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El Nacional v Aucas : Liga Pro match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa, Quito

Sunday night sees Omar Andrés Asad’s El Nacional and Gabriel Ernesto Pereyra Vázquez’s Aucas go head to head in a Liga Pro clash at the Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa. All the odds are provided directly from the bookmaker, while predictions are algorithmically generated from statistics over a 20-game period. Particular attention is given to Liga Pro match data, including head to head (H2H) records. Click the tabs below to explore it all.

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El Nacional's next match is v Orense at 23:00 on Saturday 29th March
Aucas's next match is v I. Valle at 23:00 on Saturday 29th March
The last Ecuadorian Liga Pro meeting between El Nacional and Aucas was on Sunday 16th March 2025
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
March 16th 2025
0
1 Aucas
 
60' E. Gruezo Castillo
 
Shots On
3
1
Shots Off
4
6
Corners
3
7
Possession
53%
47%
Fouls
10
21
Yellow/red cards
2/0
2/0
 
Aucas
 
D. Cabezas Medina
B. Hernández Porozo (B. de Jesús Pabón 82')
F. Carabalí Carabalí
R. Cabezas
B. Rivera Andrango (J. Cifuente Vergara 72')
Á. Ledesma Félix (V. Branda Merlín 61')
E. Mejía Montero
E. Caicedo Castro
M. Olmedo Garrido (A. Cela Recalde 72')
J. Chala Vásquez (J. Cevallos Enríquez 61')
D. Reascos González
H. Piedra Ordóñez
J. Mina
U. Ciccioli
J. Ontaneda Campos
(C. Rolón Ibarra 69') R. Briones Legarda
(E. Gruezo Castillo 46') M. Carcelén
(C. Zambrano Méndez 46') A. Mina Jara
R. Jaramillo Barre
(S. Porozo Caicedo 75') B. Montenegro Benítez
(J. Vázquez Gómez 46') J. Almagro Albán
S. Segura Cortés

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The statistics suggest we don't have an obvious winner here, but there's plenty of reasons to believe that El Nacional and Aucas will score at least a couple of goals between them. That has been the case when they've gone head-to-head in years gone by, and neither Omar Andrés Asad or Gabriel Ernesto Pereyra Vázquez has suffered the frustration of many 0-0s of late either. The bookies are predicting over 1.5 goals too, with top odds of 1.29 equating to roughly a 75% probability.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think El Nacional are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 38% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.45.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
El Nacional
33%
21/10
44%
-
Draw
26%
21/10
11%
-
Aucas
41%
11/8
23%
-
Draw 1-1
12%
5/1
14%
-
Aucas 1-0
9%
15/2
15%
-
Aucas 2-1
9%
17/2
14%
-
El Nacional 1-0
8%
9/1
25%
-
El Nacional 2-1
8%
11/1
33%
-
Aucas 2-0
7%
11/1
20%
-
Draw 0-0
7%
9/1
9%
-
Draw 2-2
6%
11/1
20%
-
El Nacional 2-0
5%
14/1
36%
-
Aucas 3-1
4%
18/1
17%
-
Aucas 3-0
3%
22/1
32%
-
El Nacional 3-1
3%
22/1
35%
-
Aucas 3-2
3%
28/1
15%
-
El Nacional 3-2
2%
33/1
31%
-
El Nacional 3-0
2%
33/1
62%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
51%
1/1
5%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
49%
4/5
5%
-
Home 1st Goal
47%
5/4
30%
-
Away 1st Goal
49%
4/5
22%
-
No 1st Goal
4%
17/2
14%
-
BTTS - Yes
55%
4/6
3%
-
BTTS - No
45%
11/10
5%
-
BTTS - Home Win
16%
5/1
39%
-
BTTS - Draw
19%
3/1
11%
-
BTTS - Away Win
20%
15/4
21%
-
Home/draw
59%
8/15
13%
-
Away/draw
67%
4/11
19%
-
Home/away
74%
4/11
5%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
76%
2/7-
Under 1.5 Goals
24%
5/2-
Over 3.5 Goals
29%
12/5
5%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
71%
3/10
2%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
14%
6/1
8%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
86%
1/10
1%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
14/1
15%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
1/33
1%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/16
1%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
9/1
9%
-
Home DNB
51%
11/10
30%
-
Away DNB
59%
4/6
24%
-
El Nacional win to nil
17%
9/2
47%
-
Aucas win to nil
21%
10/3
21%
-
El Nacional / El Nacional
17%
15/4
32%
-
El Nacional / Aucas
3%
25/1
10%
-
El Nacional / Draw
6%
14/1
15%
-
Draw / El Nacional
13%
11/2
18%
-
Draw / Aucas
15%
9/2
21%
-
Draw / Draw
16%
4/1
9%
-
Aucas / El Nacional
3%
28/1
26%
-
Aucas / Aucas
21%
3/1
20%
-
Aucas / Draw
6%
12/1
13%
-
Win / draw / win form
El Nacional 15TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
10
D
2
Lost
8
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
6
Draw
6
Lost
8
Aucas 6TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
7
Draw
8
Lost
5
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
5
Draw
7
Lost
8
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
El Nacional have drawn with Aucas in 3 consecutive home league meetings
5
El Nacional have not lost to Aucas in 5 consecutive league meetings
6
Aucas have not lost to El Nacional in 6 consecutive away league meetings
League games at El Nacional since 2018
El Nacional
Aucas
Goals: Scored
7
11
Games: Scored
5 / 6
5 / 6
Clean sheets
1 / 6
1 / 6
D
3
3
League games at Aucas since 2018
Aucas
El Nacional
Goals: Scored
11
8
Games: Scored
4 / 6
3 / 6
Clean sheets
3 / 6
2 / 6
2
D
1
3
Goal Statistics
El Nacional 15th Aucas 6th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.5
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 64% probability that El Nacional will score no more than 1 goal
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that Aucas will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-12
El Nacional have scored 12% fewer goals at home than predicted
=0
Aucas’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.3
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga Pro - 2025/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/292990/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
El Nacional
PG (predicted goals)
Aucas
1.3
1.5
Attack rating
30%
better
view stats
Games scored2
3
Failed to score2
1
Scored first1
1
Goals scored4
7
Avg. goals scored1
1.8
Avg. shots per game13
10
Avg. shots per goal13
6
Conversion rate for8
18
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
+30%
Defence rating
25%
better
view stats
Games conceded3
4
Clean sheets1
0
Conceded first2
3
Goals conceded6
6
Avg. goals conceded1.5
1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded10
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
6
Conversion rate against15%
16%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
+25%

El Nacional v Aucas Liga Pro lLine ups will show here when available.

El Nacional Liga Pro squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
4112
B RiveraJ ChaláD ReascoF Carabalí
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Cabezas GLK3
-
B Porozo DEF1
1
-
F Carabalí DEF3
2
-
R Briones DEF3
-
B Rivera DEF4
-
M Olmedo MID5
1
-
E Caicedo MID3
1
-
J Chalá MID51
1
-
D Reasco MID21
-
E Mejía MID51
-
Ángel Alexander Ledesma Félix FWD4
1
-
Subs
L Chalá GLK2
-
J Blanco DEF2
1
-
A Recalde MID41
-
C Vélez MID3
2
-
J. Guisamano Camacho MID2
-
F Mora MID21
-
M Montaño MID4
-
A Montenegro MID2
-
J Cevallos MID3
-
B Jesús FWD2
-
V Branda FWD2
-
J Cifuente FWD51
1
-
Aucas Liga Pro squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
5423
J OntanedaM CarcelénJ MinaJ Ontaneda
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
H Piedra GLK2
-
U Ciccioli DEF3
-
J Ontaneda DEF5
3
-
S Cortés DEF5
2
-
J Mina DEF52
2
-
R Jaramillo MID5
2
-
A Mina MID5
-
J Almagro MID41
-
M Carcelén MID542
1
-
R Briones  MID411
1
-
B Montenegro FWD21
-
Subs
E Sánchez GLK3
-
D Patino DEF4
-
C Ibarra DEF2
1
-
B. Carabalí Delgado DEF
-
Thiago MID2
-
F Illescas MID4
-
J Vázquez MID5
-
E. Quiñónez Medina MID
-
S. Porozo Caicedo MID3
1
-
E. Gruezo Castillo MID11
-
C Méndez FWD21
-
J. Caicedo Mina FWD
-