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Middlesbrough v Birmingham City : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 8th Nov, 15:00 BST, Riverside Stadium, Middlesbrough

Rob Edwards welcomes Chris Davies to the Riverside Stadium on Saturday afternoon, as their Middlesbrough and Birmingham City sides do battle in the Championship. Stats for our tip of are shown below, including head-to-head history. Switching the market using the tabs below changes all stats and the odds from leading bookmakers, so be sure to have a browse to find the best bet for you.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Championship Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

Under 2.5 goals as a betting market simply means there will only be a maximum of 2 goals scored in total by M'Boro and Birmingham during the regulation 90 mins. It's a bet the stats below and the odds are both leaning towards here, and an outcome that we've seen head to head clashes between these sides has produced in the past. In the absence of an obvious winner, our best bet prediction for this one is under 2.5.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
M'Boro
48%
2.351.36
Draw
29%
3.404.00
Birmingham
23%
2.909.50
M'Boro 1-0
17%
7.505.25
Draw 0-0
13%
8.506.00
Draw 1-1
13%
6.503.80
M'Boro 2-0
11%
11.005.50
Birmingham 1-0
10%
8.506.50
M'Boro 2-1
8%
9.503.10
Birmingham 2-1
5%
11.005.00
M'Boro 3-0
4%
23.0010.00
Birmingham 2-0
4%
15.0012.00
M'Boro 3-1
3%
21.004.60
Draw 2-2
3%
15.004.60
M'Boro 4-0
1%
51.0021.00
M'Boro 3-2
1%
34.007.00
Birmingham 3-1
1%
26.0011.00
M'Boro 4-1
1%
41.0011.00
Over 2.5 Goals
33%
2.201.22
Under 2.5 Goals
67%
1.673.90
Home 1st Goal
52%
1.912.00
Away 1st Goal
39%
2.102.20
No 1st Goal
9%
8.506.00
BTTS - Yes
38%
1.831.55
BTTS - No
62%
1.832.30
BTTS - Home Win
15%
5.001.33
BTTS - Draw
16%
4.753.90
BTTS - Away Win
7%
6.509.00
Home/draw
78%
1.401.05
Away/draw
52%
1.573.00
Home/away
71%
1.301.22
Over 1.5 Goals
60%
1.361.13
Under 1.5 Goals
40%
3.205.25
Over 3.5 Goals
15%
4.001.33
Under 3.5 Goals
85%
1.253.20
Over 4.5 Goals
5%
8.002.50
Under 4.5 Goals
95%
1.081.48
Over 5.5 Goals
2%
17.006.00
Under 5.5 Goals
98%
1.031.11
Over 0.5 Goals
87%
1.071.10
Under 0.5 Goals
13%
8.506.50
Home DNB
69%
1.671.07
Away DNB
43%
2.107.50
M'Boro win to nil
33%
3.75-
Birmingham win to nil
15%
5.00-
M'Boro / M'Boro
20%
4.0011.00
M'Boro / Birmingham
3%
29.0034.00
M'Boro / Draw
6%
15.0023.00
Draw / M'Boro
15%
5.503.50
Draw / Birmingham
13%
6.503.50
Draw / Draw
17%
4.752.70
Birmingham / M'Boro
3%
29.0034.00
Birmingham / Birmingham
17%
5.0010.00
Birmingham / Draw
6%
15.0023.00
Win / draw / win Championship table

M'Boro have played 14 matches so far this season and lay in 4th place in the Championship league table. M'Boro are unbeaten at home after 6 games and have kept 3 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 12 games against teams below in the table, having won 7, drawn 3 and lost 2 matches. They have kept 4 clean sheets and have failed to score in 2 fixtures. They have been outscored by their opponents by 19 goals to 17 goals.

Home League Performance

M'Boro have played 6 games at home winning 4, drawing 2 and losing 0 games. They have scored 7 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and conceded 3 goals at home.

Birmingham are in 10th position in the Championship on 21 points having played 14 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

4 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 9 goals and kept 1 clean sheet. They have scored 4 goals in total and failed to score in 4 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

6 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 4 games, drawn 0 and won 2. Birmingham have conceded 8 goals, scored 7, failed to score in 3 fixtures and have kept 2 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
M'Boro
Birmingham
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Coventry149412631 
Nov 25
Feb 14
Jan 4
l
 
3-0A
2
Stoke148331227 
d
 
0-00-0
Jan 21
Jan 24
l
 
1-0A
3
Preston15753626 
Jan 24
d
 
2-2A
Apr 22
w
 
0-1F
4
M'Boro14752526 
-
-
Feb 28
Nov 8
5
Hull15744225 
Dec 29
Dec 5
l
 
2-3A
Apr 18
6
Millwall15744-325 
Apr 3
w
 
0-3F
w
 
4-0F
Feb 25
7
Charlton14653523 
Mar 11
Dec 9
Dec 13
Mar 7
8
Bristol C15654423 
Mar 14
Dec 20
Apr 25
l
 
1-0A
9
Derby15654123 
Nov 29
Jan 1
Dec 26
Mar 21
10
Birmingham14635421 
Nov 8
Feb 28
-
-
11
Ipswich13553720 
w
 
2-1F
Apr 18
d
 
1-1F
Apr 6
12
Watford15555120 
Apr 25
l
 
3-0A
Dec 1
Jan 1
13
Leicester14464118 
Feb 24
d
 
1-1A
Feb 7
l
 
2-0A
14
Wrexham14464018 
d
 
1-1A
May 2
Apr 11
d
 
1-1A
15
West Brom14536-318 
w
 
2-1F
Jan 17
Feb 14
Nov 26
16
QPR14536-618 
Dec 13
Mar 7
Mar 10
Dec 9
17
Swansea14455-117 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 6
w
 
1-0F
Jan 17
18
Blackburn14518-516 
Dec 26
Mar 21
Apr 3
w
 
1-2A
19
Southampton14365-515 
Jan 4
d
 
1-1A
Dec 29
Dec 6
20
Portsmouth15357-814 
Apr 11
l
 
1-0A
w
 
4-0F
May 2
21
Oxford Utd14347-513 
Feb 21
Nov 22
w
 
1-0F
Jan 31
22
Norwich14239-89 
Jan 31
w
 
1-2F
Nov 22
Feb 21
23
Sheff Utd143011-159 
w
 
1-0F
Feb 7
Mar 14
Dec 20
24
Sheff Wed14158-15-4 
Apr 21
w
 
0-1F
d
 
2-2F
Jan 20
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
8
M'Boro have not lost in 8 consecutive home league games
M'Boro 3RD
20 league games
Home
8
Overall
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
11
Draw
6
L
3
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
Birmingham 9TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
10
Draw
5
Lost
5
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
11
D
4
Lost
5
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
M'Boro have beaten Birmingham in 5 consecutive league meetings
5
M'Boro have not lost to Birmingham in 5 consecutive league meetings
League games at M'Boro since 1993
M'Boro
Birmingham
Goals: Scored
30
14
Games: Scored
15 / 19
10 / 19
Clean sheets
9 / 19
4 / 19
MID
13
D
3
BIR
3
League games at Birmingham since 1994
Birmingham
M'Boro
Goals: Scored
29
26
Games: Scored
15 / 19
14 / 19
Clean sheets
5 / 19
4 / 19
MID
7
D
4
BIR
8
Goal Statistics
M'Boro 3rd Birmingham 9th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
0.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
4+
There is a 65% probability that M'Boro will score no more than 1 goal
0
47%
1
36%
2
13%
3
4+
There is a 83% probability of Birmingham scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-13
M'Boro have scored 13% fewer goals at home than predicted
-18
Birmingham have scored 18% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.3
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
1.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2025/2026 season
M'Boro
PG (predicted goals)
Birmingham
1.3
0.8
Attack rating
2%
better
MID
BIR
view stats
Games scored11
10
Failed to score3
4
Scored first7
7
Goals scored17
19
Avg. goals scored1.2
1.4
Avg. shots per game9
9
Avg. shots per goal7
7
Conversion rate for14
15
Avg. XG for1.2
1.6
KickOff rating
+2%
Defence rating
11%
better
MID
BIR
view stats
Games conceded9
9
Clean sheets5
5
Conceded first6
7
Goals conceded12
15
Avg. goals conceded0.9
1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded6
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
6
Conversion rate against14%
16%
Avg. XG against1
0.9
KickOff rating
+11%

M'Boro v Birmingham Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

M'Boro Championship squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
14224
S BrynnH HackneyC BrittainC Brittain
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S Brynn GLK14
-
C Brittain DEF132
4
-
L Ayling DEF1412
2
-
D Fry DEF101
-
M Targett DEF1111
1
-
H Hackney MID1422
3
-
A Morris MID141
-
A Browne MID9
-
R McGree MID2
-
M Whittaker MID1322
2
-
T Conway FWD1421
3
-
Subs
J McLaughlin GLK
-
A Bangura DEF
-
G. McCormick DEF
-
S Nypan MID10
2
-
D Burgzorg FWD1111
1
-
D Strelec FWD101
1
-
A Gilbert FWD
-
K Sène FWD112
1
-
S Silvera FWD9
3
-
Birmingham Championship squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
14635
T IwataJ StansfieldA CochraneB Osayi-Samuel
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Beadle GLK6
1
-
T Iwata DEF1411
4
-
P Neumann DEF91
-
C Klarer DEF141
3
-
A Cochrane DEF1213
2
-
T Doyle MID141
-
S Paik MID143
3
-
P Roberts MID912
1
-
J Stansfield MID1362
3
-
D Gray MID1421
2
-
M Ducksch FWD6
-
Subs
R Allsop GLK8
1
-
E Cashin DEF5
-
J Robinson DEF4
2
2
B Osayi-Samuel DEF11
5
-
M Leonard MID7
1
-
K Anderson  MID101
1
-
K Furuhashi FWD13
1
-
L Dykes FWD122
-
L. Koumas FWD11
1
-