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Leeds United v Middlesbrough : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Tue 10th Dec, 20:00 BST, Elland Road, Leeds

Leeds United and Middlesbrough take on one another at the Elland Road on Tuesday night, with both Daniel Farke and Michael Carrick hoping for success in the Championship. We've analysed both sides' last 20 Championship matches, as well as baseline data within the competition and the betting market, to generate our match predictions. All the statistics, including head to heads (H2H), are shown below, alongside odds from leading bookmakers.


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In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Leeds
46%
--
Draw
24%
--
M'Boro
30%
--
Draw 1-1
11%
--
Leeds 2-1
9%
--
Leeds 1-0
9%
--
Leeds 2-0
7%
--
M'Boro 2-1
7%
--
M'Boro 1-0
7%
--
Draw 2-2
6%
--
Draw 0-0
5%
--
Leeds 3-1
5%
--
M'Boro 2-0
4%
--
Leeds 3-0
4%
--
Leeds 3-2
3%
--
M'Boro 3-1
3%
--
M'Boro 3-2
3%
--
Leeds 4-1
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
43%
--
Home 1st Goal
51%
--
Away 1st Goal
46%
--
No 1st Goal
3%
--
BTTS - Yes
59%
--
BTTS - No
41%
--
BTTS - Home Win
24%
--
BTTS - Draw
19%
--
BTTS - Away Win
16%
--
Home/draw
70%
--
Away/draw
54%
--
Home/away
76%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
79%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
21%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
34%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
66%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
18%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
82%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
--
Home DNB
63%
--
Away DNB
47%
--
Leeds win to nil
22%
--
M'Boro win to nil
14%
--
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Win / draw / win Championship table

Leeds have played 18 matches so far this season and lay in 3rd place in the Championship league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 16 games against teams below in the table, having won 9, drawn 5 and lost 2 matches. They have kept 9 clean sheets and have failed to score in 4 fixtures. They have been outscored by their opponents by 32 goals to 31 goals.

Home League Performance

Leeds have played 9 games at home winning 7, drawing 1 and losing 1 game. They have scored 20 goals, kept 6 clean sheets and conceded 5 goals at home.

M'Boro are in 5th position in the Championship on 30 points having played 18 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

3 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 10 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 17 goals in total and failed to score in 2 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

2 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 1 games, drawn 0 and won 1. M'Boro have conceded 1 goal, scored 1, failed to score in 1 fixture and have kept 1 clean sheet.

Won
Draw
Lost
Leeds
M'Boro
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Sheff Utd1812421638 
w
 
2-0F
Feb 24
w
 
1-0F
Feb 12
2
Burnley1810621736 
l
 
0-1A
Jan 27
Dec 29
Dec 6
3
Leeds 1810531835 
-
-
Apr 8
Dec 10
4
Sunderland189631333 
Feb 17
d
 
2-2A
Feb 3
l
 
1-0A
5
M'Boro 189361130 
Dec 10
Apr 8
-
-
6
Watford18936230 
w
 
2-1F
Feb 11
Feb 15
l
 
2-1F
7
West Brom186102728 
Mar 1
d
 
0-00-0
Jan 21
w
 
0-1F
8
Blackburn17845428 
Jan 1
l
 
1-0A
l
 
0-1A
Apr 5
9
Norwich18675825 
Jan 22
d
 
1-1A
Apr 26
d
 
3-3A
10
Millwall17674525 
Mar 12
l
 
1-0A
Dec 14
Apr 12
11
Bristol C18675325 
Apr 26
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
0-2A
Feb 21
12
Sheff Wed18747-525 
Jan 19
w
 
0-2F
Dec 26
Apr 21
13
Swansea18657123 
Mar 29
w
 
3-4A
w
 
1-0F
Mar 8
14
Stoke18567-321 
Apr 21
Dec 26
w
 
2-0F
Feb 7
15
Derby18558-220 
Dec 7
Dec 29
Mar 1
l
 
1-0A
16
Coventry18468-318 
w
 
3-0F
Feb 8
l
 
0-3A
May 3
17
Oxford Utd18468-818 
Dec 21
Apr 18
Mar 29
w
 
2-6A
18
Preston18396-818 
Apr 12
Dec 14
d
 
1-1F
Jan 25
19
Luton185310-1318 
w
 
3-0F
Apr 5
w
 
5-1F
Mar 15
20
Cardiff18459-1117 
Feb 1
w
 
0-2F
Jan 4
w
 
0-2F
21
Plymouth18459-2017 
w
 
3-0F
May 3
Apr 18
Dec 21
22
Hull18369-915 
w
 
2-0F
Jan 4
w
 
3-1F
Jan 1
23
QPR18297-1115 
w
 
2-0F
Mar 15
Mar 11
w
 
1-4F
24
Portsmouth16277-1213 
d
 
3-3F
Mar 8
d
 
2-2A
Jan 18
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Leeds 3RD
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
38
Conceded
11
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
8 / 20
Clean sheets
12 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
14
D
2
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Leeds3 - 0Luton
Leeds2 - 0QPR
Leeds3 - 0Plymouth
Leeds2 - 1Watford
Leeds2 - 0Sheff Utd
Leeds3 - 0Coventry
Leeds0 - 1Burnley
Leeds2 - 0Hull
Leeds3 - 3Portsmouth
Leeds0 - 1Southampton
Leeds4 - 0Norwich
Leeds1 - 2Southampton
Leeds0 - 1Blackburn
Leeds0 - 0Sunderland
Leeds3 - 1Hull
Leeds2 - 0Millwall
Leeds1 - 0Stoke
Leeds3 - 1Leicester
Leeds3 - 0Rotherham
Leeds1 - 0Norwich
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
14
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
11
Draw
5
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ALeeds0 - 1Blackburn
HLeeds3 - 0Luton
ALeeds4 - 3Swansea
HLeeds2 - 0QPR
ALeeds0 - 1Millwall
HLeeds3 - 0Plymouth
ALeeds0 - 0Bristol C
HLeeds2 - 1Watford
HLeeds2 - 0Sheff Utd
ALeeds2 - 2Sunderland
ALeeds1 - 1Norwich
HLeeds3 - 0Coventry
ALeeds2 - 0Cardiff
HLeeds0 - 1Burnley
HLeeds2 - 0Hull
ALeeds2 - 0Sheff Wed
ALeeds0 - 0West Brom
HLeeds3 - 3Portsmouth
HLeeds0 - 1Southampton
HLeeds4 - 0Norwich
M'Boro 5TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
D
4
Lost
6
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Oxford Utd2 - 6M'Boro
QPR1 - 4M'Boro
Norwich3 - 3M'Boro
Watford2 - 1M'Boro
West Brom0 - 1M'Boro
Sunderland1 - 0M'Boro
Cardiff0 - 2M'Boro
Derby1 - 0M'Boro
Cardiff1 - 4M'Boro
Ipswich1 - 1M'Boro
Hull2 - 2M'Boro
Southampton1 - 1M'Boro
Birmingham0 - 1M'Boro
QPR0 - 2M'Boro
Stoke2 - 0M'Boro
Leicester1 - 2M'Boro
Preston2 - 1M'Boro
Millwall1 - 3M'Boro
Huddersfield1 - 2M'Boro
Rotherham1 - 0M'Boro
Goals: Scored
39
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
11
D
3
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HM'Boro3 - 1Hull
HM'Boro0 - 1Blackburn
AM'Boro6 - 2Oxford Utd
HM'Boro5 - 1Luton
AM'Boro4 - 1QPR
HM'Boro0 - 3Coventry
AM'Boro3 - 3Norwich
HM'Boro1 - 0Sheff Utd
HM'Boro0 - 2Bristol C
AM'Boro1 - 2Watford
AM'Boro1 - 0West Brom
HM'Boro2 - 0Stoke
AM'Boro0 - 1Sunderland
HM'Boro1 - 1Preston
AM'Boro2 - 0Cardiff
HM'Boro2 - 2Portsmouth
AM'Boro0 - 1Derby
HM'Boro1 - 0Swansea
HM'Boro3 - 1Watford
AM'Boro4 - 1Cardiff
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
4
Leeds have beaten M'Boro in 4 consecutive league meetings
8
Leeds have not lost to M'Boro in 8 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Leeds since 1993
Leeds
M'Boro
Goals: Scored
27
16
Games: Scored
14 / 19
11 / 19
Clean sheets
8 / 19
5 / 19
LEE
10
D
5
MID
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Leeds
Leeds3 - 2
Leeds4 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Leeds2 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
Leeds1 - 0
Leeds2 - 1
Leeds2 - 1
0 - 1M'Boro
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 3M'Boro
2 - 3M'Boro
Leeds1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Leeds2 - 0
Leeds2 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 1M'Boro
Leeds3 - 0
League games at M'Boro since 1992
M'Boro
Leeds
Goals: Scored
24
22
Games: Scored
12 / 19
12 / 19
Clean sheets
7 / 19
7 / 19
LEE
7
D
8
MID
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT M'Boro
3 - 4Leeds
0 - 1Leeds
Draw1 - 1Draw
M'Boro3 - 0
M'Boro3 - 0
0 - 1Leeds
Draw0 - 0Draw
M'Boro1 - 0
0 - 2Leeds
1 - 2Leeds
2 - 3Leeds
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
1 - 2Leeds
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
M'Boro4 - 1
Goal Statistics

Leeds United's fans will be hoping for goals on Tuesday night, not least because Middlesbrough have conceded in each of their last 7 Championship matches. A PG of 1.7 for D. Farke's side suggests that run should continue.

Leeds 3rd M'Boro 5th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.7
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
19%
1
32%
2
26%
3
15%
4+
9%
There is a 81% probability that Leeds will score 1 or more goals
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 64% probability that M'Boro will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-7
Leeds’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+26
M'Boro have scored 26% more goals when away than predicted
1.9
average goals scored
1.8
average goals scored
0.6
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/280318/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Leeds
PG (predicted goals)
M'Boro
1.7
1.3
Attack rating
0%
better
LEE
MID
view stats
Games scored13
13
Failed to score5
5
Scored first10
10
Goals scored31
32
Avg. goals scored1.7
1.8
Avg. shots per game11
11
Avg. shots per goal6
6
Conversion rate for16
16
Avg. XG for1.8
1.8
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
32%
better
LEE
MID
view stats
Games conceded8
13
Clean sheets10
5
Conceded first6
8
Goals conceded13
21
Avg. goals conceded0.7
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded5
6
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
5
Conversion rate against13%
18%
Avg. XG against0.8
0.9
KickOff rating
+32%

Leeds v M'Boro Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Leeds Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
18756
I MeslierJ PiroeW GnontoJ Firpo
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
I Meslier GLK18
-
P Struijk DEF182
1
-
J Rodon DEF18
4
-
J Rothwell MID181
1
-
B Aaronson MID1841
-
J Piroe FWD1872
-
W Gnonto FWD1835
4
-
M Joseph FWD1823
-
J Bogle  DEF1721
5
-
A Tanaka MID15
2
-
S Byram DEF1411
2
-
J Firpo DEF1413
6
-
D James FWD1232
2
-
M Solomon FWD1121
-
L Ramazani FWD1031
2
-
I Gruev MID8
2
-
E Ampadu MID7
2
-
P Bamford FWD7
-
I Schmidt DEF4
-
M Wöber DEF2
-
J Gelhardt FWD2
-
M'Boro Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
17875
F AzazT ConwayF AzazH Hackney
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
E Lath FWD1872
2
-
L Ayling DEF172
1
-
F Azaz MID1767
3
-
S Dieng GLK15
-
H Hackney MID1521
4
1
A Morris MID15
2
-
I Jones FWD15
1
-
G Edmundson DEF141
4
-
N Borges DEF141
3
-
T Conway FWD148
-
D Burgzorg FWD142
1
-
B Doak FWD1315
4
-
M. Hamilton FWD13
-
M Clarke DEF122
-
R McGree MID1115
2
-
A Dijksteel DEF101
-
D Barlaser MID101
-
R Berg DEF8
1
-
J Howson MID7
-
M Forss FWD4
-
L Engel DEF3
1
-
D Fry DEF2
-
A Gilbert FWD2
-