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Derby County v Oxford United : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Pride Park Stadium, Derby

We’ve Championship action to enjoy on Tuesday evening, as Paul Warne and his Derby County side host Gary Rowett’s Oxford United at the Pride Park Stadium. All stats, including an in-depth look at the form of both sides and head-to-head records, will update as you explore each of the 17 major markets via the tabs below. Odds from leading bookmakers and, of course, our algorithmic predictions will too.

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Derby County's next match is v QPR at 20:00 on Friday 14th February
Oxford United's next match is v Portsmouth at 12:30 on Saturday 15th February
The last English Championship meeting between Derby and Oxford Utd was on Tuesday 11th February 2025
English Championship
February 11th 2025
Derby 0
0 Oxford Utd
 
DER
OXF
Shots On
4
1
Shots Off
6
2
Corners
3
4
Possession
58%
42%
Fouls
11
4
Yellow/red cards
1/0
 
DerbyOxford Utd
 
J. Widell Zetterström
S. Langås
M. Clarke
C. Elder
N. Phillips (R. Nyambe 76')
K. Goudmijn (J. Yates 59')
D. Ozoh (H. Armstrong 76')
E. Adams
L. Salvesen
K. Jackson (T. Barkhuizen 89')
N. Mendez-Laing (M. Harness 59')
J. Cumming
P. Kioso
G. Leigh
M. Helik
C. Brown
C. Brannagan
W. Vaulks
(R. da Rocha Rodrigues 65') A. Matos
(M. Phillips 89') M. Harris
(S. Mills 65') P. Płacheta
(T. Goodhram 80') S. Dembele

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Championship Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

Fans may not be thrilled to read this, but we don't predict a thriller here. The stats suggest Derby and Oxford Utd both are capable of keeping it tight at the back, and the odds suggest it's likely there's fewer than 2 goals in total as they go head-to-head. We think that's a great shout and, without an obvious outright winners to back, under 2.5 goals looks like a smart bet.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Derby are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 47% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.05.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Derby
47%
23/20
8%
23/20
7%
Draw
29%
21/10
11%
21/10
3%
Oxford Utd
24%
27/10
3%
11/4
8%
Derby 1-0
16%
5/1
8%
9/2
8%
Draw 1-1
13%
5/1
8%
5/1
Draw 0-0
12%
11/2
28%
5/1
14%
Oxford Utd 1-0
10%
7/1
16%
13/2
12%
Derby 2-0
10%
8/17/1
Derby 2-1
8%
17/2
6%
8/1
13%
Oxford Utd 2-1
5%
12/111/1
9%
Derby 3-0
4%
18/1
12%
14/1
Oxford Utd 2-0
4%
16/114/1
13%
Derby 3-1
3%
20/1
24%
16/1
13%
Draw 2-2
3%
18/1
12%
14/1
15%
Oxford Utd 3-1
1%
33/125/1
Derby 3-2
1%
40/1
41%
28/1
26%
Derby 4-0
1%
40/133/1
17%
Oxford Utd 3-0
1%
40/128/1
Over 2.5 Goals
35%
13/8
25%
6/4
14%
Under 2.5 Goals
65%
1/2
13%
10/21
9%
Home 1st Goal
51%
8/11
7%
-
Away 1st Goal
40%
13/8
1%
-
No 1st Goal
9%
11/2
28%
-
BTTS - Yes
40%
6/5
15%
23/20
10%
BTTS - No
60%
8/13
10%
8/13
7%
BTTS - Home Win
15%
9/2
22%
17/4
17%
BTTS - Draw
17%
15/418/5
2%
BTTS - Away Win
8%
8/1
20%
7/1
Home/draw
76%
2/71/4
3%
Away/draw
53%
4/6
7%
4/6
6%
Home/away
71%
4/11
5%
4/11
2%
Over 1.5 Goals
62%
8/15
13%
1/2
7%
Under 1.5 Goals
38%
6/4
22%
7/5
14%
Over 3.5 Goals
16%
4/1
25%
19/5
23%
Under 3.5 Goals
84%
1/6
6%
2/13
6%
Over 4.5 Goals
6%
10/1
38%
9/1
33%
Under 4.5 Goals
94%
1/20
3%
1/25
3%
Over 5.5 Goals
2%
25/1
53%
20/1
40%
Under 5.5 Goals
98%
1/80
1%
1/1000
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
88%
1/9
4%
1/9
3%
Under 0.5 Goals
12%
11/2
28%
5/1
14%
Home DNB
67%
1/2
4%
10/21
4%
Away DNB
44%
6/4
5%
6/4
8%
Derby win to nil
32%
9/4-
Oxford Utd win to nil
16%
9/2
8%
-
Derby / Derby
22%
13/5
11%
12/5
11%
Derby / Oxford Utd
2%
40/1
21%
28/1
Derby / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Draw / Derby
16%
4/119/5
Draw / Oxford Utd
11%
13/2
6%
6/1
7%
Draw / Draw
20%
10/3
13%
29/10
7%
Oxford Utd / Derby
3%
28/1
12%
22/1
10%
Oxford Utd / Oxford Utd
14%
5/1
8%
5/1
4%
Oxford Utd / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Win / draw / win Championship table

Derby have played 31 matches so far this season and are in 22nd position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

29 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 16 games, drawn 6 and won 7. Derby have conceded 39 goals, scored 31, failed to score in 9 matches and kept 6 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Derby have played 15 games at home, winning 6, drawing 2 and losing 7 fixtures. They have scored 19 goals, conceded 15 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and failed to score 4 times in home league games.

Oxford Utd lay in 17th place on 37 points in the Championship league table having played 31 matches. Oxford Utd are unbeaten in 10 games against teams below them in the league and kept 4 clean sheets out of 10 games.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 10 games against teams below them in the table, winning 5, drawing 5 and losing 0 games. They have scored 15 goals and kept 4 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Oxford Utd have conceded 9 goals and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

Oxford Utd have played 15 away games, winning 1, drawing 5 and losing 9 games. They have scored an average of 0.7 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.7 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Derby
Oxford Utd
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Leeds3220934769 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-0A
Apr 18
l
 
4-0A
2
Sheff Utd3221652367 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
1-0A
Apr 5
l
 
3-0A
3
Burnley32171323064 
Apr 9
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
1-0A
4
Sunderland32171142162 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-0A
Apr 26
l
 
2-0A
5
Blackburn3214612648 
Mar 8
l
 
4-2A
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-1F
6
West Brom32111471147 
w
 
2-1F
Apr 21
d
 
1-1A
Feb 22
7
Bristol C3211129445 
w
 
3-0F
l
 
1-0A
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-1F
8
Sheff Wed3212911-345 
l
 
1-2F
l
 
4-2A
l
 
1-3F
Apr 12
9
M'Boro3112811844 
w
 
1-0F
Mar 1
l
 
2-6F
Mar 29
10
Coventry3212812244 
Mar 11
w
 
1-2F
Mar 1
l
 
3-2A
11
Norwich32111011643 
l
 
2-3A
d
 
1-1A
w
 
2-0F
Mar 7
12
Watford3212614-642 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-1F
Mar 15
l
 
1-0A
13
QPR32101111-641 
w
 
2-0F
Feb 14
Apr 9
l
 
2-0A
14
Millwall31101011-140 
Feb 22
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1A
w
 
0-1F
15
Preston319139-440 
Mar 29
d
 
1-1A
w
 
3-1A
d
 
1-1F
16
Oxford Utd Away3291112-1138 
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1A
-
-
17
Swansea3210715-1037 
l
 
1-2A
Apr 5
l
 
1-2A
May 3
18
Portsmouth328915-1633 
w
 
4-0F
Apr 12
Feb 15
d
 
1-1A
19
Stoke3171113-1132 
May 3
l
 
2-1A
w
 
1-0F
d
 
0-00-0
20
Cardiff3171014-1931 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-1A
w
 
3-2F
Apr 21
21
Derby Home327817-929 
-
-
d
 
1-1F
d
 
0-00-0
22
Hull317816-1129 
d
 
1-1A
Apr 26
w
 
1-0F
Mar 12
23
Plymouth3161015-3028 
d
 
1-1F
Mar 15
w
 
2-0F
d
 
1-1F
24
Luton317618-2127 
Apr 18
l
 
2-1F
w
 
3-2A
d
 
2-2A
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Derby 21ST
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
11
D
2
Lost
7
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
3
Draw
5
Lost
12
Oxford Utd 16TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
4
Draw
7
Lost
9
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
6
Draw
5
Lost
9
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Derby since 1992
Derby
Oxford Utd
Goals: Scored
4
4
Games: Scored
3 / 4
3 / 4
Clean sheets
1 / 4
1 / 4
DER
2
OXF
2
League games at Oxford Utd since 1993
Oxford Utd
Derby
Goals: Scored
7
8
Games: Scored
4 / 5
4 / 5
Clean sheets
1 / 5
1 / 5
DER
3
D
1
OXF
1
Goal Statistics

Goals have been difficult to come by for Derby County of late. It has been 6 Championship games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.3 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Tuesday evening against Oxford United.

Derby 21st Oxford Utd 16th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
0.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 64% probability that Derby will score no more than 1 goal
0
44%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4+
There is a 80% probability of Oxford Utd scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-5
Derby’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-5
Oxford Utd’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.4
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/280463/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Derby
PG (predicted goals)
Oxford Utd
1.3
0.8
Attack rating
%
better
DER
OXF
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
%
better
DER
OXF
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

Derby v Oxford Utd Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Derby Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
30749
J ZetterströmJ YatesN Mendez-LaingE Adams
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Zetterström GLK30
1
-
S Langas DEF2
-
N Phillips DEF21
3
-
M Clarke DEF3
-
K Jackson MID3232
4
-
K Goudmijn MID3122
4
-
D Ozoh MID91
-
E Adams MID304
9
-
C Elder MID231
8
-
L Salvesen FWD51
-
N Mendez-Laing FWD3224
2
-
Subs
J Vickers GLK2
-
C Forsyth DEF2612
2
-
R Nyambe DEF12
1
-
B Osborn MID221
2
-
L Thompson MID18
3
-
M Harness MID2711
9
-
H. Armstrong MID2
-
T Barkhuizen FWD13
1
-
J Yates FWD2973
1
-
Oxford Utd Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
32547
J CummingG LeighC BrannaganC Brannagan
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Cumming GLK32
1
-
P Kioso DEF241
4
-
M Helik DEF61
2
-
C Brown DEF3243
3
-
G Leigh DEF2851
1
-
C Brannagan MID2124
7
-
W Vaulks MID3111
2
-
P Placheta  MID1822
-
A. Matos MID7
2
-
S Dembélé MID171
2
-
M Harris FWD3251
3
-
Subs
M Ingram GLK
-
S Long DEF181
2
-
H Avest DEF111
-
M Phillips MID181
1
-
I Mizouni MID2412
2
-
S Mills MID1
-
O Romeny FWD3
-
T Goodrham FWD2933
4
-
R Rodrigues FWD3143
2
-