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Luton Town v Middlesbrough : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Kenilworth Road, Luton

Luton Town and Middlesbrough clash at the Kenilworth Road on Saturday afternoon, with both Matt Gray and Michael Carrick hoping for success in the Championship. Statistics for our tip of under 3.5 goals are shown below, including head to head (H2H) history. Changing the market with the tabs changes all statistics and the odds from leading bookmakers, making it easier than ever to find the right bet for you.

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Luton Town's next match is v Hull at 12:30 on Saturday 29th March
Middlesbrough's next match is v Oxford Utd at 15:00 on Saturday 29th March
The last English Championship meeting between Luton and M'Boro was on Saturday 15th March 2025
English Championship
March 15th 2025
Luton 0
0 M'Boro
 
LUT
MID
Shots On
5
Shots Off
10
4
Corners
9
2
Possession
45%
55%
Fouls
18
12
Yellow/red cards
2/0
3/0
 
LutonM'Boro
 
T. Kaminski
A. Bell
C. Makosso
M. McGuinness
T. Aasgaard
A. Doughty (M. Alli 70')
J. Clark
L. Walsh (L. Dabo 70')
I. Jones
E. Adebayo (J. Brown 55')
C. Morris
M. Travers
A. Dijksteel
V. Borges dos Santos Neto
H. Hackney
F. Azaz
A. Morris
J. Howson
S. Iling
D. Burgzorg
K. Iheanacho
(M. Forss 75') T. Conway

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Championship Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We can expect some goalmouth action in this one, but don't count on a deluge of goals. Under 3.5 goals is what we're predicting, meaning that 3 goals is the absolute maximum we'll see during 90 mins. The best odds on that outcome are just below, followed by market-specific form statistics and head-to-head (H2H) records.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Luton are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 41% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.62.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Luton
41%
17/10
2%
17/10
Draw
27%
23/10
3%
5/2
M'Boro
32%
8/5
4%
6/4
Draw 1-1
13%
11/25/1
8%
Luton 1-0
12%
17/2
5%
7/1
6%
M'Boro 1-0
10%
8/1
5%
7/1
6%
Draw 0-0
9%
10/18/1
10%
Luton 2-1
8%
9/18/1
Luton 2-0
8%
12/1
13%
10/1
8%
M'Boro 2-1
7%
9/115/2
M'Boro 2-0
5%
12/110/1
Draw 2-2
5%
12/111/1
9%
Luton 3-1
4%
20/116/1
Luton 3-0
3%
25/1
10%
20/1
M'Boro 3-1
3%
20/1
11%
14/1
Luton 3-2
2%
28/120/1
M'Boro 3-0
2%
25/1
13%
18/1
M'Boro 3-2
2%
28/1
12%
20/1
11%
Over 2.5 Goals
44%
10/11
6%
10/11
6%
Under 2.5 Goals
56%
10/11
5%
5/6
6%
Home 1st Goal
49%
11/10-
Away 1st Goal
45%
5/6
2%
-
No 1st Goal
5%
10/1-
BTTS - Yes
49%
8/11
4%
3/4
5%
BTTS - No
51%
1/1
5%
1/1
5%
BTTS - Home Win
17%
4/119/5
4%
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/310/3
BTTS - Away Win
14%
4/1
5%
18/5
6%
Home/draw
68%
1/21/2
2%
Away/draw
59%
4/9
3%
4/9
Home/away
73%
1/3
2%
3/10
1%
Over 1.5 Goals
70%
2/7
3%
3/10
4%
Under 1.5 Goals
30%
11/4
6%
23/10
8%
Over 3.5 Goals
23%
12/5
6%
11/5
10%
Under 3.5 Goals
77%
1/3
2%
1/3
2%
Over 4.5 Goals
10%
5/1
9%
5/1
14%
Under 4.5 Goals
90%
1/8
2%
1/9
2%
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
12/1
18%
11/1
20%
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/25
1%
1/40
2%
Over 0.5 Goals
91%
1/16
1%
1/20
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
9%
9/1
9%
8/1
10%
Home DNB
60%
5/6
4%
10/11
2%
Away DNB
51%
5/6
2%
4/5
Luton win to nil
24%
7/2
10%
-
M'Boro win to nil
18%
7/2-
Luton / Luton
19%
10/3
4%
16/5
Luton / M'Boro
3%
25/120/1
11%
Luton / Draw
6%
12/111/1
Draw / Luton
13%
5/1
8%
5/1
Draw / M'Boro
13%
5/119/4
Draw / Draw
16%
4/1
9%
19/5
4%
M'Boro / Luton
3%
25/120/1
M'Boro / M'Boro
19%
10/3
8%
29/10
M'Boro / Draw
6%
12/111/1
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Win / draw / win Championship table

Luton have played 37 matches so far this season and are in 23rd position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

35 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 20 games, drawn 6 and won 9. Luton have conceded 56 goals, scored 32, failed to score in 13 matches and kept 7 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Luton have played 18 games at home, winning 7, drawing 5 and losing 6 fixtures. They have scored 20 goals, conceded 19 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and failed to score 4 times in home league games.

M'Boro lay in 8th place on 53 points in the Championship league table having played 37 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 25 games against teams below them in the table, winning 12, drawing 6 and losing 7 games. They have scored 47 goals and kept 6 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. M'Boro have conceded 30 goals and have failed to score in 4 matches.

Away league performance

M'Boro have played 18 away games, winning 6, drawing 3 and losing 9 games. They have scored an average of 1.7 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.6 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Luton
M'Boro
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Leeds38231145180 
Apr 5
l
 
3-0A
Apr 8
l
 
3-1A
2
Sheff Utd3825762580 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-0A
w
 
1-0F
l
 
3-1A
3
Burnley38211524178 
l
 
1-4A
l
 
4-0A
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1F
4
Sunderland38191271869 
l
 
1-2A
l
 
2-0A
l
 
2-3F
l
 
1-0A
5
Coventry3817813759 
Apr 26
l
 
3-2F
l
 
0-3A
May 3
6
West Brom38131871457 
d
 
1-1A
May 3
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-1F
7
Bristol C3814159857 
Apr 21
l
 
1-0A
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-1F
8
M'Boro Away3815914954 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
5-1A
-
-
9
Blackburn3815716252 
Apr 12
l
 
2-0A
l
 
0-1A
Apr 4
10
Watford3815716-452 
w
 
3-0F
l
 
2-0A
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-1F
11
Millwall38131213-251 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-1F
w
 
1-0F
Apr 12
12
Sheff Wed3814915-651 
w
 
2-1A
d
 
1-1F
d
 
3-3F
Apr 21
13
Norwich38121313649 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
4-2F
Apr 26
d
 
3-3A
14
Preston38101711-547 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
1-0A
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-1A
15
QPR38111215-645 
l
 
1-2F
l
 
2-1A
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-4F
16
Swansea3812818-1144 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-1F
w
 
1-0F
l
 
1-0A
17
Portsmouth3811918-1542 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
2-2A
l
 
2-1F
18
Oxford Utd38101216-1642 
d
 
2-2F
l
 
3-2F
Mar 29
w
 
2-6A
19
Hull38101117-841 
w
 
1-0F
Mar 29
w
 
3-1F
w
 
0-1F
20
Stoke3891217-1439 
w
 
2-1A
Apr 8
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-3F
21
Cardiff3891217-2039 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-2A
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-2F
22
Derby3810820-1138 
w
 
2-1A
Apr 18
w
 
1-0F
l
 
1-0A
23
Luton Home389821-2635 
-
-
w
 
5-1F
d
 
0-00-0
24
Plymouth3871219-3733 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
3-1A
Apr 18
d
 
3-3A
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Luton 23RD
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
7
Draw
6
Lost
7
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Luton1 - 0Portsmouth
Luton1 - 1Plymouth
Luton0 - 1Sheff Utd
Luton0 - 1Millwall
Luton0 - 0Preston
Luton0 - 1Norwich
Luton2 - 1Derby
Luton2 - 1Stoke
Luton1 - 1Swansea
Luton1 - 0Hull
Luton1 - 0Cardiff
Luton1 - 1West Brom
Luton1 - 2Sunderland
Luton3 - 0Watford
Luton2 - 2Oxford Utd
Luton2 - 1Sheff Wed
Luton1 - 2QPR
Luton1 - 4Burnley
Luton2 - 4Fulham
Luton1 - 1Everton
Goals: Scored
16
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
W
4
D
4
Lost
12
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ALuton2 - 1Cardiff
ALuton0 - 4Burnley
HLuton1 - 0Portsmouth
ALuton0 - 2Watford
HLuton1 - 1Plymouth
HLuton0 - 1Sheff Utd
ALuton0 - 2Sunderland
ALuton1 - 1Sheff Wed
HLuton0 - 1Millwall
ALuton2 - 3Oxford Utd
HLuton0 - 0Preston
ALuton1 - 2QPR
HLuton0 - 1Norwich
ALuton1 - 2Swansea
ALuton0 - 1Bristol C
HLuton2 - 1Derby
ALuton0 - 2Blackburn
HLuton2 - 1Stoke
HLuton1 - 1Swansea
ALuton2 - 4Norwich
M'Boro 8TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
7
D
4
Lost
9
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Swansea1 - 0M'Boro
Stoke1 - 3M'Boro
Bristol C2 - 1M'Boro
Sheff Utd3 - 1M'Boro
Preston2 - 1M'Boro
Portsmouth2 - 1M'Boro
Hull0 - 1M'Boro
Plymouth3 - 3M'Boro
Leeds3 - 1M'Boro
Burnley1 - 1M'Boro
Oxford Utd2 - 6M'Boro
QPR1 - 4M'Boro
Norwich3 - 3M'Boro
Watford2 - 1M'Boro
West Brom0 - 1M'Boro
Sunderland1 - 0M'Boro
Cardiff0 - 2M'Boro
Derby1 - 0M'Boro
Cardiff1 - 4M'Boro
Ipswich1 - 1M'Boro
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HM'Boro2 - 1QPR
AM'Boro0 - 1Swansea
HM'Boro1 - 0Derby
AM'Boro3 - 1Stoke
AM'Boro1 - 2Bristol C
HM'Boro0 - 1Watford
AM'Boro1 - 3Sheff Utd
HM'Boro2 - 3Sunderland
AM'Boro1 - 2Preston
HM'Boro2 - 0West Brom
AM'Boro1 - 2Portsmouth
HM'Boro1 - 1Cardiff
AM'Boro1 - 0Hull
HM'Boro0 - 0Burnley
HM'Boro3 - 3Sheff Wed
AM'Boro3 - 3Plymouth
HM'Boro1 - 0Millwall
AM'Boro1 - 3Leeds
AM'Boro1 - 1Burnley
HM'Boro3 - 1Hull
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
6
Luton have not lost to M'Boro in 6 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Luton since 1994
Luton
M'Boro
Goals: Scored
15
8
Games: Scored
6 / 6
6 / 6
Clean sheets
0 / 6
0 / 6
LUT
3
D
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Luton
Luton2 - 1
Luton3 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw3 - 3Draw
Luton5 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
League games at M'Boro since 1993
M'Boro
Luton
Goals: Scored
12
5
Games: Scored
5 / 7
5 / 7
Clean sheets
2 / 7
2 / 7
LUT
1
D
1
MID
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT M'Boro
M'Boro5 - 1
M'Boro2 - 1
M'Boro2 - 1
M'Boro1 - 0
0 - 1Luton
M'Boro2 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
Goal Statistics
Luton 23rd M'Boro 8th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 62% probability that Luton will score no more than 1 goal
0
33%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 70% probability that M'Boro will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-25
Luton have scored 25% fewer goals at home than predicted
+21
M'Boro have scored 21% more goals when away than predicted
1.2
average goals scored
1.8
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/280536/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Luton
PG (predicted goals)
M'Boro
1.3
1.1
Attack rating
LUT
MID
29%
better
view stats
Games scored24
29
Failed to score13
8
Scored first14
22
Goals scored34
57
Avg. goals scored0.9
1.5
Avg. shots per game7
10
Avg. shots per goal8
6
Conversion rate for13
16
Avg. XG for1.2
1.5
KickOff rating
+29%
Defence rating
LUT
MID
16%
better
view stats
Games conceded30
27
Clean sheets7
10
Conceded first21
14
Goals conceded60
48
Avg. goals conceded1.6
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded9
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
6
Conversion rate against18%
17%
Avg. XG against1.4
1.1
KickOff rating
+16%

Luton v M'Boro Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Luton Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
36749
T KaminskiC MorrisA DoughtyJ Clark
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
T Kaminski GLK361
4
1
C Makosso DEF5
-
M McGuinness DEF3533
4
-
A Bell DEF22
1
-
I Jones MID10
2
-
L Walsh  MID191
2
2
J Clark MID3253
9
-
T Aasgaard MID91
-
A Doughty MID2214
5
-
C Morris FWD3272
7
-
E Adebayo FWD365
1
-
Subs
T Krul GLK
-
K Naismith DEF6
1
1
R Burke DEF10
4
-
L Dabo MID5
1
-
Z Nelson MID201
5
-
J Brown FWD2941
4
-
M Alli FWD8
-
L Nordas FWD41
-
J Bowler FWD6
-
M'Boro Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3511117
H HackneyT ConwayF AzazH Hackney
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Travers GLK9
-
A Dijksteel DEF2521
5
-
J Howson DEF131
-
N Borges DEF323
4
-
S Junior DEF8
1
-
A Morris MID272
3
-
H Hackney MID3552
6
1
D Burgzorg MID3452
2
-
T Conway MID28111
1
-
F Azaz MID371011
5
-
K Iheanacho FWD7
-
Subs
T Glover GLK7
-
R Giles DEF7
-
G. McCormick DEF1
-
J. Dede DEF
-
L. Woolston MID
-
L. McCabe MID
-
D Barlaser MID2211
2
-
M Whittaker FWD81
-
M Forss FWD161
1
-