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Luton Town v Swansea City : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 7th Dec, 15:00 BST, Kenilworth Road, Luton

Swansea City, led by manager Luke Williams, visit Rob Edwards and his Luton Town side at the Kenilworth Road on Saturday afternoon in the Championship. You'll find stats supporting our top of under 3.5 goals below, but be sure to take a look at the 16 other markets we're covering too. Each has been designed to deliver as full a picture as possible, with Championship performances and head to heads (H2Hs) included, so that you're able to make the smartest bet choices. Finally, be sure to get the best odds and bet smart.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Championship Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals
In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Luton are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 41% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.20.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Luton
41%
6/56/5
Draw
28%
12/5
3%
12/5
3%
Swansea
31%
9/411/5
2%
Draw 1-1
13%
11/25/1
Luton 1-0
12%
13/26/1
Swansea 1-0
10%
9/1
5%
15/2
Draw 0-0
10%
9/1
5%
15/2
Luton 2-1
8%
8/17/1
Luton 2-0
8%
9/117/2
Swansea 2-1
7%
11/19/1
Swansea 2-0
5%
16/112/1
Draw 2-2
4%
14/112/1
8%
Luton 3-1
4%
16/1
11%
14/1
Luton 3-0
3%
20/114/1
Swansea 3-1
2%
25/118/1
10%
Swansea 3-0
2%
33/125/1
Luton 3-2
2%
28/120/1
Swansea 3-2
2%
33/125/1
Over 2.5 Goals
41%
1/119/20
Under 2.5 Goals
59%
4/53/4
3%
Home 1st Goal
49%
8/11-
Away 1st Goal
45%
11/8-
No 1st Goal
6%
9/1
5%
-
BTTS - Yes
47%
4/54/5
BTTS - No
53%
10/1110/11
2%
BTTS - Home Win
16%
7/2
5%
10/3
3%
BTTS - Draw
18%
7/217/5
2%
BTTS - Away Win
12%
11/219/4
Home/draw
69%
1/31/3
Away/draw
59%
4/613/20
Home/away
72%
3/10
2%
3/10
2%
Over 1.5 Goals
68%
1/31/3
2%
Under 1.5 Goals
32%
12/521/10
3%
Over 3.5 Goals
21%
5/2
7%
12/5
3%
Under 3.5 Goals
79%
3/10
1%
2/7
1%
Over 4.5 Goals
9%
11/2
7%
11/2
Under 4.5 Goals
91%
1/9
1%
1/11
1%
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
14/112/1
8%
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
1/331/40
Over 0.5 Goals
90%
1/161/18
Under 0.5 Goals
10%
9/1
5%
15/2
Home DNB
61%
4/74/7
1%
Away DNB
50%
5/45/4
2%
Luton win to nil
25%
11/4-
Swansea win to nil
18%
9/2-
Luton / Luton
23%
13/512/5
3%
Luton / Swansea
3%
28/122/1
Luton / Draw
6%
12/111/1
Draw / Luton
15%
9/24/1
Draw / Swansea
12%
6/111/2
Draw / Draw
16%
4/119/5
4%
Swansea / Luton
3%
25/120/1
11%
Swansea / Swansea
15%
9/24/1
5%
Swansea / Draw
6%
14/111/1
bet365
Win / draw / win Championship table

Luton have played 18 matches so far this season and are in 19th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

13 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 8 games, drawn 2 and won 3. Luton have conceded 28 goals, scored 16, failed to score in 3 matches and kept 2 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Luton have played 9 games at home, winning 4, drawing 2 and losing 3 fixtures. They have scored 13 goals, conceded 12 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and scored in every home league game.

Swansea lay in 13th place on 23 points in the Championship league table having played 18 matches. Swansea are unbeaten in 7 games against teams below them in the league and kept 2 clean sheets out of 7 games.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 7 games against teams below them in the table, winning 4, drawing 3 and losing 0 games. They have scored 12 goals and kept 2 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Swansea have conceded 6 goals and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

Swansea have played 9 away games, winning 3, drawing 1 and losing 5 games. They have scored an average of 0.7 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.9 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Luton
Swansea
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Sheff Utd1812421638 
Feb 15
l
 
2-0A
Jan 21
l
 
1-0A
2
Burnley1810621736 
l
 
1-4A
Mar 8
Mar 15
l
 
1-0A
3
Leeds1810531835 
Apr 5
l
 
3-0A
l
 
3-4F
Mar 29
4
Sunderland189631333 
l
 
1-2A
Feb 12
Dec 14
Apr 12
5
M'Boro189361130 
Mar 15
l
 
5-1A
Mar 8
l
 
1-0A
6
Watford18936230 
w
 
3-0F
Feb 23
w
 
1-0F
Mar 12
7
West Brom186102728 
d
 
1-1A
May 3
Jan 4
l
 
1-0A
8
Blackburn17845428 
Apr 12
Dec 14
Feb 22
l
 
1-0A
9
Norwich18675825 
Jan 1
l
 
4-2F
w
 
1-0F
Jan 25
10
Millwall17674525 
Jan 25
w
 
0-1F
l
 
0-1A
Apr 26
11
Bristol C18675325 
Apr 21
Dec 26
d
 
1-1F
Feb 9
12
Sheff Wed18747-525 
w
 
2-1A
Feb 1
Feb 12
d
 
0-00-0
13
Swansea 18657123 
Dec 7
Dec 29
-
-
14
Stoke18567-321 
Dec 10
Apr 8
d
 
0-00-0
Feb 15
15
Derby18558-220 
Dec 20
Apr 18
Apr 5
w
 
1-2F
16
Coventry18468-318 
Apr 26
l
 
3-2F
Feb 1
w
 
1-2F
17
Oxford Utd18468-818 
d
 
2-2F
Jan 21
May 3
w
 
1-2F
18
Preston18396-818 
Jan 18
l
 
1-0A
w
 
3-0F
Mar 1
19
Luton 185310-1318 
-
-
Dec 29
Dec 7
20
Cardiff18459-1117 
w
 
1-0F
Mar 11
d
 
1-1F
Jan 18
21
Plymouth18459-2017 
Feb 8
l
 
3-1A
Apr 9
Dec 10
22
Hull18369-915 
w
 
1-0F
Mar 29
Apr 18
Dec 21
23
QPR18297-1115 
l
 
1-2F
Jan 6
Dec 26
Apr 21
24
Portsmouth16277-1213 
Mar 1
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
2-2A
Jan 1
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Luton 19TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
7
D
4
Lost
9
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
40
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
5
D
3
Lost
12
Swansea 13TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
6
Draw
6
Lost
8
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
6
Draw
6
Lost
8
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Luton have beaten Swansea in 3 consecutive league meetings
3
Luton have kept a clean sheet in 3 consecutive league meetings with Swansea
League games at Luton since 2008
Luton
Swansea
Goals: Scored
5
8
Games: Scored
3 / 5
4 / 5
Clean sheets
1 / 5
2 / 5
LUT
1
D
1
SWA
3
League games at Swansea since 2008
Swansea
Luton
Goals: Scored
3
4
Games: Scored
2 / 5
3 / 5
Clean sheets
2 / 5
3 / 5
LUT
3
SWA
2
Goal Statistics
Luton 19th Swansea 13th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 64% probability that Luton will score no more than 1 goal
0
35%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 72% probability that Swansea will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-4
Luton’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+5
Swansea’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.6
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
1.8
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/280309/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Luton
PG (predicted goals)
Swansea
1.3
1.1
Attack rating
13%
better
LUT
SWA
view stats
Games scored14
10
Failed to score4
8
Scored first8
9
Goals scored20
18
Avg. goals scored1.1
1
Avg. shots per game8
7
Avg. shots per goal7
7
Conversion rate for14
14
Avg. XG for1.2
1.4
KickOff rating
+13%
Defence rating
LUT
SWA
25%
better
view stats
Games conceded13
13
Clean sheets5
5
Conceded first9
7
Goals conceded33
17
Avg. goals conceded1.8
0.9
Avg. shots/game conceded10
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
10
Conversion rate against19%
10%
Avg. XG against1.4
1.6
KickOff rating
+25%

Luton v Swansea Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Luton Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
17445
T KaminskiC MorrisA DoughtyJ Clark
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
E Adebayo FWD183
1
-
T Kaminski GLK171
2
1
M McGuinness DEF1612
2
-
J Clark MID1631
5
-
T Chong MID162
3
-
T Mengi DEF151
2
-
C Morris FWD1541
3
-
A Doughty MID134
5
-
T Krauß MID1313
-
S Baptiste MID11
2
-
J Brown FWD1131
-
M Nakamba MID10
1
-
D Hashioka DEF9
3
-
A Bell DEF9
1
-
R Burke DEF9
4
-
L Walsh  MID91
1
J Taylor FWD9
-
R Walters DEF8
2
-
T Holmes DEF81
2
1
C Woodrow FWD8
1
-
Z Nelson MID7
1
-
P Mpanzu MID6
1
-
J Shea  GLK2
-
J Johnson DEF2
-
M Andersen DEF1
-
A Townsend  MID1
-
Swansea Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
18444
L VigourouxL CullenRonaldJ Tymon
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Vigouroux GLK18
-
H Darling DEF1811
2
-
J Key DEF18
2
-
B Cabango DEF1811
3
-
M Grimes MID1811
1
-
Ronald FWD1814
2
-
J Tymon DEF171
4
-
Z Vipotnik FWD163
-
M Peart-Harris MID1512
4
-
G Franco MID151
4
-
L Cullen FWD1541
3
-
A Abdulai DEF131
1
-
J Allen MID13
1
-
O Cooper MID1211
-
F Bianchini FWD122
1
-
K Naughton DEF10
1
-
J Eom  FWD101
-
J Fulton MID9
2
-
N Tjoe-A-On DEF1
-