense in this context.

AZ Alkmaar 6th Heracles 18th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.3
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
10%
1
24%
2
27%
3
20%
4+
19%
There is a 66% probability that AZ Alkmaar will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 65% probability that Heracles will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-4
AZ Alkmaar’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-24
Heracles have scored 24% fewer goals when away than predicted
2.0
average goals scored
0.8
average goals scored
1.5
conceded
2.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Eredivisie - 2025/2026 season
AZ Alkmaar
PG (predicted goals)
Heracles
2.3
1.2
Attack rating
33%
better
AZ
HER
view stats
Games scored24
15
Failed to score2
11
Scored first15
6
Goals scored43
32
Avg. goals scored1.7
1.2
Avg. shots per game11
9
Avg. shots per goal7
7
Conversion rate for15
14
Avg. XG for1.9
1.3
KickOff rating
+33%
Defence rating
29%
better
AZ
HER
view stats
Games conceded21
24
Clean sheets5
2
Conceded first11
19
Goals conceded42
65
Avg. goals conceded1.6
2.5
Avg. shots/game conceded9
12
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
5
Conversion rate against18%
20%
Avg. XG against1.4
2
KickOff rating
+29%

AZ Alkmaar v Heracles Eredivisie lLine ups will show here when available.

AZ Alkmaar Eredivisie squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
261359
A PenetraT ParrottS MijnansW Goes
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Penetra DEF2621
5
-
M Wit DEF2524
8
-
W Goes DEF251
9
-
I Jensen FWD2513
-
P Koopmeiners MID241
5
-
S Mijnans MID2265
1
-
T Parrott FWD21131
3
-
K. Smit MID2032
5
-
Weslley FWD2022
-
R Owusu-Oduro GLK18
1
-
I Sadiq FWD182
3
-
M. Chávez García DEF172
5
-
R. Daal FWD171
-
M Šín MID1611
1
-
E. Dijkstra DEF12
1
-
D Kasius DEF1221
2
-
M Meerdink FWD1131
1
-
L Zeefuik FWD10
1
-
J Zoet GLK91
-
J Clasie MID7
3
1
M Dekker DEF6
-
D. Kwakman MID6
-
S Maikuma DEF5
-
B Duijl DEF31
-
Heracles Eredivisie squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
251067
I MesíkJ HornkampA Hrustic I Mesík
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
I Mesík DEF252
7
-
D Mirani DEF253
5
-
A Hrustic  MID2416
5
-
L. Kulenović FWD2453
-
T Bruns MID211
2
-
J Žambůrek MID211
5
-
M Wierik DEF201
2
-
T Gilst FWD201
2
-
B Limbombe FWD2013
1
-
M Benita DEF19
4
-
W Ould-Chikh MID1914
2
-
A Hoorenbeeck DEF182
3
-
M Engels FWD172
2
1
D Kust DEF152
1
-
J Wieckhoff DEF14
1
-
J Hornkamp FWD14101
2
1
T Jansink GLK12
-
Y Sanches FWD112
-
S Scheperman MID91
1
-
F Keijzer GLK8
-
S Cestic DEF2
-
J. Tijink DEF1
-
J Reine-Adélaïde MID1
-