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Aucas v El Nacional : Liga Pro match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 12th Jul, 23:00 BST, Estadio Gonzalo Pozo Ripalda, Quito

The Liga Pro is the focus for both Aucas and El Nacional on Saturday night, as managers Gabriel Ernesto Pereyra Vázquez and Juan Carlos Bazalar Cruzado face one another at the Estadio Gonzalo Pozo Ripalda. Below you'll find predictions for all the biggest betting markets, supporting stats including head to heads (H2Hs), and odds from leading bookmakers. All is accessible using the tabs below.


In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

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Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Aucas
43%
--
Draw
24%
--
El Nacional
33%
--
Draw 1-1
11%
--
Aucas 2-1
9%
--
El Nacional 2-1
8%
--
Aucas 1-0
7%
--
Draw 2-2
6%
--
El Nacional 1-0
6%
--
Aucas 2-0
6%
--
Aucas 3-1
5%
--
El Nacional 2-0
5%
--
Draw 0-0
4%
--
El Nacional 3-1
4%
--
Aucas 3-2
4%
--
Aucas 3-0
3%
--
El Nacional 3-2
3%
--
El Nacional 3-0
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
40%
--
Home 1st Goal
50%
--
Away 1st Goal
47%
--
No 1st Goal
2%
--
BTTS - Yes
62%
--
BTTS - No
38%
--
BTTS - Home Win
24%
--
BTTS - Draw
19%
--
BTTS - Away Win
19%
--
Home/draw
67%
--
Away/draw
57%
--
Home/away
76%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
82%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
18%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
38%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
62%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
21%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
79%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
10%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
90%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
--
Home DNB
60%
--
Away DNB
50%
--
Aucas win to nil
19%
--
El Nacional win to nil
14%
--
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Win / draw / win form
Aucas 6TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
7
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Aucas1 - 4Macara
Aucas1 - 3Cuenca
Aucas2 - 0Guayaquil
Aucas1 - 1Manta
Aucas2 - 0Libertad
Aucas2 - 0Mushuc
Aucas2 - 1Catolica
Aucas1 - 2I. Valle
Aucas2 - 2Cuniburo
Aucas4 - 1Tecnico
Aucas2 - 0Delfin
Aucas1 - 1Guayaquil
Aucas3 - 1Macara
Aucas1 - 4Cuenca
Aucas1 - 2Mushuc
Aucas0 - 2I. Valle
Aucas0 - 1LDU Quito
Aucas2 - 2Imbabura
Aucas2 - 2Catolica
Aucas2 - 0Libertad
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
9
Draw
5
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HAucas1 - 4Macara
AAucas1 - 0Cuniburo
HAucas1 - 3Cuenca
AAucas1 - 1Tecnico
HAucas2 - 0Guayaquil
AAucas1 - 2Orense
HAucas1 - 1Manta
AAucas1 - 0Emelec
HAucas2 - 0Libertad
HAucas2 - 0Mushuc
AAucas1 - 3LDU Quito
HAucas2 - 1Catolica
AAucas1 - 1Delfin
HAucas1 - 2I. Valle
AAucas1 - 0El Nacional
AAucas1 - 1Macara
HAucas2 - 2Cuniburo
AAucas0 - 2Cuenca
HAucas4 - 1Tecnico
AAucas2 - 1Imbabura
El Nacional 10TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
Draw
7
Lost
6
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Tecnico0 - 0El Nacional
Cuenca4 - 1El Nacional
Mushuc2 - 3El Nacional
Macara1 - 1El Nacional
LDU Quito2 - 2El Nacional
Guayaquil1 - 0El Nacional
Libertad1 - 3El Nacional
Manta4 - 3El Nacional
Catolica1 - 1El Nacional
Mushuc2 - 2El Nacional
I. Valle2 - 0El Nacional
Delfin1 - 1El Nacional
Imbabura1 - 0El Nacional
LDU Quito1 - 1El Nacional
Cuenca1 - 2El Nacional
Emelec0 - 1El Nacional
Tecnico1 - 2El Nacional
Libertad0 - 2El Nacional
Orense0 - 1El Nacional
Guayaquil1 - 0El Nacional
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HEl Nacional1 - 0Manta
AEl Nacional0 - 0Tecnico
HEl Nacional0 - 3Catolica
AEl Nacional1 - 4Cuenca
AEl Nacional3 - 2Mushuc
HEl Nacional2 - 0Emelec
AEl Nacional1 - 1Macara
HEl Nacional2 - 1Cuniburo
AEl Nacional2 - 2LDU Quito
HEl Nacional3 - 2Delfin
AEl Nacional0 - 1Guayaquil
HEl Nacional1 - 3I. Valle
AEl Nacional3 - 1Libertad
HEl Nacional0 - 1Orense
HEl Nacional0 - 1Aucas
AEl Nacional3 - 4Manta
HEl Nacional0 - 0Tecnico
AEl Nacional1 - 1Catolica
HEl Nacional0 - 1Cuenca
HEl Nacional2 - 1Tecnico
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Aucas since 2018
Aucas
El Nacional
Goals: Scored
11
8
Games: Scored
4 / 6
3 / 6
Clean sheets
3 / 6
2 / 6
3
D
1
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Aucas
3 - 4El Nacional
0 - 2El Nacional
Aucas2 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Aucas3 - 2
Aucas3 - 0
League games at El Nacional since 2018
El Nacional
Aucas
Goals: Scored
7
12
Games: Scored
5 / 7
6 / 7
Clean sheets
1 / 7
2 / 7
4
D
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT El Nacional
0 - 1Aucas
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
1 - 3Aucas
1 - 2Aucas
1 - 2Aucas
Goal Statistics

Aucas have been consistent in front of goal of late, finding the net in 17 consecutive Liga Pro games. Their PG of 1.7 against El Nacional on Saturday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Aucas 6th El Nacional 10th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.7
goals
1.4
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
19%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4+
9%
There is a 81% probability that Aucas will score 1 or more goals
0
24%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 76% probability that El Nacional will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-5
Aucas’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+17
El Nacional have scored 17% more goals when away than predicted
1.6
average goals scored
1.3
average goals scored
1.5
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga Pro - 2025/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/293096/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Aucas
PG (predicted goals)
El Nacional
1.7
1.4
Attack rating
20%
better
view stats
Games scored14
10
Failed to score1
5
Scored first8
7
Goals scored22
21
Avg. goals scored1.2
1.1
Avg. shots per game10
8
Avg. shots per goal8
8
Conversion rate for12
13
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
+20%
Defence rating
20%
better
view stats
Games conceded10
13
Clean sheets5
2
Conceded first7
7
Goals conceded16
21
Avg. goals conceded0.8
1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded7
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
7
Conversion rate against13%
14%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
+20%

Aucas v El Nacional Liga Pro lLine ups will show here when available.

Aucas Liga Pro squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
19767
S CortésM CarcelénJ MinaJ Ontaneda
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S Cortés DEF191
3
-
J Ontaneda DEF18
7
-
R Jaramillo MID18
6
-
A Mina MID181
3
-
U Ciccioli DEF1722
3
-
H Piedra GLK16
1
-
M Carcelén MID1674
2
-
J Mina DEF1516
3
-
B Montenegro FWD1473
-
C Méndez FWD1413
-
C Ibarra DEF11
1
1
J Almagro FWD111
1
-
L Cano FWD1122
1
-
D Patino DEF10
-
E. Gruezo Castillo MID102
1
-
S. Porozo Caicedo FWD8
1
-
Thiago MID6
-
O. Pepinos Arboleda MID5
-
E Sánchez GLK3
-
E. Quiñónez Medina MID3
2
-
A Spina MID2
1
-
M. Sanabria FWD2
-
M. Olaya Campos DEF1
-
J Canales MID1
-
B Villagomez FWD1
-
N. Sotomayor Velasco FWD1
-
El Nacional Liga Pro squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
17556
A RecaldeD ReascoD PazminoF Carabalí
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Recalde MID1833
3
-
D Cabezas GLK16
2
-
R Briones DEF161
3
1
C Vélez MID16
2
-
F Carabalí DEF152
6
-
D Pazmino MID1425
3
-
D Reasco FWD1452
1
J Cifuente FWD142
1
-
M Montaño DEF13
1
-
J. Guisamano Camacho MID131
1
-
B Rivera DEF11
1
-
J Blanco DEF11
5
-
E Caicedo MID11
2
1
J Chalá FWD111
1
-
B Porozo DEF8
1
-
A Bedoya DEF81
4
1
V Branda FWD8
-
J. Mejía Moreira FWD7
1
-
F Mora DEF41
-
J Colorado MID41
-
F Meneses FWD41
-
L Chalá GLK3
-
A Montenegro MID3
-
B Jesús FWD3
-