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Derby County v Sheffield Wednesday : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Pride Park Stadium, Derby

Derby County are in Championship action on Saturday afternoon, as John Eustace attempts to outsmart Henrik Pedersen and his Sheffield Wednesday side at the Pride Park Stadium. We've analysed both sides' last 20 Championship matches, as well as baseline data within the competition and the market, to generate our percentage predictions. All the statistics, including head to heads (H2H), are shown below, alongside odds from leading bookmakers.

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Derby County's next match is v Millwall at 19:45 on Tuesday 10th March
Sheffield Wednesday's next match is v Watford at 19:45 on Tuesday 10th March
The last English Championship meeting between Derby and Sheff Wed was on Saturday 7th March 2026
English Championship
March 7th 2026
Derby 2
1 Sheff Wed
 
B. Brereton 11'17' J. Yates
M. Clarke 45'
 
DER
SHW
Shots On
4
3
Shots Off
6
3
Corners
6
2
Possession
55%
45%
Fouls
7
11
Yellow/red cards
1/0
1/0
 
DerbySheff Wed
 
D. Murkin
M. Clarkefootball icon
S. Szmodics (J. Banel 74')
P. Agyemang (C. Morris 75')
R. Brewster (D. Ozoh 62')
J. Ward
J. Vickers
D. Sanderson
L. Travis
B. Clark (O. Fraulo 89')
B. Breretonfootball icon
P. Charles
L. Palmer
(I. Ugbo 89') S. Fusire
D. Iorfa
G. Otegbayo
S. Ingelsson
J. Lowe
(J. Thornton 82') football iconJ. Yates
(J. Tshisanga Ndala 74') C. McNeill
J. Heskey
T. Adaramola

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Championship Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Derby to win

It looks like we could well have a dominant side in this game, and it's Derby. Their recent form stats show what they've got in their locker at home, and historical head-to-head (H2H) data proves they know how to beat Sheff Wed too. The odds point towards John Eustace's side winning in the win / draw / win market, and that's definitely our prediction for Saturday afternoon too.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Derby are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 66% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.29.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Derby
66%
27/1001/50
Draw
20%
17/414/1
Sheff Wed
14%
10/190/1
Derby 2-0
12%
11/29/2
Derby 1-0
12%
13/215/2
Draw 1-1
10%
9/19/2
Derby 2-1
10%
8/11/3
Derby 3-0
8%
13/219/4
Derby 3-1
6%
10/117/4
Draw 0-0
6%
12/110/1
Sheff Wed 1-0
5%
25/114/1
Derby 4-0
4%
11/115/2
Sheff Wed 2-1
4%
28/19/1
Draw 2-2
4%
22/17/1
Derby 4-1
3%
18/125/1
Derby 3-2
3%
28/122/1
Sheff Wed 2-0
2%
50/128/1
Derby 5-0
2%
22/112/1
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
4/61/8
Under 2.5 Goals
47%
6/519/4
Home 1st Goal
59%
3/102/7
Away 1st Goal
37%
13/516/5
No 1st Goal
4%
12/110/1
BTTS - Yes
47%
11/1019/20
BTTS - No
53%
4/64/5
BTTS - Home Win
26%
21/101/14
BTTS - Draw
14%
6/17/1
BTTS - Away Win
6%
20/140/1
Home/draw
86%
1/201/1000
Away/draw
34%
11/412/1
Home/away
80%
1/61/66
Over 1.5 Goals
77%
2/91/18
Under 1.5 Goals
23%
10/315/2
Over 3.5 Goals
31%
7/45/1
Under 3.5 Goals
69%
4/91/10
Over 4.5 Goals
15%
4/140/1
Under 4.5 Goals
85%
1/61/1000
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
9/1125/1
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
1/161/500
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/251/33
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
12/110/1
Home DNB
80%
1/141/1000
Away DNB
28%
8/140/1
Derby win to nil
39%
1/1-
Sheff Wed win to nil
7%
18/1-
Derby / Derby
45%
4/51/10
Derby / Sheff Wed
2%
50/122/1
Derby / Draw
4%
18/115/2
Draw / Derby
21%
11/425/1
Draw / Sheff Wed
5%
20/155/1
Draw / Draw
10%
7/140/1
Sheff Wed / Derby
4%
20/128/1
Sheff Wed / Sheff Wed
5%
18/1150/1
Sheff Wed / Draw
4%
20/125/1
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Win / draw / win Championship table

Derby have played 35 matches so far this season and lay in 8th place in the Championship league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 24 games against teams below in the table, having won 12, drawn 5 and lost 7 matches. They have kept 7 clean sheets and have failed to score in 3 fixtures. Derby have outscored their opponents by 52 goals to 21 goals.

Home League Performance

Derby have played 18 games at home winning 6, drawing 6 and losing 6 games. They have scored 24 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and conceded 24 goals at home.

Sheff Wed are in 24th position in the Championship on -7 points having played 35 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

12 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 33 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 12 goals in total and failed to score in 8 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

35 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 26 games, drawn 8 and won 1. Sheff Wed have conceded 71 goals, scored 21, failed to score in 19 fixtures and have kept 3 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Derby
Sheff Wed
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Coventry3622863674 
l
 
3-5A
Apr 3
l
 
0-5A
Apr 11
2
M'Boro3620972369 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-1F
l
 
0-1A
Apr 21
3
Millwall361989965 
d
 
1-1A
Mar 10
l
 
1-2F
l
 
1-0A
4
Ipswich35181072664 
l
 
1-2A
d
 
2-2A
Mar 14
l
 
3-1A
5
Hull3618612560 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
4-2A
d
 
2-2F
Mar 21
6
Wrexham3515128957 
l
 
1-2A
d
 
1-1A
l
 
0-1A
d
 
2-2A
7
Derby3615912754 
-
-
l
 
0-3A
l
 
2-1A
8
Southampton351411101153 
d
 
1-1A
Apr 11
l
 
1-3A
l
 
3-1A
9
Watford35131210451 
l
 
2-3F
l
 
2-0A
Mar 10
d
 
1-1F
10
Bristol C3614814250 
d
 
1-1A
w
 
0-5F
l
 
0-3A
l
 
2-0A
11
Sheff Utd3615417249 
May 2
w
 
1-3F
l
 
0-3A
l
 
2-1A
12
Birmingham36131013-149 
Mar 21
d
 
1-1F
l
 
0-2A
d
 
2-2A
13
Swansea3614715-149 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-2F
l
 
0-2A
l
 
4-0A
14
Preston36121311-149 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-1F
l
 
2-3F
l
 
3-0A
15
Stoke3613815347 
Apr 6
l
 
3-1F
l
 
0-3A
Apr 3
16
QPR3613815-1247 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 25
d
 
1-1F
l
 
3-0A
17
Norwich3513616345 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 21
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-0A
18
Charlton36111114-1044 
d
 
1-1A
w
 
1-2F
Apr 18
l
 
2-1A
19
Portsmouth35101015-1040 
d
 
1-1A
Mar 16
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-2F
20
Blackburn3610917-1339 
w
 
3-1A
w
 
1-2F
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
1-0A
21
West Brom369918-1836 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-1F
May 2
d
 
0-00-0
22
Leicester36101115-935 
l
 
1-3A
l
 
2-1A
Apr 6
l
 
2-1F
23
Oxford Utd3681117-1435 
Apr 18
l
 
1-0A
l
 
1-2A
Apr 25
24
Sheff Wed361827-51-7 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-3F
-
-
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Derby 7TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
6
Draw
7
Lost
7
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Derby3 - 1Blackburn
Derby2 - 0Swansea
Derby1 - 2Ipswich
Derby1 - 1West Brom
Derby1 - 2Wrexham
Derby1 - 0M'Boro
Derby1 - 1Portsmouth
Derby1 - 1Millwall
Derby1 - 3Leicester
Derby2 - 3Watford
Derby2 - 1Hull
Derby1 - 0QPR
Derby1 - 0Norwich
Derby1 - 1Southampton
Derby1 - 1Charlton
Derby0 - 1Preston
Derby1 - 1Bristol C
Derby3 - 5Coventry
Derby0 - 0Stoke
Derby0 - 1Luton
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
8
D
4
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HDerby3 - 1Blackburn
ADerby2 - 4Hull
ADerby0 - 2Watford
HDerby2 - 0Swansea
HDerby1 - 2Ipswich
ADerby5 - 0Bristol C
HDerby1 - 1West Brom
ADerby2 - 1Charlton
ADerby1 - 0Preston
HDerby1 - 2Wrexham
HDerby1 - 0M'Boro
ADerby1 - 2Leicester
ADerby1 - 1Birmingham
HDerby1 - 1Portsmouth
ADerby3 - 0Sheff Wed
HDerby1 - 1Millwall
HDerby1 - 3Leicester
ADerby1 - 2M'Boro
ADerby2 - 1Swansea
HDerby2 - 3Watford
Sheff Wed 24TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
15
Conceded
38
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
W
1
Draw
6
Lost
13
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Norwich2 - 0Sheff Wed
Sheff Utd2 - 1Sheff Wed
Swansea4 - 0Sheff Wed
Blackburn1 - 0Sheff Wed
Bristol C2 - 0Sheff Wed
QPR3 - 0Sheff Wed
Preston3 - 0Sheff Wed
Ipswich3 - 1Sheff Wed
Watford1 - 1Sheff Wed
Millwall1 - 0Sheff Wed
Southampton3 - 1Sheff Wed
West Brom0 - 0Sheff Wed
Charlton2 - 1Sheff Wed
Birmingham2 - 2Sheff Wed
Portsmouth0 - 2Sheff Wed
Wrexham2 - 2Sheff Wed
Leicester2 - 1Sheff Wed
Watford1 - 1Sheff Wed
Stoke2 - 0Sheff Wed
Blackburn2 - 2Sheff Wed
Goals: Scored
9
Conceded
42
Games: Scored
7 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
13 / 20
D
3
Lost
17
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HSheff Wed1 - 3Southampton
ASheff Wed0 - 2Norwich
ASheff Wed1 - 2Sheff Utd
HSheff Wed1 - 2Millwall
ASheff Wed0 - 4Swansea
ASheff Wed0 - 1Blackburn
HSheff Wed0 - 1Wrexham
ASheff Wed0 - 2Bristol C
HSheff Wed0 - 2Birmingham
HSheff Wed0 - 1Portsmouth
ASheff Wed0 - 3QPR
ASheff Wed0 - 3Preston
HSheff Wed0 - 0Blackburn
HSheff Wed2 - 2Hull
ASheff Wed1 - 3Ipswich
HSheff Wed0 - 3Derby
ASheff Wed1 - 1Watford
HSheff Wed2 - 3Preston
ASheff Wed0 - 1Millwall
HSheff Wed0 - 3Sheff Utd
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
Sheff Wed have not lost to Derby in 5 consecutive away league meetings
League games at Derby since 1997
Derby
Sheff Wed
Goals: Scored
37
21
Games: Scored
18 / 20
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
2 / 20
DER
9
D
9
SHW
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Derby
1 - 2Sheff Wed
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw3 - 3Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Derby2 - 0
Derby2 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Derby3 - 2
Derby3 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
Derby3 - 0
Derby3 - 0
Derby1 - 0
0 - 2Sheff Wed
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw3 - 3Draw
Derby1 - 0
Derby3 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
League games at Sheff Wed since 1996
Sheff Wed
Derby
Goals: Scored
20
29
Games: Scored
12 / 21
14 / 21
Clean sheets
7 / 21
9 / 21
DER
10
D
5
SHW
6
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Sheff Wed
0 - 3Derby
Sheff Wed4 - 2
Sheff Wed1 - 0
Sheff Wed1 - 0
1 - 3Derby
1 - 2Derby
Sheff Wed2 - 0
Sheff Wed2 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 1Derby
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 1Derby
1 - 2Derby
Sheff Wed2 - 1
1 - 3Derby
0 - 2Derby
0 - 1Derby
2 - 5Derby
Draw0 - 0Draw
Goal Statistics

Sheffield Wednesday have been awful at the back of late, conceding 2 or more goals in 5 consecutive Championship matches. This run could continue, with Derby County's PG an impressive 2.0.

An absolutely dreadful PG of just 0.8 should cause concerns for Sheffield Wednesday fans, as should a 13 Championship games run in which they have failed to score more than 1 goal.

Derby 7th Sheff Wed 24th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.0
goals
0.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
14%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4+
14%
There is a 59% probability that Derby will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
45%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4+
There is a 81% probability of Sheff Wed scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-6
Derby’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-21
Sheff Wed have scored 21% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.2
average goals scored
0.8
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
1.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2025/2026 season
Derby
PG (predicted goals)
Sheff Wed
2
0.8
Attack rating
52%
better
DER
SHW
view stats
Games scored32
16
Failed to score3
19
Scored first18
8
Goals scored52
21
Avg. goals scored1.5
0.6
Avg. shots per game7
6
Avg. shots per goal5
10
Conversion rate for20
10
Avg. XG for1.2
0.9
KickOff rating
+52%
Defence rating
28%
better
DER
SHW
view stats
Games conceded27
32
Clean sheets8
3
Conceded first17
25
Goals conceded46
71
Avg. goals conceded1.3
2
Avg. shots/game conceded9
12
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
6
Conversion rate against15%
17%
Avg. XG against1.4
2.1
KickOff rating
+28%

Derby v Sheff Wed Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Derby Championship squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
351079
M ClarkeP. AgyemangJ WardL Travis
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Vickers GLK6
-
J Ward DEF2817
2
1
D Sanderson DEF301
6
-
M Clarke DEF3532
6
1
D Murkin DEF52
-
B Clark MID3532
5
-
L Travis MID171
8
1
B Díaz MID3153
5
-
S Szmodics MID51
1
-
R Brewster MID2662
1
-
P. Agyemang FWD32103
4
-
Subs
R O'Donnell GLK2
-
C Forsyth DEF131
2
-
I. Gordon DEF
-
O Fraulo MID9
-
J Banel MID4
-
O. Eames MID2
-
C. Allen MID1
-
D Ozoh MID231
6
-
C Morris FWD2110
4
-
Sheff Wed Championship squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
33426
S IngelssonC McNeillJ LoweD Iorfa
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
P Charles GLK101
-
D Iorfa DEF271
6
-
G. Otegbayo DEF26
3
1
L Palmer DEF351
4
-
S Fusire MID251
4
-
J. Heskey MID10
2
-
S Ingelsson MID341
2
-
C McNeill MID3241
2
-
O Adaramola MID61
-
J Yates FWD82
-
J Lowe FWD3632
4
-
Subs
L. Stretch GLK
-
R. Johnson DEF12
1
-
C. McGhee DEF7
1
-
J. Emery DEF3
-
M Nakamba MID1
1
-
J. Thornton MID16
-
J. Tshisanga Ndala FWD6
-
W. Grainger FWD2
-
I Ugbo FWD21
1
-