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Derby County v Portsmouth : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 20th Dec, 15:00 BST, Pride Park Stadium, Derby

We’ve Championship action to look forward to on Saturday afternoon, as John Eustace and his Derby County side host John Mousinho’s Portsmouth at the Pride Park Stadium. The predictions for all the markets are based on the past 20 games for each team (at home, away or overall) with extra weighting assigned to top teams. All the statistics and graphics are designed specifically for the betting market in question. Head-to-head statistics between the team are also given if there are are enough previous meetings. Odds are provided directly from from leading bookmakers.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Championship Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Derby
46%
--
Draw
26%
--
Portsmouth
28%
--
Draw 1-1
12%
--
Derby 1-0
11%
--
Derby 2-1
9%
--
Derby 2-0
8%
--
Portsmouth 1-0
8%
--
Draw 0-0
7%
--
Portsmouth 2-1
7%
--
Draw 2-2
5%
--
Portsmouth 2-0
5%
--
Derby 3-1
5%
--
Derby 3-0
4%
--
Derby 3-2
3%
--
Portsmouth 3-1
3%
--
Portsmouth 3-2
2%
--
Derby 4-1
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
48%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
52%
--
Home 1st Goal
51%
--
Away 1st Goal
44%
--
No 1st Goal
5%
--
BTTS - Yes
52%
--
BTTS - No
48%
--
BTTS - Home Win
20%
--
BTTS - Draw
18%
--
BTTS - Away Win
13%
--
Home/draw
72%
--
Away/draw
54%
--
Home/away
74%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
73%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
27%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
26%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
74%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
12%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
88%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
--
Home DNB
64%
--
Away DNB
46%
--
Derby win to nil
26%
--
Portsmouth win to nil
15%
--
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Win / draw / win Championship table

Derby have played 19 matches so far this season and lay in 15th place in the Championship league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 7 games against teams below in the table, having won 5, drawn 1 and lost 1 match. They have kept 2 clean sheets and have failed to score in 1 fixture. Derby have outscored their opponents by 26 goals to 15 goals.

Home League Performance

Derby have played 10 games at home winning 3, drawing 3 and losing 4 games. They have scored 13 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and conceded 16 goals at home.

Portsmouth are in 22nd position in the Championship on 17 points having played 18 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

4 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 14 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 6 goals in total and failed to score in 3 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

16 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 7 games, drawn 5 and won 4. Portsmouth have conceded 21 goals, scored 14, failed to score in 6 fixtures and have kept 5 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Derby
Portsmouth
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Coventry1913422943 
l
 
3-5A
Apr 3
l
 
1-2A
Apr 21
2
M'Boro191063836 
Jan 1
l
 
2-1F
w
 
1-0F
Apr 11
3
Millwall191045-234 
Dec 10
Mar 10
w
 
3-1F
Feb 21
4
Ipswich198741431 
Feb 7
d
 
2-2A
Jan 4
l
 
2-1A
5
Preston19874631 
l
 
0-1A
Jan 17
w
 
1-0F
Feb 7
6
Stoke19937830 
Apr 6
l
 
3-1F
l
 
0-1A
Apr 25
7
Bristol C19856529 
d
 
1-1A
Jan 30
l
 
0-1A
Jan 1
8
Birmingham19847528 
Mar 21
Dec 26
May 2
l
 
4-0A
9
Hull19847-328 
w
 
2-1F
Feb 24
Feb 28
l
 
3-2F
10
QPR19847-428 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 25
Dec 26
Mar 21
11
Southampton19766527 
d
 
1-1A
Apr 11
Jan 25
d
 
0-00-0
12
Wrexham19694327 
Jan 4
d
 
1-1A
d
 
0-00-0
Feb 24
13
Watford19766227 
l
 
2-3F
Feb 21
d
 
2-2F
Jan 21
14
Leicester19766127 
l
 
1-3A
Dec 29
Apr 18
d
 
1-1A
15
Derby19757-226 
-
-
Mar 14
Dec 20
16
West Brom19748-425 
Jan 23
w
 
0-1F
Jan 31
d
 
1-1A
17
Charlton18657-523 
d
 
1-1A
Jan 20
Dec 29
Dec 6
18
Sheff Utd197111-422 
May 2
w
 
1-3F
Feb 14
l
 
3-0A
19
Blackburn18639-521 
Feb 28
w
 
1-2F
Dec 13
Mar 7
20
Swansea19559-720 
Feb 14
w
 
1-2F
Mar 10
Dec 9
21
Oxford Utd19469-718 
Apr 18
l
 
1-0A
Apr 6
w
 
0-1F
22
Portsmouth18459-1017 
Dec 20
Mar 14
-
-
23
Norwich193412-1113 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 21
l
 
1-2A
Apr 3
24
Sheff Wed181512-22-10 
Mar 7
Dec 15
l
 
0-2A
Jan 17
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Derby 15TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
6
Draw
6
Lost
8
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Derby1 - 3Leicester
Derby2 - 3Watford
Derby2 - 1Hull
Derby1 - 0QPR
Derby1 - 0Norwich
Derby1 - 1Southampton
Derby1 - 1Charlton
Derby0 - 1Preston
Derby1 - 1Bristol C
Derby3 - 5Coventry
Derby0 - 0Stoke
Derby0 - 1Luton
Derby0 - 0Burnley
Derby2 - 0Preston
Derby2 - 0Coventry
Derby2 - 1Blackburn
Derby0 - 1Millwall
Derby0 - 0Oxford Utd
Derby0 - 1Sheff Utd
Derby0 - 1Sunderland
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
7
Draw
6
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HDerby1 - 3Leicester
ADerby1 - 2M'Boro
ADerby2 - 1Swansea
HDerby2 - 3Watford
ADerby2 - 1Blackburn
HDerby2 - 1Hull
ADerby3 - 1Sheff Utd
HDerby1 - 0QPR
HDerby1 - 0Norwich
ADerby0 - 1Oxford Utd
HDerby1 - 1Southampton
HDerby1 - 1Charlton
ADerby1 - 1Wrexham
HDerby0 - 1Preston
ADerby1 - 0West Brom
ADerby2 - 2Ipswich
HDerby1 - 1Bristol C
HDerby3 - 5Coventry
ADerby1 - 3Stoke
HDerby0 - 0Stoke
Portsmouth 22ND
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
38
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
3
D
4
Lost
13
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Sheff Utd3 - 0Portsmouth
Hull3 - 2Portsmouth
Birmingham4 - 0Portsmouth
Leicester1 - 1Portsmouth
Ipswich2 - 1Portsmouth
Southampton0 - 0Portsmouth
West Brom1 - 1Portsmouth
Oxford Utd0 - 1Portsmouth
Sheff Wed1 - 1Portsmouth
Norwich3 - 5Portsmouth
Coventry1 - 0Portsmouth
Millwall2 - 1Portsmouth
Preston2 - 1Portsmouth
Luton1 - 0Portsmouth
Oxford Utd0 - 2Portsmouth
Sheff Utd2 - 1Portsmouth
West Brom5 - 1Portsmouth
Blackburn3 - 0Portsmouth
Sunderland1 - 0Portsmouth
Bristol C3 - 0Portsmouth
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
4
Draw
7
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HPortsmouth0 - 1Bristol C
APortsmouth0 - 3Sheff Utd
HPortsmouth3 - 1Millwall
APortsmouth2 - 3Hull
HPortsmouth0 - 0Wrexham
APortsmouth0 - 4Birmingham
HPortsmouth0 - 1Stoke
HPortsmouth1 - 2Coventry
APortsmouth1 - 1Leicester
HPortsmouth1 - 0M'Boro
HPortsmouth2 - 2Watford
APortsmouth1 - 2Ipswich
HPortsmouth0 - 2Sheff Wed
APortsmouth0 - 0Southampton
HPortsmouth1 - 0Preston
APortsmouth1 - 1West Brom
HPortsmouth1 - 2Norwich
APortsmouth1 - 0Oxford Utd
HPortsmouth1 - 1Hull
APortsmouth1 - 1Sheff Wed
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
10
Derby have not lost to Portsmouth in 10 consecutive league meetings
League games at Derby since 1992
Derby
Portsmouth
Goals: Scored
23
13
Games: Scored
11 / 11
7 / 11
Clean sheets
4 / 11
0 / 11
DER
6
D
3
POR
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Derby
Derby4 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Derby3 - 1
Derby2 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
1 - 2Portsmouth
Derby3 - 2
Derby3 - 0
Derby1 - 0
2 - 4Portsmouth
League games at Portsmouth since 1993
Portsmouth
Derby
Goals: Scored
23
15
Games: Scored
9 / 11
9 / 11
Clean sheets
2 / 11
2 / 11
DER
2
D
5
POR
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Portsmouth
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
1 - 2Derby
Draw1 - 1Draw
Portsmouth3 - 1
Portsmouth6 - 2
Draw2 - 2Draw
0 - 1Derby
Portsmouth3 - 2
Portsmouth3 - 0
Goal Statistics

Derby County have been reliable in front of goal of late, finding the net in 8 consecutive Championship outings. Their PG of 1.5 against Portsmouth on Saturday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Derby 15th Portsmouth 22nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that Derby will score 1 or more goals
0
33%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 70% probability that Portsmouth will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-19
Derby have scored 19% fewer goals at home than predicted
-3
Portsmouth’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.0
average goals scored
0.9
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2025/2026 season
Derby
PG (predicted goals)
Portsmouth
1.5
1.1
Attack rating
38%
better
DER
POR
view stats
Games scored17
11
Failed to score2
7
Scored first10
6
Goals scored26
15
Avg. goals scored1.4
0.8
Avg. shots per game6
8
Avg. shots per goal5
10
Conversion rate for22
10
Avg. XG for1
1.2
KickOff rating
+38%
Defence rating
DER
POR
10%
better
view stats
Games conceded16
13
Clean sheets3
5
Conceded first9
10
Goals conceded28
25
Avg. goals conceded1.5
1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded9
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
7
Conversion rate against16%
15%
Avg. XG against1.5
1.6
KickOff rating
+10%

Derby v Portsmouth Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Derby Championship squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
191057
J ZetterströmC MorrisJ WardE Adams
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Zetterström GLK19
1
-
M Clarke DEF191
3
-
D Sanderson DEF181
5
-
B Clark MID18
3
-
E Adams MID181
7
-
A Weimann  MID1712
1
-
C Morris FWD1610
4
-
C Elder DEF1512
3
-
K Jackson FWD14
1
-
B Díaz FWD141
3
-
D Ozoh MID131
4
-
L Salvesen FWD1321
2
-
J Ward MID1215
-
S Langas DEF921
1
-
M Johnston DEF9
1
-
R Brewster FWD91
-
C Forsyth DEF8
2
-
R Nyambe DEF7
1
-
D Batth DEF6
-
L Travis MID61
4
-
L Thompson MID6
2
-
P. Agyemang FWD53
-
C Blackett-Taylor FWD41
-
C Nelson DEF1
-
Portsmouth Championship squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
18435
R PooleA SegecicJ MurphyA Dozzell
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Poole DEF18
4
-
A Dozzell MID181
5
-
C Bishop FWD181
2
-
J Knight DEF14
-
Z Swanson DEF141
3
-
J Williams DEF1411
2
-
A Segecic MID144
-
T Devlin DEF1321
1
1
C Ogilvie DEF13
2
-
J Swift MID1312
5
-
C Chaplin FWD13
-
M Pack MID121
4
-
M Kosznovszky MID11
1
-
M. Yang FWD1121
2
-
J Murphy FWD113
3
-
F Bianchini FWD101
-
J Bursik GLK9
1
-
N Schmid GLK8
-
M Kirk FWD81
1
-
L Roux MID7
2
-
C Shaughnessy DEF6
-
H. Matthews DEF5
-
C Lang  FWD4
-
T. Waddingham FWD4
1
-
I Bowat DEF3
-
B Killip GLK2
-
H Blair FWD2
-