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Middlesbrough v Southampton : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Riverside Stadium, Middlesbrough

William Still takes his Southampton charges to the Riverside Stadium in the Championship on Saturday lunch time, with Kim Hellberg's Middlesbrough waiting for them. Championship statistics are the backbone of the predictions you'll find below, with head-to-head records included too. It's all on this page, with data visualisations and odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers available for the biggest betting markets using the tabs.

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Middlesbrough's next match is v Southampton at 20:00 on Tuesday 12th May
Southampton's next match is v M'Boro at 20:00 on Tuesday 12th May
The last English Championship meeting between M'Boro and Southampton was on Saturday 9th May 2026
English Championship
May 9th 2026
M'Boro 0
0 Southampton
 
MID
SOU
Shots On
5
Shots Off
10
5
Corners
11
1
Possession
64%
36%
Fouls
7
12
Yellow/red cards
2/0
 
M'BoroSouthampton
 
C. Brittain
M. Targett
D. Fry
L. Ayling
R. McGree (A. Browne 68')
T. Conway
M. Whittaker (J. Sarmiento 79')
D. Strelec (L. Castledine 79')
S. Brynn
A. Malanda
A. Morris
R. Manning
T. Harwood-Bellis
J. Bree
N. Wood-Gordon
(S. Charles 69') F. Downes
F. Azaz
(S. Edozie 86') L. Weschenfelder-Scienza
(R. Stewart 60') C. Larin
(K. Matsuki 69') T. Fellows
D. Peretz
C. Jander

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Championship Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Neither M'Boro or Southampton are in a rich vein of form that would have us feeling confident in tipping a match winner, so instead we've gone for over 1.5 goals. The stats tell us that both have a proven record in this market, both individually and when going head-to-head. We're predicting there's a 77% chance of two goals or more.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think M'Boro are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 39% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.25.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
M'Boro
39%
21/2012/1
Draw
25%
5/21/20
Southampton
36%
12/522/1
Draw 1-1
11%
11/225/1
M'Boro 2-1
9%
8/1100/1
Southampton 2-1
8%
11/1125/1
M'Boro 1-0
8%
8/117/4
Southampton 1-0
8%
12/110/1
Draw 2-2
6%
11/1150/1
M'Boro 2-0
6%
10/128/1
Southampton 2-0
5%
18/166/1
Draw 0-0
5%
12/12/7
M'Boro 3-1
4%
14/1150/1
Southampton 3-1
4%
25/1150/1
M'Boro 3-2
3%
22/1150/1
M'Boro 3-0
3%
18/1100/1
Southampton 3-2
3%
28/1200/1
Southampton 3-0
3%
40/1250/1
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
8/1150/1
Under 2.5 Goals
44%
11/101/500
Home 1st Goal
49%
8/1111/1
Away 1st Goal
48%
6/520/1
No 1st Goal
3%
12/11/20
BTTS - Yes
59%
8/1370/1
BTTS - No
41%
6/51/1000
BTTS - Home Win
21%
11/470/1
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/325/1
BTTS - Away Win
19%
5/190/1
Home/draw
64%
3/101/1000
Away/draw
61%
8/111/50
Home/away
75%
2/78/1
Over 1.5 Goals
79%
2/955/1
Under 1.5 Goals
21%
10/31/1000
Over 3.5 Goals
34%
7/41/50
Under 3.5 Goals
66%
4/91/50
Over 4.5 Goals
17%
4/11/50
Under 4.5 Goals
83%
1/61/50
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
9/11/50
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
1/161/50
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/2517/2
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
12/11/20
Home DNB
57%
1/21/3
Away DNB
53%
6/421/10
M'Boro win to nil
19%
3/1-
Southampton win to nil
17%
6/1-
M'Boro / M'Boro
25%
9/410/1
M'Boro / Southampton
3%
28/155/1
M'Boro / Draw
6%
12/133/1
Draw / M'Boro
15%
9/211/10
Draw / Southampton
11%
13/29/2
Draw / Draw
14%
5/19/5
Southampton / M'Boro
4%
20/133/1
Southampton / Southampton
15%
9/225/1
Southampton / Draw
6%
14/133/1
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Win / draw / win Championship table
Won
Draw
Lost
M'Boro
Southampton
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Coventry46281175295 
-
-
-
-
2
Ipswich46231583384 
-
-
-
-
3
Millwall462411111583 
-
-
-
-
4
Southampton462214102680 
d
 
0-00-0
May 12
-
-
5
M'Boro462214102580 
-
-
May 12
d
 
0-00-0
6
Hull46211015473 
-
-
-
-
7
Wrexham46191413471 
-
-
-
-
8
Derby4620917869 
-
-
-
-
9
Norwich4619819765 
-
-
-
-
10
Birmingham46171316164 
-
-
-
-
11
Swansea46181018-264 
-
-
-
-
12
Bristol C46171118062 
-
-
-
-
13
Sheff Utd4618622060 
-
-
-
-
14
Preston46151516-760 
-
-
-
-
15
QPR46161020-1258 
-
-
-
-
16
Watford46141517-1257 
-
-
-
-
17
Stoke46151021-555 
-
-
-
-
18
Portsmouth46141319-1555 
-
-
-
-
19
Charlton46131419-1453 
-
-
-
-
20
Blackburn46131320-1452 
-
-
-
-
21
West Brom46131419-1051 
-
-
-
-
22
Oxford Utd46111421-1447 
-
-
-
-
23
Leicester46121618-1046 
-
-
-
-
24
Sheff Wed4621232-600 
-
-
-
-
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
4
Southampton have won 4 consecutive away league games
19
Southampton have not lost in 19 consecutive league games
M'Boro 5TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
9
Draw
6
Lost
5
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
M'Boro5 - 1Watford
M'Boro1 - 0Sheff Wed
M'Boro0 - 1Portsmouth
M'Boro1 - 2Millwall
M'Boro1 - 1Bristol C
M'Boro0 - 1Charlton
M'Boro1 - 1Leicester
M'Boro0 - 0Oxford Utd
M'Boro1 - 0Norwich
M'Boro4 - 0Preston
M'Boro4 - 0Southampton
M'Boro0 - 1Hull
M'Boro0 - 0Blackburn
M'Boro3 - 1QPR
M'Boro2 - 1Derby
M'Boro2 - 4Coventry
M'Boro2 - 1Birmingham
M'Boro1 - 1Wrexham
M'Boro2 - 1Ipswich
M'Boro0 - 0Stoke
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
Draw
7
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AM'Boro2 - 2Wrexham
HM'Boro5 - 1Watford
HM'Boro1 - 0Sheff Wed
AM'Boro2 - 2Ipswich
HM'Boro0 - 1Portsmouth
AM'Boro2 - 2Swansea
HM'Boro1 - 2Millwall
AM'Boro0 - 0Blackburn
HM'Boro1 - 1Bristol C
HM'Boro0 - 1Charlton
AM'Boro4 - 0QPR
AM'Boro3 - 1Birmingham
HM'Boro1 - 1Leicester
HM'Boro0 - 0Oxford Utd
AM'Boro1 - 3Coventry
AM'Boro2 - 1Sheff Utd
HM'Boro1 - 0Norwich
HM'Boro4 - 0Preston
AM'Boro2 - 1Stoke
AM'Boro3 - 2West Brom
Southampton 4TH
20 league games
Away
4
Overall
19
Goals: Scored
40
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
10
D
4
Lost
6
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Preston1 - 3Southampton
Swansea1 - 2Southampton
Wrexham1 - 5Southampton
Coventry1 - 2Southampton
West Brom1 - 1Southampton
Sheff Wed1 - 3Southampton
Leicester3 - 4Southampton
Stoke0 - 2Southampton
Portsmouth1 - 1Southampton
M'Boro4 - 0Southampton
Birmingham1 - 1Southampton
Oxford Utd2 - 1Southampton
Norwich2 - 1Southampton
Millwall3 - 2Southampton
Charlton1 - 5Southampton
QPR1 - 2Southampton
Blackburn2 - 1Southampton
Bristol C3 - 1Southampton
Derby1 - 1Southampton
Sheff Utd1 - 2Southampton
Goals: Scored
44
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
14
Draw
5
L
1
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ASouthampton3 - 1Preston
HSouthampton2 - 2Ipswich
HSouthampton2 - 2Bristol C
ASouthampton2 - 1Swansea
HSouthampton3 - 0Blackburn
HSouthampton2 - 1Derby
ASouthampton5 - 1Wrexham
HSouthampton2 - 0Oxford Utd
HSouthampton1 - 0Norwich
ASouthampton2 - 1Coventry
ASouthampton1 - 1West Brom
ASouthampton3 - 1Sheff Wed
HSouthampton5 - 0QPR
HSouthampton1 - 1Charlton
ASouthampton4 - 3Leicester
HSouthampton1 - 0Watford
ASouthampton2 - 0Stoke
ASouthampton1 - 1Portsmouth
HSouthampton1 - 0Sheff Utd
HSouthampton1 - 2Hull
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at M'Boro since 1993
M'Boro
Southampton
Goals: Scored
24
18
Games: Scored
11 / 14
11 / 14
Clean sheets
3 / 14
3 / 14
MID
7
D
2
SOU
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT M'Boro
M'Boro4 - 0
M'Boro2 - 1
1 - 2Southampton
M'Boro2 - 1
1 - 3Southampton
M'Boro3 - 1
Draw2 - 2Draw
1 - 3Southampton
0 - 1Southampton
M'Boro3 - 2
M'Boro3 - 0
0 - 1Southampton
Draw0 - 0Draw
M'Boro2 - 1
League games at Southampton since 1992
Southampton
M'Boro
Goals: Scored
22
15
Games: Scored
12 / 14
10 / 14
Clean sheets
4 / 14
2 / 14
MID
2
D
7
SOU
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Southampton
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Southampton1 - 0
Southampton3 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
0 - 1M'Boro
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 3M'Boro
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw3 - 3Draw
Southampton4 - 0
Southampton2 - 1
Southampton2 - 1
Goal Statistics
M'Boro 5th Southampton 4th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
1.4
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
22%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4+
There is a 78% probability that M'Boro will score 1 or more goals
0
24%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 76% probability that Southampton will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-7
M'Boro’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+33
Southampton have scored 33% more goals when away than predicted
1.5
average goals scored
2.0
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2025/2026 season
M'Boro
PG (predicted goals)
Southampton
1.5
1.4
Attack rating
MID
SOU
15%
better
view stats
Games scored35
41
Failed to score11
5
Scored first25
25
Goals scored72
82
Avg. goals scored1.6
1.8
Avg. shots per game10
10
Avg. shots per goal7
6
Conversion rate for15
17
Avg. XG for1.6
1.7
KickOff rating
+15%
Defence rating
8%
better
MID
SOU
view stats
Games conceded33
35
Clean sheets13
11
Conceded first17
18
Goals conceded47
56
Avg. goals conceded1
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded7
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
7
Conversion rate against15%
14%
Avg. XG against1
1.3
KickOff rating
+8%

M'Boro v Southampton Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

M'Boro Championship squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
471479
S BrynnM WhittakerM WhittakerL Ayling
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S Brynn GLK471
1
-
L Ayling DEF4415
9
-
D Fry DEF303
1
-
A Malanda DEF22
4
-
C Brittain MID425
6
-
A Morris MID413
4
-
R McGree MID2653
3
-
M Targett MID4344
5
-
M Whittaker FWD41147
4
-
T Conway FWD47135
6
-
D Strelec FWD3381
1
-
Subs
J Wildsmith GLK
-
H. Hunt DEF
-
A Browne MID3943
2
-
L. Castledine MID101
-
J Sarmiento  MID18
1
-
C. Ibeh FWD1
-
A Gilbert FWD2111
5
-
S Silvera FWD2221
3
-
S Hansen FWD171
1
-
Southampton Championship squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
42101013
T Harwood-BellisF AzazL ScienzaF Downes
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Peretz GLK21
2
-
J Bree DEF2123
7
-
T Harwood-Bellis DEF4271
9
-
N Wood DEF3611
5
-
R Manning DEF4486
4
-
C. Jander MID3721
6
-
F Downes MID373
13
-
T Fellows MID386
2
-
F Azaz MID42107
5
-
L Scienza MID38710
1
-
C Larin FWD1781
2
-
Subs
G Long GLK
-
J Quarshie DEF13
2
-
Welington  DEF183
2
1
S Edozie MID132
-
S Charles MID3233
6
-
K Matsuki MID2142
1
-
C. Bragg MID16
4
-
R Stewart FWD2683
2
-
C Archer FWD3043
2
-
English Championship match betting previews, predictions and odds
Millwall v Hull
Mon 11th May, 20:00
Southampton v M'Boro
Tue 12th May, 20:00