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Leeds United v Burnley : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Elland Road, Leeds

The Championship is the focus for both Leeds United and Burnley on Saturday lunch time, as managers Daniel Farke and Scott Parker go head to head at the Elland Road. All the odds are provided directly from the bookmaker, while predictions are calculated from statistics over a 20-game period. We focus especially on Championship match data, including head to head (H2H) records. Click the tabs below to explore it all.

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Leeds United's next match is v Cardiff at 15:00 on Saturday 21st September
Burnley's next match is v Portsmouth at 15:00 on Saturday 21st September
The last English Championship meeting between Leeds and Burnley was on Saturday 14th September 2024
English Championship
September 14th 2024
Leeds 0
1 Burnley
 
18' L. Koleosho
 
LEE
BRN
Shots On
4
3
Shots Off
8
3
Corners
9
3
Possession
71%
29%
Fouls
8
13
Yellow/red cards
3/0
6/1
 
LeedsBurnley
 
I. Meslier
J. Bogle
H. Firpo Adames (S. Byram 78')
P. Struijk
J. Rodon (A. Tanaka 86')
I. Gruev
B. Aaronson (J. Piroe 68')
E. Ampadu (J. Rothwell 68')
M. Solomon (L. Ramazani 78')
M. Joseph Fernández Regatillo
D. Gnonto
J. Trafford
L. Pires Silva
M. Esteve
B. Humphreys
J. Worrall
J. Laurent
(J. Cullen 73') H. Mejbri
(A. Hountondji 90') Z. Flemming
(H. Massengo 90') J. Brownhill
J. Anthony
(J. Sarmiento 64') football iconL. Koleosho
Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The statistics suggest there's no obvious winner here, but there's plenty of reasons to believe that Leeds and Burnley will score 2 or more goals between them. We've seen goals when they've gone head-to-head in the past, and neither Daniel Farke or Scott Parker has suffered the frustration of many 0-0s recently either. The bookmakers predict over 1.5 goals too, with odds of 1.29 equating to roughly a 78% probability.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Leeds are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 59% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.73.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Leeds
59%
3/5
8%
8/13
3%
Draw
22%
29/10
4%
3/1
3%
Burnley
19%
9/2
22%
17/4
5%
Leeds 1-0
11%
6/1
7%
11/2
Draw 1-1
11%
13/2
7%
6/1
Leeds 2-0
11%
13/2
12%
6/1
7%
Leeds 2-1
10%
15/213/2
Leeds 3-0
7%
11/1
20%
9/1
9%
Draw 0-0
6%
10/1
8%
17/2
5%
Leeds 3-1
6%
12/110/1
Burnley 1-0
6%
12/111/1
Burnley 2-1
5%
16/1
13%
12/1
Draw 2-2
5%
16/1
13%
12/1
Leeds 4-0
3%
22/1
21%
16/1
11%
Leeds 3-2
3%
25/1
13%
18/1
Leeds 4-1
3%
25/1
10%
18/1
Burnley 2-0
3%
28/1
26%
20/1
11%
Burnley 3-1
2%
40/1
21%
28/1
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
10/11
6%
4/5
Under 2.5 Goals
47%
10/11
5%
10/11
2%
Home 1st Goal
56%
2/5
7%
-
Away 1st Goal
40%
11/5
16%
-
No 1st Goal
4%
10/1
8%
-
BTTS - Yes
51%
5/6
2%
17/20
3%
BTTS - No
49%
5/6
4%
17/20
3%
BTTS - Home Win
26%
13/512/5
BTTS - Draw
16%
9/2
10%
4/1
BTTS - Away Win
9%
9/1
25%
15/2
6%
Home/draw
81%
1/7
3%
2/13
2%
Away/draw
41%
13/10
12%
5/4
2%
Home/away
78%
1/41/4
Over 1.5 Goals
77%
2/7
3%
2/7
3%
Under 1.5 Goals
23%
11/4
6%
5/2
3%
Over 3.5 Goals
31%
11/52/1
3%
Under 3.5 Goals
69%
4/117/20
1%
Over 4.5 Goals
15%
5/1
9%
9/2
5%
Under 4.5 Goals
85%
1/8
2%
1/8
1%
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
12/110/1
10%
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
1/251/33
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/20
1%
1/25
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
10/1
8%
17/2
5%
Home DNB
75%
2/9
8%
2/9
2%
Away DNB
34%
3/1
23%
14/5
6%
Leeds win to nil
33%
13/8
13%
-
Burnley win to nil
9%
9/1
25%
-
Leeds / Leeds
33%
6/4
9%
29/20
2%
Leeds / Burnley
2%
40/1
21%
28/1
Leeds / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Draw / Leeds
19%
10/3
9%
16/5
3%
Draw / Burnley
8%
10/1
16%
9/1
5%
Draw / Draw
14%
5/1
9%
9/2
Burnley / Leeds
4%
20/118/1
12%
Burnley / Burnley
9%
8/1
20%
7/1
7%
Burnley / Draw
5%
16/1
13%
12/1
bet365
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Win / draw / win Championship table
Leeds
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
Burnley
HOME AWAY TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY
Mar 1
d
 
0-00-0
 West Brom5410713 
Mar 11
Nov 7
Feb 15
Oct 4
 Sunderland5401812 
Jan 18
l
 
1-0A
Jan 1
Nov 30
 Blackburn5320611 
d
 
1-1F
Jan 4
l
 
0-1A
Jan 25
 Burnley Away5311810 
-
-
Oct 22
Feb 11
 Watford5311410 
Dec 21
Apr 18
Oct 18
Feb 22
 Sheff Utd532059 
Apr 21
Dec 26
Dec 21
Apr 18
 Oxford Utd530239 
Feb 8
Sep 28
Dec 7
Dec 29
 Derby530229 
Dec 10
Apr 9
-
-
 Leeds Home522138 
Jan 25
w
 
0-1F
Dec 10
Apr 8
 M'Boro522128 
Dec 6
Dec 29
Mar 29
Nov 24
 Swansea521227 
Nov 10
Mar 15
Nov 9
Mar 15
 QPR5131-16 
Oct 26
Apr 26
Apr 21
Dec 26
 Stoke5203-36 
Jan 1
Nov 30
Sep 28
Feb 8
 Coventry5122-15 
Nov 26
Apr 5
Jan 22
Oct 1
 Norwich5122-25 
Apr 12
Dec 15
Nov 2
May 3
 Plymouth5122-45 
Oct 1
Jan 22
Apr 26
Oct 26
 Bristol C5122-55 
Mar 29
Nov 23
Mar 12
Nov 6
 Millwall511304 
May 3
Nov 3
Nov 27
Apr 5
 Luton5113-44 
Mar 8
w
 
1-4F
Jan 18
w
 
0-2F
 Sheff Wed5113-54 
Feb 22
Oct 19
Apr 12
Dec 14
 Preston5113-64 
Oct 5
Feb 15
w
 
2-0F
Jan 4
 Hull5032-43 
Feb 12
Oct 23
d
 
3-3F
Mar 8
 Portsmouth5032-53 
Sep 21
Feb 1
Feb 1
Sep 21
 Cardiff5014-101 
w
 
5-0F
Mar 1
Win / draw / win form
Leeds 9TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
41
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
14
D
3
L
3
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Leeds2 - 0Hull
Leeds3 - 3Portsmouth
Leeds0 - 1Southampton
Leeds4 - 0Norwich
Leeds1 - 2Southampton
Leeds0 - 1Blackburn
Leeds0 - 0Sunderland
Leeds3 - 1Hull
Leeds2 - 0Millwall
Leeds1 - 0Stoke
Leeds3 - 1Leicester
Leeds3 - 0Rotherham
Leeds1 - 0Norwich
Leeds2 - 1Preston
Leeds3 - 0Birmingham
Leeds4 - 0Ipswich
Leeds1 - 1Coventry
Leeds3 - 2M'Boro
Leeds3 - 1Swansea
Leeds2 - 1Plymouth
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
9
Draw
6
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HLeeds2 - 0Hull
ALeeds2 - 0Sheff Wed
ALeeds0 - 0West Brom
HLeeds3 - 3Portsmouth
HLeeds0 - 1Southampton
HLeeds4 - 0Norwich
ALeeds0 - 0Norwich
HLeeds1 - 2Southampton
ALeeds0 - 4QPR
ALeeds4 - 3M'Boro
HLeeds0 - 1Blackburn
HLeeds0 - 0Sunderland
ALeeds1 - 2Coventry
HLeeds3 - 1Hull
ALeeds2 - 2Watford
HLeeds2 - 0Millwall
ALeeds2 - 0Sheff Wed
HLeeds1 - 0Stoke
ALeeds1 - 1Huddersfield
HLeeds3 - 1Leicester
Burnley 3RD
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
36
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
W
4
D
4
Lost
12
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Sunderland1 - 0Burnley
Luton1 - 4Burnley
Spurs2 - 1Burnley
Man Utd1 - 1Burnley
Sheff Utd1 - 4Burnley
Everton1 - 0Burnley
Chelsea2 - 2Burnley
West Ham2 - 2Burnley
C Palace3 - 0Burnley
Liverpool3 - 1Burnley
Man City3 - 1Burnley
A Villa3 - 2Burnley
Fulham0 - 2Burnley
Brighton1 - 1Burnley
Wolves1 - 0Burnley
Arsenal3 - 1Burnley
Bournemouth2 - 1Burnley
Brentford3 - 0Burnley
Luton1 - 2Burnley
Newcastle2 - 0Burnley
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
36
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
W
4
Draw
7
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HBurnley1 - 1Blackburn
ABurnley0 - 1Sunderland
HBurnley5 - 0Cardiff
ABurnley4 - 1Luton
HBurnley1 - 2Nottm Forest
ABurnley1 - 2Spurs
HBurnley1 - 4Newcastle
ABurnley1 - 1Man Utd
ABurnley4 - 1Sheff Utd
HBurnley1 - 1Brighton
ABurnley0 - 1Everton
HBurnley1 - 1Wolves
ABurnley2 - 2Chelsea
HBurnley2 - 1Brentford
ABurnley2 - 2West Ham
HBurnley0 - 2Bournemouth
ABurnley0 - 3C Palace
HBurnley0 - 5Arsenal
ABurnley1 - 3Liverpool
HBurnley2 - 2Fulham
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
Leeds have not lost to Burnley in 5 consecutive league meetings
League games at Leeds since 2004
Leeds
Burnley
Goals: Scored
14
7
Games: Scored
10 / 10
5 / 10
Clean sheets
5 / 10
0 / 10
LEE
7
D
1
BRN
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Leeds
Leeds3 - 1
Leeds1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 2Burnley
Leeds1 - 0
Leeds2 - 1
Leeds1 - 0
Leeds1 - 0
Leeds2 - 0
1 - 2Burnley
League games at Burnley since 2005
Burnley
Leeds
Goals: Scored
10
15
Games: Scored
7 / 9
8 / 9
Clean sheets
1 / 9
2 / 9
LEE
5
D
1
BRN
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Burnley
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 4Leeds
Burnley2 - 1
Burnley1 - 0
1 - 2Leeds
2 - 3Leeds
Burnley2 - 1
1 - 2Leeds
0 - 1Leeds
Goal Statistics

With a PG of just 0.9, Burnley look set to find it difficult here. Add in the fact that Leeds United have kept a clean sheet in 3 consecutive Championship games, and it could be a long lunch time for Scott Parker's men.

Leeds 9th Burnley 3rd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.9
goals
0.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
16%
1
29%
2
27%
3
17%
4+
12%
There is a 84% probability that Leeds will score 1 or more goals
0
39%
1
37%
2
17%
3
4+
There is a 76% probability of Burnley scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+2
Leeds’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+4
Burnley’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.1
average goals scored
1.3
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
1.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/280140/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Leeds
PG (predicted goals)
Burnley
1.9
0.9
Attack rating
LEE
BRN
15%
better
view stats
Games scored3
3
Failed to score1
1
Scored first3
3
Goals scored7
10
Avg. goals scored1.8
2.5
Avg. shots per game10
8
Avg. shots per goal6
3
Conversion rate for17
31
Avg. XG for1.8
0.8
KickOff rating
+15%
Defence rating
31%
better
LEE
BRN
view stats
Games conceded1
3
Clean sheets3
1
Conceded first0
1
Goals conceded3
3
Avg. goals conceded0.8
0.8
Avg. shots/game conceded6
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
10
Conversion rate against13%
10%
Avg. XG against0.6
1
KickOff rating
+31%

Leeds v Burnley Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Leeds Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
5222
I MeslierB AaronsonM JosephJ Rodon
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
I Meslier GLK5
-
J Bogle  DEF5
1
-
J Rodon DEF5
2
-
P Struijk DEF51
1
-
J Firpo DEF51
2
-
I Gruev MID5
1
-
E Ampadu MID5
2
-
W Gnonto MID51
2
-
B Aaronson MID52
-
M Solomon MID21
-
M Joseph FWD512
-
Subs
K Darlow GLK
-
S Byram DEF3
-
I Schmidt DEF
-
J Debayo DEF
-
J Rothwell MID5
-
A Tanaka MID2
-
J Piroe FWD511
-
L Ramazani FWD2
-
J Gelhardt FWD1
-
Burnley Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
5223
M EstèveJ Brownhill L PiresJ Laurent
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Trafford GLK4
1
-
B Humphreys DEF1
1
-
J Worrall DEF2
1
-
M Estève DEF5
1
-
L Pires DEF52
1
-
J Laurent MID2
-
J Brownhill  MID52
-
L Koleosho MID42
1
-
H Mejbri MID2
2
-
J Anthony MID21
1
-
Z Flemming FWD1
-
Subs
V Hladky GLK1
-
C Egan-Riley DEF2
1
-
J Egan DEF
-
J Sarmiento  MID2
-
J Cullen MID3
1
-
H Massengo MID41
2
-
J Rodríguez FWD3
1
-
A Hountondji FWD3
-
E Agyei FWD
-