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Birmingham City v Stoke City : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 24th Jan, 15:00 BST, St. Andrew's Stadium, Birmingham

Stoke City pay Championship counterparts Birmingham City a visit on Saturday afternoon, as Mark Robins guides his team into an away clash with Chris Davies & co. at the St. Andrew's Stadium. All statistics, including an in-depth look at the form of both sides and head-to-head history, will change as you browse each of the seventeen betting markets using the tabs below. Odds and, of course, our algorithmic predictions will too.

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Championship Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The stats suggest there isn't an obvious winner in this fixture, but there's plenty of reasons to believe that Birmingham and Stoke will score at least a couple of goals between them. That has been the case when they've gone head-to-head in years gone by, and neither Chris Davies or Mark Robins has served up too many 0-0s recently either. The bookmakers are predicting over 1.5 goals too, with top odds of 1.36 equating to approximately a 75% probability.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Birmingham are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 53% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.83.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Birmingham 53%	4/5	5/6
Draw 24%	9/4	12/5
Stoke 23%	10/3	18/5
Draw 1-1 11%	11/2	11/2
Birmingham 1-0 11%	11/2	5/1
Birmingham 2-1 10%	15/2	7/1
Birmingham 2-0 10%	7/1	13/2
Stoke 1-0 7%	10/1	9/1
Draw 0-0 7%	15/2	13/2
Stoke 2-1 6%	14/1	12/1
Birmingham 3-1 5%	16/1	12/1
Birmingham 3-0 5%	14/1	11/1
Draw 2-2 5%	16/1	12/1
Stoke 2-0 3%	20/1	16/1
Birmingham 3-2 3%	28/1	22/1
Birmingham 4-1 2%	33/1	22/1
Birmingham 4-0 2%	33/1	22/1
Stoke 3-1 2%	40/1	28/1
Over 2.5 Goals 51%	11/10	21/20
Under 2.5 Goals 49%	8/11	7/10
Home 1st Goal 54%	8/13	3/5
Away 1st Goal 42%	8/5	9/5
No 1st Goal 4%	15/2	13/2
BTTS - Yes 52%	10/11	19/20
BTTS - No 48%	4/5	3/4
BTTS - Home Win 24%	10/3	3/1
BTTS - Draw 17%	15/4	19/5
BTTS - Away Win 11%	17/2	15/2
Home/draw 77%	1/5	1/5
Away/draw 47%	19/20	19/20
Home/away 76%	1/3	3/10
Over 1.5 Goals 75%	4/11	7/20
Under 1.5 Goals 25%	11/5	2/1
Over 3.5 Goals 29%	3/1	13/5
Under 3.5 Goals 71%	1/4	1/4
Over 4.5 Goals 14%	7/1	6/1
Under 4.5 Goals 86%	1/12	1/12
Over 5.5 Goals 6%	16/1	14/1
Under 5.5 Goals 94%	1/40	1/66
Over 0.5 Goals 93%	1/14	1/14
Under 0.5 Goals 7%	15/2	13/2
Home DNB 70%	1/3	3/10
Away DNB 39%	9/4	11/5
Birmingham win to nil 30%	2/1	-
Stoke win to nil 12%	6/1	-
Birmingham / Birmingham 28%	2/1	7/4
Birmingham / Stoke 2%	40/1	28/1
Birmingham / Draw 6%	14/1	12/1
Draw / Birmingham 17%	15/4	18/5
Draw / Stoke 9%	8/1	8/1
Draw / Draw 17%	4/1	18/5
Stoke / Birmingham 4%	22/1	18/1
Stoke / Stoke 11%	13/2	6/1
Stoke / Draw 6%	14/1	12/1

Win / draw / win Championship table

Birmingham have played 28 matches so far this season and are in 13th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

14 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 7 games, drawn 3 and won 4. Birmingham have conceded 21 goals, scored 17, failed to score in 4 matches and kept 2 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Birmingham have played 13 games at home, winning 7, drawing 5 and losing 1 fixture. They have scored 27 goals, conceded 13 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and scored in every home league game.

Stoke lay in 7th place on 41 points in the Championship league table having played 27 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 20 games against teams below them in the table, winning 11, drawing 3 and losing 6 games. They have scored 30 goals and kept 8 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Stoke have conceded 17 goals and have failed to score in 5 matches.

Away league performance

Stoke have played 14 away games, winning 6, drawing 2 and losing 6 games. They have scored an average of 1 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.9 goals per away game.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Birmingham Stoke
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Coventry	28	17	7	4	30	58	w 3-2F	l 3-0A	l 0-1A	Feb 28
2	Ipswich	27	14	8	5	23	50	d 1-1F	Apr 6	Mar 10	l 1-0A
3	M'Boro	27	14	7	6	12	49	Mar 2	l 2-1A	Jan 21	d 0-00-0
4	Hull	27	14	5	8	6	47	l 2-3A	Apr 18	l 1-2F	w 0-1F
5	Millwall	28	13	7	8	-3	46	w 4-0F	Feb 25	Apr 21	l 2-0A
6	Preston	28	11	10	7	7	43	Apr 22	w 0-1F	d 0-00-0	Mar 21
7	Stoke	27	12	5	10	9	41	Jan 24	l 1-0A	-	-
8	Watford	26	11	8	7	6	41	w 2-1F	l 3-0A	Mar 14	l 1-0A
9	Wrexham	28	10	11	7	5	41	Apr 11	d 1-1A	w 1-0F	Apr 18
10	Derby	28	11	8	9	2	41	d 1-1A	Mar 21	w 3-1A	Apr 6
11	Bristol C	28	11	7	10	7	40	Apr 25	l 1-0A	w 5-1F	May 2
12	QPR	28	11	7	10	-1	40	Mar 10	l 2-1A	d 0-00-0	l 1-0A
13	Birmingham	28	10	8	10	1	38	-	-	w 1-0F	Jan 24
14	Leicester	28	10	8	10	-2	38	Feb 7	l 2-0A	Feb 21	l 2-1A
15	Swansea	28	10	6	12	-4	36	w 1-0F	d 1-1A	w 2-1F	Mar 7
16	Southampton	27	8	9	10	-1	33	d 1-1F	l 3-1A	Jan 31	w 1-2F
17	Sheff Utd	26	10	2	14	-3	32	Mar 14	l 3-0A	l 1-2A	l 4-0A
18	Charlton	27	8	8	11	-7	32	d 1-1F	Mar 7	w 3-0F	Feb 14
19	West Brom	28	9	4	15	-12	31	Feb 10	d 1-1A	l 0-1A	Feb 7
20	Norwich	28	8	6	14	-5	30	w 4-1F	Feb 21	d 1-1A	w 0-2F
21	Blackburn	27	7	7	13	-11	28	Apr 3	w 1-2A	Apr 11	d 1-1F
22	Portsmouth	25	7	7	11	-13	28	w 4-0F	May 2	Apr 25	w 0-1F
23	Oxford Utd	27	5	9	13	-10	24	w 1-0F	Jan 31	Feb 25	w 0-3F
24	Sheff Wed	27	1	8	18	-36	-7	d 2-2F	w 0-2F	Apr 3	w 0-3F

	Promotion
	Promotion Play Off
	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

Birmingham have not lost in 8 consecutive home league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

19 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

1 / 20

Won

Draw

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Birmingham	3 - 2	Coventry
Birmingham	1 - 1	Southampton
Birmingham	1 - 1	Derby
Birmingham	1 - 1	Charlton
Birmingham	2 - 1	Watford
Birmingham	4 - 1	Norwich
Birmingham	4 - 0	Millwall
Birmingham	4 - 0	Portsmouth
Birmingham	2 - 3	Hull
Birmingham	2 - 2	Sheff Wed
Birmingham	1 - 0	Swansea
Birmingham	1 - 0	Oxford Utd
Birmingham	1 - 1	Ipswich
Birmingham	4 - 0	Mansfield
Birmingham	0 - 0	Crawley
Birmingham	6 - 2	Barnsley
Birmingham	4 - 1	Shrewsbury
Birmingham	2 - 1	Stevenage
Birmingham	1 - 0	Lincoln
Birmingham	1 - 0	Wycombe

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Birmingham	2 - 0	Sheff Wed
A	Birmingham	1 - 1	Swansea
H	Birmingham	3 - 2	Coventry
A	Birmingham	0 - 3	Watford
H	Birmingham	1 - 1	Southampton
H	Birmingham	1 - 1	Derby
A	Birmingham	0 - 3	Sheff Utd
H	Birmingham	1 - 1	Charlton
A	Birmingham	1 - 2	QPR
A	Birmingham	1 - 3	Southampton
H	Birmingham	2 - 1	Watford
A	Birmingham	1 - 1	West Brom
H	Birmingham	4 - 1	Norwich
A	Birmingham	1 - 2	M'Boro
H	Birmingham	4 - 0	Millwall
H	Birmingham	4 - 0	Portsmouth
A	Birmingham	0 - 1	Bristol C
A	Birmingham	1 - 0	Preston
H	Birmingham	2 - 3	Hull
A	Birmingham	1 - 1	Wrexham

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

11 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

9 / 20

Won

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Norwich	0 - 2	Stoke
Hull	0 - 1	Stoke
Watford	1 - 0	Stoke
Ipswich	1 - 0	Stoke
Sheff Utd	4 - 0	Stoke
Leicester	2 - 1	Stoke
Oxford Utd	0 - 3	Stoke
Portsmouth	0 - 1	Stoke
Millwall	2 - 0	Stoke
Blackburn	1 - 1	Stoke
M'Boro	0 - 0	Stoke
QPR	1 - 0	Stoke
Southampton	1 - 2	Stoke
Sheff Wed	0 - 3	Stoke
Derby	0 - 0	Stoke
Leeds	6 - 0	Stoke
Cardiff	0 - 1	Stoke
Preston	1 - 1	Stoke
Millwall	1 - 0	Stoke
Coventry	3 - 2	Stoke

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

11 / 20

Clean sheets

9 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Stoke	0 - 0	QPR
A	Stoke	2 - 0	Norwich
A	Stoke	1 - 0	Hull
H	Stoke	1 - 2	Sheff Utd
H	Stoke	0 - 0	Preston
A	Stoke	0 - 1	Watford
H	Stoke	2 - 1	Swansea
A	Stoke	0 - 1	Ipswich
A	Stoke	0 - 4	Sheff Utd
H	Stoke	1 - 2	Hull
H	Stoke	3 - 0	Charlton
A	Stoke	1 - 2	Leicester
H	Stoke	0 - 1	Coventry
A	Stoke	3 - 0	Oxford Utd
H	Stoke	5 - 1	Bristol C
A	Stoke	1 - 0	Portsmouth
A	Stoke	0 - 2	Millwall
H	Stoke	1 - 0	Wrexham
A	Stoke	1 - 1	Blackburn
A	Stoke	0 - 0	M'Boro

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Birmingham

Stoke

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

7 / 10

2 / 10

Clean sheets

8 / 10

3 / 10

BIR

STK

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Birmingham
	1 - 3	Stoke
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Birmingham	2 - 0
Birmingham	2 - 1
Birmingham	2 - 0
Birmingham	1 - 0
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Birmingham	1 - 0
Birmingham	2 - 0

Stoke

Birmingham

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

7 / 11

8 / 11

Clean sheets

3 / 11

4 / 11

BIR

STK

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Stoke
Stoke	1 - 0
	1 - 2	Birmingham
	1 - 2	Birmingham
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Stoke	2 - 0
	0 - 1	Birmingham
Stoke	3 - 2
	0 - 1	Birmingham
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
	0 - 7	Birmingham

Goal Statistics

	Birmingham 15th	Stoke 10th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.7 goals	1.0 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 18% 1 31% 2 26% 3 15% 4+ 9% There is a 82% probability that Birmingham will score 1 or more goals	0 36% 1 37% 2 19% 3 4+ There is a 73% probability that Stoke will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+30 Birmingham have scored 30% more goals at home than predicted	-18 Stoke have scored 18% fewer goals when away than predicted
	2.3 average goals scored	0.9 average goals scored
	0.9 conceded	1.2 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2025/2026 season

better

BIR

STK

view stats

Games scored	21		17
Failed to score	6		10
Scored first	12		13
Goals scored	36		32
Avg. goals scored	1.3		1.2
Avg. shots per game	9		8
Avg. shots per goal	7		7
Conversion rate for	14		15
Avg. XG for	1.5		1.2
KickOff rating		+9%

BIR

STK

31%

better

view stats

Games conceded	22		16
Clean sheets	5		11
Conceded first	15		11
Goals conceded	37		23
Avg. goals conceded	1.3		0.9
Avg. shots/game conceded	8		9
Avg. shots/goal conceded	6		10
Conversion rate against	17%		10%
Avg. XG against	1.2		1.3
KickOff rating		+31%

Birmingham v Stoke Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Birmingham Championship squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
27	8	5	7
T Iwata	J Stansfield	P Roberts	C Klarer

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
S Paik MID	27	4		6 -
T Iwata MID	27	1	1	6 -
J Stansfield FWD	26	8	4	6 -
C Klarer DEF	25	2		6 1
T Doyle MID	25		3	1 1
K Furuhashi FWD	25	1		1 -
P Roberts FWD	23	3	5	2 -
L. Koumas FWD	23	1		1 -
D Gray FWD	23	5	4	2 -
P Neumann DEF	22	2		4 -
L Dykes FWD	21	2		1 -
A Cochrane DEF	19	1	4	3 -
M Ducksch FWD	19	6	1	1 -
K Anderson FWD	19	1		2 -
J Beadle GLK	18			3 -
M Leonard MID	15			1 -
B Osayi-Samuel DEF	14			5 -
J Robinson DEF	11	1	1	2 2
E Cashin DEF	11			-
R Allsop GLK	10			2 -
W Willumsson MID	10			-
E Laird DEF	7		1	-
A Sampsted DEF	6			-
K Fujimoto MID	2			-
S Wright FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
8	19	5	8
J Stansfield	J Stansfield	P Roberts	D Gray

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
J Stansfield FWD	8	19	4	7
M Ducksch FWD	6	14	1
D Gray FWD	5	15	4	8
S Paik MID	4	7		2
P Roberts FWD	3	8	5	7
C Klarer DEF	2	2		1
P Neumann DEF	2	4
L Dykes FWD	2	2		1
T Iwata MID	1	8	1	4
K Furuhashi FWD	1	9		1
L. Koumas FWD	1	2
A Cochrane DEF	1	4	4	4
K Anderson FWD	1	4		3
J Robinson DEF	1	3	1	1
T Doyle MID		2	3	3
M Leonard MID		1		2
B Osayi-Samuel DEF				1
E Cashin DEF		1		1
W Willumsson MID				2
E Laird DEF		1	1	1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1708	49	176
C Klarer	T Iwata	C Klarer

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
C Klarer DEF	1708	26	176
T Iwata MID	1236	49	112
S Paik MID	1086	42	108
P Neumann DEF	1083	26	94
A Cochrane DEF	834	22	66
T Doyle MID	807	28	49
J Beadle GLK	646		8
P Roberts FWD	598	30	93
J Robinson DEF	489	8	60
M Leonard MID	478	32	48
D Gray FWD	473	26	84
R Allsop GLK	432	1	5
J Stansfield FWD	321	31	58
K Anderson FWD	285	21	53
B Osayi-Samuel DEF	270	11	49
M Ducksch FWD	258		24
E Cashin DEF	240	12	36
E Laird DEF	216	9	45
L. Koumas FWD	159	13	37
L Dykes FWD	126	7	47
W Willumsson MID	125	9	19
A Sampsted DEF	100	2	9
K Furuhashi FWD	91	7	24
K Fujimoto MID	2
S Wright FWD		1	2

Stoke Championship squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
27	9	6	9
S Thomas	S Thomas	S Thomas	J Tchamadeu

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
S Thomas FWD	27	9	6	6 -
M Manhoef FWD	27	5	2	-
B Wilmot DEF	26	1		3 -
T Seko MID	26		1	2 -
J. Bae MID	25	1	3	1 -
D Mubama FWD	25	5	1	3 1
V Johansson GLK	24		1	2 -
A Phillips DEF	20		1	5 -
J Tchamadeu DEF	20	1	1	9 -
T Rigo MID	19			1 -
R Bozenik FWD	19	1		2 -
A Cresswell DEF	18		2	2 -
B Pearson MID	18	1		6 1
L Cissé FWD	17		1	2 -
S Nzonzi MID	15	1		1 -
L Baker MID	12	4	1	1 -
E Bocat DEF	11		1	-
S Gallagher FWD	10	1		-
M Taloverov DEF	6			4 -
J. Donley MID	4		1	-
B Gibson DEF	3			1 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
9	22	6	11
S Thomas	S Thomas	S Thomas	S Thomas

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
S Thomas FWD	9	22	6	11
M Manhoef FWD	5	20	2	9
D Mubama FWD	5	15	1	1
L Baker MID	4	4	1
B Wilmot DEF	1	4		1
J. Bae MID	1	12	3
J Tchamadeu DEF	1	3	1	2
R Bozenik FWD	1	7		1
B Pearson MID	1	1
S Nzonzi MID	1	1
S Gallagher FWD	1	1
T Seko MID		1	1	1
V Johansson GLK			1	1
A Phillips DEF		2	1	1
T Rigo MID		6		1
A Cresswell DEF		2	2	2
L Cissé FWD		4	1	2
E Bocat DEF			1	1
M Taloverov DEF				1
J. Donley MID		1	1	1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1758	47	115
B Wilmot	J Tchamadeu	B Wilmot

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
B Wilmot DEF	1758	24	115
A Phillips DEF	893	6	69
V Johansson GLK	882	2	25
A Cresswell DEF	847	19	47
J Tchamadeu DEF	735	47	92
S Thomas FWD	653	15	64
T Seko MID	649	26	61
J. Bae MID	554	29	106
B Pearson MID	520	22	40
M Manhoef FWD	445	15	79
L Baker MID	416	11	31
T Rigo MID	406	16	40
M Taloverov DEF	277	21	46
S Nzonzi MID	271	6	23
E Bocat DEF	249	14	34
D Mubama FWD	243	13	105
L Cissé FWD	161	12	39
B Gibson DEF	119	5	16
R Bozenik FWD	106	7	44
S Gallagher FWD	52	10	36
J. Donley MID	11	4	6