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Derby County v Sunderland : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Pride Park Stadium, Derby

Derby County and Sunderland go head to head at the Pride Park Stadium on Tuesday evening, with both Paul Warne and Régis Le Bris hoping for success in the Championship. Championship statistics are the foundation of the predictions you'll find below, with head-to-head records included too. There's so much to explore, with data visualisations and the best odds available for every betting markets via the tabs.

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Derby County's next match is v Cardiff at 15:00 on Saturday 25th January
Sunderland's next match is v Plymouth at 15:00 on Saturday 25th January
The last English Championship meeting between Derby and Sunderland was on Tuesday 21st January 2025
English Championship
January 21st 2025
Derby 0
1 Sunderland
 
28' E. Mayenda Dossou
 
DER
SUN
Shots On
3
3
Shots Off
4
2
Corners
8
4
Possession
50%
50%
Fouls
9
12
Yellow/red cards
1/0
1/0
 
DerbySunderland
 
J. Widell Zetterström
K. Wilson (T. Barkhuizen 73')
C. Forsyth
C. Elder
E. Adams
K. Goudmijn
L. Thompson (B. Osborn 58')
K. Jackson (L. Salvesen 58')
N. Mendez-Laing (C. Taylor 58')
J. Yates (D. Brown 72')
M. Harness
A. Patterson
(D. Ballard 74') D. Cirkin
T. Hume
C. Mepham
L. O'Nien
(L. Hjelde 89') E. Le Fée
(S. Samed 86') C. Rigg
J. Bellingham
D. Neil
W. Isidor
(P. Roberts 74') football iconE. Mayenda Dossou

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Championship Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We don't believe there is a clear favourite to to get the win in this one, but does appear clear is that the odds are pointing towards it'll have no more than 3 goals. Our statistical analysis is inline with them too. Derby and Sunderland have taken part in plenty of under 3.5 goal games of late, and key performance stats point towards those records being extended. We have confidence in predicting under 3.5 goals on Tuesday evening, and the bookies have it priced at 1.29.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 40% chance of Sunderland coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Derby
31%
3/1
18%
3/1
15%
Draw
28%
13/5
3%
5/2
6%
Sunderland
40%
17/20
10%
10/11
9%
Draw 1-1
13%
6/111/2
8%
Sunderland 1-0
12%
6/1
7%
11/2
8%
Derby 1-0
11%
10/117/2
13%
Draw 0-0
10%
17/215/2
7%
Sunderland 2-1
8%
15/27/1
6%
Sunderland 2-0
8%
15/2
11%
7/1
11%
Derby 2-1
7%
12/1
8%
11/1
Derby 2-0
6%
20/1
24%
16/1
15%
Draw 2-2
4%
16/1
13%
12/1
Sunderland 3-1
3%
14/112/1
13%
Sunderland 3-0
3%
14/1
21%
12/1
13%
Derby 3-1
2%
33/1
17%
25/1
10%
Derby 3-0
2%
40/133/1
12%
Sunderland 3-2
2%
28/120/1
9%
Derby 3-2
2%
40/128/1
Over 2.5 Goals
41%
1/11/1
2%
Under 2.5 Goals
59%
4/53/4
5%
Home 1st Goal
45%
7/4
10%
-
Away 1st Goal
49%
4/7
6%
-
No 1st Goal
6%
17/2-
BTTS - Yes
47%
5/6
4%
17/20
BTTS - No
53%
5/6
2%
17/20
2%
BTTS - Home Win
13%
7/1
21%
6/1
8%
BTTS - Draw
18%
15/4
5%
18/5
2%
BTTS - Away Win
16%
10/3
4%
29/10
13%
Home/draw
60%
10/11
12%
17/20
10%
Away/draw
69%
2/9
6%
2/9
4%
Home/away
72%
2/7
1%
2/7
2%
Over 1.5 Goals
67%
1/3
2%
1/3
1%
Under 1.5 Goals
33%
12/5
6%
21/10
4%
Over 3.5 Goals
20%
11/412/5
8%
Under 3.5 Goals
80%
2/72/7
2%
Over 4.5 Goals
8%
6/1
14%
11/2
7%
Under 4.5 Goals
92%
1/10
2%
1/11
1%
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
14/1
13%
12/1
13%
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
1/33
1%
1/66
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
90%
1/161/16
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
10%
17/215/2
7%
Home DNB
51%
2/1
20%
15/8
16%
Away DNB
60%
4/11
9%
4/11
9%
Derby win to nil
19%
11/2
8%
-
Sunderland win to nil
25%
9/4
12%
-
Derby / Derby
13%
6/1
17%
11/2
14%
Derby / Sunderland
3%
22/1
12%
18/1
10%
Derby / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Draw / Derby
10%
15/2
13%
7/1
7%
Draw / Sunderland
17%
15/4
5%
7/2
8%
Draw / Draw
17%
4/119/5
7%
Sunderland / Derby
3%
33/125/1
Sunderland / Sunderland
25%
2/1
9%
2/1
12%
Sunderland / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win Championship table

Derby have played 27 matches so far this season and are in 19th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

22 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 13 games, drawn 4 and won 5. Derby have conceded 33 goals, scored 23, failed to score in 7 matches and kept 4 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Derby have played 13 games at home, winning 6, drawing 2 and losing 5 fixtures. They have scored 19 goals, conceded 13 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and failed to score 2 times in home league games.

Sunderland lay in 4th place on 51 points in the Championship league table having played 27 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 22 games against teams below them in the table, winning 12, drawing 7 and losing 3 games. They have scored 34 goals and kept 10 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Sunderland have conceded 18 goals and have failed to score in 4 matches.

Away league performance

Sunderland have played 14 away games, winning 5, drawing 5 and losing 4 games. They have scored an average of 1.2 goals per away game and conceded an average 1 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Derby
Sunderland
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Leeds2817833459 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-0A
d
 
2-2F
Feb 17
2
Sheff Utd2818642258 
Feb 1
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-1F
l
 
1-0A
3
Burnley28151122756 
Apr 9
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-0F
d
 
0-00-0
4
Sunderland Away2815941854 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-0A
-
-
5
M'Boro2812881244 
w
 
1-0F
Mar 1
w
 
1-0F
Feb 3
6
Blackburn2812610542 
Mar 8
l
 
4-2A
Apr 21
d
 
2-2A
7
West Brom289145941 
w
 
2-1F
Apr 21
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 5
8
Watford2812511041 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-1F
Feb 8
l
 
2-1A
9
Bristol C289118238 
w
 
3-0F
l
 
1-0A
d
 
1-1A
Apr 18
10
QPR289118-338 
w
 
2-0F
Feb 14
May 3
d
 
0-00-0
11
Sheff Wed2810810-538 
l
 
1-2F
l
 
4-2A
w
 
4-0F
Mar 1
12
Norwich289910236 
l
 
2-3A
Feb 8
w
 
2-1A
Apr 8
13
Coventry289811035 
Mar 11
w
 
1-2F
d
 
2-2F
Mar 15
14
Oxford Utd289811-1035 
Feb 11
d
 
1-1A
w
 
2-0F
Apr 26
15
Swansea289712-434 
l
 
1-2A
Apr 5
Apr 12
w
 
2-3A
16
Preston287138-534 
Mar 29
d
 
1-1A
Mar 11
d
 
0-00-0
17
Millwall2771010031 
Feb 22
d
 
1-1F
Mar 29
d
 
1-1F
18
Portsmouth277812-1129 
w
 
4-0F
Apr 12
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-3F
19
Stoke2861012-1028 
May 3
l
 
2-1A
w
 
2-1A
l
 
1-0A
20
Cardiff2861012-1228 
w
 
1-0F
Jan 25
Mar 8
w
 
0-2F
21
Derby Home287615-727 
-
-
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-1F
22
Hull286814-1126 
d
 
1-1A
Apr 26
Feb 22
w
 
0-1F
23
Luton287516-1826 
Apr 18
l
 
2-1F
Feb 12
w
 
1-2F
24
Plymouth284915-3521 
d
 
1-1F
Mar 15
Jan 25
l
 
3-2F
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Derby 20TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
12
D
2
Lost
6
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Derby0 - 2Watford
Derby0 - 1Leeds
Derby2 - 1West Brom
Derby4 - 0Portsmouth
Derby1 - 2Sheff Wed
Derby1 - 2Swansea
Derby1 - 1Plymouth
Derby1 - 1Hull
Derby2 - 0QPR
Derby2 - 3Norwich
Derby1 - 0Cardiff
Derby3 - 0Bristol C
Derby1 - 0M'Boro
Derby2 - 0Carlisle
Derby3 - 0L Orient
Derby1 - 0Blackpool
Derby1 - 0Bolton
Derby2 - 1Reading
Derby3 - 0Port Vale
Derby1 - 2Charlton
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
W
4
Draw
6
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HDerby0 - 2Watford
ADerby0 - 1Bristol C
ADerby2 - 4Sheff Wed
HDerby0 - 1Leeds
HDerby2 - 1West Brom
ADerby1 - 2Luton
HDerby4 - 0Portsmouth
ADerby0 - 0Burnley
ADerby0 - 2Leeds
HDerby1 - 2Sheff Wed
HDerby1 - 2Swansea
ADerby1 - 1Preston
HDerby1 - 1Plymouth
ADerby2 - 1Coventry
ADerby1 - 2Stoke
HDerby1 - 1Hull
ADerby1 - 1Oxford Utd
ADerby1 - 1Millwall
HDerby2 - 0QPR
ADerby0 - 2Sunderland
Sunderland 3RD
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
7
Draw
6
Lost
7
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Burnley0 - 0Sunderland
Stoke1 - 0Sunderland
Blackburn2 - 2Sunderland
Swansea2 - 3Sunderland
Sheff Utd1 - 0Sunderland
Millwall1 - 1Sunderland
Preston0 - 0Sunderland
QPR0 - 0Sunderland
Luton1 - 2Sunderland
Hull0 - 1Sunderland
Watford2 - 1Sunderland
Plymouth3 - 2Sunderland
Portsmouth1 - 3Sunderland
Cardiff0 - 2Sunderland
Watford1 - 0Sunderland
West Brom0 - 1Sunderland
Leeds0 - 0Sunderland
Cardiff0 - 2Sunderland
Southampton4 - 2Sunderland
Norwich1 - 0Sunderland
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
9
Draw
9
L
2
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ASunderland0 - 0Burnley
HSunderland1 - 0Portsmouth
HSunderland2 - 1Sheff Utd
ASunderland0 - 1Stoke
ASunderland2 - 2Blackburn
HSunderland2 - 1Norwich
ASunderland3 - 2Swansea
HSunderland1 - 1Bristol C
HSunderland2 - 1Stoke
ASunderland0 - 1Sheff Utd
HSunderland0 - 0West Brom
ASunderland1 - 1Millwall
HSunderland2 - 2Coventry
ASunderland0 - 0Preston
ASunderland0 - 0QPR
HSunderland2 - 0Oxford Utd
ASunderland2 - 1Luton
ASunderland1 - 0Hull
HSunderland2 - 2Leeds
HSunderland2 - 0Derby
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
13
Sunderland have not lost to Derby in 13 consecutive league meetings
League games at Derby since 1992
Derby
Sunderland
Goals: Scored
13
18
Games: Scored
7 / 13
9 / 13
Clean sheets
4 / 13
6 / 13
DER
4
D
2
SUN
7
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Derby
1 - 4Sunderland
Draw0 - 0Draw
1 - 2Sunderland
0 - 2Sunderland
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 1Sunderland
Derby1 - 0
0 - 5Sunderland
Derby1 - 0
Derby3 - 1
0 - 1Sunderland
Derby5 - 0
0 - 1Sunderland
League games at Sunderland since 1993
Sunderland
Derby
Goals: Scored
20
7
Games: Scored
13 / 14
7 / 14
Clean sheets
7 / 14
1 / 14
D
5
SUN
9
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Sunderland
Sunderland2 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Sunderland1 - 0
Sunderland2 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
Sunderland2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Sunderland2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Sunderland2 - 0
Sunderland3 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Sunderland1 - 0
Sunderland1 - 0
Goal Statistics
Derby 20th Sunderland 3rd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.1
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
35%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 72% probability that Derby will score no more than 1 goal
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 65% probability that Sunderland will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+3
Derby’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-10
Sunderland’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.6
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
1.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/280414/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Derby
PG (predicted goals)
Sunderland
1.1
1.2
Attack rating
DER
SUN
11%
better
view stats
Games scored20
21
Failed to score7
6
Scored first12
15
Goals scored31
39
Avg. goals scored1.1
1.4
Avg. shots per game8
10
Avg. shots per goal7
7
Conversion rate for15
15
Avg. XG for1.1
1.5
KickOff rating
+11%
Defence rating
DER
SUN
35%
better
view stats
Games conceded21
15
Clean sheets6
12
Conceded first14
8
Goals conceded37
22
Avg. goals conceded1.4
0.8
Avg. shots/game conceded8
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
9
Conversion rate against17%
11%
Avg. XG against1.2
1.2
KickOff rating
+35%

Derby v Sunderland Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Derby Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
26648
J ZetterströmJ YatesN Mendez-LaingE Adams
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Zetterström GLK26
1
-
K Wilson DEF2321
-
E Adams DEF264
8
-
C Forsyth DEF2412
2
-
C Elder DEF201
7
-
K Goudmijn MID2722
4
-
K Jackson MID2832
4
-
L Thompson MID16
3
-
M Harness MID2211
7
-
N Mendez-Laing MID2824
2
-
J Yates FWD2562
1
-
Subs
J Vickers GLK2
-
J Rooney DEF
-
J Ward MID7
1
-
F Turley MID
-
B Osborn MID191
2
-
C Blackett-Taylor FWD111
1
-
D Brown FWD151
-
T Barkhuizen FWD10
1
-
L Salvesen FWD1
-
Sunderland Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
27858
D NeilW IsidorE MayendaC Mepham
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Patterson GLK24
1
-
T Hume DEF272
7
-
C Mepham DEF22
7
1
L O'Nien DEF2721
6
-
D Cirkin DEF2422
6
-
D Neil MID2713
2
1
J Bellingham MID2544
7
1
E Fée MID2
1
-
C Rigg MID2442
6
-
E Mayenda MID2055
-
W Isidor FWD258
6
-
Subs
S Moore GLK4
1
-
D Ballard DEF142
4
-
L Hjelde DEF6
-
P Roberts MID2725
8
-
S Samed MID1
-
A Aouchiche MID81
-
H. Jones MID
-
M. Aleksić FWD3
1
-
T. Ogunsugi FWD
-