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Burnley v Sunderland : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Turf Moor, Burnley

the Turf Moor crowd welcome Sunderland's travelling contingent on Friday night, as Scott Parker's Burnley take on Régis Le Bris's team in the Championship. All the odds are provided directly from the UK's leading bookmakers, while predictions are algorithmically generated from statistics over a 20-game period. Particular attention is given to Championship match data, including head-to-head performance. Click the tabs below to explore it all.

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Burnley's next match is v Plymouth at 20:00 on Wednesday 22nd January
Sunderland's next match is v Derby at 19:45 on Tuesday 21st January
The last English Championship meeting between Burnley and Sunderland was on Friday 17th January 2025
English Championship
January 17th 2025
Burnley 0
0 Sunderland
 
BRN
SUN
Shots On
4
3
Shots Off
4
5
Corners
5
4
Possession
58%
42%
Fouls
9
9
Yellow/red cards
3/0
2/0
 
BurnleySunderland
 
J. Trafford
B. Humphreys
C. Roberts (O. Sonne 83')
C. Egan Riley
M. Esteve
J. Brownhill (L. Koleosho 82')
Z. Flemming (J. Sarmiento 69')
J. Cullen
J. Laurent
J. Anthony
L. Foster (A. Barnes 90')
A. Patterson
D. Cirkin
T. Hume
(D. Ballard 83') C. Mepham
L. O'Nien
E. Le Fée
(E. Mayenda Dossou 77') C. Rigg
P. Roberts
J. Bellingham
D. Neil
W. Isidor

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Championship Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

Maybe it'd be too strong to say that we expect Scott Parker and Régis Le Bris to got all-out defensive here, but we're certainly not expecting a deluge of goals as Burnley and Sunderland go head-to-head. The stats belowimply under 2.5 goals (i.e. 2 goals of fewer in total), and we're saying that looks like a strong prediction. With best odds of 1.50 available on under 2.5 goals and no obvious match winner in sight, that's the bet we're recommending.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Burnley are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 42% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.20.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Burnley
42%
6/5
13%
5/4
10%
Draw
32%
23/10
3%
2/1
6%
Sunderland
26%
23/10
15%
5/2
13%
Burnley 1-0
17%
5/1
9%
19/4
10%
Draw 0-0
16%
6/1
8%
5/1
Draw 1-1
13%
11/219/4
4%
Sunderland 1-0
12%
13/2
6%
13/2
6%
Burnley 2-0
9%
8/1
20%
15/2
13%
Burnley 2-1
7%
9/1
5%
8/1
6%
Sunderland 2-1
5%
11/1
20%
10/1
15%
Sunderland 2-0
5%
14/1
21%
12/1
13%
Burnley 3-0
3%
20/1
24%
16/1
13%
Draw 2-2
3%
20/114/1
12%
Burnley 3-1
2%
20/116/1
13%
Sunderland 3-1
1%
33/1
17%
25/1
10%
Sunderland 3-0
1%
40/128/1
15%
Burnley 3-2
1%
40/125/1
10%
Burnley 4-0
1%
40/133/1
17%
Over 2.5 Goals
27%
13/829/20
2%
Under 2.5 Goals
73%
1/21/2
1%
Home 1st Goal
49%
8/11
7%
5/6
Away 1st Goal
40%
6/4
13%
29/20
No 1st Goal
12%
6/1
8%
11/2
BTTS - Yes
35%
6/5
2%
23/20
4%
BTTS - No
65%
8/13
3%
13/20
3%
BTTS - Home Win
11%
5/1
9%
17/4
5%
BTTS - Draw
16%
4/1
9%
18/5
4%
BTTS - Away Win
7%
7/1
20%
13/2
12%
Home/draw
74%
1/3
6%
2/7
6%
Away/draw
58%
4/6
7%
8/13
7%
Home/away
68%
1/3
2%
4/11
1%
Over 1.5 Goals
54%
1/2
2%
1/2
Under 1.5 Goals
46%
13/8
5%
29/20
2%
Over 3.5 Goals
11%
4/118/5
4%
Under 3.5 Goals
89%
1/61/6
2%
Over 4.5 Goals
4%
10/117/2
5%
Under 4.5 Goals
96%
1/201/25
Over 5.5 Goals
1%
22/1
12%
18/1
10%
Under 5.5 Goals
99%
1/801/1000
Over 0.5 Goals
84%
1/10
1%
1/9
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
16%
6/1
8%
5/1
Home DNB
64%
4/7
12%
8/15
9%
Away DNB
49%
5/4
18%
11/8
13%
Burnley win to nil
30%
9/4
18%
-
Sunderland win to nil
19%
4/1
9%
-
Burnley / Burnley
22%
11/4
15%
13/5
13%
Burnley / Sunderland
2%
40/128/1
Burnley / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Draw / Burnley
16%
4/1
11%
4/1
9%
Draw / Sunderland
12%
6/1
13%
6/1
7%
Draw / Draw
20%
10/329/10
3%
Sunderland / Burnley
3%
28/122/1
Sunderland / Sunderland
14%
5/1
20%
9/2
15%
Sunderland / Draw
6%
14/1
12%
12/1
Win / draw / win Championship table

Burnley have played 26 matches so far this season and lay in 2nd place in the Championship league table. Burnley are unbeaten at home after 12 games and have kept 8 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 25 games against teams below in the table, having won 13, drawn 10 and lost 2 matches. They have kept 16 clean sheets and have failed to score in 9 fixtures. They have been outscored by their opponents by 39 goals to 31 goals.

Home League Performance

Burnley have played 12 games at home winning 6, drawing 6 and losing 0 games. They have scored 15 goals, kept 8 clean sheets and conceded 4 goals at home.

Sunderland are in 4th position in the Championship on 50 points having played 26 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

4 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 14 goals and kept 4 clean sheets. They have scored 17 goals in total and failed to score in 4 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

4 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 1 games, drawn 1 and won 2. Sunderland have conceded 4 goals, scored 5, failed to score in 1 fixture and have kept 1 clean sheet.

Won
Draw
Lost
Burnley
Sunderland
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Sheff Utd2717642155 
Apr 21
w
 
0-2F
w
 
2-1F
l
 
1-0A
2
Leeds2615832953 
Jan 27
w
 
0-1F
d
 
2-2F
Feb 17
3
Burnley Home27141122253 
-
-
w
 
1-0F
d
 
0-00-0
4
Sunderland Away2714941751 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
1-0A
-
-
5
Blackburn271269742 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-1F
Apr 21
d
 
2-2A
6
West Brom2791441141 
Mar 11
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 5
7
M'Boro2711881041 
d
 
1-1A
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-0F
Feb 3
8
Watford2712510141 
w
 
2-1F
Apr 18
Feb 8
l
 
2-1A
9
Bristol C279108237 
Mar 29
w
 
0-1F
d
 
1-1A
Apr 18
10
Sheff Wed261079-237 
Feb 21
w
 
0-2F
w
 
4-0F
Mar 1
11
Norwich27999436 
Apr 12
w
 
1-2A
w
 
2-1A
Apr 8
12
QPR278118-435 
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 26
May 3
d
 
0-00-0
13
Swansea279711-334 
w
 
1-0F
Mar 15
Apr 12
w
 
2-3A
14
Coventry278811-232 
w
 
2-0F
Apr 5
d
 
2-2F
Mar 15
15
Oxford Utd278811-1132 
Feb 4
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
2-0F
Apr 26
16
Preston276138-631 
d
 
0-00-0
Feb 15
Mar 11
d
 
0-00-0
17
Millwall267910030 
May 3
l
 
1-0A
Mar 29
d
 
1-1F
18
Stoke2761011-828 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-2F
w
 
2-1A
l
 
1-0A
19
Derby277614-627 
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 9
w
 
2-0F
Jan 21
20
Cardiff276912-1227 
w
 
5-0F
Mar 1
Mar 8
w
 
0-2F
21
Hull276813-1026 
Feb 12
d
 
1-1A
Feb 22
w
 
0-1F
22
Portsmouth266812-1326 
w
 
2-1A
Feb 1
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-3F
23
Luton277515-1726 
Mar 8
w
 
1-4F
Feb 12
w
 
1-2F
24
Plymouth274914-3021 
w
 
1-0F
Jan 22
Jan 25
l
 
3-2F
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Burnley 3RD
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
7
Draw
9
L
4
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
5
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
5 / 20
Clean sheets
15 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
10
Draw
9
L
1
Sunderland 4TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
9
Draw
8
L
3
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
Burnley have not lost to Sunderland in 5 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Burnley since 1995
Burnley
Sunderland
Goals: Scored
11
9
Games: Scored
5 / 8
6 / 8
Clean sheets
2 / 8
3 / 8
BRN
2
D
4
SUN
2
League games at Sunderland since 1994
Sunderland
Burnley
Goals: Scored
13
9
Games: Scored
7 / 9
5 / 9
Clean sheets
4 / 9
2 / 9
BRN
1
D
3
SUN
5
Goal Statistics

With a PG of just 0.8, Sunderland look set to struggle here. Add in the fact that Burnley have kept a clean sheet in 4 consecutive Championship matches, and it could be a long night for R. Le Bris's men.

Burnley 3rd Sunderland 4th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.1
goals
0.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
35%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 72% probability that Burnley will score no more than 1 goal
0
47%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4+
There is a 83% probability of Sunderland scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-27
Burnley have scored 27% fewer goals at home than predicted
-8
Sunderland’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.2
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/280401/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Burnley
PG (predicted goals)
Sunderland
1.1
0.8
Attack rating
BRN
SUN
16%
better
view stats
Games scored17
21
Failed to score9
5
Scored first13
15
Goals scored31
39
Avg. goals scored1.2
1.5
Avg. shots per game9
10
Avg. shots per goal7
7
Conversion rate for14
15
Avg. XG for1.1
1.5
KickOff rating
+16%
Defence rating
40%
better
BRN
SUN
view stats
Games conceded9
15
Clean sheets17
11
Conceded first6
8
Goals conceded9
22
Avg. goals conceded0.3
0.8
Avg. shots/game conceded7
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded20
8
Conversion rate against5%
12%
Avg. XG against0.9
1.2
KickOff rating
+40%

Burnley v Sunderland Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Burnley Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
27939
M EstèveJ Brownhill J Brownhill J Cullen
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Trafford GLK26
7
-
C Roberts DEF2212
2
-
C Egan-Riley DEF221
6
-
M Estève DEF27
2
-
B Humphreys DEF212
2
1
J Cullen MID251
9
-
J Laurent MID3
3
-
J Anthony MID2432
3
-
J Brownhill  MID2693
3
-
L Foster MID1311
3
-
Z Flemming FWD1841
1
-
Subs
V Hladky GLK1
-
O Sonne DEF
-
J Worrall DEF41
1
-
J Egan DEF7
-
L Pires DEF192
3
-
J Sarmiento  MID202
2
-
L Koleosho FWD242
3
-
A Barnes FWD1
-
J Rodríguez FWD192
1
-
Sunderland Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
26858
D NeilW IsidorP RobertsC Mepham
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Patterson GLK23
1
-
T Hume DEF262
7
-
C Mepham DEF21
7
1
L O'Nien DEF2621
6
-
D Cirkin DEF2322
6
-
D Neil MID2613
2
1
J Bellingham MID2444
6
1
P Roberts MID2625
8
-
E Fée MID1
1
-
C Rigg MID2342
6
-
W Isidor FWD248
6
-
Subs
S Moore GLK4
1
-
L Hjelde DEF6
-
D Ballard DEF122
4
-
S Samed MID
-
A Aouchiche MID81
-
H. Jones MID
-
E Mayenda FWD1945
-
M. Aleksić FWD3
1
-
T. Ogunsugi FWD
-