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Derby County v Ipswich Town : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 7th Feb, 12:31 BST, Pride Park Stadium, Derby

Ipswich Town pay Championship competitors Derby County a visit on Saturday lunch time, as Kieran McKenna guides his team into an away clash with John Eustace & co. at the Pride Park Stadium. Below you'll find unique stats for all of the main betting markets, from team to score first to full time result, including form and historical head-to-head data. Predictions are calculated from these, and the odds come directly from leading bookmakers.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Championship Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We're ruling out a bore-draw or a narrow 1-0 win here, and instead are tipping over 1.5 goals. That means that Derby and Ipswich will score a minimum of a couple of between them during 90 mins. It's a prediction based on the recent form of the respective sides, as well as historical records when they go head-to-head. We give it a probability of 74%. Bookies have it available at 1.36.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 44% chance of Ipswich coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Derby
31%
3.60
3%
3.50
10%
Draw
26%
3.40
6%
3.40
6%
Ipswich
44%
2.05
3%
2.10
2%
Draw 1-1
12%
6.50
8%
6.00
4%
Ipswich 1-0
10%
7.00
8%
6.50
Ipswich 2-1
9%
9.008.00
Derby 1-0
8%
10.008.50
6%
Ipswich 2-0
8%
9.50
6%
8.50
Derby 2-1
7%
13.0010.00
9%
Draw 0-0
7%
9.00
6%
8.00
14%
Draw 2-2
5%
15.0013.00
Derby 2-0
5%
19.0015.00
Ipswich 3-1
4%
17.0015.00
15%
Ipswich 3-0
4%
17.0013.00
13%
Derby 3-1
3%
34.0021.00
19%
Ipswich 3-2
3%
29.0023.00
10%
Derby 3-2
2%
41.0029.00
Derby 3-0
2%
41.0026.00
24%
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
2.10
5%
2.05
2%
Under 2.5 Goals
50%
1.73
4%
1.70
3%
Home 1st Goal
45%
2.38
1%
2.40
4%
Away 1st Goal
51%
1.731.75
1%
No 1st Goal
4%
9.00
6%
8.00
14%
BTTS - Yes
54%
1.83
4%
1.91
BTTS - No
46%
1.83
2%
1.83
BTTS - Home Win
15%
7.50
6%
6.50
7%
BTTS - Draw
19%
4.504.50
4%
BTTS - Away Win
20%
4.50
5%
4.50
4%
Home/draw
56%
1.73
4%
1.70
3%
Away/draw
69%
1.291.30
4%
Home/away
74%
1.30
4%
1.30
4%
Over 1.5 Goals
75%
1.361.35
1%
Under 1.5 Goals
26%
3.203.00
3%
Over 3.5 Goals
28%
3.75
6%
3.70
Under 3.5 Goals
72%
1.29
3%
1.25
Over 4.5 Goals
13%
8.007.50
Under 4.5 Goals
87%
1.081.07
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
17.0015.00
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1.031.02
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1.071.06
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
9.00
6%
8.00
7%
Home DNB
49%
2.632.45
6%
Away DNB
62%
1.441.50
4%
Derby win to nil
16%
6.00-
Ipswich win to nil
23%
3.40
5%
-
Derby / Derby
14%
6.005.25
13%
Derby / Ipswich
3%
26.0021.00
Derby / Draw
6%
15.0013.00
Draw / Derby
10%
8.007.50
6%
Draw / Ipswich
16%
5.005.00
Draw / Draw
17%
5.00
5%
4.60
6%
Ipswich / Derby
3%
34.0026.00
10%
Ipswich / Ipswich
25%
3.253.20
3%
Ipswich / Draw
6%
13.00
13%
12.00
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Win / draw / win Championship table

Derby have played 30 matches so far this season and are in 7th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

8 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 3 games, drawn 3 and won 2. Derby have conceded 14 goals, scored 12, scored in every game and kept 1 clean sheet.

Home league performance

Derby have played 15 games at home, winning 4, drawing 6 and losing 5 fixtures. They have scored 18 goals, conceded 21 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and failed to score 1 time in home league games.

Ipswich lay in 4th place on 51 points in the Championship league table having played 29 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 25 games against teams below them in the table, winning 11, drawing 9 and losing 5 games. They have scored 41 goals and kept 7 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Ipswich have conceded 26 goals and have failed to score in 4 matches.

Away league performance

Ipswich have played 13 away games, winning 4, drawing 4 and losing 5 games. They have scored an average of 1.5 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.2 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Derby
Ipswich
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Coventry3017762858 
l
 
3-5A
Apr 3
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-2F
2
M'Boro3017761858 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-1F
Apr 18
l
 
2-1A
3
Hull301668854 
w
 
2-1F
Feb 24
Mar 3
w
 
0-2F
4
Ipswich2914962151 
Feb 7
d
 
2-2A
-
-
5
Millwall301488150 
d
 
1-1A
Mar 10
Mar 21
d
 
0-00-0
6
Wrexham3012117747 
l
 
1-2A
d
 
1-1A
d
 
0-00-0
Feb 21
7
Derby301299745 
-
-
d
 
2-2F
Feb 7
8
Watford3011118444 
l
 
2-3F
Feb 21
d
 
1-1A
Feb 24
9
Preston3011118344 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-1F
d
 
1-1A
l
 
1-0A
10
Bristol C3012711443 
d
 
1-1A
w
 
0-5F
w
 
2-0F
d
 
1-1A
11
QPR3012711-143 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 25
May 2
w
 
1-4F
12
Stoke3012612642 
Apr 6
l
 
3-1F
w
 
1-0F
Mar 10
13
Birmingham3011910342 
Mar 21
d
 
1-1F
Apr 6
d
 
1-1A
14
Southampton30101010240 
d
 
1-1A
Apr 11
d
 
1-1F
Apr 3
15
Sheff Utd3012315039 
May 2
w
 
1-3F
w
 
5-0F
l
 
3-1A
16
Swansea3011613-339 
Feb 14
w
 
1-2F
Feb 28
w
 
1-4F
17
Charlton299812-935 
d
 
1-1A
w
 
1-2F
l
 
0-3A
Apr 22
18
Norwich309615-533 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 21
w
 
3-1F
Apr 11
19
Portsmouth288911-1033 
d
 
1-1A
Mar 14
w
 
2-1F
-
20
Leicester3010812-532 
l
 
1-3A
l
 
2-1A
Mar 7
l
 
3-1A
21
Blackburn308814-1132 
Feb 28
w
 
1-2F
w
 
3-0F
Sep 20
22
West Brom309516-1532 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-1F
w
 
1-0F
Apr 25
23
Oxford Utd306915-1327 
Apr 18
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-1F
l
 
2-1A
24
Sheff Wed301821-40-7 
Mar 7
w
 
0-3F
w
 
3-1F
Mar 14
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Derby 14TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
6
Draw
8
Lost
6
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Derby1 - 1West Brom
Derby1 - 2Wrexham
Derby1 - 0M'Boro
Derby1 - 1Portsmouth
Derby1 - 1Millwall
Derby1 - 3Leicester
Derby2 - 3Watford
Derby2 - 1Hull
Derby1 - 0QPR
Derby1 - 0Norwich
Derby1 - 1Southampton
Derby1 - 1Charlton
Derby0 - 1Preston
Derby1 - 1Bristol C
Derby3 - 5Coventry
Derby0 - 0Stoke
Derby0 - 1Luton
Derby0 - 0Burnley
Derby2 - 0Preston
Derby2 - 0Coventry
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
11
D
4
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ADerby5 - 0Bristol C
HDerby1 - 1West Brom
ADerby2 - 1Charlton
ADerby1 - 0Preston
HDerby1 - 2Wrexham
HDerby1 - 0M'Boro
ADerby1 - 2Leicester
ADerby1 - 1Birmingham
HDerby1 - 1Portsmouth
ADerby3 - 0Sheff Wed
HDerby1 - 1Millwall
HDerby1 - 3Leicester
ADerby1 - 2M'Boro
ADerby2 - 1Swansea
HDerby2 - 3Watford
ADerby2 - 1Blackburn
HDerby2 - 1Hull
ADerby3 - 1Sheff Utd
HDerby1 - 0QPR
HDerby1 - 0Norwich
Ipswich 3RD
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
5
Draw
6
Lost
9
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Sheff Utd3 - 1Ipswich
Coventry0 - 2Ipswich
Millwall0 - 0Ipswich
Leicester3 - 1Ipswich
Blackburn1 - 1Ipswich
Oxford Utd2 - 1Ipswich
Hull0 - 2Ipswich
Swansea1 - 4Ipswich
QPR1 - 4Ipswich
M'Boro2 - 1Ipswich
Bristol C1 - 1Ipswich
Preston1 - 0Ipswich
Birmingham1 - 1Ipswich
Leicester2 - 0Ipswich
Everton2 - 2Ipswich
Newcastle3 - 0Ipswich
Chelsea2 - 2Ipswich
Bournemouth1 - 2Ipswich
C Palace1 - 0Ipswich
Man Utd3 - 2Ipswich
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
11
Draw
5
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HIpswich1 - 1Preston
AIpswich1 - 3Sheff Utd
HIpswich2 - 0Bristol C
HIpswich3 - 0Blackburn
HIpswich2 - 1Oxford Utd
AIpswich2 - 0Coventry
AIpswich0 - 0Millwall
HIpswich3 - 1Sheff Wed
AIpswich1 - 3Leicester
HIpswich1 - 0Stoke
HIpswich3 - 0Coventry
AIpswich1 - 1Blackburn
AIpswich1 - 2Oxford Utd
AIpswich2 - 0Hull
HIpswich0 - 0Wrexham
AIpswich4 - 1Swansea
HIpswich1 - 1Watford
AIpswich4 - 1QPR
HIpswich1 - 0West Brom
HIpswich0 - 3Charlton
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Derby since 1995
Derby
Ipswich
Goals: Scored
23
34
Games: Scored
13 / 20
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
7 / 20
DER
3
D
7
IPS
10
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Derby
0 - 2Ipswich
Derby2 - 0
0 - 1Ipswich
0 - 1Ipswich
0 - 1Ipswich
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw4 - 4Draw
0 - 1Ipswich
Draw0 - 0Draw
1 - 2Ipswich
1 - 3Ipswich
0 - 1Ipswich
Derby2 - 1
Draw3 - 3Draw
Derby3 - 2
Draw2 - 2Draw
1 - 4Ipswich
1 - 3Ipswich
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
League games at Ipswich since 1996
Ipswich
Derby
Goals: Scored
25
22
Games: Scored
15 / 21
15 / 21
Clean sheets
6 / 21
6 / 21
DER
8
D
2
IPS
11
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Ipswich
Draw2 - 2Draw
Ipswich1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 2Derby
0 - 3Derby
0 - 1Derby
0 - 1Derby
Ipswich2 - 1
1 - 2Derby
Ipswich1 - 0
0 - 2Derby
Ipswich1 - 0
Ipswich2 - 0
Ipswich2 - 1
Ipswich2 - 0
Ipswich3 - 2
Ipswich2 - 1
0 - 1Derby
Ipswich3 - 1
0 - 1Derby
Ipswich1 - 0
Goal Statistics

Ipswich Town have been reliable in attack of late, scoring in 6 consecutive Championship matches. Their PG of 1.5 against Derby County on Saturday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Derby 14th Ipswich 3rd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
1.5
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 66% probability that Derby will score no more than 1 goal
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that Ipswich will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-10
Derby’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+2
Ipswich’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.1
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2025/2026 season
Derby
PG (predicted goals)
Ipswich
1.2
1.5
Attack rating
8%
better
DER
IPS
view stats
Games scored28
25
Failed to score2
4
Scored first17
16
Goals scored44
49
Avg. goals scored1.5
1.7
Avg. shots per game7
11
Avg. shots per goal5
6
Conversion rate for20
16
Avg. XG for1.1
1.9
KickOff rating
+8%
Defence rating
DER
IPS
15%
better
view stats
Games conceded23
19
Clean sheets7
10
Conceded first13
11
Goals conceded37
28
Avg. goals conceded1.2
1
Avg. shots/game conceded9
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
7
Conversion rate against14%
14%
Avg. XG against1.3
0.9
KickOff rating
+15%

Derby v Ipswich Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Derby Championship squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
291067
M ClarkeC MorrisJ WardC Elder
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Clarke DEF2912
4
1
B Clark MID2932
4
-
J Zetterström GLK28
1
-
D Sanderson DEF261
6
-
P. Agyemang FWD2693
2
-
C Elder DEF2514
7
-
A Weimann  MID2513
1
-
B Díaz FWD2533
4
-
E Adams MID231
7
-
L Salvesen FWD2332
3
-
J Ward MID2216
1
1
R Brewster FWD2031
1
-
S Langas DEF1921
2
-
K Jackson FWD19
2
-
D Ozoh MID171
6
-
L Thompson MID161
4
-
C Morris FWD1610
4
-
L Travis MID121
6
-
C Forsyth DEF11
2
-
M Johnston DEF9
1
-
C Blackett-Taylor FWD91
-
D Batth DEF8
-
R Nyambe DEF7
1
-
R O'Donnell GLK2
-
C Nelson DEF2
-
Ipswich Championship squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
291278
D O'SheaJ ClarkeM EspinozaA Matusiwa
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D O'Shea DEF2911
-
J Clarke FWD29121
2
-
A Matusiwa MID281
8
-
L Davis DEF2712
2
-
J Cajuste MID2613
1
-
J Taylor MID2511
5
-
G Hirst FWD2561
5
-
J Philogene FWD2592
2
-
D Furlong DEF232
6
-
M Espinoza MID2337
1
-
I Azón FWD2321
-
C Akpom FWD212
1
-
S Egeli FWD2122
2
-
C Walton GLK20
2
-
C Kipré DEF2021
4
-
S Szmodics MID161
-
K McAteer MID16
2
-
A Young DEF13
-
J Greaves DEF121
2
-
A Palmer GLK10
-
B Johnson DEF9
1
-
W Burns MID711
-
C Humphreys MID3
-