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Leeds United v Derby County : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 7th Dec, 12:30 BST, Elland Road, Leeds

Derby County pay Championship counterparts Leeds United a visit on Saturday lunch time, as Paul Warne guides his team into an away clash with Daniel Farke & co. at the Elland Road. In this preview you'll find odds from leading bookmakers for 17 different betting markets, alongside supporting data that updates as you go between markets. Our predictions run off the last 20 matches, so all statistics are shown for each side's last 20 too. Home, away and overall records can be found, while there's also head-to-head history a little further down the page.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Championship Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Leeds to win

Having examined the bookmakers' odds and collated statistics regarding the two teams ahead of this Championship clash, a bet on win / draw / win for Leeds to win in front of their own fans is our recommendation. We predict they will have too much for Derby, and head-to-head (H2H) records show they have done in the past. It could be a tighter than we expect, but Leeds winning is the bet come Saturday lunch time.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Leeds are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 67% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.36.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Leeds
67%
1/3
4%
4/11
3%
Draw
20%
4/1
5%
19/5
Derby
13%
7/1
7%
15/2
6%
Leeds 2-0
13%
5/119/4
5%
Leeds 1-0
13%
5/1
9%
9/2
5%
Leeds 2-1
10%
8/17/1
Draw 1-1
10%
9/1
5%
15/2
Leeds 3-0
9%
7/1
6%
13/2
6%
Leeds 3-1
6%
12/110/1
Draw 0-0
6%
10/1
10%
9/1
5%
Derby 1-0
5%
16/1
13%
14/1
15%
Leeds 4-0
4%
14/1
12%
12/1
Draw 2-2
4%
25/118/1
Derby 2-1
4%
22/118/1
Leeds 4-1
3%
20/1
9%
16/1
11%
Leeds 3-2
2%
33/122/1
12%
Derby 2-0
2%
40/128/1
12%
Leeds 5-0
2%
28/1
15%
22/1
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
10/11
5%
5/6
4%
Under 2.5 Goals
48%
10/11
6%
10/11
6%
Home 1st Goal
60%
1/4
3%
-
Away 1st Goal
36%
7/2
4%
-
No 1st Goal
4%
10/1
10%
-
BTTS - Yes
46%
5/45/4
2%
BTTS - No
54%
4/73/5
3%
BTTS - Home Win
26%
13/5
4%
5/2
5%
BTTS - Draw
14%
13/2
7%
11/2
BTTS - Away Win
6%
16/114/1
15%
Home/draw
87%
1/12
2%
1/14
1%
Away/draw
33%
9/4
8%
21/10
7%
Home/away
80%
1/6
1%
2/11
Over 1.5 Goals
76%
2/7
3%
2/7
1%
Under 1.5 Goals
24%
11/4
10%
12/5
6%
Over 3.5 Goals
30%
12/5
3%
21/10
6%
Under 3.5 Goals
70%
1/3
2%
1/3
3%
Over 4.5 Goals
15%
5/1
8%
19/4
12%
Under 4.5 Goals
85%
1/8
1%
1/8
2%
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
12/1
13%
10/1
15%
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
1/25
1%
1/33
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/20
1%
1/25
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
10/1
10%
9/1
5%
Home DNB
81%
1/81/11
2%
Away DNB
27%
5/111/2
13%
Leeds win to nil
41%
1/1-
Derby win to nil
7%
12/1
18%
-
Leeds / Leeds
40%
1/1
5%
1/1
2%
Leeds / Derby
2%
50/140/1
Leeds / Draw
4%
18/1
12%
16/1
Draw / Leeds
21%
11/414/5
1%
Draw / Derby
5%
16/1
13%
14/1
15%
Draw / Draw
13%
11/2
8%
5/1
Derby / Leeds
4%
20/1
9%
18/1
Derby / Derby
6%
14/111/1
9%
Derby / Draw
4%
20/116/1
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Win / draw / win Championship table

Leeds have played 18 matches so far this season and lay in 3rd place in the Championship league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 16 games against teams below in the table, having won 9, drawn 5 and lost 2 matches. They have kept 9 clean sheets and have failed to score in 4 fixtures. Leeds have outscored their opponents by 31 goals to 22 goals.

Home League Performance

Leeds have played 9 games at home winning 7, drawing 1 and losing 1 game. They have scored 20 goals, kept 6 clean sheets and conceded 5 goals at home.

Derby are in 15th position in the Championship on 20 points having played 18 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

5 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 15 goals and kept no clean sheets. They have scored 9 goals in total and failed to score in 2 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

11 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 8 games, drawn 1 and won 2. Derby have conceded 19 goals, scored 13, failed to score in 2 fixtures and have kept 2 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Leeds
Derby
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Sheff Utd1812421638 
w
 
2-0F
Feb 24
Feb 1
l
 
1-0A
2
Burnley1810621736 
l
 
0-1A
Jan 27
Apr 9
Dec 10
3
Leeds 1810531835 
-
-
Dec 29
Dec 7
4
Sunderland189631333 
Feb 17
d
 
2-2A
Jan 21
l
 
2-0A
5
M'Boro189361130 
Dec 10
Apr 8
w
 
1-0F
Mar 1
6
Watford18936230 
w
 
2-1F
Feb 11
Jan 18
l
 
2-1F
7
West Brom186102728 
Mar 1
d
 
0-00-0
Dec 26
Apr 21
8
Blackburn17845428 
Jan 1
l
 
1-0A
Mar 8
l
 
4-2A
9
Norwich18675825 
Jan 22
d
 
1-1A
l
 
2-3A
Feb 8
10
Millwall17674525 
Mar 12
l
 
1-0A
Feb 22
d
 
1-1F
11
Bristol C18675325 
Apr 26
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
3-0F
Jan 4
12
Sheff Wed18747-525 
Jan 19
w
 
0-2F
l
 
1-2F
Jan 1
13
Swansea18657123 
Mar 29
w
 
3-4A
l
 
1-2A
Apr 5
14
Stoke18567-321 
Apr 21
Dec 26
May 3
l
 
2-1A
15
Derby 18558-220 
Dec 7
Dec 29
-
-
16
Coventry18468-318 
w
 
3-0F
Feb 8
Mar 11
w
 
1-2F
17
Oxford Utd18468-818 
Dec 21
Apr 18
Feb 11
d
 
1-1A
18
Preston18396-818 
Apr 12
Dec 14
Mar 29
d
 
1-1A
19
Luton185310-1318 
w
 
3-0F
Apr 5
Apr 18
Dec 20
20
Cardiff18459-1117 
Feb 1
w
 
0-2F
w
 
1-0F
Jan 25
21
Plymouth18459-2017 
w
 
3-0F
May 3
d
 
1-1F
Mar 15
22
Hull18369-915 
w
 
2-0F
Jan 4
d
 
1-1A
Apr 26
23
QPR18297-1115 
w
 
2-0F
Mar 15
w
 
2-0F
Feb 14
24
Portsmouth16277-1213 
d
 
3-3F
Mar 8
Dec 13
Apr 12
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
6
Leeds have won 6 consecutive home league games
6
Leeds have not lost in 6 consecutive home league games
3
Leeds have kept a clean sheet for 3 consecutive home league games
Leeds 3RD
20 league games
Home
6
Overall
Goals: Scored
38
Conceded
11
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
8 / 20
Clean sheets
12 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
14
D
2
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Leeds3 - 0Luton
Leeds2 - 0QPR
Leeds3 - 0Plymouth
Leeds2 - 1Watford
Leeds2 - 0Sheff Utd
Leeds3 - 0Coventry
Leeds0 - 1Burnley
Leeds2 - 0Hull
Leeds3 - 3Portsmouth
Leeds0 - 1Southampton
Leeds4 - 0Norwich
Leeds1 - 2Southampton
Leeds0 - 1Blackburn
Leeds0 - 0Sunderland
Leeds3 - 1Hull
Leeds2 - 0Millwall
Leeds1 - 0Stoke
Leeds3 - 1Leicester
Leeds3 - 0Rotherham
Leeds1 - 0Norwich
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
14
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
11
Draw
5
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ALeeds0 - 1Blackburn
HLeeds3 - 0Luton
ALeeds4 - 3Swansea
HLeeds2 - 0QPR
ALeeds0 - 1Millwall
HLeeds3 - 0Plymouth
ALeeds0 - 0Bristol C
HLeeds2 - 1Watford
HLeeds2 - 0Sheff Utd
ALeeds2 - 2Sunderland
ALeeds1 - 1Norwich
HLeeds3 - 0Coventry
ALeeds2 - 0Cardiff
HLeeds0 - 1Burnley
HLeeds2 - 0Hull
ALeeds2 - 0Sheff Wed
ALeeds0 - 0West Brom
HLeeds3 - 3Portsmouth
HLeeds0 - 1Southampton
HLeeds4 - 0Norwich
Derby 15TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
Draw
6
Lost
8
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Preston1 - 1Derby
Coventry1 - 2Derby
Stoke2 - 1Derby
Oxford Utd1 - 1Derby
Millwall1 - 1Derby
Sunderland2 - 0Derby
Sheff Utd1 - 0Derby
Watford2 - 1Derby
Blackburn4 - 2Derby
Cambridge0 - 1Derby
Wycombe0 - 0Derby
Portsmouth2 - 2Derby
Northampton1 - 0Derby
Bristol R0 - 3Derby
Barnsley2 - 1Derby
Exeter0 - 3Derby
Charlton0 - 1Derby
Reading1 - 0Derby
Lincoln0 - 0Derby
Fleetwood1 - 3Derby
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HDerby1 - 2Sheff Wed
HDerby1 - 2Swansea
ADerby1 - 1Preston
HDerby1 - 1Plymouth
ADerby2 - 1Coventry
ADerby1 - 2Stoke
HDerby1 - 1Hull
ADerby1 - 1Oxford Utd
ADerby1 - 1Millwall
HDerby2 - 0QPR
ADerby0 - 2Sunderland
HDerby2 - 3Norwich
ADerby0 - 1Sheff Utd
HDerby1 - 0Cardiff
HDerby3 - 0Bristol C
ADerby1 - 2Watford
HDerby1 - 0M'Boro
ADerby2 - 4Blackburn
HDerby2 - 0Carlisle
ADerby1 - 0Cambridge
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Leeds since 1997
Leeds
Derby
Goals: Scored
29
22
Games: Scored
15 / 20
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
5 / 20
LEE
8
D
6
DER
6
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Leeds
Draw1 - 1Draw
2 - 4Derby
Leeds2 - 0
1 - 2Derby
Leeds1 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
Leeds2 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 2Derby
0 - 2Derby
1 - 2Derby
0 - 1Derby
Leeds3 - 1
Leeds1 - 0
Leeds3 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Leeds4 - 1
Leeds4 - 3
Draw0 - 0Draw
League games at Derby since 1996
Derby
Leeds
Goals: Scored
27
28
Games: Scored
15 / 20
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
5 / 20
LEE
7
D
5
DER
8
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Derby
1 - 3Leeds
0 - 1Leeds
1 - 4Leeds
Draw2 - 2Draw
Derby1 - 0
1 - 2Leeds
Derby2 - 0
Derby3 - 1
Derby3 - 1
Derby1 - 0
Derby2 - 1
Derby2 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Derby2 - 0
0 - 1Leeds
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 1Leeds
Draw2 - 2Draw
0 - 5Leeds
Draw3 - 3Draw
Goal Statistics
Leeds 3rd Derby 15th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.0
goals
0.7
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
13%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4+
14%
There is a 60% probability that Leeds will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
47%
1
35%
2
13%
3
4+
There is a 82% probability of Derby scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-7
Leeds’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-12
Derby have scored 12% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.9
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
0.6
conceded
1.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/280308/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Leeds
PG (predicted goals)
Derby
2
0.7
Attack rating
LEE
DER
1%
better
view stats
Games scored13
16
Failed to score5
2
Scored first10
9
Goals scored31
22
Avg. goals scored1.7
1.2
Avg. shots per game11
8
Avg. shots per goal6
6
Conversion rate for16
15
Avg. XG for1.8
1.1
KickOff rating
+1%
Defence rating
37%
better
LEE
DER
view stats
Games conceded8
14
Clean sheets10
4
Conceded first6
9
Goals conceded13
24
Avg. goals conceded0.7
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded5
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
6
Conversion rate against13%
17%
Avg. XG against0.8
1
KickOff rating
+37%

Leeds v Derby Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Leeds Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
18756
I MeslierJ PiroeW GnontoJ Firpo
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
I Meslier GLK18
-
P Struijk DEF182
1
-
J Rodon DEF18
4
-
J Rothwell MID181
1
-
B Aaronson MID1841
-
J Piroe FWD1872
-
W Gnonto FWD1835
4
-
M Joseph FWD1823
-
J Bogle  DEF1721
5
-
A Tanaka MID15
2
-
S Byram DEF1411
2
-
J Firpo DEF1413
6
-
D James FWD1232
2
-
M Solomon FWD1121
-
L Ramazani FWD1031
2
-
I Gruev MID8
2
-
E Ampadu MID7
2
-
P Bamford FWD7
-
I Schmidt DEF4
-
M Wöber DEF2
-
J Gelhardt FWD2
-
Derby Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
18435
C NelsonJ YatesN Mendez-LaingE Adams
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
C Nelson DEF182
2
-
E Adams MID182
5
-
N Mendez-Laing FWD1823
2
-
K Jackson FWD1822
2
-
K Goudmijn MID172
2
-
J Zetterström GLK16
-
C Forsyth DEF1611
2
-
E Cashin DEF16
5
-
J Yates FWD1542
1
-
K Wilson DEF131
-
B Osborn MID131
2
-
M Harness FWD1211
4
-
J Collins FWD12
1
-
N Phillips DEF11
1
-
C Elder DEF111
5
-
L Thompson MID10
2
-
R Nyambe DEF9
1
-
D Brown FWD81
-
C Blackett-Taylor FWD81
1
-
T Barkhuizen FWD6
1
-
D Ozoh MID51
-
J Ward MID4
-
S Bradley DEF3
1
-
J Vickers GLK2
-
T Chirewa MID2
1
-