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Excelsior v Ajax : Eredivisie match betting preview, prediction and odds

Van Donge & De Roo Stadion, Rotterdam

Fred Grim pays counterpart Ruben den Uil a visit on Sunday morning in the Eredivisie, as their Ajax and Excelsior charges go head to head at the Van Donge & De Roo Stadion. It's our aim to give you everything you need to make a smart bet on this encounter, so we've searched our extensive database and found the stats that matter the most. Head to head (H2H) and recent form is included, and these are used to generate our predictions. Odds are there to get you maximum bang for your buck.

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Excelsior's next match is v AZ Alkmaar at 17:45 on Saturday 14th February
Ajax's next match is v Fortuna at 19:00 on Saturday 14th February
The last Dutch Eredivisie meeting between Excelsior and Ajax was on Sunday 1st February 2026
Dutch Eredivisie
February 1st 2026
Excelsior 2
2 Ajax
 
M. Jonathans 74'21' M. Godts
A. Zagre 79'40' M. Godts
 
EXC
AJA
Shots On
5
3
Shots Off
4
5
Corners
4
1
Possession
48%
52%
Fouls
12
5
Yellow/red cards
1/0
 
ExcelsiorAjax
 
S. van Gassel
I. Bronkhorst
R. Meissen
C. Widell
A. Zagrefootball icon
N. Naujoks
E. Hansson (G. de Regt 62')
L. Hartjes (M. van Duinen 89')
I. Yegoian
D. Sanches Fernandes (M. Jonathans 63')
J. Armantrading (L. Schouten 63')
V. Jaroš
A. Gaaei
Y. Baas
J. Šutalo
Y. Regeer
D. Klaassen
(W. Weghorst 67') K. Dolberg
football iconfootball iconM. Godts
(T. Tomiyasu 80') J. Mokio
(O. Edvardsen 67') R. Bounida
(J. Johnson 80') S. Steur

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Eredivisie Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Both teams to score

Both Ajax and Excelsior fans may have some reason for celebration ahead as their teams go head-to-head, with our prediction of both teams to score looking a much better pick than any bet on the full time result market. The two sides are more than capable of finding the net, as is borne out by the stats and past head-to-head data below. Even the bookies odds are not finding much to pick between the sides, with equal threat among their respective squads. Both teams to score is our top tip.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 47% chance of Ajax coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Excelsior
30%
16/5
21%
45/1
Draw
23%
11/4
5%
1/50
Ajax
47%
4/5
9%
16/1
Draw 1-1
10%
13/2
7%
13/2
Ajax 2-1
9%
15/210/11
Ajax 1-0
8%
9/1
5%
13/2
Excelsior 2-1
7%
14/1
13%
14/1
Ajax 2-0
7%
9/1
5%
5/4
Draw 2-2
6%
11/1
8%
2/13
Excelsior 1-0
6%
16/1
12%
9/1
Ajax 3-1
6%
12/1
8%
7/2
Draw 0-0
4%
14/117/2
Ajax 3-0
4%
14/1
13%
16/5
Excelsior 2-0
4%
22/1
12%
16/1
Ajax 3-2
4%
20/1
11%
13/2
Excelsior 3-1
3%
28/1
17%
33/1
Excelsior 3-2
3%
28/1
17%
10/1
Ajax 4-1
2%
22/1
9%
14/1
Over 2.5 Goals
61%
4/74/7
Under 2.5 Goals
39%
27/205/4
Home 1st Goal
46%
11/8
5%
6/4
Away 1st Goal
52%
8/13
3%
13/20
No 1st Goal
2%
14/117/2
BTTS - Yes
62%
4/7
3%
13/8
BTTS - No
38%
5/4
2%
4/9
BTTS - Home Win
17%
6/1
14%
10/1
BTTS - Draw
19%
7/2
6%
1/7
BTTS - Away Win
26%
11/5
3%
6/1
Home/draw
53%
19/20
15%
1/14
Away/draw
70%
2/9
3%
1/33
Home/away
77%
1/4
2%
4/1
Over 1.5 Goals
82%
1/61/14
Under 1.5 Goals
18%
4/113/2
Over 3.5 Goals
39%
11/84/5
Under 3.5 Goals
61%
8/1510/11
Over 4.5 Goals
21%
10/319/5
Under 4.5 Goals
79%
1/52/13
Over 5.5 Goals
10%
8/125/1
Under 5.5 Goals
90%
1/141/1000
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1/401/25
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
14/19/1
Home DNB
46%
9/4
15%
6/4
Away DNB
63%
1/3
6%
10/21
Excelsior win to nil
12%
8/1
10%
-
Ajax win to nil
21%
5/2
7%
-
Excelsior / Excelsior
13%
11/2
14%
33/1
Excelsior / Ajax
4%
18/11/50
Excelsior / Draw
6%
14/11/50
Draw / Excelsior
9%
8/1
16%
80/1
Draw / Ajax
16%
4/1
5%
66/1
Draw / Draw
13%
11/2
8%
70/1
Ajax / Excelsior
3%
28/1
17%
22/1
Ajax / Ajax
30%
7/4
5%
1/16
Ajax / Draw
6%
12/19/1
Win / draw / win Eredivisie table

Excelsior have played 20 matches so far this season and are in 13th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

14 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 8 games, drawn 2 and won 4. Excelsior have conceded 26 goals, scored 12, failed to score in 4 matches and kept 3 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Excelsior have played 10 games at home, winning 4, drawing 1 and losing 5 fixtures. They have scored 10 goals, conceded 12 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and failed to score 2 times in home league games.

Ajax lay in 4th place on 37 points in the Eredivisie league table having played 20 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 17 games against teams below them in the table, winning 9, drawing 5 and losing 3 games. They have scored 33 goals and kept 4 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Ajax have conceded 22 goals and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

Ajax have played 9 away games, winning 3, drawing 5 and losing 1 game. They have scored an average of 2.2 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.9 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Excelsior
Ajax
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
PSV2219214059 
l
 
1-2F
l
 
5-1A
May 2
d
 
2-2A
2
Feyenoord2213362042 
l
 
1-2F
Mar 15
w
 
2-0F
Mar 22
3
NEC2112542141 
Apr 4
l
 
5-0A
Feb 21
d
 
2-2A
4
Ajax2210931339 
d
 
2-2A
w
 
1-2F
-
-
5
S.Rotterdam221138-736 
l
 
0-1A
May 17
Mar 14
d
 
3-3F
6
Twente2281041234 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 4
w
 
2-3A
7
AZ Alkmaar22967133 
Feb 14
d
 
1-1A
l
 
0-2A
d
 
1-1A
8
Groningen22949131 
l
 
0-2A
May 2
w
 
2-0F
Mar 7
9
Fortuna227510-526 
w
 
1-0F
Feb 20
Feb 14
w
 
1-3A
10
Excelsior227510-1326 
-
-
l
 
1-2A
d
 
2-2F
11
PEC Zwolle227510-1426 
w
 
2-1F
Apr 12
w
 
3-1F
Mar 1
12
Heerenveen21678-425 
Mar 7
l
 
2-1F
d
 
1-1F
May 17
13
Utrecht21669224 
Apr 26
l
 
4-1A
May 10
l
 
2-1A
14
GA Eagles214116-323 
Mar 1
l
 
2-0A
d
 
2-2F
d
 
2-2F
15
FC Volendam225611-1321 
May 10
w
 
1-2F
w
 
2-0F
d
 
1-1A
16
Telstar223811-1217 
d
 
2-2A
d
 
2-2A
w
 
2-0F
w
 
2-3F
17
Heracles225215-2617 
l
 
1-2F
Mar 20
w
 
2-0F
Apr 11
18
NAC223712-1316 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-2F
w
 
2-1F
Apr 25
UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
UEFA Europa League Qualifiers
UEFA Conference League Qualifiers Play Off
Relegation Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Excelsior 10TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
D
4
Lost
9
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
6
D
4
Lost
10
Ajax 4TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
11
Draw
6
L
3
Goals: Scored
39
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
10
Draw
7
L
3
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
6
Ajax have not lost to Excelsior in 6 consecutive away league meetings
League games at Excelsior since 2015
Excelsior
Ajax
Goals: Scored
6
18
Games: Scored
5 / 6
6 / 6
Clean sheets
0 / 6
1 / 6
D
2
AJA
4
League games at Ajax since 2016
Ajax
Excelsior
Goals: Scored
23
8
Games: Scored
7 / 7
5 / 7
Clean sheets
2 / 7
0 / 7
EXC
1
D
1
AJA
5
Goal Statistics

Ajax have been reliable in attack of late, finding the net in 11 consecutive Eredivisie outings. Their PG of 1.8 against Excelsior on Sunday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Excelsior 10th Ajax 4th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
1.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 75% probability that Excelsior will score 1 or more goals
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4+
11%
There is a 83% probability that Ajax will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-16
Excelsior have scored 16% fewer goals at home than predicted
+3
Ajax’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.3
average goals scored
1.9
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Eredivisie - 2025/2026 season
Excelsior
PG (predicted goals)
Ajax
1.4
1.8
Attack rating
EXC
AJA
36%
better
view stats
Games scored15
19
Failed to score5
1
Scored first10
12
Goals scored20
39
Avg. goals scored1
2
Avg. shots per game9
12
Avg. shots per goal9
6
Conversion rate for12
17
Avg. XG for1.4
1.8
KickOff rating
+36%
Defence rating
EXC
AJA
13%
better
view stats
Games conceded16
15
Clean sheets4
5
Conceded first9
8
Goals conceded35
26
Avg. goals conceded1.8
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded11
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
7
Conversion rate against15%
14%
Avg. XG against1.9
1.4
KickOff rating
+13%

Excelsior v Ajax Eredivisie lLine ups will show here when available.

Excelsior Eredivisie squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
22646
C WidellN NaujoksG RegtA Zagre
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S Gassel GLK20
-
I Bronkhorst DEF221
4
-
C Widell DEF22
2
-
R Meissen DEF212
3
-
A Zagre DEF192
5
1
I Yegoian MID1942
1
-
L Hartjes MID9
1
-
D Fernandes MID2112
-
N Naujoks MID196
2
-
E Hansson MID51
1
-
J. Armantrading FWD16
1
-
Subs
C Raatsie GLK2
-
S. Hendrikx DEF8
1
L Schouten DEF121
1
-
S Janssen DEF81
-
N. Martens DEF91
-
C. Nadje MID7
2
-
A Carlén MID171
4
-
G Regt FWD2224
3
-
M Jonathans FWD52
1
-
M Duinen FWD1911
1
-
Ajax Eredivisie squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
191074
Y Baas M GodtsM GodtsY Regeer
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
V Jaroš GLK18
1
-
A Gaaei DEF183
2
-
J Sutalo DEF13
1
-
Y Baas  DEF1941
2
1
J. Mokio DEF151
-
D Klaassen MID2242
1
-
Y Regeer MID182
4
-
S. Steur MID8
-
R. Bounida FWD124
2
-
K Dolberg FWD1231
1
-
M Godts FWD20107
2
-
Subs
J. Heerkens GLK
-
P. Peters Reverson GLK
-
A. Bouwman DEF61
2
-
T Tomiyasu DEF1
-
G. Alders DEF1
-
T. Peters MID
-
J. Johnson MID1
-
A. Ouazane MID
-
O Edvardsen FWD141
2
-
S Berghuis  FWD812
-
W Weghorst FWD1761
4
-