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Hull City v Derby County : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Tue 24th Feb, 19:45 BST, KCOM Stadium, Hull

Hull City and Derby County take on one another at the KCOM Stadium on Tuesday evening, with both Sergej Jakirović and John Eustace seeking a win in the Championship. For each and every Championship match preview, KickOff delves into the stats for seventeen major betting markets. Key stats, including head to head (H2H) results, are then given alongside odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers.

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Championship Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Neither Hull or Derby are in a rich vein of form that would have us feeling very confident in tipping a match winner, so instead we've gone for over 1.5 goals. The statistics tell us that both have form in this market, both individually and when facing one another head-to-head. We're predicting there's a 78% chance of 2 goals or more.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Hull 30%	-	23/20
Draw 24%	-	12/5
Derby 46%	-	23/10
Draw 1-1 11%	-	5/1
Derby 2-1 9%	-	9/1
Derby 1-0 9%	-	8/1
Derby 2-0 7%	-	12/1
Hull 2-1 7%	-	7/1
Hull 1-0 7%	-	6/1
Draw 2-2 6%	-	11/1
Draw 0-0 6%	-	8/1
Derby 3-1 5%	-	18/1
Hull 2-0 4%	-	8/1
Derby 3-0 4%	-	25/1
Derby 3-2 3%	-	22/1
Hull 3-1 3%	-	14/1
Hull 3-2 2%	-	20/1
Derby 4-1 2%	-	40/1
Over 2.5 Goals 55%	-	10/11
Under 2.5 Goals 45%	-	4/5
Home 1st Goal 46%	-	3/4
Away 1st Goal 51%	-	13/10
No 1st Goal 3%	-	8/1
BTTS - Yes 57%	-	4/5
BTTS - No 43%	-	19/20
BTTS - Home Win 16%	-	16/5
BTTS - Draw 19%	-	10/3
BTTS - Away Win 23%	-	5/1
Home/draw 54%	-	1/3
Away/draw 70%	-	4/6
Home/away 76%	-	3/10
Over 1.5 Goals 78%	-	3/10
Under 1.5 Goals 22%	-	23/10
Over 3.5 Goals 33%	-	9/4
Under 3.5 Goals 67%	-	3/10
Over 4.5 Goals 16%	-	5/1
Under 4.5 Goals 84%	-	1/10
Over 5.5 Goals 7%	-	11/1
Under 5.5 Goals 93%	-	1/40
Over 0.5 Goals 94%	-	1/20
Under 0.5 Goals 6%	-	8/1
Home DNB 47%	-	8/15
Away DNB 63%	-	13/10
Hull win to nil 14%	-	-
Derby win to nil 23%	-	-
Hull / Hull 24%	-	9/4
Hull / Derby 3%	-	22/1
Hull / Draw 6%	-	11/1
Draw / Hull 15%	-	17/4
Draw / Derby 11%	-	6/1
Draw / Draw 15%	-	4/1
Derby / Hull 4%	-	18/1
Derby / Derby 15%	-	4/1
Derby / Draw 6%	-	11/1

Win / draw / win Championship table

Hull have played 31 matches so far this season and lay in 5th place in the Championship league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 26 games against teams below in the table, having won 14, drawn 5 and lost 7 matches. They have kept 7 clean sheets and have failed to score in 3 fixtures. Hull have outscored their opponents by 50 goals to 47 goals.

Home League Performance

Hull have played 16 games at home winning 8, drawing 3 and losing 5 games. They have scored 23 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and conceded 23 goals at home.

Derby are in 6th position in the Championship on 48 points having played 32 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

4 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 16 goals and kept 4 clean sheets. They have scored 26 goals in total and failed to score in 1 fixture.

Performance against teams above them in the league

7 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 3 games, drawn 2 and won 2. Derby have conceded 13 goals, scored 11, scored in every game and have kept 1 clean sheet.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Hull Derby
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	M'Boro	31	18	7	6	19	61	l 1-4A	w 0-1F	w 1-0F	l 2-1F
2	Coventry	31	17	8	6	28	59	Apr 6	d 0-00-0	l 3-5A	Apr 3
3	Millwall	32	16	8	8	4	56	Mar 7	w 1-3F	d 1-1A	Mar 10
4	Ipswich	30	15	9	6	22	54	l 0-2A	Mar 3	l 1-2A	d 2-2A
5	Hull	31	16	6	9	7	54	-	-	w 2-1F	Feb 24
6	Derby	32	13	9	10	8	48	Feb 24	l 2-1A	-	-
7	Preston	32	12	12	8	4	48	d 2-2A	w 0-3F	l 0-1A	w 0-1F
8	Wrexham	31	12	11	8	5	47	w 2-0F	Mar 10	l 1-2A	d 1-1A
9	Bristol C	31	13	7	11	5	46	l 2-3F	l 4-2F	d 1-1A	w 0-5F
10	Southampton	32	12	10	10	4	46	w 3-1F	w 1-2F	d 1-1A	Apr 11
11	Birmingham	32	12	10	10	4	46	Apr 18	w 2-3F	Mar 21	d 1-1F
12	Watford	32	11	12	9	3	45	d 0-00-0	l 2-1F	l 2-3F	Feb 21
13	QPR	32	12	8	12	-3	44	Feb 21	l 3-2F	w 1-0F	Apr 25
14	Stoke	32	12	7	13	5	43	l 0-1A	w 1-2A	Apr 6	l 3-1F
15	Sheff Utd	32	13	3	16	0	42	w 1-0F	Apr 11	May 2	w 1-3F
16	Swansea	32	12	6	14	-1	42	w 2-1F	d 2-2A	w 2-0F	w 1-2F
17	Norwich	32	11	6	15	0	39	May 2	w 0-2F	w 1-0F	Apr 21
18	Charlton	31	10	9	12	-8	39	d 1-1F	Apr 25	d 1-1A	w 1-2F
19	Blackburn	32	9	8	15	-11	35	l 0-3A	w 0-1F	Feb 28	w 1-2F
20	West Brom	32	9	7	16	-15	34	w 1-0F	Mar 14	d 1-1F	w 0-1F
21	Portsmouth	30	8	9	13	-12	33	w 3-2A	Feb 28	d 1-1A	Mar 16
22	Leicester	32	10	8	14	-7	32	w 2-1F	Apr 22	l 1-3A	l 2-1A
23	Oxford Utd	32	6	10	16	-16	28	w 3-2F	Apr 3	Apr 18	l 1-0A
24	Sheff Wed	32	1	8	23	-45	-7	Mar 21	d 2-2A	Mar 7	w 0-3F

	Promotion
	Promotion Play Off
	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Hull	2 - 3	Bristol C
Hull	0 - 0	Watford
Hull	2 - 1	Swansea
Hull	0 - 1	Stoke
Hull	1 - 0	West Brom
Hull	2 - 0	Wrexham
Hull	1 - 4	M'Boro
Hull	0 - 2	Ipswich
Hull	3 - 2	Portsmouth
Hull	1 - 1	Charlton
Hull	2 - 1	Leicester
Hull	1 - 0	Sheff Utd
Hull	2 - 2	Preston
Hull	3 - 1	Southampton
Hull	0 - 3	Blackburn
Hull	3 - 2	Oxford Utd
Hull	0 - 1	Derby
Hull	2 - 1	Preston
Hull	1 - 1	Coventry
Hull	0 - 1	Luton

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Hull	2 - 3	Bristol C
H	Hull	0 - 0	Watford
A	Hull	1 - 0	Blackburn
H	Hull	2 - 1	Swansea
A	Hull	3 - 0	Preston
A	Hull	2 - 1	Southampton
H	Hull	0 - 1	Stoke
A	Hull	1 - 0	M'Boro
A	Hull	2 - 2	Sheff Wed
H	Hull	1 - 0	West Brom
A	Hull	3 - 1	Millwall
H	Hull	2 - 0	Wrexham
H	Hull	1 - 4	M'Boro
A	Hull	2 - 1	Stoke
H	Hull	0 - 2	Ipswich
A	Hull	2 - 3	QPR
H	Hull	3 - 2	Portsmouth
A	Hull	1 - 2	Derby
A	Hull	2 - 0	Norwich
H	Hull	1 - 1	Charlton

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Bristol C	0 - 5	Derby
Charlton	1 - 2	Derby
Preston	0 - 1	Derby
Leicester	2 - 1	Derby
Birmingham	1 - 1	Derby
Sheff Wed	0 - 3	Derby
M'Boro	2 - 1	Derby
Swansea	1 - 2	Derby
Blackburn	1 - 2	Derby
Sheff Utd	1 - 3	Derby
Oxford Utd	1 - 0	Derby
Wrexham	1 - 1	Derby
West Brom	0 - 1	Derby
Ipswich	2 - 2	Derby
Stoke	3 - 1	Derby
Hull	0 - 1	Derby
West Brom	1 - 3	Derby
Portsmouth	2 - 2	Derby
Swansea	1 - 0	Derby
Plymouth	2 - 3	Derby

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

20 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

0 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Derby	2 - 0	Swansea
H	Derby	1 - 2	Ipswich
A	Derby	5 - 0	Bristol C
H	Derby	1 - 1	West Brom
A	Derby	2 - 1	Charlton
A	Derby	1 - 0	Preston
H	Derby	1 - 2	Wrexham
H	Derby	1 - 0	M'Boro
A	Derby	1 - 2	Leicester
A	Derby	1 - 1	Birmingham
H	Derby	1 - 1	Portsmouth
A	Derby	3 - 0	Sheff Wed
H	Derby	1 - 1	Millwall
H	Derby	1 - 3	Leicester
A	Derby	1 - 2	M'Boro
A	Derby	2 - 1	Swansea
H	Derby	2 - 3	Watford
A	Derby	2 - 1	Blackburn
H	Derby	2 - 1	Hull
A	Derby	3 - 1	Sheff Utd

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Derby have not lost to Hull in 6 consecutive league meetings

Hull

Derby

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

6 / 12

9 / 12

Clean sheets

3 / 12

6 / 12

HUL

DER

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Hull
	0 - 1	Derby
	0 - 1	Derby
Hull	2 - 0
	1 - 2	Derby
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
	0 - 2	Derby
	0 - 2	Derby
Hull	2 - 1
	0 - 1	Derby
Hull	2 - 0
	1 - 2	Derby
Hull	2 - 1

Derby

Hull

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

10 / 13

9 / 13

Clean sheets

4 / 13

3 / 13

HUL

DER

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Derby
Derby	2 - 1
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Derby	3 - 1
Derby	1 - 0
Derby	2 - 0
Derby	5 - 0
	0 - 3	Hull
Derby	4 - 0
	1 - 2	Hull
	0 - 2	Hull
	0 - 1	Hull
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Draw	1 - 1	Draw

Goal Statistics

Derby County have been steady in front of goal of late, finding the net in 21 consecutive Championship games. Their PG of 1.6 against Hull City on Tuesday suggests that run is likely to continue.

	Hull 5th	Derby 6th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.3 goals	1.6 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 28% 1 36% 2 23% 3 9% 4+ There is a 64% probability that Hull will score no more than 1 goal	0 20% 1 32% 2 26% 3 14% 4+ 8% There is a 80% probability that Derby will score 1 or more goals

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-10 Hull’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	+53 Derby have scored 53% more goals when away than predicted
	1.3 average goals scored	1.8 average goals scored
	1.4 conceded	1.1 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2025/2026 season

HUL

DER

better

view stats

Games scored	26		29
Failed to score	5		2
Scored first	19		17
Goals scored	50		45
Avg. goals scored	1.6		1.4
Avg. shots per game	8		7
Avg. shots per goal	5		5
Conversion rate for	21		20
Avg. XG for	1.4		1.1
KickOff rating		+4%

better

HUL

DER

view stats

Games conceded	22		24
Clean sheets	9		7
Conceded first	10		14
Goals conceded	43		39
Avg. goals conceded	1.4		1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded	10		8
Avg. shots/goal conceded	7		7
Conversion rate against	14%		15%
Avg. XG against	1.8		1.3
KickOff rating		+5%

Hull v Derby Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Hull Championship squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
31	12	8	9
I Pandur	O McBurnie	R Giles	M Crooks

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
I Pandur GLK	31			4 -
R Slater MID	31	2	2	6 -
C Hughes DEF	29	1	1	3 -
K Joseph FWD	29	7	2	4 -
J Egan DEF	28	1		5 -
R Giles DEF	26		8	6 -
L Coyle DEF	26		4	6 -
A Hadziahmetovic MID	26		2	-
J Gelhardt FWD	24	10	3	3 -
O McBurnie FWD	22	12	5	5 -
D Gyabi MID	20	2		-
M Crooks MID	20	2	3	9 -
D Akintola FWD	20	1	2	4 -
L Millar FWD	18	2	2	2 -
E Destan FWD	18	2		4 -
J. Tshisanga Ndala FWD	17	1		1 -
J Lundstram MID	16	1		6 -
A Famewo DEF	13	1		1 -
S Ajayi DEF	12	1		-
C Drameh DEF	12		1	1 -
Belloumi FWD	12	1	3	1 -
K Palmer MID	9			-
B Williams DEF	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
12	28	8	12
O McBurnie	J Gelhardt	R Giles	R Giles

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
O McBurnie FWD	12	21	5	7
J Gelhardt FWD	10	28	3	4
K Joseph FWD	7	19	2	3
R Slater MID	2	7	2	4
D Gyabi MID	2	3
M Crooks MID	2	4	3	5
L Millar FWD	2	8	2	4
E Destan FWD	2	3		2
C Hughes DEF	1	5	1	1
J Egan DEF	1	3		1
D Akintola FWD	1	4	2	3
J. Tshisanga Ndala FWD	1	3
J Lundstram MID	1	2
A Famewo DEF	1	2
S Ajayi DEF	1	4
Belloumi FWD	1	8	3	4
R Giles DEF		2	8	12
L Coyle DEF		1	4	6
A Hadziahmetovic MID			2	3
C Drameh DEF		3	1	1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1384	46	149
C Hughes	R Slater	C Hughes

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
C Hughes DEF	1384	40	149
I Pandur GLK	1172	1	15
J Egan DEF	1049	33	135
L Coyle DEF	851	32	93
R Slater MID	808	46	116
M Crooks MID	713	41	95
A Hadziahmetovic MID	682	41	82
R Giles DEF	587	21	40
J Lundstram MID	529	28	42
J Gelhardt FWD	521	29	126
S Ajayi DEF	383	18	50
O McBurnie FWD	356	21	117
K Joseph FWD	306	35	117
C Drameh DEF	305	20	43
L Millar FWD	272	23	53
D Gyabi MID	216	17	44
A Famewo DEF	178	16	41
Belloumi FWD	150	12	35
E Destan FWD	143	4	40
J. Tshisanga Ndala FWD	133	15	45
D Akintola FWD	121	13	30
K Palmer MID	121	7	21
B Williams DEF	4	1	1

Derby Championship squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
31	10	6	8
M Clarke	P. Agyemang	J Ward	L Travis

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
M Clarke DEF	31	1	2	5 1
B Clark MID	31	3	2	4 -
J Zetterström GLK	28			1 -
P. Agyemang FWD	28	10	3	3 -
D Sanderson DEF	27	1		6 -
B Díaz FWD	27	3	3	4 -
C Elder DEF	26	1	5	7 -
A Weimann MID	25	1	3	1 -
L Salvesen FWD	25	3	2	3 -
J Ward MID	24	1	6	1 1
E Adams MID	23	1		7 -
R Brewster FWD	22	5	1	1 -
S Langas DEF	19	2	1	2 -
D Ozoh MID	19	1		6 -
K Jackson FWD	19			2 -
L Thompson MID	17	1		4 -
C Morris FWD	17	10		4 -
L Travis MID	13		1	7 1
C Forsyth DEF	11			2 -
M Johnston DEF	9			1 -
D Batth DEF	9			1 -
C Blackett-Taylor FWD	9		1	-
R Nyambe DEF	7			1 -
R O'Donnell GLK	2			-
J Vickers GLK	2			-
C Nelson DEF	2			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
10	25	6	8
P. Agyemang	P. Agyemang	J Ward	J Ward

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
P. Agyemang FWD	10	25	3	2
C Morris FWD	10	14		2
R Brewster FWD	5	9	1	1
B Clark MID	3	6	2	3
B Díaz FWD	3	14	3	6
L Salvesen FWD	3	6	2	3
S Langas DEF	2	5	1	1
M Clarke DEF	1	1	2	3
D Sanderson DEF	1	2		1
C Elder DEF	1	3	5	7
A Weimann MID	1	5	3	4
J Ward MID	1	6	6	8
E Adams MID	1	1
D Ozoh MID	1	1		1
L Thompson MID	1	1
K Jackson FWD		4
L Travis MID			1	2
M Johnston DEF		1		1
C Blackett-Taylor FWD		2	1	1
R Nyambe DEF		1
C Nelson DEF		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1309	60	173
M Clarke	E Adams	M Clarke

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
M Clarke DEF	1309	55	173
J Zetterström GLK	891		14
D Sanderson DEF	861	29	100
C Elder DEF	738	51	129
B Clark MID	711	51	121
J Ward MID	604	34	68
S Langas DEF	593	28	90
E Adams MID	492	60	123
L Travis MID	448	29	59
L Thompson MID	445	16	41
D Ozoh MID	444	31	63
B Díaz FWD	435	10	61
C Morris FWD	375	13	149
P. Agyemang FWD	371	7	159
C Forsyth DEF	371	16	39
R Brewster FWD	274	8	59
D Batth DEF	233	3	46
M Johnston DEF	181	13	18
A Weimann MID	156	8	19
L Salvesen FWD	100	5	32
K Jackson FWD	86	3	21
R Nyambe DEF	74	6	14
R O'Donnell GLK	64
J Vickers GLK	57		3
C Blackett-Taylor FWD	46	2	8
C Nelson DEF	4	2	4