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NEC Nijmegen v Ajax : Eredivisie match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sportpark De Weeren, Amsterdam

The Eredivisie is the focus for both NEC Nijmegen and Ajax on Sunday afternoon, as bosses Rogier Meijer and Francesco Farioli battle it out at the Sportpark De Weeren. The predictions for all the markets are based on the past 20 games for each team (home, away and overall) with weighting applied to top teams. All the statistics and graphics are tailored for the selected market. Head-to-head statistics between the team are also given if there is some fixture history. Odds are provided straight from from leading bookmakers.

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NEC Nijmegen's next match is v S.Rotterdam at 13:30 on Sunday 15th December
Ajax's next match is v Lazio at 20:00 on Thursday 12th December
The last Dutch Eredivisie meeting between NEC and Ajax was on Sunday 1st December 2024
Dutch Eredivisie
December 1st 2024
NEC 1
2 Ajax
 
S. Hansen 13'15' W. Weghorst
48' W. Weghorst
 
NEC
AJA
Shots On
8
6
Shots Off
8
1
Corners
7
1
Possession
51%
49%
Fouls
13
21
Yellow/red cards
1/0
5/0
 
NECAjax
 
R. Roefs
B. Pereira
C. Verdonk
B. Nuytinck
P. Sandler (T. Ouwejan 59')
S. Ouaissa (V. van Crooij 86')
D. Proper (I. Márquez Álvarez 86')
S. Hansenfootball icon (K. Shiogai 86')
B. Onal (R. González Bayón 68')
K. Ogawa
K. Sano
R. Pasveer
J. Šutalo
(A. Gaaei 34') D. Rensch
A. Kaplan
J. Hato
D. Klaassen
B. van den Boomen
(J. Henderson 74') K. Taylor
(K. Fitz-Jim 46') K. Hlynsson
(B. Traoré 68') S. Berghuis
(C. Akpom 68') football iconfootball iconW. Weghorst

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Eredivisie Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Both teams to score

Here is a pair of impressive, attacking teams going head-to-head and, as such, we are predicting both of them to score at least 1 goal during the 90 minutes. Can respective bosses Rogier Meijer or Francesco Farioli find a tactical plan to top their opponent? Latest form stats and historical head-to-heads, as well as the latest odds from the bookies, suggest that's unlikely.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 41% chance of Ajax coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
NEC
35%
16/5
16%
16/5
5%
Draw
24%
29/10
10%
29/10
3%
Ajax
41%
3/4
8%
4/5
6%
Draw 1-1
11%
13/2
6%
6/1
7%
Ajax 2-1
9%
15/213/2
NEC 2-1
8%
12/1
13%
11/1
Ajax 1-0
7%
15/2
6%
13/2
6%
NEC 1-0
7%
12/1
24%
11/1
8%
Draw 2-2
7%
14/111/1
Ajax 2-0
6%
17/2
6%
15/2
NEC 2-0
5%
22/1
21%
16/1
11%
Ajax 3-1
5%
12/1
8%
10/1
Draw 0-0
4%
14/110/1
8%
NEC 3-1
4%
28/1
15%
22/1
Ajax 3-2
4%
20/116/1
13%
NEC 3-2
3%
33/122/1
Ajax 3-0
3%
14/1
15%
11/1
NEC 3-0
2%
40/1
20%
33/1
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
4/6
4%
13/20
5%
Under 2.5 Goals
40%
23/20
7%
11/10
7%
Home 1st Goal
48%
13/8
9%
-
Away 1st Goal
50%
1/2
7%
-
No 1st Goal
2%
14/1-
BTTS - Yes
62%
4/613/20
2%
BTTS - No
38%
11/1023/20
2%
BTTS - Home Win
20%
6/1
13%
11/2
7%
BTTS - Draw
19%
4/118/5
4%
BTTS - Away Win
23%
12/5
13%
9/4
8%
Home/draw
59%
1/1
11%
1/1
5%
Away/draw
65%
2/9
4%
2/9
2%
Home/away
76%
1/4
4%
1/4
2%
Over 1.5 Goals
82%
1/5
2%
2/9
3%
Under 1.5 Goals
18%
10/3
4%
3/1
9%
Over 3.5 Goals
38%
13/8
5%
8/5
8%
Under 3.5 Goals
62%
4/9
4%
4/9
4%
Over 4.5 Goals
21%
4/1
15%
18/5
10%
Under 4.5 Goals
79%
1/6
3%
1/6
3%
Over 5.5 Goals
10%
10/1
22%
15/2
13%
Under 5.5 Goals
90%
1/20
2%
1/16
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1/331/33
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
14/110/1
8%
Home DNB
51%
2/1
20%
2/1
8%
Away DNB
58%
4/11
9%
1/3
2%
NEC win to nil
15%
7/1
20%
-
Ajax win to nil
18%
12/5
13%
-
NEC / NEC
11%
6/1
13%
11/2
7%
NEC / Ajax
4%
20/1
11%
18/1
NEC / Draw
6%
14/112/1
13%
Draw / NEC
9%
8/1
18%
8/1
5%
Draw / Ajax
17%
15/4
6%
19/5
4%
Draw / Draw
14%
5/1
8%
19/4
4%
Ajax / NEC
3%
28/1
15%
28/1
Ajax / Ajax
30%
7/4
10%
17/10
4%
Ajax / Draw
6%
12/1
13%
12/1
bet365
Win / draw / win Eredivisie table

NEC have played 13 matches so far this season and are in 10th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

7 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 5 games, drawn 1 and won 1. NEC have conceded 9 goals, scored 6, failed to score in 3 matches and kept 1 clean sheet.

Home league performance

NEC have played 7 games at home, winning 3, drawing 1 and losing 3 fixtures. They have scored 14 goals, conceded 7 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and scored in every home league game.

Ajax lay in 4th place on 29 points in the Eredivisie league table having played 12 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 10 games against teams below them in the table, winning 7, drawing 2 and losing 1 game. They have scored 22 goals and kept 5 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Ajax have conceded 9 goals and scored in every game.

Away league performance

Ajax have played 6 away games, winning 3, drawing 2 and losing 1 game. They have scored an average of 2 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.3 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
NEC
Ajax
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
PSV1514014442 
Feb 1
l
 
2-0A
w
 
3-2A
Mar 30
2
Utrecht151122935 
l
 
1-2A
Mar 16
d
 
2-2A
May 4
3
Ajax Away1510321633 
l
 
1-2F
May 11
-
-
4
Feyenoord159511932 
d
 
1-1F
Mar 2
Feb 2
w
 
0-2F
5
Twente158431028 
l
 
1-2A
Jan 26
May 18
d
 
2-2A
6
AZ Alkmaar158251226 
Mar 30
l
 
1-0A
Mar 16
l
 
2-1A
7
NAC15717-622 
May 14
l
 
1-0A
Apr 6
l
 
2-1A
8
GA Eagles15636221 
Mar 9
l
 
5-0A
Jan 26
d
 
1-1A
9
Fortuna15546-419 
Jan 19
w
 
0-3F
w
 
5-0F
Feb 9
10
Heerenveen15537-1218 
w
 
3-0F
Apr 27
w
 
1-0F
Jan 19
11
NEC Home15519216 
-
-
May 11
w
 
1-2A
12
Willem II15447-216 
May 4
Dec 22
w
 
1-0F
Apr 13
13
PEC Zwolle15447-916 
w
 
1-0F
Jan 11
w
 
2-0F
Mar 9
14
Groningen15447-1016 
w
 
6-0F
Feb 9
w
 
3-1F
May 14
15
Heracles15357-1214 
l
 
1-2A
May 18
Feb 16
w
 
3-4A
16
S.Rotterdam15258-1011 
Dec 15
Apr 6
Apr 27
Dec 22
17
Waalwijk151311-226 
Apr 13
w
 
0-3F
Jan 11
w
 
0-2F
18
Almere City151311-276 
Feb 16
l
 
1-0A
Dec 15
Mar 2
UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
UEFA Europa League Qualifiers
UEFA Conference League Qualifiers Play Off
Relegation Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
NEC 11TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
39
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
9
D
4
Lost
7
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
D
2
Lost
10
Ajax 3RD
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
44
Conceded
43
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
9
Draw
5
Lost
6
Goals: Scored
44
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
13
Draw
5
L
2
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
10
Ajax have not lost to NEC in 10 consecutive league meetings
League games at NEC since 2015
NEC
Ajax
Goals: Scored
3
11
Games: Scored
3 / 5
5 / 5
Clean sheets
0 / 5
2 / 5
D
1
AJA
4
League games at Ajax since 2016
Ajax
NEC
Goals: Scored
15
4
Games: Scored
5 / 5
2 / 5
Clean sheets
3 / 5
0 / 5
D
2
AJA
3
Goal Statistics

Ajax have been reliable in front of goal of late, finding the net in 17 consecutive Eredivisie games. Their PG of 1.6 against NEC Nijmegen on Sunday suggests that run is likely to continue.

NEC 11th Ajax 3rd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
1.6
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that NEC will score 1 or more goals
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
8%
There is a 80% probability that Ajax will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+14
NEC have scored 14% more goals at home than predicted
+15
Ajax have scored 15% more goals when away than predicted
2.0
average goals scored
2.2
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
2.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Eredivisie - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/278760/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
NEC
PG (predicted goals)
Ajax
1.5
1.6
Attack rating
NEC
AJA
32%
better
view stats
Games scored9
12
Failed to score4
0
Scored first6
7
Goals scored20
27
Avg. goals scored1.5
2.3
Avg. shots per game9
11
Avg. shots per goal6
5
Conversion rate for16
21
Avg. XG for1.3
2
KickOff rating
+32%
Defence rating
NEC
AJA
9%
better
view stats
Games conceded8
6
Clean sheets5
6
Conceded first7
5
Goals conceded12
11
Avg. goals conceded0.9
0.9
Avg. shots/game conceded10
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded10
8
Conversion rate against10%
13%
Avg. XG against1.2
0.8
KickOff rating
+9%

NEC v Ajax Eredivisie lLine ups will show here when available.

NEC Eredivisie squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
13533
R RoefsK OgawaV CrooijC Verdonk
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Roefs GLK13
-
B Pereira DEF142
2
-
P Sandler DEF5
-
B Nuytinck DEF141
1
-
C Verdonk DEF15
3
-
D Proper MID10
2
-
K Sano MID131
1
1
S Hansen MID1541
1
-
S. Ouaissa MID143
-
B. Onal MID151
1
-
K Ogawa FWD1451
-
Subs
R Janse GLK
-
S Gassel GLK2
-
I Márquez DEF151
2
-
T Ouwejan DEF1212
-
E Lyratzis DEF5
-
R González MID1422
-
A. Darelas MID3
-
L Schöne MID8
-
V Crooij FWD833
1
-
K. Shiogai FWD8
-
Ajax Eredivisie squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
14644
R PasveerD KlaassenJ HatoJ Hato
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Pasveer GLK141
-
D Rensch DEF101
1
-
J Sutalo DEF151
3
-
A Kaplan DEF3
1
-
J Hato DEF1424
4
-
B Boomen MID10
-
D Klaassen MID1361
-
K Taylor MID1524
-
S Berghuis  FWD81
1
-
W Weghorst FWD1151
2
-
K Hlynsson FWD31
-
Subs
J Gorter GLK
-
P. Peters Reverson GLK
-
A Gaaei DEF1111
3
-
O Wijndal DEF3
1
-
Y Baas  DEF121
2
-
J. Mokio DEF
-
D. Janse DEF2
-
J Henderson MID132
2
-
K Fitz-Jim MID121
-
C Akpom FWD1221
-
B Traoré FWD1542
-
C Rasmussen  FWD6
1
-