Libertad's team badge Emelec's team badge

Libertad v Emelec : Liga Pro match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estadio Federativo Reina del Cisne, Loja

Leonel de Jesús Álvarez Zuleta will be hoping for a precious away win in the Liga Pro on Saturday night, as he takes his Emelec side to the Estadio Federativo Reina del Cisne to visit Libertad and Juan Carlos León Zambrano. All of the important statistics for the tie, including head-to-heads, predictions and odds across seventeen major markets are covered in this in-depth preview. It's all brought together specifically to help you make a smart bet.

This match has now expired. Kickoff has all of the best football predictions for you to choose from, for all Liga Pro Predictions. Kickoff constantly updates all 17 football betting markets to analyse and predict football scores – whether you choose football accumulator tips, both teams to score (BTTS tips), correct score, or if you are looking for free football tips – then make sure to sign up to Kickoff.co.uk today.

The last Ecuadorian Liga Pro meeting between Libertad and Emelec was on Saturday 30th November 2024
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
November 30th 2024
Libertad 2
1 Emelec
 
I. Zambrano Vera 4'48' A. Ricaurte Vélez
C. Medina Castillo 41'
 
Shots On
7
5
Shots Off
4
7
Corners
4
9
Possession
40%
60%
Fouls
13
11
Yellow/red cards
4/0
2/0
 
LibertadEmelec
 
E. Bores Díaz
W. Bardales Tenorio (J. Bolaños Cervantes 67')
C. Medina Castillofootball icon
G. Mina Cortez
C. Obando Quintero (B. Caicedo Jurado 13')
N. Molina Torres
I. Zambrano Verafootball icon
E. Caicedo Peralta (N. Caicedo Mina 67')
J. Almeida Márquez (L. Angulo Quiñonez 67')
C. Penilla Caicedo
D. Ávila Murillo
G. Napa Caicedo
D. Bagüí Tobar
R. Caicedo Ante
G. Cortez Quiñónez
(C. Valencia Sánchez 46') R. Borja Robalino
(E. Muñoz Calderón 72') football iconA. Ricaurte Vélez
C. Meli
M. Solís Arroyo
(J. Sánchez Enríquez 72') J. Ruiz Gómez
(J. Gonzaga Yazbek 90') W. Corozo Becerra
E. Tarira Álvarez

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

There is 75% chance of Libertad and Emelec 3 goals or less combined during this Liga Pro match according to our predictive algorithm and, without a strong favourite in the WDW market, we think that's where the smart money should go. Calculations are made based on recent form, historical head-to-head (H2H) statistics and the view of the betting market, and you can back it at 1.25.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Libertad are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 52% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.36.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Libertad
52%
11/20
15%
-
Draw
25%
3/1
14%
-
Emelec
23%
9/2
41%
-
Libertad 1-0
12%
9/2
15%
-
Draw 1-1
12%
7/1
14%
-
Libertad 2-0
10%
11/2
24%
-
Libertad 2-1
9%
8/1-
Draw 0-0
8%
8/1-
Emelec 1-0
8%
11/1
20%
-
Emelec 2-1
6%
18/1
46%
-
Libertad 3-0
5%
10/1
27%
-
Libertad 3-1
5%
14/1
12%
-
Draw 2-2
5%
22/1
35%
-
Emelec 2-0
4%
28/1
38%
-
Libertad 3-2
2%
33/1
17%
-
Libertad 4-0
2%
20/1
38%
-
Libertad 4-1
2%
28/1
15%
-
Emelec 3-1
2%
50/1
50%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
47%
11/10
1%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
53%
7/10
2%
-
Home 1st Goal
54%
2/5
11%
-
Away 1st Goal
42%
5/2
27%
-
No 1st Goal
5%
8/1-
BTTS - Yes
49%
6/5
15%
-
BTTS - No
51%
8/13
10%
-
BTTS - Home Win
21%
10/3-
BTTS - Draw
17%
5/1
20%
-
BTTS - Away Win
10%
11/1
41%
-
Home/draw
77%
1/7
9%
-
Away/draw
48%
11/8
25%
-
Home/away
75%
2/9
5%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
72%
4/11
2%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
28%
2/1
8%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
25%
11/4-
Under 3.5 Goals
75%
1/4-
Over 4.5 Goals
11%
7/1-
Under 4.5 Goals
89%
1/12-
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
18/1
12%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/40-
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1/16
1%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
9/1
11%
-
Home DNB
70%
1/5
12%
-
Away DNB
41%
10/3
44%
-
Libertad win to nil
31%
5/4
25%
-
Emelec win to nil
13%
8/1
38%
-
Libertad / Libertad
33%
6/4
17%
-
Libertad / Emelec
2%
40/1
21%
-
Libertad / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / Libertad
21%
3/1
16%
-
Draw / Emelec
8%
10/1
29%
-
Draw / Draw
15%
9/2
10%
-
Emelec / Libertad
4%
22/1-
Emelec / Emelec
8%
10/1
57%
-
Emelec / Draw
4%
18/1
27%
-
bet365
Match Predictor Pro
Your ultimate betting assistant
Try it now
Win / draw / win form
5
Libertad have not lost in 5 consecutive home league games
7
Emelec have not won in 7 consecutive league games
Libertad 16TH
20 league games
Home
5
Overall
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Libertad3 - 1Imbabura
Libertad1 - 1Aucas
Libertad2 - 1Cumbaya
Libertad1 - 1I. Valle
Libertad2 - 0Delfin
Libertad0 - 1Macara
Libertad2 - 2Mushuc
Libertad0 - 0Cuenca
Libertad0 - 2El Nacional
Libertad2 - 3LDU Quito
Libertad1 - 1Orense
Libertad0 - 3Guayaquil
Libertad1 - 0Tecnico
Libertad0 - 1Catolica
Libertad3 - 1Cumbaya
Libertad0 - 2LDU Quito
Libertad3 - 0Gualaceo
Libertad1 - 0G. City
Libertad0 - 1El Nacional
Libertad0 - 1Mushuc
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
5
Draw
7
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ALibertad1 - 1Cuenca
ALibertad4 - 1El Nacional
HLibertad3 - 1Imbabura
HLibertad1 - 1Aucas
ALibertad0 - 1Orense
HLibertad2 - 1Cumbaya
ALibertad0 - 0Guayaquil
HLibertad1 - 1I. Valle
ALibertad0 - 3Tecnico
HLibertad2 - 0Delfin
ALibertad0 - 3LDU Quito
HLibertad0 - 1Macara
ALibertad2 - 1Catolica
HLibertad2 - 2Mushuc
ALibertad0 - 0Emelec
HLibertad0 - 0Cuenca
HLibertad0 - 2El Nacional
ALibertad2 - 4Imbabura
ALibertad0 - 2Aucas
HLibertad2 - 3LDU Quito
Emelec 6TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
7
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
5
Draw
7
Lost
8
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Macara1 - 1Emelec
Catolica2 - 0Emelec
Guayaquil2 - 1Emelec
Cumbaya1 - 0Emelec
I. Valle2 - 1Emelec
Delfin0 - 1Emelec
Mushuc3 - 0Emelec
Imbabura1 - 2Emelec
LDU Quito2 - 2Emelec
Aucas3 - 1Emelec
Tecnico1 - 1Emelec
Orense1 - 1Emelec
El Nacional0 - 1Emelec
Cuenca1 - 2Emelec
Gualaceo0 - 2Emelec
G. City0 - 0Emelec
LDU Quito1 - 0Emelec
I. Valle2 - 1Emelec
El Nacional1 - 1Emelec
Tecnico0 - 0Emelec
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
5
Draw
6
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HEmelec2 - 2Imbabura
AEmelec1 - 1Macara
HEmelec0 - 1LDU Quito
AEmelec0 - 2Catolica
AEmelec1 - 2Guayaquil
HEmelec0 - 0Aucas
AEmelec0 - 1Cumbaya
HEmelec3 - 1Tecnico
AEmelec1 - 2I. Valle
HEmelec2 - 1Orense
AEmelec1 - 0Delfin
HEmelec0 - 1El Nacional
AEmelec0 - 3Mushuc
HEmelec0 - 1Cuenca
HEmelec0 - 0Libertad
AEmelec2 - 1Imbabura
HEmelec0 - 1Macara
AEmelec2 - 2LDU Quito
HEmelec2 - 1Catolica
HEmelec1 - 1Guayaquil
bet365
bet365
Goal Statistics

Libertad's fans will be hoping for goals on Saturday night, not least because Emelec have conceded in each of their last 5 Liga Pro outings. A PG of 1.6 for Juan Carlos León Zambrano's side suggests that run should continue.

Libertad's defensive record is very strong, Juan Carlos León Zambrano's men having conceded 1 or less in 8 consecutive Liga Pro outings. An average PG rating of 1.0 for Emelec makes sense in this context.

Libertad 16th Emelec 6th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
21%
1
33%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
There is a 79% probability that Libertad will score 1 or more goals
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 75% probability of Emelec scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-13
Libertad have scored 13% fewer goals at home than predicted
-21
Emelec have scored 21% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.1
average goals scored
0.9
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga Pro - 2024/2024 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/272070/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Libertad
PG (predicted goals)
Emelec
1.6
1
Attack rating
9%
better
view stats
Games scored15
18
Failed to score14
11
Scored first9
10
Goals scored26
28
Avg. goals scored0.9
1
Avg. shots per game9
10
Avg. shots per goal10
10
Conversion rate for10
10
Avg. XG for0.8
1.2
KickOff rating
+9%
Defence rating
19%
better
view stats
Games conceded23
21
Clean sheets6
8
Conceded first16
15
Goals conceded42
30
Avg. goals conceded1.4
1
Avg. shots/game conceded12
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
11
Conversion rate against13%
9%
Avg. XG against0.8
0.7
KickOff rating
+19%

Libertad v Emelec Liga Pro lLine ups will show here when available.

Libertad Liga Pro squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
28648
I ZambranoC PenillaC PenillaD Bolaños
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
E Bores GLK21
3
-
W. Bardales Tenorio DEF9
2
-
C Obando DEF10
1
-
C Medina DEF111
-
G Mina DEF131
1
1
E Caicedo DEF713
1
-
J Almeida MID4
-
I Zambrano MID3051
3
-
N Molina MID2641
6
-
C Penilla MID1564
2
-
D Ávila FWD2152
3
-
Subs
W Hinostroza GLK
-
B Caicedo DEF291
7
-
A. Rosero Ponce DEF2
-
J. Alvacete DEF181
6
-
P Larrea MID16
1
-
L. Angulo Quiñonez MID23
4
-
J. Caicedo Cortez MID9
-
E Avila MID7
-
D Bolaños MID251
7
1
T Donsanti FWD151
2
1
N. Caicedo Mina FWD142
2
-
Emelec Liga Pro squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
29237
G CortezD TobarR CaicedoR Caicedo
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Napa GLK7
1
-
R Caicedo DEF2413
7
-
D Tobar DEF162
-
E Álvarez DEF1
1
-
G Cortez DEF291
7
-
M Solís MID2711
4
-
R. Borja Robalino MID17
3
-
A Ricaurte MID132
2
-
J Gómez MID2623
2
-
M Meli FWD2711
7
-
W Corozo FWD2122
3
-
Subs
G. Espinoza Ortíz GLK
-
E. Arroyo Castillo MID
-
R Garcés MID13
1
-
T Chamba MID1811
-
C Valencia MID15
1
-
J. Valverde Rodríguez MID1
-
E. Muñoz Calderón MID141
2
1
J Sánchez FWD201
3
-
J. Gonzaga Yazbek FWD6
1
-
Ecuadorian Liga Pro match betting previews, predictions and odds
I. Valle v LDU Quito
Sat 14th Dec, 20:30