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Derby County v Luton Town : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Pride Park Stadium, Derby

Luton Town are away from home on Friday lunch time, as manager Matt Gray takes his men to visit Derby County and John Coleman at the Pride Park Stadium in the Championship. For every Championship match preview, KickOff delves into the statistics for multiple markets. Important stats, including head-to-head results, are then published alongside the best odds.

This match has now expired. Kickoff has all of the best football predictions for you to choose from, for all Championship Predictions. Kickoff constantly updates all 17 football betting markets to analyse and predict football scores – whether you choose football accumulator tips, both teams to score (BTTS tips), correct score, or if you are looking for free football tips – then make sure to sign up to Kickoff.co.uk today.

Derby County's next match is v West Brom at 15:00 on Monday 21st April
Luton Town's next match is v Bristol C at 15:00 on Monday 21st April

The last English Championship meeting between Derby and Luton was on Friday 18th April 2025

English Championship

April 18th 2025

Derby 0	1 Luton

	10' M. Alli

	DER LUT
Shots On	4 1
Shots Off	3 5
Corners	9 4
Possession	59% 41%
Fouls	9 13
Yellow/red cards	2/0 2/0

Derby	Luton

J. Vickers K. Wilson S. Langås (K. Goudmijn 76') N. Phillips M. Clarke C. Forsyth E. Adams H. Armstrong (T. Barkhuizen 90') M. Harness N. Mendez-Laing (K. Jackson 15') J. Yates	T. Kaminski A. Bell M. McGuinness C. Makosso K. Naismith (T. Mengi 72') L. Dabo (M. Nakamba 81') J. Clark T. Aasgaard (T. Chong 90') M. Alli (R. Burke 73') I. Jones (L. Nordås 81') C. Morris

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Championship Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

Maybe it'd be too strong to say that we expect John Coleman and Matt Gray to batten down the hatches here, but we certainly don't expect to see a flood of goals as Derby and Luton go head-to-head. The statistics belowimply under 2.5 goals (i.e. 2 goals of fewer in total), and we think it's likely to go that way too. With best odds of 1.50 available on under 2.5 goals and nothing too eyecatching in the full time result market, that's the bet we recommend.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Derby are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 43% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.38.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Derby 43%	6/4 2%	-
Draw 30%	19/10 3%	-
Luton 27%	11/5 3%	-
Derby 1-0 15%	5/1 8%	-
Draw 1-1 13%	5/1	-
Draw 0-0 13%	9/2 15%	-
Luton 1-0 11%	6/1 7%	-
Derby 2-0 9%	9/1	-
Derby 2-1 8%	10/1 10%	-
Luton 2-1 6%	12/1 8%	-
Luton 2-0 5%	12/1	-
Derby 3-0 4%	25/1 13%	-
Draw 2-2 3%	20/1 11%	-
Derby 3-1 3%	25/1 13%	-
Luton 3-1 2%	33/1 17%	-
Luton 3-0 1%	33/1	-
Derby 3-2 1%	40/1	-
Derby 4-0 1%	50/1	-
Over 2.5 Goals 33%	7/4 5%	-
Under 2.5 Goals 67%	4/9 4%	-
Home 1st Goal 50%	10/11 4%	-
Away 1st Goal 41%	7/5 1%	-
No 1st Goal 9%	9/2 15%	-
BTTS - Yes 40%	5/4 7%	-
BTTS - No 60%	4/7 6%	-
BTTS - Home Win 14%	6/1 17%	-
BTTS - Draw 17%	15/4	-
BTTS - Away Win 9%	15/2 6%	-
Home/draw 73%	4/11	-
Away/draw 57%	1/2 2%	-
Home/away 70%	2/5 3%	-
Over 1.5 Goals 60%	4/7 5%	-
Under 1.5 Goals 40%	11/8 9%	-
Over 3.5 Goals 15%	9/2 10%	-
Under 3.5 Goals 85%	1/7 3%	-
Over 4.5 Goals 6%	12/1 18%	-
Under 4.5 Goals 94%	1/25 1%	-
Over 5.5 Goals 2%	25/1 13%	-
Under 5.5 Goals 98%	1/150	-
Over 0.5 Goals 87%	1/8 1%	-
Under 0.5 Goals 13%	5/1 8%	-
Home DNB 64%	4/6	-
Away DNB 48%	11/10	-
Derby win to nil 29%	5/2	-
Luton win to nil 18%	10/3 4%	-
Derby / Derby 19%	10/3 8%	-
Derby / Luton 2%	40/1 21%	-
Derby / Draw 6%	14/1	-
Draw / Derby 15%	9/2	-
Draw / Luton 13%	11/2	-
Draw / Draw 22%	11/4 6%	-
Luton / Derby 2%	33/1	-
Luton / Luton 15%	9/2	-
Luton / Draw 6%	14/1	-

Win / draw / win Championship table

Derby have played 42 matches so far this season and lay in 21st place in the Championship league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 5 games against teams below in the table, having won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 matches. They have kept 1 clean sheet and have scored in every game. Derby have outscored their opponents by 44 goals to 37 goals.

Home League Performance

Derby have played 21 games at home winning 9, drawing 4 and losing 8 games. They have scored 25 goals, kept 9 clean sheets and conceded 17 goals at home.

Luton are in 23rd position in the Championship on 40 points having played 42 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

15 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 42 goals and kept 3 clean sheets. They have scored 16 goals in total and failed to score in 9 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

40 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 21 games, drawn 9 and won 10. Luton have conceded 59 goals, scored 35, failed to score in 15 fixtures and have kept 9 clean sheets.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Derby Luton
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Leeds	43	26	13	4	54	91	l 0-1A	l 2-0A	d 1-1F	l 3-0A
2	Burnley	43	25	16	2	45	91	d 0-00-0	d 0-00-0	l 1-4A	l 4-0A
3	Sheff Utd	43	27	7	9	26	86	l 0-1A	l 1-0A	l 0-1A	l 2-0A
4	Sunderland	43	21	13	9	18	76	l 0-1A	l 2-0A	l 1-2A	l 2-0A
5	Bristol C	43	17	16	10	10	67	w 3-0F	l 1-0A	Apr 21	l 1-0A
6	Coventry	43	19	9	15	7	66	w 2-0F	w 1-2F	Apr 26	l 3-2F
7	M'Boro	43	18	9	16	11	63	w 1-0F	l 1-0A	d 0-00-0	l 5-1A
8	West Brom	43	14	18	11	10	60	w 2-1F	Apr 21	d 1-1A	May 3
9	Millwall	43	16	12	15	-3	60	l 0-1A	d 1-1F	l 0-1A	w 0-1F
10	Blackburn	43	17	8	18	3	59	w 2-1F	l 4-2A	l 0-1A	l 2-0A
11	Swansea	43	16	9	18	-5	57	l 1-2A	l 1-0A	d 1-1F	l 2-1F
12	Watford	43	16	8	19	-6	56	l 0-2A	l 2-1F	w 3-0F	l 2-0A
13	Norwich	43	13	14	16	3	53	l 2-3A	d 1-1A	l 0-1A	l 4-2F
14	QPR	43	13	14	16	-5	53	w 2-0F	l 4-0A	l 1-2F	l 2-1A
15	Sheff Wed	43	14	11	18	-10	53	l 1-2F	l 4-2A	w 2-1A	d 1-1F
16	Stoke	43	12	14	17	-9	50	May 3	l 2-1A	w 2-1A	d 1-1A
17	Preston	43	10	19	14	-9	49	w 2-0F	d 1-1A	d 0-00-0	l 1-0A
18	Portsmouth	43	13	10	20	-14	49	w 4-0F	d 2-2F	w 1-0F	d 0-00-0
19	Oxford Utd	43	12	12	19	-18	48	d 0-00-0	d 1-1A	d 2-2F	l 3-2F
20	Hull	43	11	12	20	-10	45	d 1-1A	Apr 26	w 1-0F	w 0-1F
21	Derby Home	43	11	10	22	-11	43	-	-	w 2-1A	w 0-1F
22	Luton Away	43	11	10	22	-25	43	l 0-1A	l 2-1F	-	-
23	Cardiff	43	9	15	19	-23	42	w 1-0F	l 2-1A	w 1-0F	w 1-2A
24	Plymouth	43	9	13	21	-39	40	d 1-1F	w 2-3F	d 1-1F	l 3-1A

	Promotion
	Promotion Play Off
	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Won

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Derby	0 - 0	Burnley
Derby	2 - 0	Preston
Derby	2 - 0	Coventry
Derby	2 - 1	Blackburn
Derby	0 - 1	Millwall
Derby	0 - 0	Oxford Utd
Derby	0 - 1	Sheff Utd
Derby	0 - 1	Sunderland
Derby	0 - 2	Watford
Derby	0 - 1	Leeds
Derby	2 - 1	West Brom
Derby	4 - 0	Portsmouth
Derby	1 - 2	Sheff Wed
Derby	1 - 2	Swansea
Derby	1 - 1	Plymouth
Derby	1 - 1	Hull
Derby	2 - 0	QPR
Derby	2 - 3	Norwich
Derby	1 - 0	Cardiff
Derby	3 - 0	Bristol C

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

9 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

11 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Derby	2 - 2	Portsmouth
H	Derby	0 - 0	Burnley
A	Derby	0 - 1	Swansea
H	Derby	2 - 0	Preston
A	Derby	3 - 2	Plymouth
H	Derby	2 - 0	Coventry
H	Derby	2 - 1	Blackburn
A	Derby	0 - 1	M'Boro
H	Derby	0 - 1	Millwall
A	Derby	0 - 4	QPR
H	Derby	0 - 0	Oxford Utd
A	Derby	1 - 1	Norwich
H	Derby	0 - 1	Sheff Utd
A	Derby	1 - 2	Cardiff
H	Derby	0 - 1	Sunderland
H	Derby	0 - 2	Watford
A	Derby	0 - 1	Bristol C
A	Derby	2 - 4	Sheff Wed
H	Derby	0 - 1	Leeds
H	Derby	2 - 1	West Brom

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

18 / 20

Clean sheets

2 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Stoke	1 - 1	Luton
Hull	0 - 1	Luton
Cardiff	1 - 2	Luton
Burnley	4 - 0	Luton
Watford	2 - 0	Luton
Sunderland	2 - 0	Luton
Sheff Wed	1 - 1	Luton
Oxford Utd	3 - 2	Luton
QPR	2 - 1	Luton
Swansea	2 - 1	Luton
Bristol C	1 - 0	Luton
Blackburn	2 - 0	Luton
Norwich	4 - 2	Luton
Leeds	3 - 0	Luton
M'Boro	5 - 1	Luton
Coventry	3 - 2	Luton
Sheff Utd	2 - 0	Luton
Plymouth	3 - 1	Luton
Millwall	0 - 1	Luton
Preston	1 - 0	Luton

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

10 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

10 / 20

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Luton	0 - 1	Blackburn
A	Luton	1 - 1	Stoke
H	Luton	1 - 1	Leeds
A	Luton	1 - 0	Hull
H	Luton	0 - 0	M'Boro
A	Luton	2 - 1	Cardiff
A	Luton	0 - 4	Burnley
H	Luton	1 - 0	Portsmouth
A	Luton	0 - 2	Watford
H	Luton	1 - 1	Plymouth
H	Luton	0 - 1	Sheff Utd
A	Luton	0 - 2	Sunderland
A	Luton	1 - 1	Sheff Wed
H	Luton	0 - 1	Millwall
A	Luton	2 - 3	Oxford Utd
H	Luton	0 - 0	Preston
A	Luton	1 - 2	QPR
H	Luton	0 - 1	Norwich
A	Luton	1 - 2	Swansea
A	Luton	0 - 1	Bristol C

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Derby have not lost to Luton in 9 consecutive home league meetings

Derby

Luton

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

8 / 9

5 / 9

Clean sheets

4 / 9

1 / 9

DER

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Derby
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Derby	2 - 0
Derby	2 - 0
Derby	1 - 0
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Derby	2 - 1
Draw	1 - 1	Draw

Luton

Derby

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

8 / 10

7 / 10

Clean sheets

3 / 10

2 / 10

DER

LUT

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Luton
Luton	2 - 1
Luton	1 - 0
Luton	2 - 1
Luton	3 - 2
	0 - 2	Derby
Luton	1 - 0
	1 - 2	Derby
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Luton	2 - 1
	1 - 3	Derby

Goal Statistics

Luton Town's defensive record is to be admired, Matt Gray's men having conceded 1 or less in 6 consecutive Championship outings. An average PG rating of 1.2 for Derby County makes sense in this context.

An absolutely awful PG of just 0.9 should cause concerns for Luton Town fans, as should a 5 Championship games run in which they have failed to score more than 1 goal.

	Derby 21st	Luton 22nd
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.2 goals	0.9 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 31% 1 36% 2 21% 3 4+ There is a 67% probability that Derby will score no more than 1 goal	0 42% 1 36% 2 16% 3 4+ There is a 78% probability of Luton scoring 1 goal or less

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-7 Derby’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	-23 Luton have scored 23% fewer goals when away than predicted
	1.2 average goals scored	0.8 average goals scored
	0.9 conceded	2.1 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2024/2025 season

better

DER

LUT

view stats

Games scored	27		27
Failed to score	15		15
Scored first	17		16
Goals scored	44		37
Avg. goals scored	1		0.9
Avg. shots per game	7		7
Avg. shots per goal	7		8
Conversion rate for	15		12
Avg. XG for	1.1		1.2
KickOff rating		+8%

better

DER

LUT

view stats

Games conceded	32		33
Clean sheets	10		9
Conceded first	22		23
Goals conceded	54		63
Avg. goals conceded	1.3		1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded	8		9
Avg. shots/goal conceded	6		6
Conversion rate against	17%		17%
Avg. XG against	1.2		1.3
KickOff rating		+6%

Derby v Luton Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Derby Championship squad statistics 2024/2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
36	8	4	11
E Adams	J Yates	N Mendez-Laing	M Harness

Line-up	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
J Vickers GLK	2			-
S Langas DEF	8			-
N Phillips DEF	26		3	4 -
M Clarke DEF	10	1		1 -
K Wilson MID	27	2	1	-
E Adams MID	38	5		10 -
H. Armstrong MID	9	1		2 -
C Forsyth MID	33	3	2	4 -
N Mendez-Laing FWD	35	2	4	3 -
J Yates FWD	36	8	4	1 -
M Harness FWD	35	4	2	11 -
Subs
R Luthra GLK				-
J Rooney DEF				-
E Pieters DEF				-
B Osborn MID	25		1	2 -
L Thompson MID	24		1	5 -
K Goudmijn MID	38	2	2	5 -
L. Wheeldon MID	1			-
T Barkhuizen FWD	17			2 -
K Jackson FWD	40	3	2	5 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
8	19	4	41
J Yates	J Yates	N Mendez-Laing	N Mendez-Laing

Line-up	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
J Yates FWD	8	19	4	12
E Adams MID	5	9		7
M Harness FWD	4	7	2	10
C Forsyth MID	3	4	2	7
K Wilson MID	2	7	1	10
N Mendez-Laing FWD	2	11	4	41
M Clarke DEF	1	1		1
H. Armstrong MID	1	2
N Phillips DEF		3	3	3
Subs
K Jackson FWD	3	18	2	13
K Goudmijn MID	2	8	2	20
B Osborn MID			1	25
L Thompson MID		1	1	4
T Barkhuizen FWD		1		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1104	133	293
E Adams	E Adams	E Adams

Line-up	passes	tackles	duels won
E Adams MID	1104	133	293
C Forsyth MID	907	25	101
N Phillips DEF	678	30	131
N Mendez-Laing FWD	628	44	91
M Harness FWD	508	48	109
K Wilson MID	479	41	127
J Yates FWD	426	10	80
M Clarke DEF	363	19	73
S Langas DEF	299	17	36
H. Armstrong MID	151	14	29
J Vickers GLK	57		1
Subs
K Goudmijn MID	880	41	102
B Osborn MID	757	35	73
K Jackson FWD	483	39	129
L Thompson MID	475	24	60
T Barkhuizen FWD	140	7	17

Luton Championship squad statistics 2024/2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
38	7	4	9
T Kaminski	C Morris	J Clark	J Clark

Line-up	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
T Kaminski GLK	38		1	4 1
C Makosso DEF	7			-
M McGuinness DEF	37	3	3	4 -
A Bell DEF	24			1 -
I Jones MID	11	1		3 -
K Naismith MID	7			1 1
T Aasgaard MID	11	1		-
J Clark MID	34	5	4	9 -
M Alli MID	10			-
C Morris FWD	34	7	2	7 -
L Dabo FWD	7			1 -
Subs
T Krul GLK				-
T Mengi DEF	14	1		2 -
R Burke DEF	11			4 -
M Nakamba MID	20			2 -
T Chong MID	24	2		5 -
L Walsh MID	21		1	2 2
Z Nelson MID	20		1	5 -
L Nordas FWD	6		1	-
T. Harris FWD				-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
7	26	4	25
C Morris	C Morris	J Clark	J Clark

Line-up	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
C Morris FWD	7	26	2	17
J Clark MID	5	18	4	25
M McGuinness DEF	3	6	3	4
I Jones MID	1	3
T Aasgaard MID	1	6		1
T Kaminski GLK			1	1
A Bell DEF				4
L Dabo FWD				1
Subs
T Chong MID	2	7		11
T Mengi DEF	1	4		1
R Burke DEF		1		3
M Nakamba MID				1
L Walsh MID		4	1	3
Z Nelson MID		1	1	8
L Nordas FWD			1	1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1325	50	272
M McGuinness	J Clark	C Morris

Line-up	passes	tackles	duels won
M McGuinness DEF	1325	46	249
T Kaminski GLK	1248		8
J Clark MID	957	50	151
A Bell DEF	833	38	115
C Morris FWD	765	14	272
T Aasgaard MID	246	16	63
I Jones MID	219	22	59
C Makosso DEF	157	10	25
K Naismith MID	144	9	36
L Dabo FWD	78	3	14
M Alli MID	60	3	18
Subs
T Mengi DEF	570	18	51
T Chong MID	482	21	97
M Nakamba MID	478	39	58
L Walsh MID	477	28	62
Z Nelson MID	252	18	42
R Burke DEF	224	17	38
L Nordas FWD	36	2	14

English Championship match betting previews, predictions and odds

Sunderland v Blackburn

Sheff Wed v Portsmouth

Sat 26th Apr, 15:00

Preston v Plymouth

Sat 26th Apr, 15:00

Oxford Utd v Sunderland

Sheff Utd v Blackburn

Derby County v Luton Town : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Derby have played 42 matches so far this season and lay in 21st place in the Championship league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

Home League Performance

Luton are in 23rd position in the Championship on 40 points having played 42 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

Performance against teams above them in the league

Derby v Luton Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

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