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Heracles Almelo v Ajax : Eredivisie match betting preview, prediction and odds

Polman Stadion, Almelo

Saturday night sees Ernest Faber’s Heracles Almelo and Óscar García Junyent’s Ajax go up against one another in a Eredivisie clash at the Polman Stadion. All of the important stats for the tie, including head to heads (H2Hs), predictions and odds from leading bookmakers across 17 of the biggest betting markets are included in this preview. It's all here with the aim of helping you make a well informed, intelligent bet.

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Heracles Almelo's next match is v FC Volendam at 13:30 on Sunday 26th April
Ajax's next match is v NAC at 19:00 on Saturday 25th April
The last Dutch Eredivisie meeting between Heracles and Ajax was on Saturday 11th April 2026
Dutch Eredivisie
April 11th 2026
Heracles 0
3 Ajax
 
16' M. Godts
17' S. Berghuis
47' S. Berghuis
 
HER
AJA
Shots On
3
6
Shots Off
8
7
Corners
7
5
Possession
40%
60%
Fouls
10
4
Yellow/red cards
2/0
0/1
 
HeraclesAjax
 
J. Wieckhoff (D. van der Kust 55')
D. Mirani
T. Bruns (S. Cestic 46')
T. van Gilst (E. Ahlstrand 55')
M. Engels
N. Ünüvar (L. Kulenović 54')
A. Van Hoorenbeeck
R. Pasveer
I. Mesík (W. Ould-Chikh 65')
S. Scheperman
L. Zeefuik
L. Rosa
A. Gaaei
(T. Tomiyasu 66') K. Itakura
Y. Baas
(S. Steur 84') O. Gloukh
(A. Bouwman 87') football iconM. Godts
(O. Edvardsen 84') football iconfootball iconS. Berghuis
J. Mokio
M. Paes
J. Šutalo
W. Weghorst

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Eredivisie Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Both teams to score

Heracles may feel positive ahead of this fixture and, funnily enough, so might Ajax. The bookies don't think there's much between them and neither do we – there's no obvious winner in this clash. So we look to the both teams to score market, where the signs are pointing in one direction. The form stats, past head-to-head (H2H) records and bookies odds below are all pointing towards both sides scoring, and that's what we'd recommend too.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 47% chance of Ajax coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Heracles
31%
17/41/50
Draw
22%
7/2150/1
Ajax
47%
8/151/1000
Draw 1-1
10%
8/16/1
Ajax 2-1
9%
15/26/1
Heracles 2-1
7%
16/112/1
Draw 2-2
7%
12/116/1
Ajax 1-0
6%
10/113/2
Ajax 2-0
6%
9/117/4
Ajax 3-1
6%
10/19/2
Heracles 1-0
5%
20/112/1
Ajax 3-2
4%
18/128/1
Ajax 3-0
4%
12/14/11
Heracles 2-0
4%
33/120/1
Heracles 3-1
4%
33/125/1
Draw 0-0
3%
20/111/1
Heracles 3-2
3%
33/145/1
Ajax 4-1
3%
18/122/1
Over 2.5 Goals
66%
4/92/15
Under 2.5 Goals
34%
17/1017/4
Home 1st Goal
47%
8/515/8
Away 1st Goal
51%
1/210/21
No 1st Goal
2%
20/111/1
BTTS - Yes
66%
8/156/1
BTTS - No
34%
11/81/12
BTTS - Home Win
19%
7/11/50
BTTS - Draw
19%
4/190/1
BTTS - Away Win
28%
13/817/5
Home/draw
53%
11/8125/1
Away/draw
69%
1/61/50
Home/away
78%
2/111/1000
Over 1.5 Goals
85%
1/81/5
Under 1.5 Goals
15%
5/116/5
Over 3.5 Goals
44%
11/1018/5
Under 3.5 Goals
56%
4/61/6
Over 4.5 Goals
25%
5/225/1
Under 4.5 Goals
75%
2/71/1000
Over 5.5 Goals
13%
11/280/1
Under 5.5 Goals
87%
1/91/1000
Over 0.5 Goals
97%
1/501/66
Under 0.5 Goals
3%
18/111/1
Home DNB
46%
3/11/50
Away DNB
63%
2/91/1000
Heracles win to nil
12%
12/1-
Ajax win to nil
19%
9/4-
Heracles / Heracles
9%
15/21/50
Heracles / Ajax
5%
16/11/50
Heracles / Draw
5%
14/11/50
Draw / Heracles
7%
11/1150/1
Draw / Ajax
18%
15/4100/1
Draw / Draw
11%
13/2150/1
Ajax / Heracles
3%
33/128/1
Ajax / Ajax
36%
13/101/33
Ajax / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Win / draw / win Eredivisie table

Heracles have played 29 matches so far this season and are in 18th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

29 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 20 games, drawn 4 and won 5. Heracles have conceded 74 goals, scored 34, failed to score in 12 matches and kept 2 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Heracles have played 14 games at home, winning 4, drawing 3 and losing 7 fixtures. They have scored 22 goals, conceded 29 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and failed to score 5 times in home league games.

Ajax lay in 5th place on 48 points in the Eredivisie league table having played 29 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 22 games against teams below them in the table, winning 10, drawing 8 and losing 4 games. They have scored 42 goals and kept 6 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Ajax have conceded 27 goals and have failed to score in 2 matches.

Away league performance

Ajax have played 14 away games, winning 3, drawing 9 and losing 2 games. They have scored an average of 1.8 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.7 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Heracles
Ajax
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
PSV3024244474 
l
 
1-3A
l
 
4-3A
May 2
d
 
2-2A
2
Feyenoord3016772155 
l
 
0-7A
l
 
4-2A
w
 
2-0F
d
 
1-1F
3
NEC3015962454 
l
 
1-4F
l
 
4-1A
d
 
1-1F
d
 
2-2A
4
Twente30141151953 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-1F
l
 
1-2A
w
 
2-3A
5
Ajax30131252051 
l
 
0-3A
l
 
2-0A
-
-
6
AZ Alkmaar3014610748 
l
 
1-2A
l
 
4-0A
l
 
0-2A
d
 
1-1A
7
Utrecht30128101344 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
4-0A
May 10
l
 
2-1A
8
Heerenveen3012810344 
l
 
0-3A
l
 
4-1F
d
 
1-1F
May 17
9
Groningen3012612542 
May 17
l
 
4-0A
w
 
2-0F
l
 
3-1A
10
S.Rotterdam3012612-1442 
w
 
3-0F
l
 
2-0A
w
 
4-0F
d
 
3-3F
11
GA Eagles3081210536 
w
 
4-2F
l
 
4-0A
d
 
2-2F
d
 
2-2F
12
Fortuna3010614-1136 
w
 
2-1F
d
 
1-1A
w
 
4-1F
w
 
1-3A
13
PEC Zwolle3081012-2034 
w
 
8-2A
May 3
w
 
3-1F
d
 
0-00-0
14
FC Volendam307716-1928 
Apr 26
l
 
3-0A
w
 
2-0F
d
 
1-1A
15
Excelsior307716-2028 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
1-2A
l
 
1-2A
d
 
2-2F
16
Telstar306915-1327 
d
 
1-1A
May 10
w
 
2-0F
w
 
2-3F
17
NAC3051015-2125 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-1F
w
 
2-1F
Apr 25
18
Heracles305421-4319 
-
-
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-3F
UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
UEFA Europa League Qualifiers
UEFA Conference League Qualifiers Play Off
Relegation Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
5
Ajax have not won in 5 consecutive away league games
Heracles 18TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
40
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
D
3
Lost
9
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
47
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
4
D
4
Lost
12
Ajax 5TH
20 league games
Away
5
Overall
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
7
Draw
10
L
3
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
8
Draw
8
L
4
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
6
Ajax have beaten Heracles in 6 consecutive league meetings
9
Ajax have not lost to Heracles in 9 consecutive league meetings
League games at Heracles since 2015
Heracles
Ajax
Goals: Scored
9
15
Games: Scored
5 / 9
6 / 9
Clean sheets
3 / 9
4 / 9
HER
3
D
1
AJA
5
League games at Ajax since 2016
Ajax
Heracles
Goals: Scored
28
4
Games: Scored
9 / 10
4 / 10
Clean sheets
6 / 10
1 / 10
D
2
AJA
8
Goal Statistics

Heracles Almelo's fans will be hoping for goals on Saturday night, not least because Ajax have conceded in each of their last 10 Eredivisie outings. A PG of 1.5 for E. Faber's side suggests that run should continue.

Heracles 18th Ajax 5th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
1.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that Heracles will score 1 or more goals
0
15%
1
29%
2
27%
3
17%
4+
12%
There is a 85% probability that Ajax will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+10
Heracles’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-9
Ajax’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.8
average goals scored
1.7
average goals scored
2.0
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Eredivisie - 2025/2026 season
Heracles
PG (predicted goals)
Ajax
1.5
1.9
Attack rating
HER
AJA
40%
better
view stats
Games scored17
27
Failed to score12
2
Scored first8
17
Goals scored34
54
Avg. goals scored1.2
1.9
Avg. shots per game9
11
Avg. shots per goal8
6
Conversion rate for13
17
Avg. XG for1.3
1.7
KickOff rating
+40%
Defence rating
HER
AJA
39%
better
view stats
Games conceded27
22
Clean sheets2
7
Conceded first20
11
Goals conceded74
37
Avg. goals conceded2.6
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded12
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
7
Conversion rate against21%
14%
Avg. XG against2.1
1.4
KickOff rating
+39%

Heracles v Ajax Eredivisie lLine ups will show here when available.

Heracles Eredivisie squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
29547
D MiraniL. KulenovićW Ould-ChikhI Mesík
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Pasveer GLK10
-
J Wieckhoff DEF18
3
-
D Mirani DEF293
6
-
A Hoorenbeeck DEF222
4
-
I Mesík DEF292
7
-
T Bruns MID241
3
-
T Gilst MID241
2
-
S Scheperman MID1311
2
-
M Engels FWD2012
3
1
L Zeefuik FWD122
4
-
N Ünüvar FWD91
1
-
Subs
T Jansink GLK12
-
R Mantel GLK
-
D Kust DEF172
1
-
S Cestic DEF4
-
E Ahlstrand MID101
-
R. Bozinovski MID6
1
-
S. Blokhuis MID1
-
W Ould-Chikh MID2114
3
-
B Limbombe FWD2113
1
-
L. Kulenović FWD2653
-
Y Sanches FWD112
-
Ajax Eredivisie squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2715105
Y Baas M GodtsM GodtsW Weghorst
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Paes GLK7
-
A Gaaei DEF224
3
-
J Sutalo DEF21
1
-
Y Baas  DEF2741
3
1
L Rosa DEF23
3
-
J. Mokio MID2222
-
O Gloukh MID2656
3
-
K Itakura MID151
1
-
S Berghuis  FWD1542
2
-
W Weghorst FWD2473
5
-
M Godts FWD281510
2
-
Subs
P. Peters Reverson GLK
-
A. El Hani GLK
-
O Wijndal DEF191
3
-
A. Bouwman DEF81
2
-
T Tomiyasu DEF7
1
M. van der Lans DEF
-
S. Steur MID1511
-
M. Carrizo FWD3
-
K Dolberg FWD1933
1
-
O Edvardsen FWD161
3
-
D. Christoffel Annum-Assamoah Konadu FWD8
-
R. Bounida FWD1814
4
-