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Emelec v Aucas : Liga Pro match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estadio Banco del Pacífico, Guayaquil

Emelec and Aucas clash at the Estadio Banco del Pacífico on Monday morning, with both Jorge César Fortunato Célico and Gabriel Ernesto Pereyra Vázquez seeking a win in the Liga Pro. All the odds are delivered straight from the bookmaker, while predictions are algorithmically generated from statistics over a 20-game period. We pay particular attention to Liga Pro match data, including head to head (H2H) records. Hit the tabs below to explore.

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Emelec's next match is v Guayaquil at 00:00 on Monday 19th May
Aucas's next match is v Manta at 20:00 on Saturday 17th May
The last Ecuadorian Liga Pro meeting between Emelec and Aucas was on Monday 12th May 2025
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
May 12th 2025
Emelec 0
1 Aucas
 
72' M. Carcelén
 
Shots On
5
5
Shots Off
4
4
Corners
2
2
Possession
58%
42%
Fouls
6
11
Yellow/red cards
1/0
1/0
 
EmelecAucas
 
P. Ortíz Angulo
A. González Sibulo
J. Rodríguez (K. Mina Rangel 46')
D. Bagüí Tobar
J. Quiñonez Araujo (J. Ayoví Corozo 77')
R. Caicedo Ante
R. Garcés Salazar (W. Corozo Becerra 73')
E. Muñoz Calderón (T. Chamba 46')
J. Sánchez Enríquez (L. León Bermeo 85')
F. Castelli
J. Ruiz Gómez
H. Piedra Ordóñez
C. Rolón Ibarra
U. Ciccioli
J. Ontaneda Campos
J. Mina
(L. Cano Quintana 50') R. Briones Legarda
(T. Serpa Carmona 69') A. Mina Jara
(M. Carcelén 46') J. Vázquez Gómez
R. Jaramillo Barre
(C. Zambrano Méndez 69') B. Montenegro Benítez
S. Segura Cortés

Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

It would probably be a little strong to say that we expect Jorge César Fortunato Célico and Gabriel Ernesto Pereyra Vázquez to batten down the hatches here, but we certainly don't expect to see a deluge of goals as Emelec and Aucas go head-to-head. The stats belowsuggest there will be under 2.5 goals (i.e. 2 goals of fewer in total), and we reckon that's a good shout here. With best odds of 1.50 available on under 2.5 goals and nothing too eyecatching in the full time result market, that's the bet we recommend.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Emelec are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 35% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.38.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Emelec
35%
17/10
26%
-
Draw
30%
21/10
3%
-
Aucas
35%
17/10
23%
-
Draw 1-1
14%
5/1
8%
-
Aucas 1-0
13%
13/2
6%
-
Emelec 1-0
13%
13/2
25%
-
Draw 0-0
12%
13/2
15%
-
Aucas 2-1
7%
10/1
15%
-
Emelec 2-1
7%
10/1
10%
-
Aucas 2-0
7%
11/1
20%
-
Emelec 2-0
7%
11/1
33%
-
Draw 2-2
4%
14/1
21%
-
Aucas 3-1
3%
22/1
32%
-
Emelec 3-1
2%
22/1
10%
-
Aucas 3-0
2%
25/1
37%
-
Emelec 3-0
2%
25/1
24%
-
Aucas 3-2
1%
33/1
17%
-
Emelec 3-2
1%
33/1
17%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
35%
5/4
10%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
65%
8/13
8%
-
Home 1st Goal
45%
21/20
19%
-
Away 1st Goal
46%
21/20
21%
-
No 1st Goal
9%
13/2
15%
-
BTTS - Yes
42%
10/11
13%
-
BTTS - No
58%
4/5
11%
-
BTTS - Home Win
12%
5/1
9%
-
BTTS - Draw
18%
7/2
10%
-
BTTS - Away Win
12%
5/1
29%
-
Home/draw
65%
4/9
12%
-
Away/draw
65%
4/9
14%
-
Home/away
70%
4/11-
Over 1.5 Goals
62%
2/5
7%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
38%
7/4
10%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
16%
3/1
20%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
84%
2/9
4%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
6%
9/1
9%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
94%
1/16
1%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
2%
20/1
19%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
98%
1/66-
Over 0.5 Goals
88%
1/12
3%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
12%
7/1
23%
-
Home DNB
56%
5/6
20%
-
Away DNB
56%
5/6
23%
-
Emelec win to nil
23%
10/3
33%
-
Aucas win to nil
23%
10/3
13%
-
Emelec / Emelec
19%
7/2
25%
-
Emelec / Aucas
3%
28/1
29%
-
Emelec / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / Emelec
14%
5/1
20%
-
Draw / Aucas
13%
5/1
14%
-
Draw / Draw
19%
7/2
4%
-
Aucas / Emelec
3%
28/1-
Aucas / Aucas
18%
7/2
25%
-
Aucas / Draw
6%
14/1-
Win / draw / win form
Emelec 12TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
Won
6
Draw
8
Lost
6
Goals: Scored
16
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
4
Draw
7
Lost
9
Aucas 3RD
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
Draw
8
Lost
6
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
9
Draw
6
Lost
5
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
8
Emelec have not lost to Aucas in 8 consecutive home league meetings
3
Emelec have kept a clean sheet in 3 consecutive home league meetings with Aucas
5
Aucas have not lost to Emelec in 5 consecutive league meetings
League games at Emelec since 2018
Emelec
Aucas
Goals: Scored
12
3
Games: Scored
6 / 8
2 / 8
Clean sheets
6 / 8
2 / 8
5
D
3
League games at Aucas since 2018
Aucas
Emelec
Goals: Scored
11
10
Games: Scored
6 / 8
7 / 8
Clean sheets
1 / 8
2 / 8
3
D
2
3
Goal Statistics

Emelec's defensive record is very strong, Jorge César Fortunato Célico's men having conceded 1 or less in 7 consecutive Liga Pro games. An average PG rating of 1.1 for Aucas makes sense in this context.

Emelec 12th Aucas 3rd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.0
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
35%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 72% probability that Emelec will score no more than 1 goal
0
35%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 72% probability that Aucas will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-40
Emelec have scored 40% fewer goals at home than predicted
-5
Aucas’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
0.9
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga Pro - 2025/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/293040/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Emelec
PG (predicted goals)
Aucas
1
1.1
Attack rating
37%
better
view stats
Games scored7
10
Failed to score4
1
Scored first5
6
Goals scored8
17
Avg. goals scored0.7
1.5
Avg. shots per game7
12
Avg. shots per goal10
8
Conversion rate for10
13
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
+37%
Defence rating
2%
better
view stats
Games conceded8
8
Clean sheets3
3
Conceded first5
5
Goals conceded13
13
Avg. goals conceded1.2
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded10
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
7
Conversion rate against12%
13%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
+2%

Emelec v Aucas Liga Pro lLine ups will show here when available.

Emelec Liga Pro squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
12227
A GonzálezF CastelliJ SánchezJ Quiñónez
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
P Ortíz GLK10
2
-
D Tobar DEF8
1
-
J Quiñónez DEF91
5
2
J Rodríguez DEF11
2
-
R Caicedo MID11
1
A González MID12
3
-
R Garcés MID7
-
J Gómez MID9
-
J Sánchez FWD112
1
-
F Castelli FWD92
3
-
E. Muñoz Calderón FWD10
-
Subs
G Napa GLK1
-
T Chamba MID6
1
-
C Valencia MID81
-
J. Valverde Rodríguez MID3
1
-
E. Arroyo Castillo MID
-
O. Porro Alvarado MID
-
W Corozo FWD1122
2
-
F León FWD3
-
J Ayoví FWD9
3
-
K. Mina Rangel FWD3
-
M Solís FWD10
1
-
Aucas Liga Pro squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
12564
J OntanedaM CarcelénJ MinaJ Ontaneda
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
H Piedra GLK9
-
J Ontaneda DEF12
4
-
C Ibarra DEF8
1
-
S Cortés DEF121
3
-
A Mina MID111
1
-
J Vázquez MID11
-
R Jaramillo MID12
3
-
J Mina MID1216
2
-
U Ciccioli FWD102
2
-
B Montenegro FWD841
-
R Briones  FWD1122
3
-
Subs
E Sánchez GLK3
-
D Patino DEF5
-
Thiago MID6
-
M Carcelén MID1254
1
-
F Illescas MID4
-
E. Quiñónez Medina MID2
2
-
E. Gruezo Castillo MID41
-
C Méndez FWD72
-
L Cano FWD41
1
-