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Libertad v Mushuc Runa : Liga Pro match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 19th Apr, 20:00 BST, Estadio Federativo Reina del Cisne, Loja

Libertad and their boss Juan Carlos León Zambrano will be aiming to beat Ever Hugo Almeida and his Mushuc Runa side on Saturday night, as the pair clash at the Estadio Federativo Reina del Cisne in the Liga Pro. The aim of this preview is, quite simply, to help you make the smartest bet possible. To this end, stats for every betting market have been laid out below, with head to head (H2H) history and statistically significant form streaks highlighted. Odds from leading bookmakers are provided too.


Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Our predictive algorithm suggests there is a 76% probability of Libertad and Mushuc scoring at least 2 goals in this Liga Pro clash. Recent form stats and head-to-head (H2H) records are included in the calculation , and it seems the bookies are predicting the same. This over 1.5 goals tip is available at 1.29.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
Over 1.5 goals is at 78% in our algorithmic predictions, suggesting we should get at least a couple of goals to entertain us on Saturday night. It’s the most probable outcome in this market, and is available at 1.25.

Discover the top tips from the communities best over/under tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Libertad
50%
1.95
3%
-
Draw
24%
3.30
2%
-
Mushuc
26%
3.90
4%
-
Draw 1-1
11%
6.50-
Libertad 1-0
10%
8.00
23%
-
Libertad 2-1
10%
9.00-
Libertad 2-0
8%
9.50
12%
-
Mushuc 1-0
7%
12.00
26%
-
Mushuc 2-1
7%
13.00-
Draw 0-0
6%
11.00
38%
-
Draw 2-2
6%
13.00
24%
-
Libertad 3-1
5%
15.00
21%
-
Libertad 3-0
5%
17.00-
Mushuc 2-0
4%
21.00
11%
-
Libertad 3-2
3%
26.00
24%
-
Mushuc 3-1
3%
29.00
15%
-
Libertad 4-1
2%
34.00
17%
-
Mushuc 3-2
2%
34.00
17%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
1.85
18%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
45%
1.95
20%
-
Home 1st Goal
53%
1.62-
Away 1st Goal
44%
2.50
5%
-
No 1st Goal
3%
11.00
38%
-
BTTS - Yes
56%
1.73
14%
-
BTTS - No
44%
2.00
16%
-
BTTS - Home Win
24%
4.00
16%
-
BTTS - Draw
18%
4.33
9%
-
BTTS - Away Win
14%
7.00
18%
-
Home/draw
74%
1.25-
Away/draw
50%
1.80-
Home/away
76%
1.33-
Over 1.5 Goals
78%
1.25
11%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
22%
3.75
36%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
32%
3.25
19%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
68%
1.33
9%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
16%
6.00
33%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
84%
1.12
5%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
13.00
32%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1.04
2%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1.05
3%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
11.00
38%
-
Home DNB
67%
1.40
3%
-
Away DNB
43%
2.75
5%
-
Libertad win to nil
25%
3.50
8%
-
Mushuc win to nil
13%
7.00
17%
-
Libertad / Libertad
27%
3.20
2%
-
Libertad / Mushuc
2%
34.00-
Libertad / Draw
6%
13.00
13%
-
Draw / Libertad
17%
5.00
5%
-
Draw / Mushuc
10%
8.00-
Draw / Draw
15%
5.50
16%
-
Mushuc / Libertad
4%
23.00
12%
-
Mushuc / Mushuc
13%
6.00
8%
-
Mushuc / Draw
6%
15.00-
Match Predictor Pro
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Over / under 1.5 goals form
10
There have been over 1.5 goals in 10 consecutive Libertad home league games
13
Libertad have scored in 13 consecutive league games
12
Mushuc have conceded in 12 consecutive away league games
6
Mushuc have scored in 6 consecutive league games
Libertad 8TH
20 league games
Home
10
Overall
13
Avg: Scored
1.4
Conceded
1.4
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Over
16
U
4
HOME FORM Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Libertad1 - 3El Nacional
Libertad4 - 1Orense
Libertad1 - 4Guayaquil
Libertad2 - 0I. Valle
Libertad2 - 1Emelec
Libertad3 - 1Imbabura
Libertad1 - 1Aucas
Libertad2 - 1Cumbaya
Libertad1 - 1I. Valle
Libertad2 - 0Delfin
Libertad0 - 1Macara
Libertad2 - 2Mushuc
Libertad0 - 0Cuenca
Libertad0 - 2El Nacional
Libertad2 - 3LDU Quito
Libertad1 - 1Orense
Libertad0 - 3Guayaquil
Libertad1 - 0Tecnico
Libertad0 - 1Catolica
Libertad3 - 1Cumbaya
Avg: Scored
1.5
Conceded
1.3
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Over
17
U
3
OVERALL FORM Over / Under 1.5 Goals
ALibertad1 - 1Emelec
HLibertad1 - 3El Nacional
ALibertad1 - 1Manta
HLibertad4 - 1Orense
ALibertad1 - 0Cuenca
HLibertad1 - 4Guayaquil
ALibertad2 - 2Tecnico
HLibertad2 - 0I. Valle
HLibertad2 - 1Emelec
ALibertad1 - 1Cuenca
ALibertad4 - 1El Nacional
HLibertad3 - 1Imbabura
HLibertad1 - 1Aucas
ALibertad0 - 1Orense
HLibertad2 - 1Cumbaya
ALibertad0 - 0Guayaquil
HLibertad1 - 1I. Valle
ALibertad0 - 3Tecnico
HLibertad2 - 0Delfin
ALibertad0 - 3LDU Quito
Mushuc 7TH
20 league games
Away
12
Overall
6
Avg: Scored
1.1
Conceded
1.9
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Over
15
Under
5
AWAY FORM Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Tecnico1 - 1Mushuc
Catolica1 - 1Mushuc
Guayaquil1 - 0Mushuc
Guayaquil2 - 2Mushuc
Delfin4 - 2Mushuc
LDU Quito1 - 1Mushuc
Tecnico2 - 2Mushuc
Aucas1 - 2Mushuc
Catolica5 - 1Mushuc
Imbabura2 - 3Mushuc
Libertad2 - 2Mushuc
El Nacional1 - 0Mushuc
Macara0 - 0Mushuc
Cuenca5 - 0Mushuc
I. Valle2 - 1Mushuc
Orense2 - 2Mushuc
Cumbaya2 - 1Mushuc
Emelec0 - 0Mushuc
LDU Quito3 - 1Mushuc
Orense1 - 0Mushuc
Avg: Scored
1.5
Conceded
1.4
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Over
17
U
3
OVERALL FORM Over / Under 1.5 Goals
HMushuc1 - 0LDU Quito
AMushuc1 - 1Tecnico
HMushuc1 - 1Emelec
HMushuc1 - 2Cuniburo
AMushuc1 - 1Catolica
HMushuc3 - 1Cuenca
AMushuc0 - 1Guayaquil
HMushuc2 - 0Delfin
AMushuc2 - 2Guayaquil
HMushuc2 - 2El Nacional
AMushuc2 - 4Delfin
HMushuc2 - 1Macara
AMushuc1 - 1LDU Quito
HMushuc1 - 1Cuenca
HMushuc1 - 1I. Valle
AMushuc2 - 2Tecnico
HMushuc3 - 0Orense
AMushuc2 - 1Aucas
AMushuc1 - 5Catolica
HMushuc0 - 0Cumbaya
Goal Statistics

Libertad have been consistent in attack of late, scoring in 13 consecutive Liga Pro matches. Their PG of 1.7 against Mushuc Runa on Saturday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Goals have been an issue for Mushuc Runa of late. It has been 5 Liga Pro games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.2 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Saturday night against Libertad.

Libertad 8th Mushuc 7th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.7
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
18%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4+
9%
There is a 82% probability that Libertad will score 1 or more goals
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 67% probability that Mushuc will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+14
Libertad have scored 14% more goals at home than predicted
+7
Mushuc’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.4
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
1.4
conceded
1.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga Pro - 2025/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/293024/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/OU15
Libertad
PG (predicted goals)
Mushuc
1.7
1.2
Attack rating
24%
better
view stats
Games scored8
7
Failed to score0
1
Scored first3
5
Goals scored13
10
Avg. goals scored1.6
1.3
Avg. shots per game10
13
Avg. shots per goal6
11
Conversion rate for17
9
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
+24%
Defence rating
23%
better
view stats
Games conceded6
6
Clean sheets2
2
Conceded first5
3
Goals conceded12
7
Avg. goals conceded1.5
0.9
Avg. shots/game conceded9
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
10
Conversion rate against17%
10%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
+23%

Libertad v Mushuc Liga Pro lLine ups will show here when available.

Libertad Liga Pro squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
7322
E BoresN. Caicedo MinaC ArboledaK Becerra
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
E Bores GLK7
1
-
W. Bardales Tenorio DEF3
-
R Biojó DEF7
1
-
K Becerra DEF51
2
-
O Quiñónez DEF6
2
-
Y Nazareno MID4
-
I Zambrano MID7
1
-
C Montaño MID711
1
-
C Arboleda MID612
1
1
D Ávila FWD21
1
-
J Vergés FWD
-
Subs
E. Castillo Ortíz GLK
-
F Quiñónez DEF
-
J Monaga DEF51
2
-
E Caicedo MID72
-
C Chamorro MID5
1
-
D Bolaños MID61
1
1
Y. Bravo Gurumendi MID2
-
J Humanante MID4
1
-
W Ayoví FWD721
1
-
N. Caicedo Mina FWD73
-
Ángel Quiñónez FWD6
-
Mushuc Liga Pro squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
6133
D QuinteroD QuinteroÁngel GraciaB Bentaberry
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Pabón GLK1
-
K Peralta DEF5
1
-
D Quintero DEF71
2
-
J Parrales DEF2
-
J. Quiñones Mesías DEF1
-
N Davila MID2
-
A Zambrano MID4
-
G Mina MID5
1
-
M Arévalo MID5
-
Ángel Gracia MID63
2
-
B Villagomez FWD6
-
Subs
R Formento GLK61
2
-
B Bentaberry DEF6
3
-
L Lopez DEF41
-
B Delgado MID3
-
S Tapiero MID41
3
-
C Penilla MID711
-
R Cristobal MID3
-
M Alonso MID71
-
R Sinisterra MID6
1
-
L Arce MID711
1
-
B Angulo FWD31
1
-
E. Caicedo López FWD511
-