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Excelsior v AZ : Eredivisie match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 14th Feb, 17:45 BST, Van Donge & De Roo Stadion, Rotterdam

Ruben den Uil and Maarten Martens clash in the Eredivisie on Saturday evening, as Excelsior face AZ at the Van Donge & De Roo Stadion. For each and every Eredivisie preview, KickOff explores the statistics for seventeen major betting markets. Important stats, including head-to-head results, are then given alongside the best odds.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Eredivisie Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

KickOff's predictive algorithm suggests there is a 78% probability of Excelsior and AZ Alkmaar serving up at least two goals in this Eredivisie tie. Recent form statistics and head-to-head (H2H) records are factored into that calculation , and the bookies are predicting the same. This over 1.5 goals tip is available at a best price of 1.17.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 41% chance of AZ Alkmaar coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Excelsior
33%
5/2
15%
5/2
22%
Draw
26%
14/514/5
3%
AZ Alkmaar
41%
19/20
8%
1/1
16%
Draw 1-1
12%
13/2
6%
6/1
AZ Alkmaar 1-0
10%
17/2
5%
15/2
AZ Alkmaar 2-1
9%
15/27/1
7%
Excelsior 1-0
9%
12/1
24%
10/1
15%
Excelsior 2-1
8%
11/1
20%
9/1
17%
AZ Alkmaar 2-0
7%
10/1
10%
17/2
6%
Draw 0-0
7%
14/1
12%
11/1
8%
Draw 2-2
6%
12/19/1
9%
Excelsior 2-0
5%
20/1
19%
14/1
21%
AZ Alkmaar 3-1
4%
14/1
25%
11/1
20%
AZ Alkmaar 3-0
3%
16/1
13%
14/1
25%
Excelsior 3-1
3%
25/1
24%
20/1
9%
AZ Alkmaar 3-2
3%
20/1
11%
16/1
13%
Excelsior 3-2
2%
28/1
15%
20/1
9%
Excelsior 3-0
2%
40/1
20%
25/1
24%
Over 2.5 Goals
51%
13/20
5%
3/5
3%
Under 2.5 Goals
49%
6/5
6%
6/5
4%
Home 1st Goal
46%
6/5
8%
13/10
12%
Away 1st Goal
50%
4/6
9%
7/10
8%
No 1st Goal
4%
14/1
12%
11/1
BTTS - Yes
55%
4/74/7
BTTS - No
45%
5/45/4
2%
BTTS - Home Win
16%
5/1
14%
9/2
15%
BTTS - Draw
19%
7/2
5%
10/3
2%
BTTS - Away Win
19%
5/2
17%
12/5
13%
Home/draw
59%
4/5
8%
4/5
12%
Away/draw
67%
2/7
6%
3/10
8%
Home/away
74%
1/41/4
Over 1.5 Goals
75%
1/5
3%
2/11
1%
Under 1.5 Goals
25%
10/3
13%
10/3
6%
Over 3.5 Goals
29%
13/8
17%
6/4
9%
Under 3.5 Goals
71%
4/9
8%
1/2
3%
Over 4.5 Goals
14%
7/2
13%
17/5
10%
Under 4.5 Goals
86%
2/11
3%
2/11
3%
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
9/1
25%
7/1
14%
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
1/16
2%
1/16
2%
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1/401/50
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
14/1
12%
11/1
8%
Home DNB
51%
13/8
25%
6/4
23%
Away DNB
59%
4/9
12%
10/21
14%
Excelsior win to nil
17%
6/1
30%
-
AZ Alkmaar win to nil
21%
11/4
10%
-
Excelsior / Excelsior
15%
5/1
20%
4/1
23%
Excelsior / AZ Alkmaar
4%
20/1
11%
16/1
Excelsior / Draw
6%
14/111/1
Draw / Excelsior
10%
7/1
20%
7/1
16%
Draw / AZ Alkmaar
15%
9/2
10%
17/4
9%
Draw / Draw
14%
5/1
14%
19/4
4%
AZ Alkmaar / Excelsior
3%
28/122/1
12%
AZ Alkmaar / AZ Alkmaar
27%
21/10
19%
19/10
16%
AZ Alkmaar / Draw
6%
12/111/1
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Win / draw / win Eredivisie table

Excelsior have played 22 matches so far this season and are in 10th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

12 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 6 games, drawn 3 and won 3. Excelsior have conceded 21 goals, scored 10, failed to score in 4 matches and kept 3 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Excelsior have played 11 games at home, winning 4, drawing 2 and losing 5 fixtures. They have scored 12 goals, conceded 14 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and failed to score 2 times in home league games.

AZ Alkmaar lay in 7th place on 33 points in the Eredivisie league table having played 22 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 14 games against teams below them in the table, winning 7, drawing 4 and losing 3 games. They have scored 27 goals and kept 3 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. AZ Alkmaar have conceded 21 goals and scored in every game.

Away league performance

AZ Alkmaar have played 11 away games, winning 5, drawing 1 and losing 5 games. They have scored an average of 1.4 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.5 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
PSV2219214059 
l
 
1-2F
l
 
5-1A
l
 
1-5A
Mar 7
2
Feyenoord2213362042 
l
 
1-2F
Mar 15
d
 
3-3F
May 10
3
NEC2112542141 
Apr 4
l
 
5-0A
l
 
1-3A
l
 
2-1A
4
Ajax2210931339 
d
 
2-2A
w
 
1-2F
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-2F
5
S.Rotterdam221138-736 
l
 
0-1A
May 17
Feb 22
w
 
0-1F
6
Twente2281041234 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
0-00-0
May 3
l
 
1-0A
7
AZ Alkmaar22967133 
Feb 14
d
 
1-1A
-
-
8
Groningen22949131 
l
 
0-2A
May 2
w
 
4-1F
Mar 22
9
Fortuna227510-526 
w
 
1-0F
Feb 20
Apr 4
l
 
4-3A
10
Excelsior227510-1326 
-
-
d
 
1-1F
Feb 14
11
PEC Zwolle227510-1426 
w
 
2-1F
Apr 12
d
 
2-2F
l
 
3-1A
12
Heerenveen21678-425 
Mar 7
l
 
2-1F
Apr 12
l
 
3-1A
13
Utrecht21669224 
Apr 26
l
 
4-1A
w
 
4-1F
Mar 1
14
GA Eagles214116-323 
Mar 1
l
 
2-0A
d
 
2-2A
Apr 23
15
FC Volendam225611-1321 
May 10
w
 
1-2F
w
 
1-0F
d
 
2-2A
16
Telstar223811-1217 
d
 
2-2A
d
 
2-2A
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-1F
17
Heracles225215-2617 
l
 
1-2F
Mar 20
Mar 15
w
 
1-2F
18
NAC223712-1316 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-2F
May 17
w
 
0-1F
UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
UEFA Europa League Qualifiers
UEFA Conference League Qualifiers Play Off
Relegation Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Excelsior 10TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
D
4
Lost
9
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Excelsior2 - 2Ajax
Excelsior2 - 2Telstar
Excelsior2 - 1PEC Zwolle
Excelsior0 - 2Groningen
Excelsior1 - 0NAC
Excelsior1 - 2Heracles
Excelsior1 - 0Fortuna
Excelsior1 - 2PSV
Excelsior0 - 1S.Rotterdam
Excelsior1 - 0Twente
Excelsior1 - 2Feyenoord
Excelsior4 - 0Heracles
Excelsior0 - 3NEC
Excelsior4 - 0FC Volendam
Excelsior0 - 2PSV
Excelsior1 - 1Waalwijk
Excelsior1 - 2Vitesse
Excelsior0 - 3Twente
Excelsior1 - 1Utrecht
Excelsior3 - 0Heerenveen
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AExcelsior2 - 0NAC
HExcelsior2 - 2Ajax
AExcelsior0 - 0Twente
AExcelsior1 - 1AZ Alkmaar
HExcelsior2 - 2Telstar
AExcelsior1 - 5PSV
HExcelsior2 - 1PEC Zwolle
HExcelsior0 - 2Groningen
HExcelsior1 - 0NAC
AExcelsior2 - 1Ajax
HExcelsior1 - 2Heracles
AExcelsior2 - 2Telstar
AExcelsior0 - 2GA Eagles
HExcelsior1 - 0Fortuna
AExcelsior1 - 2Heerenveen
HExcelsior1 - 2PSV
AExcelsior2 - 1FC Volendam
HExcelsior0 - 1S.Rotterdam
HExcelsior1 - 0Twente
AExcelsior1 - 4Utrecht
AZ Alkmaar 7TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
7
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Telstar0 - 1AZ Alkmaar
PEC Zwolle3 - 1AZ Alkmaar
Fortuna4 - 3AZ Alkmaar
Twente1 - 0AZ Alkmaar
Heerenveen3 - 1AZ Alkmaar
S.Rotterdam0 - 1AZ Alkmaar
Ajax0 - 2AZ Alkmaar
NEC2 - 1AZ Alkmaar
Heracles1 - 2AZ Alkmaar
NAC0 - 1AZ Alkmaar
FC Volendam2 - 2AZ Alkmaar
Twente2 - 3AZ Alkmaar
GA Eagles0 - 3AZ Alkmaar
Heracles1 - 0AZ Alkmaar
NEC3 - 3AZ Alkmaar
Ajax2 - 2AZ Alkmaar
Heerenveen3 - 1AZ Alkmaar
Willem II0 - 2AZ Alkmaar
Utrecht0 - 0AZ Alkmaar
PSV2 - 2AZ Alkmaar
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HAZ Alkmaar1 - 1Ajax
HAZ Alkmaar1 - 3NEC
AAZ Alkmaar1 - 0Telstar
HAZ Alkmaar1 - 1Excelsior
AAZ Alkmaar1 - 3PEC Zwolle
HAZ Alkmaar1 - 0FC Volendam
AAZ Alkmaar3 - 4Fortuna
HAZ Alkmaar2 - 2GA Eagles
AAZ Alkmaar0 - 1Twente
AAZ Alkmaar1 - 3Heerenveen
HAZ Alkmaar1 - 5PSV
AAZ Alkmaar1 - 0S.Rotterdam
HAZ Alkmaar4 - 1Utrecht
AAZ Alkmaar2 - 0Ajax
HAZ Alkmaar2 - 1Telstar
AAZ Alkmaar1 - 2NEC
HAZ Alkmaar2 - 2PEC Zwolle
HAZ Alkmaar3 - 3Feyenoord
AAZ Alkmaar2 - 1Heracles
AAZ Alkmaar1 - 0NAC
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Excelsior since 2015
Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar
Goals: Scored
13
11
Games: Scored
6 / 6
6 / 6
Clean sheets
0 / 6
0 / 6
EXC
2
D
3
AZ
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Excelsior
Draw1 - 1Draw
Excelsior2 - 1
Excelsior4 - 2
1 - 2AZ Alkmaar
Draw3 - 3Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
League games at AZ Alkmaar since 2016
AZ Alkmaar
Excelsior
Goals: Scored
15
5
Games: Scored
6 / 7
4 / 7
Clean sheets
3 / 7
1 / 7
EXC
1
D
2
AZ
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT AZ Alkmaar
Draw1 - 1Draw
AZ Alkmaar4 - 0
AZ Alkmaar5 - 0
AZ Alkmaar2 - 1
0 - 2Excelsior
Draw1 - 1Draw
AZ Alkmaar2 - 0
Goal Statistics

Goals have been difficult to come by for AZ of late. It has been 5 Eredivisie matches since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.4 suggests they'll have problems ending that run on Saturday evening against Excelsior.

Excelsior 10th AZ Alkmaar 7th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.4
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 64% probability that Excelsior will score no more than 1 goal
0
24%
1
34%
2
24%
3
12%
4+
There is a 76% probability that AZ Alkmaar will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-11
Excelsior have scored 11% fewer goals at home than predicted
-7
AZ Alkmaar’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.3
average goals scored
1.6
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Eredivisie - 2025/2026 season
Excelsior
PG (predicted goals)
AZ Alkmaar
1.3
1.4
Attack rating
EXC
AZ
28%
better
view stats
Games scored17
21
Failed to score5
1
Scored first11
13
Goals scored24
37
Avg. goals scored1.1
1.7
Avg. shots per game9
11
Avg. shots per goal8
7
Conversion rate for13
15
Avg. XG for1.3
2.1
KickOff rating
+28%
Defence rating
0%
better
EXC
AZ
view stats
Games conceded17
17
Clean sheets5
5
Conceded first10
9
Goals conceded37
36
Avg. goals conceded1.7
1.6
Avg. shots/game conceded11
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
6
Conversion rate against15%
18%
Avg. XG against1.9
1.4
KickOff rating
0%

Excelsior v AZ Alkmaar Eredivisie lLine ups will show here when available.

Excelsior Eredivisie squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
22646
C WidellN NaujoksG RegtA Zagre
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
I Bronkhorst DEF221
4
-
C Widell DEF22
2
-
G Regt FWD2224
3
-
R Meissen DEF212
3
-
D Fernandes FWD2112
-
S Gassel GLK20
-
A Zagre DEF192
5
1
I Yegoian MID1942
1
-
N Naujoks MID196
2
-
M Duinen FWD1911
1
-
A Carlén MID171
4
-
J. Armantrading FWD16
1
-
L Schouten DEF121
1
-
S Wlodarczyk FWD1221
-
N. Martens DEF91
-
L Hartjes MID9
1
-
S Mitrovic FWD9
-
S. Hendrikx DEF8
1
S Janssen DEF81
-
C. Nadje MID7
2
-
S. Middendorp MID6
1
D. Yun FWD61
1
-
Z. Booth FWD3
-
C Raatsie GLK2
-
M Tielemans MID2
-
T. Holla GLK1
-
N. Groen FWD1
-
AZ Alkmaar Eredivisie squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
221158
A PenetraT ParrottS MijnansM Wit
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Penetra DEF2211
4
-
M Wit DEF2122
8
-
W Goes DEF211
8
-
P Koopmeiners MID211
5
-
I Jensen FWD2112
-
S Mijnans MID1855
1
-
K. Smit MID1822
4
-
Weslley FWD1822
-
T Parrott FWD17111
2
-
I Sadiq FWD172
3
-
R Owusu-Oduro GLK16
-
M. Chávez García DEF151
4
-
M Šín MID1511
1
-
R. Daal FWD141
-
D Kasius DEF1121
2
-
L Zeefuik FWD10
1
-
E. Dijkstra DEF8
1
-
M Meerdink FWD831
1
-
J Zoet GLK7
-
J Clasie MID7
3
1
M Dekker DEF6
-
D. Kwakman MID6
-
S Maikuma DEF5
-