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Leeds United v Plymouth Argyle : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Elland Road, Leeds

Leeds United and Plymouth Argyle meet at the Elland Road on Saturday afternoon, with both Daniel Farke and Wayne Rooney seeking a win in the Championship. Statistics drive the algorithmic predictions below for 17 individual betting markets, and flipping between them shows bespoke analysis, including head-to-head, form and a whole lot more besides. Odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers are also provided. Click on the tabs below to explore.

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Leeds United's next match is v Millwall at 19:45 on Wednesday 6th November
Plymouth Argyle's next match is v Portsmouth at 20:00 on Tuesday 5th November
The last English Championship meeting between Leeds and Plymouth was on Saturday 2nd November 2024
English Championship
November 2nd 2024
Leeds 3
0 Plymouth
 
D. James 30'
J. Piroe 33'
B. Aaronson 38'
 
LEE
PLY
Shots On
7
Shots Off
8
Corners
9
Possession
78%
22%
Fouls
11
15
 
LeedsPlymouth
 
I. Meslier
H. Firpo Adames
P. Struijk
J. Rodon
S. Byram
A. Tanaka
J. Rothwell (J. Guilavogui 74')
B. Aaronsonfootball icon (M. Joseph Fernández Regatillo 66')
D. Gnonto (S. Chambers 74')
J. Piroefootball icon (C. Crew 86')
D. Jamesfootball icon (M. Solomon 66')
D. Grimshaw
B. Mumba
(A. Gray 46') N. Ogbeta
M. Sorinola
G. Pálsson
J. Pleguezuelo Selva
K. Szűcs
A. Forshaw
J. Houghton
(M. Bundu 60') C. Roberts
(T. Finn 69') R. Hardie

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Championship Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

Best Tip: Leeds to win

As the stadium fills and the Leeds players ready themselves for this clash, the bookies have predicted a victory for them. The odds and our pre-match stats below also point that way, as does the historical head-to-head (H2H) information we take advantage of in our predictive algorithms. The Elland Road has rarely been a happy hunting ground for for Plymouth in the past, and we we think that will be the case again on Saturday afternoon. A win / draw / win home win is the bet.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Leeds are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 78% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.20.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Leeds
78%
1/7
9%
1/7
12%
Draw
15%
17/2
58%
8/1
50%
Plymouth
7%
12/1
30%
16/1
55%
Leeds 2-0
15%
6/1
8%
11/2
8%
Leeds 1-0
13%
9/1
33%
15/2
31%
Leeds 3-0
12%
6/1
7%
11/2
7%
Leeds 2-1
8%
10/1
16%
8/1
13%
Leeds 4-0
7%
8/1
25%
7/1
20%
Draw 1-1
7%
16/1
42%
12/1
30%
Leeds 3-1
7%
10/117/2
5%
Draw 0-0
5%
22/1
53%
18/1
46%
Leeds 4-1
4%
14/1
12%
11/1
20%
Leeds 5-0
3%
14/1
35%
11/1
29%
Plymouth 1-0
3%
33/1
62%
25/1
37%
Draw 2-2
2%
33/1
31%
22/1
21%
Plymouth 2-1
2%
33/1
31%
28/1
26%
Leeds 5-1
2%
20/1
28%
16/1
26%
Leeds 3-2
2%
28/120/1
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
4/11
16%
4/11
13%
Under 2.5 Goals
44%
11/5
39%
2/1
33%
Home 1st Goal
66%
1/7
3%
-
Away 1st Goal
30%
9/2
16%
-
No 1st Goal
4%
22/1
53%
-
BTTS - Yes
38%
11/1023/20
2%
BTTS - No
62%
4/613/20
1%
BTTS - Home Win
26%
13/8
15%
17/10
10%
BTTS - Draw
10%
10/1
38%
9/1
43%
BTTS - Away Win
3%
20/1
24%
20/1
40%
Home/draw
93%
1/25
2%
1/40
3%
Away/draw
22%
9/2
47%
9/2
49%
Home/away
85%
1/14
4%
1/16
5%
Over 1.5 Goals
79%
1/9
8%
1/10
7%
Under 1.5 Goals
21%
11/2
44%
5/1
39%
Over 3.5 Goals
34%
10/11
24%
10/11
22%
Under 3.5 Goals
66%
10/11
25%
5/6
22%
Over 4.5 Goals
17%
2/1
33%
2/1
29%
Under 4.5 Goals
83%
2/5
17%
4/11
13%
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
4/1
44%
4/1
33%
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
1/6
9%
1/7
7%
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/80
2%
1/200
2%
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
22/1
53%
18/1
46%
Home DNB
89%
1/20
3%
1/40
4%
Away DNB
17%
10/1
38%
11/1
50%
Leeds win to nil
53%
4/5
10%
-
Plymouth win to nil
4%
20/1
40%
-
Leeds / Leeds
52%
8/15
15%
1/2
14%
Leeds / Plymouth
1%
50/1
24%
55/1
22%
Leeds / Draw
4%
22/1
21%
22/1
21%
Draw / Leeds
21%
11/43/1
3%
Draw / Plymouth
3%
28/1
38%
22/1
35%
Draw / Draw
7%
11/1
41%
10/1
47%
Plymouth / Leeds
5%
16/1
11%
16/1
Plymouth / Plymouth
3%
28/1
53%
18/1
46%
Plymouth / Draw
3%
28/1
38%
22/1
21%
bet365
Win / draw / win Championship table

Leeds have played 12 matches so far this season and lay in 4th place in the Championship league table. Leeds are unbeaten in 9 games against teams below them in the league and kept 6 clean sheets out of 9 games.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 9 games against teams below in the table, having won 5, drawn 4 and lost no matches. They have kept 6 clean sheets and have failed to score in 2 fixtures. Leeds have outscored their opponents by 19 goals to 13 goals.

Home League Performance

Leeds have played 6 games at home winning 4, drawing 1 and losing 1 game. They have scored 12 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and conceded 5 goals at home.

Plymouth are in 22nd position in the Championship on 12 points having played 12 matches so far this season. Plymouth are having a poor run against away teams, having not won a match so far this season. They have also not scored in 5 of those games.

Away League Performance

5 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 13 goals and kept no clean sheets. They have scored 1 goal in total and failed to score in 5 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

11 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 6 games, drawn 2 and won 3. Plymouth have conceded 21 goals, scored 12, failed to score in 6 fixtures and have kept no clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Leeds
Plymouth
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
Sunderland139221429 
Feb 15
d
 
2-2A
w
 
3-2A
Jan 25
Leeds Home137511426 
-
-
May 3
l
 
3-0A
Sheff Utd138321025 
w
 
2-0F
Feb 22
Apr 12
Dec 14
Burnley136521123 
l
 
0-1A
Jan 25
Jan 22
l
 
1-0A
Watford13715122 
w
 
2-1F
Feb 11
Nov 22
Mar 29
West Brom13562621 
Mar 1
d
 
0-00-0
Feb 1
l
 
1-0A
Millwall13544419 
Mar 12
Nov 6
Feb 11
l
 
1-0A
Blackburn13544219 
Jan 1
Nov 30
w
 
2-1F
Feb 15
Bristol C13472019 
Apr 26
d
 
0-00-0
Jan 1
Nov 30
Norwich13463518 
Jan 22
d
 
1-1A
Apr 5
Nov 26
M'Boro13535-118 
Dec 10
Apr 8
Dec 21
Apr 18
Swansea13445116 
Mar 29
Nov 24
Dec 10
Apr 9
Coventry13436015 
w
 
3-0F
Feb 8
Apr 21
Dec 26
Derby13436-115 
Dec 7
Dec 29
Mar 15
Nov 9
Hull13364-215 
w
 
2-0F
Jan 4
d
 
1-1F
Mar 1
Stoke13436-315 
Apr 21
Dec 26
l
 
0-1A
Jan 4
Cardiff13436-615 
Feb 1
w
 
0-2F
Feb 22
l
 
5-0A
Sheff Wed13436-915 
Jan 18
w
 
0-2F
Mar 8
l
 
4-0A
Oxford Utd13355-114 
Dec 21
Apr 18
Dec 7
Dec 29
Preston13355-614 
Apr 12
Dec 14
d
 
3-3A
Apr 26
Luton13337-612 
Nov 27
Apr 5
w
 
3-1F
Feb 8
Plymouth Away13337-1212 
w
 
3-0F
May 3
-
-
QPR13175-810 
Nov 9
Mar 15
Jan 18
d
 
1-1A
Portsmouth13166-139 
d
 
3-3F
Mar 8
Nov 5
Mar 11
Win / draw / win form
Leeds 2ND
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
39
Conceded
12
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
14
D
2
L
4
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
8
Draw
7
Lost
5
Plymouth 22ND
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
12
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
W
3
Draw
5
Lost
12
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
6
D
4
Lost
10
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
4
Leeds have beaten Plymouth in 4 consecutive league meetings
8
Leeds have not lost to Plymouth in 8 consecutive league meetings
League games at Leeds since 2004
Leeds
Plymouth
Goals: Scored
6
3
Games: Scored
3 / 4
3 / 4
Clean sheets
1 / 4
1 / 4
LEE
3
D
1
League games at Plymouth since 2004
Plymouth
Leeds
Goals: Scored
1
8
Games: Scored
1 / 4
4 / 4
Clean sheets
0 / 4
3 / 4
LEE
4
Goal Statistics
Leeds 2nd Plymouth 22nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.4
goals
0.5
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
1
22%
2
26%
3
21%
4+
22%
There is a 69% probability that Leeds will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
58%
1
32%
2
3
4+
There is a 58% probability that Plymouth will fail to score
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-3
Leeds’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-43
Plymouth have scored 43% fewer goals when away than predicted
2.0
average goals scored
0.6
average goals scored
0.6
conceded
1.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/280236/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Leeds
PG (predicted goals)
Plymouth
2.4
0.5
Attack rating
30%
better
LEE
PLY
view stats
Games scored9
6
Failed to score3
6
Scored first7
3
Goals scored19
13
Avg. goals scored1.6
1.1
Avg. shots per game11
9
Avg. shots per goal7
8
Conversion rate for14
13
Avg. XG for1.6
0.9
KickOff rating
+30%
Defence rating
53%
better
LEE
PLY
view stats
Games conceded5
12
Clean sheets7
0
Conceded first3
9
Goals conceded8
22
Avg. goals conceded0.7
1.8
Avg. shots/game conceded6
12
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
7
Conversion rate against12%
15%
Avg. XG against0.7
2
KickOff rating
+53%

Leeds v Plymouth Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Leeds Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
13555
I MeslierJ PiroeW GnontoJ Firpo
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
I Meslier GLK13
-
S Byram DEF11
-
J Rodon DEF13
4
-
P Struijk DEF132
1
-
J Firpo DEF1213
5
-
J Rothwell MID131
1
-
A Tanaka MID10
2
-
W Gnonto MID1325
4
-
B Aaronson MID1341
-
D James MID72
1
-
J Piroe FWD1352
-
Subs
K Darlow GLK
-
I Schmidt DEF3
-
J Debayo DEF
-
M Wöber DEF
-
A Cil MID1
-
S. Chambers MID1
-
C. Crew MID1
-
M Solomon FWD61
-
M Joseph FWD1323
-
Plymouth Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
12313
M WhittakerM WhittakerB MumbaK. Szűcs
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Grimshaw GLK9
-
J Pleguezuelo DEF2
-
K. Szűcs DEF11
3
-
N Ogbeta DEF4
-
B Mumba DEF131
1
-
J Houghton MID8
1
-
A Forshaw MID10
3
-
M Sorinola MID2
-
C Roberts MID1
-
V Pálsson MID4
-
R Hardie FWD1311
-
Subs
M Marosi GLK
-
C Wright MID8
-
R Hajj MID81
-
M Whittaker FWD123
2
-
M Obafemi FWD91
-
M Bundu FWD91
-
A Gray FWD31
-
F Issaka FWD61
1
T. Finn FWD1
-