Derby County's team badge Oxford United's team badge

Derby County v Oxford United : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 18th Apr, 12:30 BST, Pride Park Stadium, Derby

It's a long trek for Matt Bloomfield's Oxford United side on Saturday lunch time, as they head to the Pride Park Stadium for a Championship tie with John Eustace's Derby County. The predictions for all the markets are calculated using the past 20 games for each team (at home, away or overall) with weighting given to top teams. All the statistics and graphics are tailored for the selected market. Head to head (H2H) stats for this fixture are also given if there are are enough previous meetings. Odds are provided directly from from leading bookmakers.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Championship Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

Our calculations suggest that there's minimal chance that this game will have more than 3 goals at most, and the odds and statistics are in line with our predictive algorithm on this one. Derby and Oxford Utd haven't typically served up a high volume of goals of late, whether that be in the Championship individually or in their head-to-head duals. So, without a compelling favourite draw or double chance market, we're recommending under 3.5 goals. That's available at a best price of 1.33.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Derby are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 51% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.85.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Derby
51%
5/6
5%
17/20
3%
Draw
26%
12/513/5
Oxford Utd
23%
3/1
8%
16/5
5%
Derby 1-0
13%
6/1
8%
11/2
Draw 1-1
12%
11/211/2
Derby 2-0
10%
15/2
6%
13/2
Derby 2-1
9%
15/27/1
7%
Draw 0-0
9%
17/215/2
6%
Oxford Utd 1-0
8%
10/1
8%
17/2
5%
Oxford Utd 2-1
6%
14/111/1
8%
Derby 3-0
5%
14/111/1
Derby 3-1
5%
14/112/1
8%
Draw 2-2
4%
14/1
12%
12/1
Oxford Utd 2-0
4%
20/1
9%
16/1
Derby 3-2
2%
28/120/1
Derby 4-0
2%
33/1
17%
22/1
10%
Oxford Utd 3-1
2%
33/1
17%
25/1
Derby 4-1
2%
33/122/1
10%
Over 2.5 Goals
44%
1/119/20
2%
Under 2.5 Goals
56%
4/53/4
4%
Home 1st Goal
53%
4/6
3%
8/13
3%
Away 1st Goal
41%
6/4
4%
13/8
3%
No 1st Goal
6%
17/215/2
6%
BTTS - Yes
47%
5/610/11
4%
BTTS - No
53%
5/65/6
4%
BTTS - Home Win
20%
3/129/10
5%
BTTS - Draw
17%
15/418/5
BTTS - Away Win
10%
15/2
6%
13/2
Home/draw
77%
2/9
3%
2/9
2%
Away/draw
49%
10/1110/11
5%
Home/away
74%
3/10
1%
2/7
Over 1.5 Goals
70%
1/31/3
3%
Under 1.5 Goals
30%
12/511/5
6%
Over 3.5 Goals
23%
5/212/5
10%
Under 3.5 Goals
77%
3/102/7
3%
Over 4.5 Goals
10%
6/111/2
8%
Under 4.5 Goals
90%
1/101/11
2%
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
14/112/1
8%
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/331/50
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
91%
1/161/18
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
9%
17/215/2
6%
Home DNB
69%
4/11
5%
7/20
4%
Away DNB
42%
2/1
12%
2/1
3%
Derby win to nil
31%
9/4
8%
-
Oxford Utd win to nil
13%
6/1
13%
-
Derby / Derby
28%
2/1
4%
7/4
2%
Derby / Oxford Utd
3%
33/128/1
12%
Derby / Draw
6%
14/111/1
8%
Draw / Derby
17%
15/419/5
4%
Draw / Oxford Utd
9%
15/2
6%
15/2
Draw / Draw
15%
9/24/1
Oxford Utd / Derby
4%
22/118/1
Oxford Utd / Oxford Utd
12%
6/1
7%
5/1
14%
Oxford Utd / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Match Predictor Pro
Your ultimate betting assistant
Try it now
Win / draw / win Championship table

Derby have played 42 matches so far this season and lay in 8th place in the Championship league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 28 games against teams below in the table, having won 16, drawn 5 and lost 7 matches. They have kept 10 clean sheets and have failed to score in 3 fixtures. Derby have outscored their opponents by 61 goals to 41 goals.

Home League Performance

Derby have played 21 games at home winning 9, drawing 6 and losing 6 games. They have scored 29 goals, kept 6 clean sheets and conceded 25 goals at home.

Oxford Utd are in 22nd position in the Championship on 44 points having played 42 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

11 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 29 goals and kept 3 clean sheets. They have scored 21 goals in total and failed to score in 8 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

39 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 18 games, drawn 13 and won 8. Oxford Utd have conceded 50 goals, scored 35, failed to score in 16 fixtures and have kept 8 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Derby
Oxford Utd
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Coventry42251074285 
l
 
3-5A
l
 
3-2A
d
 
2-2A
d
 
0-00-0
2
Ipswich40211273175 
l
 
1-2A
d
 
2-2A
w
 
2-1F
l
 
2-1A
3
Millwall42211011973 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
1-0A
d
 
2-2A
May 2
4
M'Boro422012102072 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-1F
d
 
1-1F
d
 
0-00-0
5
Southampton411912102069 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
2-1F
w
 
2-1F
l
 
2-0A
6
Hull4220814468 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
4-2A
d
 
1-1A
l
 
3-2A
7
Wrexham42171312364 
l
 
1-2A
d
 
1-1A
Apr 21
l
 
1-0A
8
Derby4218915863 
-
-
w
 
1-0F
Apr 18
9
Norwich4217718558 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 21
l
 
0-3A
d
 
1-1A
10
Bristol C42161016158 
d
 
1-1A
w
 
0-5F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-3F
11
QPR42161016-558 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 25
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
0-00-0
12
Watford42141513157 
l
 
2-3F
l
 
2-0A
w
 
2-0F
l
 
2-1F
13
Preston42141513-357 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-1F
l
 
1-2A
w
 
1-3F
14
Swansea4216917-457 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-2F
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-0A
15
Birmingham42151116-156 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1F
l
 
0-2A
l
 
1-0A
16
Stoke42151017355 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
3-1F
l
 
0-3A
l
 
2-1A
17
Sheff Utd4216620054 
May 2
w
 
1-3F
l
 
0-1A
l
 
3-1F
18
Charlton42121317-1249 
d
 
1-1A
w
 
1-2F
d
 
1-1F
l
 
1-0A
19
Blackburn42121218-1248 
w
 
3-1A
w
 
1-2F
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1F
20
West Brom42111318-1446 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-1F
w
 
2-1F
l
 
2-1F
21
Portsmouth41111218-1645 
d
 
1-1A
w
 
0-1F
l
 
0-1A
d
 
2-2A
22
Oxford Utd42101418-1344 
Apr 18
l
 
1-0A
-
-
23
Leicester42111417-1041 
l
 
1-3A
l
 
2-1A
d
 
2-2F
w
 
1-2F
24
Sheff Wed4211130-57-4 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-3F
Apr 25
w
 
1-2F
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
5
Derby have won 5 consecutive home league games
5
Derby have not lost in 5 consecutive home league games
Derby 8TH
20 league games
Home
5
Overall
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
9
Draw
6
Lost
5
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Derby2 - 0Stoke
Derby1 - 0Birmingham
Derby2 - 1Sheff Wed
Derby3 - 1Blackburn
Derby2 - 0Swansea
Derby1 - 2Ipswich
Derby1 - 1West Brom
Derby1 - 2Wrexham
Derby1 - 0M'Boro
Derby1 - 1Portsmouth
Derby1 - 1Millwall
Derby1 - 3Leicester
Derby2 - 3Watford
Derby2 - 1Hull
Derby1 - 0QPR
Derby1 - 0Norwich
Derby1 - 1Southampton
Derby1 - 1Charlton
Derby0 - 1Preston
Derby1 - 1Bristol C
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
10
D
2
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ADerby1 - 2Southampton
HDerby2 - 0Stoke
ADerby2 - 3Coventry
HDerby1 - 0Birmingham
ADerby1 - 0Portsmouth
ADerby0 - 1Millwall
HDerby2 - 1Sheff Wed
HDerby3 - 1Blackburn
ADerby2 - 4Hull
ADerby0 - 2Watford
HDerby2 - 0Swansea
HDerby1 - 2Ipswich
ADerby5 - 0Bristol C
HDerby1 - 1West Brom
ADerby2 - 1Charlton
ADerby1 - 0Preston
HDerby1 - 2Wrexham
HDerby1 - 0M'Boro
ADerby1 - 2Leicester
ADerby1 - 1Birmingham
Oxford Utd 22ND
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
4
Draw
6
Lost
10
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Portsmouth2 - 2Oxford Utd
Southampton2 - 0Oxford Utd
Preston1 - 3Oxford Utd
Stoke2 - 1Oxford Utd
M'Boro0 - 0Oxford Utd
Coventry0 - 0Oxford Utd
Sheff Utd3 - 1Oxford Utd
Leicester1 - 2Oxford Utd
Ipswich2 - 1Oxford Utd
Charlton1 - 0Oxford Utd
Blackburn1 - 1Oxford Utd
Swansea2 - 0Oxford Utd
Norwich1 - 1Oxford Utd
West Brom2 - 1Oxford Utd
Sheff Wed1 - 2Oxford Utd
Wrexham1 - 0Oxford Utd
Watford2 - 1Oxford Utd
QPR0 - 0Oxford Utd
Bristol C1 - 3Oxford Utd
Birmingham1 - 0Oxford Utd
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
6
Draw
7
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HOxford Utd2 - 0Watford
AOxford Utd2 - 2Portsmouth
HOxford Utd1 - 1Hull
AOxford Utd0 - 2Southampton
HOxford Utd1 - 1Charlton
HOxford Utd1 - 0Blackburn
AOxford Utd3 - 1Preston
HOxford Utd2 - 1West Brom
AOxford Utd1 - 2Stoke
AOxford Utd0 - 0M'Boro
HOxford Utd0 - 3Norwich
AOxford Utd0 - 0Coventry
AOxford Utd1 - 3Sheff Utd
HOxford Utd0 - 2Birmingham
AOxford Utd2 - 1Leicester
HOxford Utd0 - 0QPR
HOxford Utd0 - 0Bristol C
AOxford Utd1 - 2Ipswich
HOxford Utd0 - 1Swansea
HOxford Utd2 - 1Southampton
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Derby since 1992
Derby
Oxford Utd
Goals: Scored
4
4
Games: Scored
3 / 5
3 / 5
Clean sheets
2 / 5
2 / 5
DER
2
D
1
OXF
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Derby
Draw0 - 0Draw
1 - 2Oxford Utd
Derby1 - 0
Derby2 - 1
0 - 1Oxford Utd
League games at Oxford Utd since 1993
Oxford Utd
Derby
Goals: Scored
8
8
Games: Scored
5 / 6
4 / 6
Clean sheets
2 / 6
1 / 6
DER
3
D
1
OXF
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Oxford Utd
Oxford Utd1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
2 - 3Derby
2 - 3Derby
Oxford Utd2 - 0
0 - 1Derby
Goal Statistics
Derby 8th Oxford Utd 22nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
0.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
22%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4+
There is a 78% probability that Derby will score 1 or more goals
0
39%
1
37%
2
17%
3
4+
There is a 76% probability of Oxford Utd scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-3
Derby’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-9
Oxford Utd’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.3
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2025/2026 season
Derby
PG (predicted goals)
Oxford Utd
1.5
0.9
Attack rating
35%
better
DER
OXF
view stats
Games scored38
26
Failed to score4
16
Scored first23
17
Goals scored61
41
Avg. goals scored1.5
1
Avg. shots per game8
8
Avg. shots per goal5
9
Conversion rate for19
12
Avg. XG for1.2
1.1
KickOff rating
+35%
Defence rating
6%
better
DER
OXF
view stats
Games conceded31
34
Clean sheets11
8
Conceded first19
20
Goals conceded53
54
Avg. goals conceded1.3
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded9
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
7
Conversion rate against15%
13%
Avg. XG against1.3
1.4
KickOff rating
+6%

Derby v Oxford Utd Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Derby Championship squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
4112711
M ClarkeC MorrisJ WardL Travis
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Clarke DEF4133
7
1
B Clark MID4133
7
-
P. Agyemang FWD37103
6
-
D Sanderson DEF361
8
-
B Díaz FWD3673
6
-
J Ward MID3417
3
1
D Ozoh MID291
6
-
R Brewster FWD2972
1
-
J Zetterström GLK28
1
-
C Elder DEF2815
8
-
L Salvesen FWD2732
3
-
C Morris FWD27121
5
-
L Travis MID231
10
1
S Langas DEF2021
2
-
L Thompson MID171
4
-
C Forsyth DEF151
2
-
O Fraulo MID15
2
-
M Johnston DEF11
1
-
D Murkin DEF103
-
J Banel FWD101
1
-
D Batth DEF9
1
-
S Szmodics MID92
2
-
R O'Donnell GLK8
-
J Vickers GLK7
-
O. Eames MID3
-
Oxford Utd Championship squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
42949
J CummingW. LankshearM HelikW Vaulks
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Cumming GLK42
1
-
W. Lankshear FWD4091
2
1
M Helik DEF3914
5
-
S Mills FWD3933
5
-
S Long DEF3611
2
-
W Vaulks MID35
9
-
C Brown DEF3331
6
-
C Brannagan MID3363
7
-
M Harris FWD333
3
-
J Currie DEF301
5
-
B Keersmaecker MID2614
3
-
B Spencer DEF251
6
-
P Placheta  FWD2531
-
N Prelec FWD2411
-
S Dembélé FWD191
2
-
G Leigh DEF161
-
M Peart-Harris MID162
2
-
O Romeny FWD15
1
-
T Goodrham FWD1311
2
-
Y. Konak MID12
2
-
B Davies DEF10
-
H Avest DEF10
-
J. Donley MID911
-
J. McDonnell MID9
1
-
A Emakhu FWD7
-
C Makosso DEF6
1
-
J Jin-Woo FWD5
-
R Roosken DEF3
-
G O'Donkor FWD1
-