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Independiente del Valle v Libertad : Liga Pro match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 6th Dec, 22:00 BST, Estadio Banco Guayaquil, Quito

Juan Carlos León Zambrano pays counterpart Javier Rabanal Hernández a visit on Saturday night in the Liga Pro, as their Libertad and Independiente del Valle sides face each other at the Estadio Banco Guayaquil. Analysing both teams' last 20 Liga Pro matches, as well as trends within the competition and the market, to generate our percentage predictions. All the stats, including head to heads (H2H), are shown below, alongside odds.


Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

Under 3.5 goals means, quite simply that there will be 3 goals or less scored by I. Valle and Libertad combined during a standard 90 mins. Up to date form statistics and historical head-to-head (H2H) performances have led us to this prediction, and we think there's a 74% chance of it being a winning tip. The best price available at present on under 3.5 goals is 1.44.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think I. Valle are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 56% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.27.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
I. Valle
56%
27/100-
Draw
24%
15/4-
Libertad
20%
9/1-
I. Valle 1-0
13%
6/1-
Draw 1-1
11%
17/2-
I. Valle 2-0
11%
11/2-
I. Valle 2-1
10%
8/1-
Draw 0-0
8%
12/1-
Libertad 1-0
7%
22/1-
I. Valle 3-0
6%
7/1-
I. Valle 3-1
5%
11/1-
Libertad 2-1
5%
28/1-
Draw 2-2
4%
20/1-
Libertad 2-0
3%
50/1-
I. Valle 4-0
3%
12/1-
I. Valle 3-2
2%
28/1-
I. Valle 4-1
2%
18/1-
Libertad 3-1
1%
66/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
47%
4/6-
Under 2.5 Goals
53%
23/20-
Home 1st Goal
55%
1/3-
Away 1st Goal
40%
13/5-
No 1st Goal
5%
12/1-
BTTS - Yes
47%
1/1-
BTTS - No
53%
8/11-
BTTS - Home Win
22%
11/5-
BTTS - Draw
16%
11/2-
BTTS - Away Win
9%
18/1-
Home/draw
80%
1/16-
Away/draw
44%
12/5-
Home/away
76%
2/11-
Over 1.5 Goals
72%
1/5-
Under 1.5 Goals
28%
10/3-
Over 3.5 Goals
25%
13/8-
Under 3.5 Goals
75%
4/9-
Over 4.5 Goals
11%
4/1-
Under 4.5 Goals
89%
1/6-
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
9/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/16-
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1/25-
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
12/1-
Home DNB
73%
1/12-
Away DNB
37%
7/1-
I. Valle win to nil
34%
1/1-
Libertad win to nil
11%
16/1-
I. Valle / I. Valle
45%
5/6-
I. Valle / Libertad
2%
50/1-
I. Valle / Draw
4%
18/1-
Draw / I. Valle
22%
11/4-
Draw / Libertad
4%
18/1-
Draw / Draw
11%
13/2-
Libertad / I. Valle
4%
20/1-
Libertad / Libertad
5%
16/1-
Libertad / Draw
4%
20/1-
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
6
Libertad have not won in 6 consecutive away league games
3
I. Valle have failed to score in 3 consecutive home league games
I. Valle 1ST
20 league games
Home
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
13
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
11
Draw
7
L
2
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
I. Valle0 - 0Orense
I. Valle0 - 2Catolica
I. Valle0 - 0Delfin
I. Valle3 - 1Cuniburo
I. Valle4 - 0Tecnico
I. Valle2 - 1Orense
I. Valle1 - 0El Nacional
I. Valle2 - 1Aucas
I. Valle1 - 1Guayaquil
I. Valle1 - 1Libertad
I. Valle2 - 1Mushuc
I. Valle1 - 2Emelec
I. Valle2 - 0Manta
I. Valle4 - 0Cuenca
I. Valle1 - 1Macara
I. Valle1 - 1Catolica
I. Valle1 - 1LDU Quito
I. Valle1 - 0LDU Quito
I. Valle7 - 0Macara
I. Valle2 - 0El Nacional
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
14
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
12
Draw
6
L
2
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AI. Valle1 - 2LDU Quito
HI. Valle0 - 0Orense
HI. Valle0 - 2Catolica
AI. Valle3 - 1Libertad
AI. Valle2 - 1Orense
AI. Valle3 - 0Guayaquil
HI. Valle0 - 0Delfin
AI. Valle2 - 2Mushuc
HI. Valle3 - 1Cuniburo
HI. Valle4 - 0Tecnico
AI. Valle1 - 0Emelec
HI. Valle2 - 1Orense
AI. Valle0 - 0Manta
HI. Valle1 - 0El Nacional
AI. Valle3 - 0Cuenca
HI. Valle2 - 1Aucas
AI. Valle2 - 1Macara
HI. Valle1 - 1Guayaquil
AI. Valle3 - 0Catolica
AI. Valle1 - 1LDU Quito
Libertad 6TH
20 league games
Away
6
Overall
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
W
4
Draw
12
L
4
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Catolica1 - 1Libertad
LDU Quito3 - 1Libertad
Guayaquil1 - 0Libertad
Macara1 - 1Libertad
Delfin0 - 0Libertad
Catolica1 - 1Libertad
Mushuc1 - 2Libertad
El Nacional2 - 2Libertad
Orense0 - 1Libertad
Guayaquil3 - 3Libertad
I. Valle1 - 1Libertad
Cuniburo1 - 0Libertad
LDU Quito1 - 1Libertad
Aucas2 - 0Libertad
Emelec1 - 1Libertad
Manta1 - 1Libertad
Cuenca0 - 1Libertad
Tecnico2 - 2Libertad
Cuenca1 - 1Libertad
El Nacional1 - 4Libertad
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
7
Draw
8
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HLibertad1 - 1Guayaquil
ALibertad1 - 1Catolica
ALibertad1 - 3LDU Quito
HLibertad1 - 3I. Valle
ALibertad0 - 1Guayaquil
HLibertad1 - 1Catolica
HLibertad2 - 0Orense
HLibertad1 - 0Cuniburo
ALibertad1 - 1Macara
HLibertad0 - 1LDU Quito
ALibertad0 - 0Delfin
HLibertad3 - 2Aucas
ALibertad1 - 1Catolica
ALibertad2 - 1Mushuc
HLibertad1 - 2Emelec
ALibertad2 - 2El Nacional
HLibertad1 - 0Manta
ALibertad1 - 0Orense
HLibertad2 - 1Cuenca
ALibertad3 - 3Guayaquil
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at I. Valle since 2023
I. Valle
Libertad
Goals: Scored
6
1
Games: Scored
3 / 3
1 / 3
Clean sheets
2 / 3
0 / 3
2
D
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT I. Valle
Draw1 - 1Draw
I. Valle3 - 0
I. Valle2 - 0
League games at Libertad since 2023
Libertad
I. Valle
Goals: Scored
4
4
Games: Scored
3 / 4
2 / 4
Clean sheets
2 / 4
1 / 4
1
D
2
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Libertad
1 - 3I. Valle
Libertad2 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Goal Statistics

Independiente del Valle's fans will be hoping for goals on Saturday night, not least because Libertad have conceded in each of their last 5 Liga Pro games. A PG of 1.7 for J. Rabanal Hernández's side suggests that run should continue.

A truly dismal PG of just 0.9 should cause concerns for Libertad fans, as should a 5 Liga Pro matches run in which they have failed to score more than 1 goal.

I. Valle 1st Libertad 6th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.7
goals
0.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
19%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4+
9%
There is a 81% probability that I. Valle will score 1 or more goals
0
42%
1
36%
2
16%
3
4+
There is a 78% probability of Libertad scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
=0
I. Valle’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+13
Libertad have scored 13% more goals when away than predicted
1.8
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
0.7
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga Pro - 2025/2025 season
I. Valle
PG (predicted goals)
Libertad
1.7
0.9
Attack rating
20%
better
view stats
Games scored31
30
Failed to score5
7
Scored first24
15
Goals scored64
49
Avg. goals scored1.8
1.3
Avg. shots per game11
9
Avg. shots per goal6
7
Conversion rate for16
14
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
+20%
Defence rating
30%
better
view stats
Games conceded24
30
Clean sheets12
7
Conceded first9
21
Goals conceded29
46
Avg. goals conceded0.8
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded8
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded10
8
Conversion rate against10%
12%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
+30%

I. Valle v Libertad Liga Pro lLine ups will show here when available.

I. Valle Liga Pro squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
301998
G VillarC SpinelliP AltamiranoM Carabajal
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
P Altamirano MID3449
3
-
C Spinelli FWD32191
5
-
G Villar GLK30
2
-
M Carabajal DEF302
7
1
M Hoyos FWD30104
1
-
M Fernández DEF294
7
-
J Macías MID2922
2
-
J Méndez MID28
4
-
R Schunke DEF27
5
1
G Cortez DEF272
1
-
J Sornoza MID2542
3
-
J Cazares MID2334
2
-
E Rodriguez FWD2325
2
-
R Ibarra FWD2012
1
-
A Rodríguez FWD2053
2
-
L Loor DEF194
1
-
J Arroyo MID1933
2
-
T Santamaría DEF151
3
-
L Zárate DEF1531
2
1
D. Guagua Silva MID1321
2
-
C Zabala MID12
3
-
R Briones  MID911
2
-
Óscar Quiñónez DEF8
-
A Velasco DEF7
4
1
Y. Vásquez Zambrano FWD7
-
J. Lerma Soliz MID5
-
E Bores GLK1
1
-
Libertad Liga Pro squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
371488
I ZambranoE CaicedoC ArboledaD Bolaños
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
I Zambrano MID3735
6
-
N. Caicedo Mina FWD3671
5
-
R Biojó DEF351
6
-
C Arboleda FWD3548
1
1
W Ayoví FWD3543
5
-
E Caicedo FWD34142
5
1
K Becerra DEF332
4
1
D Bolaños DEF322
7
1
Y Nazareno FWD2915
3
2
O Quiñónez DEF2811
5
-
J Monaga DEF271
4
-
J Humanante MID27
5
-
Ángel Quiñónez FWD241
1
-
D Ávila FWD2151
3
1
Y. Bravo Gurumendi MID201
1
-
A García DEF16
1
-
L Nazareno GLK13
1
-
C Chamorro DEF13
1
-
W. Bardales Tenorio DEF101
1
1
F Mina GLK9
2
-
S. Bueno Quiñónez MID3
-
B Zapatier FWD2
-