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El Nacional v Universidad Católica (EC) : Liga Pro match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 21st Jun, 23:00 BST, Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa, Quito

Universidad Católica (EC) are away on Saturday night, as manager Diego Andrés Corredor Hurtado takes his men to visit El Nacional and Omar Andrés Asad at the Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa in the Liga Pro. We've got predictions, tips, and odds from leading bookmakers and head-to-head statistics across the biggest markets, all with the aim of helping you find a winning bet on this Liga Pro clash.


Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The statistics suggest there isn't an obvious winner for this clash, but there's plenty of reasons to believe that El Nacional and Catolica will find the net twice at least between them. We've seen goals when they've gone head-to-head in the past, and neither Omar Andrés Asad or Diego Andrés Corredor Hurtado has served up too many 0-0s lately either. The bookmakers predict over 1.5 goals too, with odds of 1.20 equating to about a 76% probability.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 38% chance of Catolica coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
El Nacional
37%
21/10-
Draw
26%
12/5-
Catolica
38%
6/5-
Draw 1-1
12%
11/2-
Catolica 1-0
9%
9/1-
El Nacional 1-0
9%
11/1-
Catolica 2-1
8%
17/2-
El Nacional 2-1
8%
10/1-
Draw 0-0
6%
12/1-
Catolica 2-0
6%
11/1-
El Nacional 2-0
6%
16/1-
Draw 2-2
6%
11/1-
Catolica 3-1
4%
16/1-
El Nacional 3-1
4%
22/1-
Catolica 3-0
3%
20/1-
El Nacional 3-0
3%
33/1-
Catolica 3-2
3%
22/1-
El Nacional 3-2
3%
28/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
7/10-
Under 2.5 Goals
48%
11/10-
Home 1st Goal
48%
6/5-
Away 1st Goal
48%
8/11-
No 1st Goal
4%
12/1-
BTTS - Yes
56%
4/7-
BTTS - No
44%
5/4-
BTTS - Home Win
18%
9/2-
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/3-
BTTS - Away Win
19%
3/1-
Home/draw
62%
4/6-
Away/draw
63%
4/11-
Home/away
75%
3/10-
Over 1.5 Goals
76%
1/5-
Under 1.5 Goals
24%
10/3-
Over 3.5 Goals
30%
13/8-
Under 3.5 Goals
70%
4/9-
Over 4.5 Goals
15%
4/1-
Under 4.5 Goals
85%
1/6-
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
10/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
1/20-
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/25-
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
12/1-
Home DNB
55%
6/5-
Away DNB
55%
8/13-
El Nacional win to nil
19%
5/1-
Catolica win to nil
19%
10/3-
El Nacional / El Nacional
18%
15/4-
El Nacional / Catolica
4%
22/1-
El Nacional / Draw
6%
12/1-
Draw / El Nacional
12%
6/1-
Draw / Catolica
14%
5/1-
Draw / Draw
14%
5/1-
Catolica / El Nacional
3%
25/1-
Catolica / Catolica
23%
13/5-
Catolica / Draw
6%
12/1-
Win / draw / win form
3
El Nacional have won 3 consecutive home league games
7
Catolica have not won in 7 consecutive away league games
El Nacional 9TH
20 league games
Home
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
9
D
2
Lost
9
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
Draw
5
Lost
9
Catolica 8TH
20 league games
Away
7
Overall
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
W
4
Draw
5
Lost
11
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
7
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
Catolica have beaten El Nacional in 5 consecutive away league meetings
10
Catolica have not lost to El Nacional in 10 consecutive league meetings
League games at El Nacional since 2018
El Nacional
Catolica
Goals: Scored
2
10
Games: Scored
2 / 6
5 / 6
Clean sheets
1 / 6
4 / 6
D
1
CAT
5
League games at Catolica since 2018
Catolica
El Nacional
Goals: Scored
11
7
Games: Scored
7 / 7
6 / 7
Clean sheets
1 / 7
0 / 7
1
D
4
CAT
2
Goal Statistics
El Nacional 9th Catolica 8th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
1.4
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 60% probability that El Nacional will score no more than 1 goal
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 60% probability that Catolica will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-16
El Nacional have scored 16% fewer goals at home than predicted
+2
Catolica’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.1
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga Pro - 2025/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/293077/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
El Nacional
PG (predicted goals)
Catolica
1.4
1.4
Attack rating
CAT
20%
better
view stats
Games scored10
14
Failed to score5
1
Scored first7
6
Goals scored21
24
Avg. goals scored1.3
1.6
Avg. shots per game10
11
Avg. shots per goal8
7
Conversion rate for13
15
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
+20%
Defence rating
CAT
9%
better
view stats
Games conceded13
11
Clean sheets2
4
Conceded first7
9
Goals conceded21
19
Avg. goals conceded1.3
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded9
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
8
Conversion rate against14%
12%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
+9%

El Nacional v Catolica Liga Pro lLine ups will show here when available.

El Nacional Liga Pro squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
14555
A RecaldeD ReascoD PazminoF Carabalí
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Recalde MID1533
2
-
R Briones DEF141
2
-
D Cabezas GLK13
2
-
E Mejía DEF1332
-
J Cevallos MID1312
1
-
C Vélez MID13
2
-
F Carabalí DEF122
5
-
M Montaño DEF11
-
D Pazmino MID1125
3
-
Ángel Alexander Ledesma Félix FWD111
3
-
J Cifuente FWD112
1
-
D Reasco FWD1152
1
J. Guisamano Camacho MID10
1
-
B Rivera DEF9
-
J Blanco DEF9
4
-
E Caicedo MID8
2
1
J Chalá FWD81
1
-
B Porozo DEF7
1
-
A Bedoya DEF61
4
-
V Branda FWD6
-
F Martínez FWD5
-
F Mora DEF41
-
F Meneses FWD41
-
L Chalá GLK3
-
A Montenegro MID3
-
J Colorado MID3
-
B Jesús FWD3
-
Catolica Liga Pro squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
15746
I DíazB PalaciosM DíazG Anangonó
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
B Palacios FWD1571
1
-
I Díaz FWD1571
-
G Anangonó DEF142
5
1
L Cangá DEF141
6
-
J Cacciabue MID14
3
-
A Londono FWD1422
2
-
D Romero DEF133
1
-
M Díaz MID1334
2
-
E Clavijo FWD131
1
-
A Rodríguez MID121
1
-
C Medina DEF111
-
L. Moreno Zuñiga MID11
-
L Castillo DEF10
1
-
J Chancellor DEF10
3
-
J Fajardo FWD101
2
-
J Lara GLK9
-
R. Troya Macías MID8
-
M Maciel FWD7
-
R Romo GLK6
-
I. Sánchez Cortez FWD6
-
I Mosquera DEF3
-
F Martínez MID3
1
-
E. Valencia Reasco DEF2
1
-