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Bristol City v Derby County : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Robins High Performance Centre, Somerset

Gerhard Struber and John Eustace meet in the Championship on Friday night, as Bristol City face Derby County at the Robins High Performance Centre. We have predictions, tips, and odds from leading bookmakers and head-to-head stats across every market, so there's nowhere better to prepare Championship clash.

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Bristol City's next match is v Port Vale at 15:00 on Saturday 14th February
Derby County's next match is v Swansea at 15:00 on Saturday 14th February
The last English Championship meeting between Bristol C and Derby was on Friday 30th January 2026
English Championship
January 30th 2026
Bristol C 0
5 Derby
 
13' R. Brewster
16' B. Brereton
36' B. Clark
66' P. Agyemang
88' L. Salvesen
 
BCY
DER
Shots On
1
7
Shots Off
4
6
Corners
4
1
Possession
61%
39%
Fouls
9
15
Yellow/red cards
1/0
1/0
 
Bristol CDerby
 
R. McCrorie
C. Pring
R. Dickie
A. Randell (S. Morsy 74')
S. Twine (D. Burgzorg 63')
J. Knight
M. Sykes (V. Borges dos Santos Neto 46')
R. Vítek
G. Tanner
S. Bell (S. Armstrong 46')
E. Riis Jakobsen
R. O'Donnell
M. Clarke
D. Ozoh
(L. Salvesen 71') football iconP. Agyemang
(J. Banel 70') football iconR. Brewster
C. Elder
D. Sanderson
J. Ward
(O. Fraulo 60') L. Travis
(A. Weimann 78') football iconB. Clark
(O. Eames 78') football iconB. Brereton

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Championship Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Neither Bristol C or Derby are in a rich vein of form that would have us feeling confident enough to tip a match winner, so we're going with over 1.5 goals. The statistics tell us that both have form in this market, both individually and when going head-to-head. Our predictive algorithm suggests there's a 74% chance of two goals or more.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Bristol C are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 44% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.05.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Bristol C
44%
19/201/50
7%
Draw
26%
5/21/50
6%
Derby
30%
13/51/50
6%
Draw 1-1
12%
11/217/4
8%
Bristol C 1-0
11%
13/25/1
8%
Bristol C 2-1
9%
15/211/2
Derby 1-0
8%
10/113/2
Bristol C 2-0
8%
17/27/1
6%
Draw 0-0
7%
10/113/2
Derby 2-1
7%
12/17/2
8%
Draw 2-2
5%
14/111/2
Derby 2-0
5%
18/117/4
Bristol C 3-1
4%
14/111/1
15%
Bristol C 3-0
4%
16/112/1
15%
Derby 3-1
3%
28/15/2
12%
Bristol C 3-2
3%
25/111/1
Derby 3-2
2%
33/115/2
Derby 3-0
2%
40/19/5
15%
Over 2.5 Goals
49%
10/112/15
Under 2.5 Goals
51%
10/1117/4
2%
Home 1st Goal
50%
4/68/11
3%
Away 1st Goal
45%
11/86/4
6%
No 1st Goal
5%
10/113/2
BTTS - Yes
53%
8/117/1
3%
BTTS - No
47%
1/11/16
3%
BTTS - Home Win
20%
3/11/50
BTTS - Draw
19%
7/21/50
4%
BTTS - Away Win
14%
6/17/1
7%
Home/draw
70%
2/71/50
Away/draw
56%
4/51/50
5%
Home/away
74%
2/71/50
Over 1.5 Goals
74%
2/71/14
Under 1.5 Goals
26%
11/413/2
3%
Over 3.5 Goals
27%
12/52/5
3%
Under 3.5 Goals
73%
1/39/5
Over 4.5 Goals
13%
5/121/10
Under 4.5 Goals
87%
1/81/3
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
12/19/2
13%
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/251/8
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1/201/14
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
10/113/2
6%
Home DNB
62%
4/91/50
3%
Away DNB
48%
13/81/50
7%
Bristol C win to nil
24%
5/2-
Derby win to nil
16%
11/2-
Bristol C / Bristol C
24%
11/560/1
7%
Bristol C / Derby
3%
33/11/50
Bristol C / Draw
6%
12/11/50
Draw / Bristol C
15%
4/1125/1
4%
Draw / Derby
11%
7/11/50
6%
Draw / Draw
16%
9/2150/1
4%
Derby / Bristol C
4%
22/122/1
Derby / Derby
15%
5/11/25
4%
Derby / Draw
6%
14/111/1
8%
Win / draw / win Championship table

Bristol C have played 29 matches so far this season and lay in 7th place in the Championship league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 21 games against teams below in the table, having won 10, drawn 6 and lost 5 matches. They have kept 10 clean sheets and have failed to score in 5 fixtures. Bristol C have outscored their opponents by 40 goals to 39 goals.

Home League Performance

Bristol C have played 15 games at home winning 7, drawing 3 and losing 5 games. They have scored 25 goals, kept 6 clean sheets and conceded 15 goals at home.

Derby are in 11th position in the Championship on 42 points having played 29 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

4 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 16 goals and kept 3 clean sheets. They have scored 21 goals in total and failed to score in 1 fixture.

Performance against teams above them in the league

13 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 6 games, drawn 4 and won 3. Derby have conceded 22 goals, scored 17, failed to score in 1 fixture and have kept 2 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Bristol C
Derby
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Coventry3117862859 
Mar 7
l
 
1-0A
l
 
3-5A
Apr 3
2
M'Boro3017761858 
w
 
2-0F
Mar 14
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-1F
3
Ipswich3015962254 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-0A
l
 
1-2A
d
 
2-2A
4
Hull311669754 
w
 
4-2A
w
 
2-3A
w
 
2-1F
Feb 24
5
Millwall311588353 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-1A
d
 
1-1A
Mar 10
6
Wrexham3112118547 
Feb 17
l
 
2-0A
l
 
1-2A
d
 
1-1A
7
Preston3112118447 
l
 
0-2A
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-1F
8
Bristol C3113711546 
-
-
d
 
1-1A
w
 
0-5F
9
Derby3112910645 
l
 
0-5A
d
 
1-1F
-
-
10
Birmingham3112910445 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 25
Mar 21
d
 
1-1F
11
Watford3111119344 
Feb 27
d
 
1-1A
l
 
2-3F
Feb 21
12
QPR3112811-144 
l
 
1-2F
Apr 11
w
 
1-0F
Apr 25
13
Stoke3112712643 
May 2
l
 
5-1A
Apr 6
l
 
3-1F
14
Southampton31111010343 
w
 
3-1A
Apr 21
d
 
1-1A
Apr 11
15
Swansea3112613142 
w
 
3-0F
Feb 21
Feb 14
w
 
1-2F
16
Sheff Utd3012315039 
Apr 6
w
 
1-4F
May 2
w
 
1-3F
17
Norwich3110615-336 
Apr 18
w
 
0-1F
w
 
1-0F
Apr 21
18
Charlton309912-936 
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 3
d
 
1-1A
w
 
1-2F
19
Portsmouth298912-1133 
w
 
5-0F
w
 
0-1F
d
 
1-1A
Mar 14
20
West Brom319616-1533 
Mar 21
w
 
1-2F
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-1F
21
Leicester3110813-632 
d
 
2-2A
Mar 10
l
 
1-3A
l
 
2-1A
22
Blackburn318815-1332 
l
 
0-1A
Feb 24
Feb 28
w
 
1-2F
23
Oxford Utd3161015-1328 
l
 
1-3A
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 18
l
 
1-0A
24
Sheff Wed311822-44-7 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-3F
Mar 7
w
 
0-3F
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Bristol C 8TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
10
D
4
Lost
6
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
9
D
3
Lost
8
Derby 14TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
10
D
4
Lost
6
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
10
D
4
Lost
6
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
4
Bristol C have beaten Derby in 4 consecutive home league meetings
3
Bristol C have kept a clean sheet in 3 consecutive home league meetings with Derby
League games at Bristol C since 1993
Bristol C
Derby
Goals: Scored
19
16
Games: Scored
11 / 16
10 / 16
Clean sheets
6 / 16
5 / 16
BCY
7
D
5
DER
4
League games at Derby since 1992
Derby
Bristol C
Goals: Scored
30
19
Games: Scored
15 / 17
10 / 17
Clean sheets
7 / 17
2 / 17
BCY
4
D
4
DER
9
Goal Statistics
Bristol C 8th Derby 14th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that Bristol C will score 1 or more goals
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 67% probability that Derby will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+8
Bristol C’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+33
Derby have scored 33% more goals when away than predicted
1.7
average goals scored
1.5
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2025/2026 season
Bristol C
PG (predicted goals)
Derby
1.5
1.2
Attack rating
BCY
DER
21%
better
view stats
Games scored20
27
Failed to score9
2
Scored first13
16
Goals scored40
39
Avg. goals scored1.4
1.3
Avg. shots per game9
7
Avg. shots per goal7
5
Conversion rate for15
19
Avg. XG for1.3
1
KickOff rating
+21%
Defence rating
17%
better
BCY
DER
view stats
Games conceded18
23
Clean sheets11
6
Conceded first13
13
Goals conceded31
37
Avg. goals conceded1.1
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded8
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
7
Conversion rate against13%
15%
Avg. XG against1.4
1.3
KickOff rating
+17%

Bristol C v Derby Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Bristol C Championship squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
31865
A RandellS TwineR McCrorieC Pring
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Vítek GLK26
2
-
G Tanner DEF26
1
-
R Dickie DEF291
3
-
C Pring DEF13
5
-
M Sykes MID2431
1
-
A Randell MID3121
3
-
J Knight MID191
2
-
R McCrorie MID2936
4
-
S Bell FWD511
-
S Twine FWD3086
2
-
E Riis FWD3082
1
-
Subs
J Lumley GLK2
1
-
N Borges DEF244
3
-
S. Naylor DEF
-
J Williams MID1
-
L. Pecover MID3
-
S Morsy MID6
2
-
G. Earthy MID3
-
D Burgzorg FWD2
-
S Armstrong FWD303
4
-
Derby Championship squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
30968
M ClarkeP. AgyemangJ WardL Travis
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R O'Donnell GLK2
-
J Ward DEF2316
1
1
D Sanderson DEF261
6
-
M Clarke DEF3012
4
1
C Elder DEF2514
7
-
L Travis MID131
7
1
D Ozoh MID181
6
-
B Díaz MID2633
4
-
B Clark MID3032
4
-
R Brewster MID2141
1
-
P. Agyemang FWD2793
2
-
Subs
J Vickers GLK1
-
C Forsyth DEF11
2
-
D Batth DEF9
1
-
O Fraulo MID5
-
J Banel MID2
-
O. Eames MID2
-
L Thompson MID161
4
-
A Weimann  FWD2513
1
-
L Salvesen FWD2432
3
-