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Derby County v Leicester City : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Pride Park Stadium, Derby

Martí Cifuentes Corvillo pays counterpart John Eustace a visit on Saturday lunch time in the Championship, as their Leicester City and Derby County charges face each other at the Pride Park Stadium. We've got bespoke stats for the biggest betting markets, from from under 0.5 goals to over 5.5, including form and historical head-to-head data. Predictions are generated from these, and the odds come straight from leading bookmakers.

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Derby County's next match is v Sheff Wed at 20:00 on Monday 15th December
Leicester City's next match is v Ipswich at 15:00 on Saturday 13th December
The last English Championship meeting between Derby and Leicester was on Saturday 6th December 2025
English Championship
December 6th 2025
Derby 1
3 Leicester
 
S. Langås 63'8' B. Reid
15' O. Skipp
31' J. James
 
DER
LEI
Shots On
5
4
Shots Off
2
Corners
6
3
Possession
61%
39%
Fouls
11
11
Yellow/red cards
3/0
2/0
 
DerbyLeicester
 
J. Widell Zetterström
M. Clarke
S. Langåsfootball icon
P. Agyemang
L. Salvesen (A. Weimann 46')
C. Elder (C. Nelson 90')
D. Sanderson (K. Jackson 66')
J. Ward
E. Adams (L. Thompson 46')
B. Brereton (C. Taylor 66')
B. Clark
J. Stolarczyk
R. Barbosa Pereira
B. Nelson
J. Vestergaard
(L. Page 87') football iconJ. James
football iconO. Skipp
(P. Daka 78') A. Issahaku
(S. Thomas 78') J. Ayew
(O. Aluko 87') S. Mavididi
(H. Choudhury 65') football iconB. Reid
L. Thomas

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Championship Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Neither Derby or Leicester are in the kind of form that would leave us feeling very confident in tipping a match winner, so we've opted for over 1.5 goals. The stats tell us that both have a proven record in this market, both individually and when going head-to-head. Our predictive algorithm suggests there's a 75% chance of 2 goals or more.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Derby are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 38% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.62.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Derby
38%
17/101/50
Draw
26%
9/4150/1
Leicester
36%
17/101/300
Draw 1-1
12%
5/15/1
Derby 1-0
10%
13/211/2
Leicester 1-0
9%
13/26/1
Derby 2-1
8%
10/117/2
Leicester 2-1
8%
10/117/4
Draw 0-0
7%
13/211/2
Derby 2-0
6%
11/110/1
Leicester 2-0
6%
11/117/4
Draw 2-2
5%
16/18/1
Derby 3-1
4%
22/118/1
Leicester 3-1
3%
22/12/11
Derby 3-0
3%
28/120/1
Leicester 3-0
3%
25/16/4
Derby 3-2
2%
40/118/1
Leicester 3-2
2%
33/113/2
Over 2.5 Goals
49%
13/101/7
Under 2.5 Goals
51%
8/1317/4
Home 1st Goal
48%
21/2021/20
Away 1st Goal
47%
1/111/10
No 1st Goal
5%
13/211/2
BTTS - Yes
53%
10/115/4
BTTS - No
47%
4/53/5
BTTS - Home Win
18%
5/1125/1
BTTS - Draw
19%
7/240/1
BTTS - Away Win
17%
5/11/1000
Home/draw
64%
4/940/1
Away/draw
62%
4/91/1000
Home/away
74%
1/31/200
Over 1.5 Goals
74%
2/51/12
Under 1.5 Goals
26%
2/16/1
Over 3.5 Goals
27%
10/310/21
Under 3.5 Goals
73%
2/96/4
Over 4.5 Goals
13%
8/17/2
Under 4.5 Goals
87%
1/142/11
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
18/122/1
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/501/1000
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1/121/11
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
7/111/2
Home DNB
56%
5/6125/1
Away DNB
55%
5/61/1000
Derby win to nil
20%
10/3-
Leicester win to nil
19%
3/1-
Derby / Derby
18%
7/21/50
Derby / Leicester
3%
28/11/50
Derby / Draw
6%
14/11/50
Draw / Derby
14%
5/1125/1
Draw / Leicester
13%
5/1125/1
Draw / Draw
18%
7/2100/1
Leicester / Derby
3%
28/133/1
Leicester / Leicester
18%
10/31/150
Leicester / Draw
6%
14/116/1
Win / draw / win Championship table

Derby have played 18 matches so far this season and lay in 11th place in the Championship league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 10 games against teams below in the table, having won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 matches. They have kept 3 clean sheets and have failed to score in 1 fixture. Derby have outscored their opponents by 25 goals to 22 goals.

Home League Performance

Derby have played 9 games at home winning 3, drawing 3 and losing 3 games. They have scored 12 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and conceded 13 goals at home.

Leicester are in 16th position in the Championship on 24 points having played 18 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

4 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 13 goals and kept 1 clean sheet. They have scored 11 goals in total and failed to score in 2 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

10 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 4 games, drawn 4 and won 2. Leicester have conceded 12 goals, scored 9, failed to score in 3 fixtures and have kept 2 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Derby
Leicester
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Coventry2013522944 
l
 
3-5A
Apr 3
d
 
0-00-0
Jan 17
2
M'Boro201163939 
Jan 1
l
 
2-1F
d
 
1-1F
Feb 24
3
Millwall201055-235 
d
 
1-1A
Mar 10
Apr 25
l
 
1-0A
4
Ipswich209741534 
Feb 7
d
 
2-2A
Dec 13
Mar 7
5
Preston20884632 
l
 
0-1A
Jan 17
Apr 3
l
 
2-1A
6
Hull20947-131 
w
 
2-1F
Feb 24
Apr 22
l
 
2-1A
7
QPR20947-331 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 25
Mar 14
Dec 20
8
Stoke20938730 
Apr 6
l
 
3-1F
w
 
2-1F
Feb 21
9
Southampton20866630 
d
 
1-1A
Apr 11
Feb 14
l
 
3-0A
10
Bristol C20866530 
d
 
1-1A
Jan 30
Mar 10
d
 
2-2F
11
Birmingham20848428 
Mar 21
Dec 26
w
 
2-0F
Feb 7
12
Watford20776228 
l
 
2-3F
Feb 21
Dec 26
Mar 21
13
Leicester20776128 
l
 
1-3A
Dec 29
-
-
14
Wrexham20695127 
Jan 4
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1F
Jan 20
15
Derby20767-227 
-
-
Dec 29
w
 
1-3F
16
West Brom20749-525 
Jan 23
w
 
0-1F
Jan 5
d
 
1-1A
17
Sheff Utd207211-423 
May 2
w
 
1-3F
l
 
2-3A
Jan 1
18
Swansea20659-623 
Feb 14
w
 
1-2F
Apr 11
w
 
1-3F
19
Charlton19658-623 
d
 
1-1A
Jan 20
Jan 31
w
 
0-1F
20
Blackburn19649-522 
Feb 28
w
 
1-2F
l
 
0-2A
May 2
21
Oxford Utd20479-719 
Apr 18
l
 
1-0A
Jan 24
d
 
2-2A
22
Portsmouth194510-1117 
Dec 20
Mar 14
d
 
1-1F
Apr 18
23
Norwich203512-1114 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 21
Feb 28
w
 
1-2A
24
Sheff Wed191612-22-9 
Mar 7
Dec 15
w
 
2-1A
Apr 6
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Derby 15TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
6
Draw
6
Lost
8
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
Leicester 13TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
37
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
4
D
4
Lost
12
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
Draw
6
Lost
7
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Derby since 1993
Derby
Leicester
Goals: Scored
23
19
Games: Scored
13 / 18
11 / 18
Clean sheets
7 / 18
5 / 18
DER
9
D
2
LEI
7
League games at Leicester since 1992
Leicester
Derby
Goals: Scored
35
22
Games: Scored
14 / 18
13 / 18
Clean sheets
5 / 18
4 / 18
DER
4
D
5
LEI
9
Goal Statistics
Derby 15th Leicester 13th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 62% probability that Derby will score no more than 1 goal
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 62% probability that Leicester will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-24
Derby have scored 24% fewer goals at home than predicted
-19
Leicester have scored 19% fewer goals when away than predicted
0.9
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2025/2026 season
Derby
PG (predicted goals)
Leicester
1.3
1.3
Attack rating
22%
better
DER
LEI
view stats
Games scored16
14
Failed to score2
4
Scored first10
7
Goals scored25
22
Avg. goals scored1.4
1.2
Avg. shots per game6
9
Avg. shots per goal4
7
Conversion rate for23
14
Avg. XG for1
1.3
KickOff rating
+22%
Defence rating
1%
better
DER
LEI
view stats
Games conceded15
15
Clean sheets3
3
Conceded first8
10
Goals conceded25
23
Avg. goals conceded1.4
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded9
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
7
Conversion rate against15%
14%
Avg. XG against1.5
1.5
KickOff rating
+1%

Derby v Leicester Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Derby Championship squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
20357
J ZetterströmP. AgyemangJ WardE Adams
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Zetterström GLK20
1
-
S Langas DEF1021
1
-
D Sanderson DEF191
5
-
M Clarke DEF201
3
-
J Ward MID1315
-
E Adams MID191
7
-
B Clark MID19
3
-
C Elder MID1612
4
-
B Díaz FWD151
3
-
L Salvesen FWD1421
2
-
P. Agyemang FWD1633
-
Subs
J Vickers GLK
-
C Forsyth DEF8
2
-
D Batth DEF6
-
R Nyambe DEF7
1
-
C Nelson DEF1
-
L Thompson MID7
3
-
K Jackson FWD15
1
-
C Blackett-Taylor FWD51
-
A Weimann  FWD1812
1
-
Leicester Championship squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
20565
J VestergaardJ JamesI FatawuL Thomas
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Stolarczyk GLK16
1
-
R Pereira DEF132
4
-
B Nelson DEF4
1
-
J Vestergaard DEF202
4
-
L Thomas DEF191
5
-
J James MID1652
2
-
O Skipp MID121
3
-
I Fatawu MID2036
4
-
B Cordova-Reid MID133
1
-
S Mavididi MID162
1
-
J Ayew FWD1831
2
-
Subs
A Begovic GLK5
1
-
W Faes DEF1511
1
-
O. Aluko DEF3
1
1
H Choudhury MID13
3
-
L. Page MID51
-
J Carranza FWD9
1
-
P Daka FWD2012
1
-
S. Thomas FWD8
-