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Derby County v Queens Park Rangers : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Pride Park Stadium, Derby

It's a long trek for Martí Cifuentes Corvillo's Queens Park Rangers side on Saturday afternoon, as they make their way to the Pride Park Stadium for a Championship showdown with Paul Warne's Derby County. We have odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers for 17 top betting markets plus predictions, stats and head-to-head data for both teams. You can access it all using the tabs below.

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Derby County's next match is v Millwall at 15:00 on Saturday 19th October
Queens Park Rangers's next match is v Portsmouth at 15:00 on Saturday 19th October
The last English Championship meeting between Derby and QPR was on Saturday 5th October 2024
English Championship
October 5th 2024
Derby 2
0 QPR
 
C. Nelson 54'
M. Harness 55'
 
DER
QPR
Shots On
5
3
Shots Off
2
4
Corners
6
9
Possession
53%
47%
Fouls
12
10
Yellow/red cards
1/0
1/0
 
DerbyQPR
 
J. Widell Zetterström
C. Forsyth
E. Cashin
C. Nelsonfootball icon
R. Nyambe
E. Adams
K. Goudmijn
K. Jackson (C. Taylor 82')
M. Harnessfootball icon (N. Phillips 73')
N. Mendez-Laing (K. Wilson 66')
J. Yates (J. Collins 82')
P. Nardi
(D. Bennie 79') K. Paal
(P. Smyth 62') H. Ashby
J. Dunne
S. Cook
S. Field
K. Dembélé
(M. Fox 63') N. Hautorp Madsen
(Ž. Celar 62') L. Andersen
M. Frey
(I. Chair 62') K. Saito
Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Our predictive algorithm suggests there is a 74% probability of Derby and QPR scoring a minimum of a couple of goals in this Championship tie. Recent form statistics and head-to-head (H2H) records are central to that calculation , and the bookies are predicting the same. This over 1.5 goals tip is available at a best price of 1.35.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Derby
49%
6/5
6%
13/10
3%
Draw
25%
5/2
3%
23/10
6%
QPR
26%
11/5
10%
21/10
8%
Draw 1-1
12%
11/25/1
Derby 1-0
11%
6/1
13%
6/1
7%
Derby 2-1
9%
17/215/2
Derby 2-0
9%
9/1
17%
17/2
5%
QPR 1-0
8%
8/1
5%
7/1
Draw 0-0
7%
8/1
10%
7/1
6%
QPR 2-1
6%
11/1
9%
9/1
5%
Draw 2-2
5%
16/1
13%
12/1
8%
Derby 3-1
5%
18/114/1
Derby 3-0
5%
20/1
9%
16/1
QPR 2-0
4%
14/112/1
8%
Derby 3-2
3%
28/120/1
QPR 3-1
2%
28/1
26%
18/1
12%
Derby 4-1
2%
40/128/1
QPR 3-2
2%
33/125/1
13%
Over 2.5 Goals
49%
11/10
5%
21/20
7%
Under 2.5 Goals
51%
8/11
4%
7/10
6%
Home 1st Goal
52%
8/11
4%
-
Away 1st Goal
43%
11/8
8%
-
No 1st Goal
5%
8/1
10%
-
BTTS - Yes
52%
5/6
6%
5/6
5%
BTTS - No
48%
5/6
9%
10/11
2%
BTTS - Home Win
22%
15/418/5
2%
BTTS - Draw
18%
15/4
6%
10/3
2%
BTTS - Away Win
12%
11/2
8%
19/4
10%
Home/draw
74%
4/11
3%
7/20
4%
Away/draw
51%
4/6
6%
3/5
2%
Home/away
75%
2/7
1%
1/3
2%
Over 1.5 Goals
74%
4/11
5%
7/20
4%
Under 1.5 Goals
26%
11/5
9%
2/1
8%
Over 3.5 Goals
27%
3/1
14%
5/2
6%
Under 3.5 Goals
73%
1/4
4%
1/4
4%
Over 4.5 Goals
13%
7/1
23%
6/1
17%
Under 4.5 Goals
87%
1/12
3%
1/12
2%
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
16/1
13%
12/1
8%
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/40
1%
1/40
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1/14
1%
1/18
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
8/1
10%
7/1
11%
Home DNB
66%
4/7
6%
8/13
5%
Away DNB
44%
5/4
7%
6/5
7%
Derby win to nil
27%
5/2
13%
-
QPR win to nil
14%
9/2
10%
-
Derby / Derby
22%
13/5
10%
13/5
3%
Derby / QPR
3%
33/1
17%
22/1
Derby / Draw
6%
14/1
15%
11/1
Draw / Derby
15%
9/217/4
5%
Draw / QPR
12%
6/1
8%
11/2
Draw / Draw
17%
15/4
5%
7/2
6%
QPR / Derby
3%
25/120/1
QPR / QPR
16%
9/2
16%
4/1
11%
QPR / Draw
6%
14/111/1
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Win / draw / win Championship table

Derby have played 8 matches so far this season and lay in 14th place in the Championship league table. Derby have won all their 1 games against teams below them in the table and kept 1 clean sheet in those games.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 1 game against teams below in the table, having won 1, drawn 0 and lost no matches. They have kept 1 clean sheet and have scored in every game. Derby have outscored their opponents by 10 goals to 9 goals.

Home League Performance

Derby have played 4 games at home winning 3, drawing 0 and losing 1 game. They have scored 7 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and conceded 3 goals at home.

QPR are in 22nd position in the Championship on 7 points having played 8 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

1 of those games has been a losing match. They have conceded 6 goals and kept no clean sheets. They have scored 5 goals in total and failed to score in 1 fixture.

Performance against teams above them in the league

8 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 3 games, drawn 4 and won 1. QPR have conceded 14 goals, scored 9, failed to score in 1 fixture and have kept no clean sheets.

Derby
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
QPR
HOME AWAY TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY
Jan 21
l
 
2-0A
 Sunderland96121019 
Nov 2
May 3
Feb 1
l
 
1-0A
 Sheff Utd9630919 
Mar 1
d
 
2-2A
Apr 9
Dec 10
 Burnley95311018 
Apr 26
Oct 26
Dec 26
Apr 21
 West Brom9522617 
l
 
1-3F
Mar 8
Dec 29
Dec 7
 Leeds9441816 
Mar 15
Nov 9
Jan 18
l
 
2-1F
 Watford9513016 
Jan 1
Nov 30
l
 
2-3A
Feb 8
 Norwich9432615 
Dec 7
Dec 29
Mar 8
l
 
4-2A
 Blackburn9432415 
Feb 8
l
 
2-0A
w
 
1-0F
Mar 1
 M'Boro9423314 
Nov 5
Mar 11
Feb 11
Oct 22
 Oxford Utd9333212 
Dec 11
Apr 9
Nov 27
Apr 5
 Swansea9333212 
Apr 21
Dec 26
-
-
 Derby Home9405012 
Feb 15
l
 
2-0A
Oct 26
Apr 26
 Hull9333-112 
l
 
1-3A
Jan 21
Nov 9
Mar 15
 Plymouth9324-311 
d
 
1-1F
Jan 18
Dec 1
Jan 1
 Sheff Wed9324-411 
Jan 25
d
 
1-1A
w
 
3-0F
Jan 4
 Bristol C9252-411 
Apr 12
Dec 14
May 3
Nov 2
 Stoke9315-210 
Nov 23
Mar 29
Feb 22
Oct 19
 Millwall923419 
d
 
1-1A
Feb 1
Mar 29
Nov 23
 Preston9234-59 
Dec 21
Apr 18
Mar 11
Nov 6
 Coventry9225-38 
Oct 22
Feb 11
Apr 18
Dec 20
 Luton9225-78 
Jan 6
w
 
1-2A
w
 
2-0F
Feb 15
 QPR Away9144-77 
-
-
Dec 13
Apr 12
 Portsmouth9054-115 
Oct 19
Feb 22
w
 
1-0F
Jan 25
 Cardiff9126-145 
Apr 5
Nov 27
Win / draw / win form
Derby 12TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
38
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
15
D
2
L
3
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Derby2 - 3Norwich
Derby1 - 0Cardiff
Derby3 - 0Bristol C
Derby1 - 0M'Boro
Derby2 - 0Carlisle
Derby3 - 0L Orient
Derby1 - 0Blackpool
Derby1 - 0Bolton
Derby2 - 1Reading
Derby3 - 0Port Vale
Derby1 - 2Charlton
Derby1 - 0Stevenage
Derby1 - 1Shrewsbury
Derby2 - 1Cheltenham
Derby3 - 2Burton
Derby2 - 3Peterborough
Derby3 - 1Lincoln
Derby1 - 1Wycombe
Derby2 - 1Bristol R
Derby3 - 0Barnsley
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
11
D
2
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ADerby0 - 2Sunderland
HDerby2 - 3Norwich
ADerby0 - 1Sheff Utd
HDerby1 - 0Cardiff
HDerby3 - 0Bristol C
ADerby1 - 2Watford
HDerby1 - 0M'Boro
ADerby2 - 4Blackburn
HDerby2 - 0Carlisle
ADerby1 - 0Cambridge
HDerby3 - 0L Orient
ADerby0 - 0Wycombe
ADerby2 - 2Portsmouth
HDerby1 - 0Blackpool
ADerby0 - 1Northampton
HDerby1 - 0Bolton
HDerby2 - 1Reading
ADerby3 - 0Bristol R
HDerby3 - 0Port Vale
HDerby1 - 2Charlton
QPR 22ND
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
7
Draw
6
Lost
7
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Blackburn2 - 0QPR
Sheff Wed1 - 1QPR
Luton1 - 2QPR
Sheff Utd2 - 2QPR
Coventry1 - 2QPR
Hull3 - 0QPR
Plymouth1 - 1QPR
Swansea0 - 1QPR
Sunderland0 - 0QPR
Leicester1 - 2QPR
Bristol C0 - 1QPR
Stoke1 - 0QPR
Blackburn1 - 2QPR
Ipswich0 - 0QPR
Millwall2 - 0QPR
Sheff Wed2 - 1QPR
Preston0 - 2QPR
Norwich1 - 0QPR
Rotherham1 - 1QPR
West Brom2 - 0QPR
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
Draw
7
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HQPR1 - 3Hull
AQPR0 - 2Blackburn
HQPR1 - 1Millwall
AQPR1 - 1Sheff Wed
AQPR2 - 1Luton
HQPR1 - 1Plymouth
AQPR2 - 2Sheff Utd
HQPR1 - 3West Brom
AQPR2 - 1Coventry
HQPR4 - 0Leeds
HQPR1 - 0Preston
AQPR0 - 3Hull
AQPR1 - 1Plymouth
HQPR0 - 2Sheff Wed
AQPR1 - 0Swansea
HQPR2 - 1Birmingham
AQPR0 - 0Sunderland
HQPR0 - 2M'Boro
HQPR2 - 2West Brom
AQPR2 - 1Leicester
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Derby since 2005
Derby
QPR
Goals: Scored
15
16
Games: Scored
11 / 15
9 / 15
Clean sheets
6 / 15
4 / 15
DER
5
D
4
QPR
6
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Derby
1 - 2QPR
0 - 1QPR
Draw1 - 1Draw
Derby2 - 0
Derby2 - 0
Derby1 - 0
Derby1 - 0
0 - 1QPR
Derby1 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
2 - 4QPR
0 - 2QPR
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 2QPR
Draw0 - 0Draw
League games at QPR since 2004
QPR
Derby
Goals: Scored
12
14
Games: Scored
9 / 14
11 / 14
Clean sheets
3 / 14
5 / 14
DER
5
D
5
QPR
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT QPR
QPR1 - 0
0 - 1Derby
QPR2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 1Derby
QPR2 - 0
QPR2 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 2Derby
1 - 2Derby
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 2Derby
Goal Statistics

Derby County's fans will be hoping for goals on Saturday afternoon, not least because Queens Park Rangers have conceded in each of their last 9 Championship matches. A PG of 1.6 for Paul Warne's side suggests that run should continue.

Derby 12th QPR 22nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
21%
1
33%
2
26%
3
13%
4+
There is a 79% probability that Derby will score 1 or more goals
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 71% probability that QPR will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+17
Derby have scored 17% more goals at home than predicted
-19
QPR have scored 19% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.9
average goals scored
0.9
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
1.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/280188/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Derby
PG (predicted goals)
QPR
1.6
1.1
Attack rating
4%
better
DER
QPR
view stats
Games scored6
7
Failed to score2
1
Scored first4
2
Goals scored10
9
Avg. goals scored1.3
1.1
Avg. shots per game8
8
Avg. shots per goal6
7
Conversion rate for16
13
Avg. XG for1
1.4
KickOff rating
+4%
Defence rating
31%
better
DER
QPR
view stats
Games conceded5
8
Clean sheets3
0
Conceded first4
6
Goals conceded12
14
Avg. goals conceded1.5
1.8
Avg. shots/game conceded9
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
5
Conversion rate against16%
21%
Avg. XG against1.3
1.4
KickOff rating
+31%

Derby v QPR Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Derby Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
9233
C NelsonC NelsonN Mendez-LaingE Cashin
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Zetterström GLK7
-
R Nyambe DEF8
1
-
C Nelson DEF92
1
-
E Cashin DEF8
3
-
C Forsyth DEF811
1
-
J Yates DEF71
-
N Mendez-Laing DEF93
2
-
K Goudmijn MID92
2
-
E Adams MID91
2
-
M Harness MID41
1
-
K Jackson MID922
1
-
Subs
J Vickers GLK2
-
K Wilson DEF51
-
N Phillips DEF4
-
J Ward MID3
-
D Brown MID2
-
J Collins FWD5
1
-
C Washington FWD
-
C Blackett-Taylor FWD41
-
QPR Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
9333
P NardiM FreyK DembéléS Cook
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
P Nardi GLK9
-
H Ashby DEF2
-
S Cook DEF9
3
-
J Dunne DEF91
1
-
K Paal DEF91
1
-
S Field MID9
2
-
N Madsen MID72
-
K Dembélé MID83
1
-
L Andersen MID81
-
K Saito MID81
-
M Frey FWD931
-
Subs
J Walsh GLK
-
M Fox DEF1
-
Hevertton DEF3
1
-
I Chair MID2
-
E Dixon-Bonner MID1
1
-
P Smyth FWD9
-
Z Celar FWD8
-
D. Bennie FWD3
-
A Lloyd FWD71
-