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Independiente del Valle v Libertad : Liga Pro match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estadio General Rumiñahui del Va, Sangolquí

Javier Sanguinetti and Juan Carlos León Zambrano meet in the Liga Pro on Saturday night, as Independiente del Valle face Libertad at the Estadio General Rumiñahui del Va. You'll see statistics supporting our top of under 3.5 goals below, but there are 16 other betting markets we're covering too. We aim to give you as full a picture as possible, with Liga Pro performances and head-to-heads included, so that you can make a smart bet. Finally, be sure to get the best odds and bet smart.

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Independiente del Valle's next match is v Catolica at 23:00 on Saturday 28th June
Libertad's next match is v Guayaquil at 23:00 on Saturday 28th June
The last Ecuadorian Liga Pro meeting between I. Valle and Libertad was on Saturday 14th June 2025
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
June 14th 2025
I. Valle 1
1 Libertad
 
J. Cazares Sevillano 13'56' O. Quiñónez Ayoví
 
Shots On
6
1
Shots Off
5
4
Corners
5
3
Possession
59%
41%
Fouls
5
14
Yellow/red cards
2/0
5/0
 
I. ValleLibertad
 
G. Villar
M. Carabajal
T. Santamaría (M. Fernández Cordero 69')
L. Loor Requelme
R. Schunke
P. Mercado Altamirano
J. Alcívar Macías
J. Cazares Sevillanofootball icon (J. Sornoza Moreira 69')
M. Hoyos (C. Spinelli 57')
R. Ibarra Mina (R. Briones Legarda 57')
E. Pata Rodriguez (J. Arroyo 57')
L. Nazareno Delgado
R. Biojo Preciado
(W. Bardales Tenorio 90') J. Bolaños Cervantes
K. Becerra Wila
football iconO. Quiñónez Ayoví
J. Montaño Valencia
I. Zambrano Vera
(E. Caicedo Peralta 46') A. Quiñonez Guerrero
(N. Caicedo Mina 72') W. Ayoví Mina
C. Arboleda Ruiz
Y. Quiñónez Nazareno

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

Under 3.5 goals means, quite simply that there will be 3 goals or less scored by I. Valle and Libertad combined during 90 minutes. Latest form stats and historical head-to-head (H2H) performances have led us to this conclusion, and our predictive algorithm suggests there's a 74% chance of it being right on the money. The top price available at present on under 3.5 goals is 1.53.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think I. Valle are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 58% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.40.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
I. Valle
58%
19/50
5%
-
Draw
24%
7/2
13%
-
Libertad
18%
13/2
20%
-
I. Valle 1-0
14%
6/1
6%
-
I. Valle 2-0
12%
11/2
7%
-
Draw 1-1
11%
8/1
13%
-
I. Valle 2-1
10%
15/2-
Draw 0-0
8%
11/1-
Libertad 1-0
7%
18/1
11%
-
I. Valle 3-0
6%
8/1
14%
-
I. Valle 3-1
5%
11/1
8%
-
Libertad 2-1
5%
22/1
11%
-
Draw 2-2
4%
20/1
12%
-
Libertad 2-0
3%
40/1
21%
-
I. Valle 4-0
3%
16/1
11%
-
I. Valle 4-1
2%
20/1
10%
-
I. Valle 3-2
2%
25/1-
Libertad 3-1
1%
50/1
24%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
46%
7/10
1%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
54%
11/10
2%
-
Home 1st Goal
56%
2/7
3%
-
Away 1st Goal
39%
3/1
10%
-
No 1st Goal
6%
11/1-
BTTS - Yes
46%
10/11
2%
-
BTTS - No
54%
4/5
4%
-
BTTS - Home Win
22%
11/5
3%
-
BTTS - Draw
16%
5/1
9%
-
BTTS - Away Win
8%
14/1
18%
-
Home/draw
82%
1/10
3%
-
Away/draw
42%
2/1
5%
-
Home/away
76%
2/11
3%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
71%
2/9-
Under 1.5 Goals
29%
3/1-
Over 3.5 Goals
24%
7/4-
Under 3.5 Goals
76%
2/5-
Over 4.5 Goals
11%
4/1
10%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
89%
1/6
1%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
10/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/20-
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1/25-
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
12/1-
Home DNB
75%
1/8
3%
-
Away DNB
35%
5/1
20%
-
I. Valle win to nil
36%
6/5
10%
-
Libertad win to nil
10%
12/1
18%
-
I. Valle / I. Valle
42%
21/20
9%
-
I. Valle / Libertad
2%
40/1-
I. Valle / Draw
5%
16/1
13%
-
Draw / I. Valle
21%
3/1
8%
-
Draw / Libertad
5%
14/1
15%
-
Draw / Draw
12%
6/1
8%
-
Libertad / I. Valle
4%
20/1
10%
-
Libertad / Libertad
6%
12/1
30%
-
Libertad / Draw
4%
18/1
12%
-
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
I. Valle 1ST
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
42
Conceded
14
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
14
D
4
L
2
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
I. Valle2 - 1Mushuc
I. Valle1 - 2Emelec
I. Valle2 - 0Manta
I. Valle4 - 0Cuenca
I. Valle1 - 1Macara
I. Valle1 - 1Catolica
I. Valle1 - 1LDU Quito
I. Valle1 - 0LDU Quito
I. Valle7 - 0Macara
I. Valle2 - 0El Nacional
I. Valle3 - 1Imbabura
I. Valle5 - 2Catolica
I. Valle2 - 1Emelec
I. Valle1 - 0Tecnico
I. Valle1 - 2Delfin
I. Valle1 - 0Orense
I. Valle1 - 1LDU Quito
I. Valle1 - 0Cuenca
I. Valle2 - 1Mushuc
I. Valle3 - 0Libertad
Goals: Scored
38
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
11
Draw
5
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AI. Valle1 - 1Delfin
HI. Valle2 - 1Mushuc
AI. Valle3 - 1Cuniburo
AI. Valle2 - 1Tecnico
HI. Valle1 - 2Emelec
AI. Valle2 - 1Orense
HI. Valle2 - 0Manta
AI. Valle3 - 1El Nacional
HI. Valle4 - 0Cuenca
AI. Valle2 - 1Aucas
HI. Valle1 - 1Macara
AI. Valle4 - 0Guayaquil
HI. Valle1 - 1Catolica
HI. Valle1 - 1LDU Quito
AI. Valle0 - 2Libertad
HI. Valle1 - 0LDU Quito
AI. Valle0 - 3LDU Quito
AI. Valle0 - 0Orense
HI. Valle7 - 0Macara
AI. Valle1 - 2LDU Quito
Libertad 10TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
16
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
W
3
Draw
9
Lost
8
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Cuniburo1 - 0Libertad
LDU Quito1 - 1Libertad
Aucas2 - 0Libertad
Emelec1 - 1Libertad
Manta1 - 1Libertad
Cuenca0 - 1Libertad
Tecnico2 - 2Libertad
Cuenca1 - 1Libertad
El Nacional1 - 4Libertad
Orense1 - 0Libertad
Guayaquil0 - 0Libertad
Tecnico3 - 0Libertad
LDU Quito3 - 0Libertad
Catolica1 - 2Libertad
Emelec0 - 0Libertad
Imbabura4 - 2Libertad
Aucas2 - 0Libertad
Cumbaya0 - 0Libertad
I. Valle3 - 0Libertad
Delfin1 - 1Libertad
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ALibertad0 - 1Cuniburo
HLibertad0 - 1Macara
ALibertad1 - 1LDU Quito
HLibertad0 - 1Delfin
ALibertad0 - 2Aucas
HLibertad3 - 1Catolica
HLibertad2 - 1Mushuc
ALibertad1 - 1Emelec
HLibertad1 - 3El Nacional
ALibertad1 - 1Manta
HLibertad4 - 1Orense
ALibertad1 - 0Cuenca
HLibertad1 - 4Guayaquil
ALibertad2 - 2Tecnico
HLibertad2 - 0I. Valle
HLibertad2 - 1Emelec
ALibertad1 - 1Cuenca
ALibertad4 - 1El Nacional
HLibertad3 - 1Imbabura
HLibertad1 - 1Aucas
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at I. Valle since 2023
I. Valle
Libertad
Goals: Scored
5
0
Games: Scored
2 / 2
0 / 2
Clean sheets
2 / 2
0 / 2
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT I. Valle
I. Valle3 - 0
I. Valle2 - 0
League games at Libertad since 2023
Libertad
I. Valle
Goals: Scored
3
1
Games: Scored
2 / 3
1 / 3
Clean sheets
2 / 3
1 / 3
D
2
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Libertad
Libertad2 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Goal Statistics

Independiente del Valle have been steady in front of goal of late, finding the net in 14 consecutive Liga Pro outings. Their PG of 1.7 against Libertad on Saturday suggests that run is likely to continue.

An absolutely awful PG of just 0.8 should cause concerns for Libertad fans, as should a 5 Liga Pro matches run in which they have failed to score more than 1 goal.

I. Valle 1st Libertad 10th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.7
goals
0.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
19%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4+
There is a 81% probability that I. Valle will score 1 or more goals
0
44%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4+
There is a 80% probability of Libertad scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+8
I. Valle’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-8
Libertad’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.1
average goals scored
0.8
average goals scored
0.7
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga Pro - 2025/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/293070/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
I. Valle
PG (predicted goals)
Libertad
1.7
0.8
Attack rating
35%
better
view stats
Games scored14
11
Failed to score1
4
Scored first10
5
Goals scored29
19
Avg. goals scored1.9
1.3
Avg. shots per game10
8
Avg. shots per goal5
6
Conversion rate for20
15
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
+35%
Defence rating
25%
better
view stats
Games conceded12
13
Clean sheets3
2
Conceded first5
10
Goals conceded14
20
Avg. goals conceded0.9
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded8
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded9
7
Conversion rate against12%
15%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
+25%

I. Valle v Libertad Liga Pro lLine ups will show here when available.

I. Valle Liga Pro squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
13783
M CarabajalM HoyosP AltamiranoT Santamaría
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Villar GLK10
1
-
T Santamaría DEF5
3
-
M Carabajal DEF13
3
-
R Schunke DEF10
1
-
L Loor DEF124
-
J Macías MID111
-
R Ibarra  MID71
-
J Cazares MID1122
1
-
P Altamirano MID1628
-
E Rodriguez MID922
1
-
M Hoyos FWD1471
1
-
Subs
M Fernández DEF131
3
-
G Cortez DEF91
1
-
A Velasco DEF1
-
L Zárate DEF1031
1
-
Óscar Quiñónez DEF5
-
J Sornoza MID912
1
-
R Briones  MID1
-
C Zabala MID11
3
-
J Arroyo MID711
-
J Medina FWD113
2
-
C Spinelli FWD165
2
-
Libertad Liga Pro squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
17755
R BiojóE CaicedoC ArboledaD Bolaños
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Nazareno GLK2
1
-
D Bolaños DEF152
4
1
R Biojó DEF17
4
-
K Becerra DEF151
2
-
O Quiñónez DEF161
3
-
Y Nazareno MID12
1
-
C Montaño MID1712
3
-
I Zambrano MID172
2
-
C Arboleda MID1525
1
1
Ángel Quiñónez FWD131
1
-
W Ayoví FWD1621
1
-
Subs
E Bores GLK15
3
-
F Quiñónez DEF
-
J Monaga DEF101
2
-
W. Bardales Tenorio DEF91
1
1
J Vergés MID7
1
-
E Caicedo MID147
2
1
C Chamorro MID6
1
-
J Humanante MID11
2
-
D Ávila FWD821
2
1
E Lastre FWD41
-
N. Caicedo Mina FWD175
3
-