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Leeds United v Stoke City : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Mon 21st Apr, 15:00 BST, Elland Road, Leeds

Mark Warburton pays counterpart Daniel Farke a visit on Monday afternoon in the Championship, as their Stoke City and Leeds United teams go head to head at the Elland Road. We have predictions, tips, and odds and head-to-head stats across every market, so there's nowhere better to prepare Championship clash.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Championship Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Leeds to win

We think there's an outright winner in this game, and it's Leeds. Their latest form statistics show what they've got in their locker in front of their own fans, and historical head-to-head (H2H) data proves they know how to beat Stoke too. The odds point towards Daniel Farke's side winning in the win / draw / win market, and that's our strong prediction for Monday afternoon too.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Leeds are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 70% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.29.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Leeds
70%
1.27
2%
-
Draw
18%
5.75-
Stoke
11%
11.00
8%
-
Leeds 2-0
13%
6.00
9%
-
Leeds 1-0
11%
7.00
17%
-
Leeds 2-1
10%
9.50-
Leeds 3-0
9%
7.50
7%
-
Draw 1-1
9%
11.00-
Leeds 3-1
7%
12.00
8%
-
Draw 0-0
5%
13.00
18%
-
Leeds 4-0
5%
12.00-
Stoke 1-0
4%
21.00-
Leeds 4-1
4%
19.00
10%
-
Draw 2-2
4%
26.00
10%
-
Stoke 2-1
3%
29.00-
Leeds 3-2
3%
34.00
17%
-
Leeds 5-0
2%
23.00-
Leeds 5-1
2%
34.00
17%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
1.67
7%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
43%
2.20
10%
-
Home 1st Goal
61%
1.18-
Away 1st Goal
36%
5.00
9%
-
No 1st Goal
3%
13.00
18%
-
BTTS - Yes
47%
2.25
10%
-
BTTS - No
53%
1.57
5%
-
BTTS - Home Win
29%
3.25
10%
-
BTTS - Draw
13%
8.00
6%
-
BTTS - Away Win
6%
19.00
17%
-
Home/draw
89%
1.05-
Away/draw
30%
3.75-
Home/away
82%
1.14-
Over 1.5 Goals
79%
1.22
2%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
21%
4.33
8%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
34%
2.75
14%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
66%
1.44
6%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
18%
5.00
9%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
82%
1.17
3%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
10.00
9%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
1.06
1%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1.04
1%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
13.00
18%
-
Home DNB
83%
1.07-
Away DNB
24%
9.00-
Leeds win to nil
42%
1.83
2%
-
Stoke win to nil
6%
17.00
13%
-
Leeds / Leeds
46%
1.80
2%
-
Leeds / Stoke
2%
51.00-
Leeds / Draw
4%
21.00-
Draw / Leeds
22%
3.75
4%
-
Draw / Stoke
4%
21.00-
Draw / Draw
10%
8.00
7%
-
Stoke / Leeds
4%
21.00
9%
-
Stoke / Stoke
4%
21.00-
Stoke / Draw
4%
23.00-
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Win / draw / win Championship table

Leeds have played 43 matches so far this season and lay in 1st place in the Championship league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 43 games against teams below in the table, having won 26, drawn 13 and lost 4 matches. They have kept 23 clean sheets and have failed to score in 7 fixtures. Leeds have outscored their opponents by 83 goals to 45 goals.

Home League Performance

Leeds have played 21 games at home winning 16, drawing 4 and losing 1 game. They have scored 51 goals, kept 12 clean sheets and conceded 12 goals at home.

Stoke are in 16th position in the Championship on 50 points having played 43 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

12 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 31 goals and kept 5 clean sheets. They have scored 16 goals in total and failed to score in 9 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

28 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 13 games, drawn 8 and won 7. Stoke have conceded 38 goals, scored 26, failed to score in 11 fixtures and have kept 8 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Leeds
Stoke
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Leeds Home43261345491 
-
-
l
 
0-2A
Apr 21
2
Burnley43251624591 
l
 
0-1A
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
0-2A
d
 
0-00-0
3
Sheff Utd4327792686 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-3A
Apr 25
l
 
2-0A
4
Sunderland43211391876 
w
 
2-1A
d
 
2-2A
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-1F
5
Bristol C431716101067 
Apr 28
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
2-2F
l
 
2-0A
6
Coventry4319915766 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-2F
w
 
1-0F
l
 
3-2A
7
M'Boro43189161163 
w
 
3-1F
w
 
0-1F
l
 
1-3A
l
 
2-0A
8
West Brom431418111060 
d
 
1-1F
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
1-2A
d
 
1-1F
9
Millwall43161215-360 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
1-0A
d
 
1-1A
l
 
1-0A
10
Blackburn4317818359 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
1-0A
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-2F
11
Swansea4316918-557 
d
 
2-2F
w
 
3-4A
w
 
3-1A
d
 
0-00-0
12
Watford4316819-656 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-4F
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
3-0A
13
Norwich43131416353 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1F
l
 
4-2A
14
QPR43131416-553 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
2-2A
w
 
3-1F
d
 
1-1F
15
Sheff Wed43141118-1053 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-2F
w
 
2-0F
l
 
2-0A
16
Stoke Away43121417-950 
Apr 21
w
 
0-2F
-
-
17
Preston43101914-949 
w
 
2-1F
d
 
1-1A
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1A
18
Portsmouth43131020-1449 
d
 
3-3F
l
 
1-0A
w
 
6-1F
l
 
3-1A
19
Oxford Utd43121219-1848 
w
 
4-0F
w
 
0-1F
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
1-0A
20
Hull43111220-1045 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
3-3A
l
 
1-3F
w
 
1-2A
21
Derby43111022-1143 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-1F
w
 
2-1F
May 3
22
Luton43111022-2543 
w
 
3-0F
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-1F
23
Cardiff4391519-2342 
w
 
7-0F
w
 
0-2F
d
 
2-2F
w
 
0-1F
24
Plymouth4391321-3940 
w
 
3-0F
May 3
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-1F
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
3
Leeds have won 3 consecutive league games
18
Leeds have not lost in 18 consecutive home league games
5
Stoke have not lost in 5 consecutive league games
Leeds 1ST
20 league games
Home
18
Overall
3
Goals: Scored
48
Conceded
9
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
8 / 20
Clean sheets
12 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
16
D
3
L
1
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Leeds2 - 1Preston
Leeds2 - 2Swansea
Leeds2 - 0Millwall
Leeds1 - 1West Brom
Leeds2 - 1Sunderland
Leeds7 - 0Cardiff
Leeds2 - 0Norwich
Leeds3 - 0Sheff Wed
Leeds1 - 1Blackburn
Leeds4 - 0Oxford Utd
Leeds3 - 1M'Boro
Leeds2 - 0Derby
Leeds3 - 0Luton
Leeds2 - 0QPR
Leeds3 - 0Plymouth
Leeds2 - 1Watford
Leeds2 - 0Sheff Utd
Leeds3 - 0Coventry
Leeds0 - 1Burnley
Leeds2 - 0Hull
Goals: Scored
40
Conceded
14
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
12
Draw
7
L
1
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ALeeds1 - 0Oxford Utd
HLeeds2 - 1Preston
ALeeds1 - 0M'Boro
ALeeds1 - 1Luton
HLeeds2 - 2Swansea
ALeeds2 - 2QPR
HLeeds2 - 0Millwall
ALeeds0 - 1Portsmouth
HLeeds1 - 1West Brom
ALeeds3 - 1Sheff Utd
HLeeds2 - 1Sunderland
ALeeds4 - 0Watford
ALeeds2 - 0Coventry
HLeeds7 - 0Cardiff
ALeeds0 - 0Burnley
HLeeds2 - 0Norwich
HLeeds3 - 0Sheff Wed
ALeeds3 - 3Hull
HLeeds1 - 1Blackburn
ALeeds1 - 0Derby
Stoke 16TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
5
Goals: Scored
16
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
4
Draw
5
Lost
11
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Cardiff0 - 1Stoke
Preston1 - 1Stoke
Millwall1 - 0Stoke
Coventry3 - 2Stoke
Norwich4 - 2Stoke
Bristol C2 - 0Stoke
Hull1 - 2Stoke
Portsmouth3 - 1Stoke
West Brom1 - 1Stoke
Burnley0 - 0Stoke
Sheff Wed2 - 0Stoke
Luton2 - 1Stoke
Sunderland2 - 1Stoke
QPR1 - 1Stoke
Blackburn0 - 2Stoke
Sheff Utd2 - 0Stoke
Swansea0 - 0Stoke
M'Boro2 - 0Stoke
Oxford Utd1 - 0Stoke
Plymouth0 - 1Stoke
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
7
Draw
7
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HStoke2 - 0Sheff Wed
AStoke1 - 0Cardiff
HStoke1 - 1Luton
AStoke1 - 1Preston
HStoke3 - 1QPR
AStoke0 - 1Millwall
HStoke1 - 0Blackburn
AStoke2 - 3Coventry
HStoke0 - 0Watford
HStoke1 - 3M'Boro
AStoke2 - 4Norwich
HStoke3 - 1Swansea
AStoke0 - 2Bristol C
AStoke2 - 1Hull
HStoke0 - 0Oxford Utd
AStoke1 - 3Portsmouth
AStoke1 - 1West Brom
HStoke0 - 0Plymouth
AStoke0 - 0Burnley
HStoke1 - 0Sunderland
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Leeds have beaten Stoke in 3 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Leeds since 2004
Leeds
Stoke
Goals: Scored
9
5
Games: Scored
3 / 6
2 / 6
Clean sheets
4 / 6
3 / 6
LEE
3
D
2
STK
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Leeds
Leeds1 - 0
Leeds5 - 0
Leeds3 - 1
0 - 4Stoke
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
League games at Stoke since 2005
Stoke
Leeds
Goals: Scored
6
9
Games: Scored
3 / 7
6 / 7
Clean sheets
1 / 7
4 / 7
LEE
4
STK
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Stoke
0 - 2Leeds
Stoke1 - 0
0 - 3Leeds
Stoke2 - 1
Stoke3 - 1
0 - 1Leeds
0 - 1Leeds
Goal Statistics
Leeds 1st Stoke 16th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.2
goals
0.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
11%
1
24%
2
27%
3
20%
4+
18%
There is a 65% probability that Leeds will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
47%
1
35%
2
13%
3
4+
There is a 82% probability of Stoke scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+18
Leeds have scored 18% more goals at home than predicted
-17
Stoke have scored 17% fewer goals when away than predicted
2.4
average goals scored
0.8
average goals scored
0.5
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/280608/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Leeds
PG (predicted goals)
Stoke
2.2
0.8
Attack rating
31%
better
LEE
STK
view stats
Games scored36
28
Failed to score7
15
Scored first27
18
Goals scored83
45
Avg. goals scored1.9
1
Avg. shots per game11
8
Avg. shots per goal6
7
Conversion rate for18
14
Avg. XG for1.9
1.2
KickOff rating
+31%
Defence rating
29%
better
LEE
STK
view stats
Games conceded20
30
Clean sheets23
13
Conceded first13
19
Goals conceded29
54
Avg. goals conceded0.7
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded5
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
8
Conversion rate against13%
12%
Avg. XG against0.7
1.6
KickOff rating
+29%

Leeds v Stoke Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Leeds Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
4115910
J RodonJ PiroeD JamesJ Bogle 
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Rodon DEF411
5
-
J Piroe FWD41156
1
-
B Aaronson MID4092
2
-
I Meslier GLK39
-
J Bogle  DEF3952
10
-
A Tanaka MID3842
8
-
W Gnonto FWD3865
5
-
M Joseph FWD3733
-
P Struijk DEF355
2
-
J Rothwell MID354
2
-
D James MID35129
4
-
M Solomon FWD3478
2
-
S Byram DEF3211
4
-
J Firpo DEF2839
7
-
L Ramazani FWD2642
2
-
E Ampadu MID24
6
-
I Gruev MID18
2
-
A Cil MID14
-
P Bamford FWD11
-
I Schmidt DEF9
-
M Wöber DEF71
1
-
K Darlow GLK2
-
Stoke Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
405512
V JohanssonL BakerJ. BaeJ Tchamadeu
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
V Johansson GLK40
3
-
J. Bae MID3935
4
-
L. Koumas FWD3932
6
-
J Tchamadeu DEF3612
12
-
A Moran MID3443
9
-
B Wilmot DEF332
7
-
W Burger MID3311
10
-
M Manhoef FWD2945
1
-
E Bocat DEF271
1
-
T Seko MID24
1
-
B Gibson DEF223
6
-
M Rose DEF22
3
-
J Thompson MID20
8
-
A Phillips DEF18
3
-
E Stevens DEF182
3
-
S Gallagher FWD1731
5
-
L Gooch FWD151
4
-
L Baker MID1352
3
-
E Tezgel FWD12
1
-
A Vidigal FWD10
-
A Al-Hamadi FWD92
-
N Lowe FWD91
2
-
S. Sidibe MID81
-
B Pearson MID8
3
-
J Wilson-Esbrand DEF41
-
M Lawal DEF3
-
R Mmaee FWD3
-
J. Dixon DEF2
-