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Millwall v Cardiff City : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

The Den, London

The Championship is the focus for both Millwall and Cardiff City on Tuesday night, as bosses Cenk Laleci and Metin Diyadin battle it out at The Den. We have predictions, tips, and odds and head-to-head stats across the biggest markets, all with the aim of helping you find a winning bet on this Championship clash.

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Millwall's next match is v Luton at 12:30 on Saturday 25th January
Cardiff City's next match is v Derby at 15:00 on Saturday 25th January
The last English Championship meeting between Millwall and Cardiff was on Tuesday 21st January 2025
English Championship
January 21st 2025
Millwall 2
2 Cardiff
 
C. Scanlon 2'45' C. Willock
C. De Norre 19'90' Y. Salech
 
MIL
CAR
Shots On
3
5
Shots Off
2
6
Corners
4
2
Possession
42%
58%
Fouls
10
11
 
MillwallCardiff
 
L. Jensen
C. Scanlonfootball icon (G. Honeyman 78')
J. Bryan
J. Tanganga
J. Cooper
R. Leonard (D. McNamara 59')
G. Saville
C. De Norrefootball icon
D. Watmore (B. Mitchell 78')
M. Langstaff
R. Bangura-Williams (M. Ivanović 64')
J. Alnwick
(W. Fish 78') J. Daland
C. Chambers
D. Goutas
J. Bagan
(P. Ng 57') M. Siopis
(A. El Ghazi 78') football iconC. Willock
(C. Ashford 70') R. Colwill
A. Rinomhota
C. Robinson
(Y. Salech 70') Y. Meïté

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Championship Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

Fans may not be thrilled to read this, but we don't predict a goal-fest here. The stats suggest Millwall and Cardiff both struggle to score on a consistent basis, and the odds are leaning towards there being fewer than 2 goals in total as they go head-to-head. We think that's a great shout and, without an obvious outright winners to back, under 2.5 goals feels like the right bet on this match.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Millwall are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 41% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.20.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Millwall
41%
6/5
13%
5/4
7%
Draw
31%
9/5
13%
9/5
10%
Cardiff
28%
3/1
5%
14/5
1%
Millwall 1-0
15%
4/1
17%
4/1
13%
Draw 0-0
14%
4/1
33%
19/5
26%
Draw 1-1
13%
5/119/4
4%
Cardiff 1-0
12%
13/2
32%
6/1
13%
Millwall 2-0
9%
15/2
6%
7/1
Millwall 2-1
7%
10/1
22%
17/2
12%
Cardiff 2-1
6%
14/112/1
18%
Cardiff 2-0
5%
16/1
19%
12/1
13%
Draw 2-2
3%
22/1
35%
16/1
13%
Millwall 3-0
3%
20/1
40%
16/1
13%
Millwall 3-1
3%
22/1
35%
18/1
27%
Cardiff 3-1
2%
40/128/1
26%
Cardiff 3-0
2%
40/1
20%
28/1
Millwall 3-2
1%
40/1
21%
28/1
26%
Cardiff 3-2
1%
50/1
24%
33/1
17%
Over 2.5 Goals
32%
11/5
45%
2/1
26%
Under 2.5 Goals
68%
4/11
19%
7/20
12%
Home 1st Goal
49%
8/11
10%
-
Away 1st Goal
42%
15/8-
No 1st Goal
9%
4/1
33%
-
BTTS - Yes
39%
6/4
25%
29/20
17%
BTTS - No
61%
1/2
13%
1/2
10%
BTTS - Home Win
13%
6/1
56%
5/1
25%
BTTS - Draw
17%
4/1
5%
19/5
4%
BTTS - Away Win
9%
10/1
16%
8/1
20%
Home/draw
72%
2/91/4
Away/draw
59%
4/6
7%
8/13
5%
Home/away
69%
2/5
3%
2/5
4%
Over 1.5 Goals
59%
4/6
19%
4/6
13%
Under 1.5 Goals
41%
6/5
27%
11/10
16%
Over 3.5 Goals
14%
11/2
50%
5/1
36%
Under 3.5 Goals
86%
1/9
9%
1/10
7%
Over 4.5 Goals
5%
16/1
89%
12/1
44%
Under 4.5 Goals
95%
1/40
5%
1/66
3%
Over 5.5 Goals
2%
33/1
79%
25/1
37%
Under 5.5 Goals
98%
1/200
2%
1/300
Over 0.5 Goals
86%
1/6
8%
2/13
5%
Under 0.5 Goals
14%
4/1
33%
4/1
23%
Home DNB
63%
4/9
8%
10/21
3%
Away DNB
50%
13/8
19%
29/20
2%
Millwall win to nil
28%
2/1-
Cardiff win to nil
19%
9/2
21%
-
Millwall / Millwall
21%
11/4
21%
13/5
9%
Millwall / Cardiff
2%
40/133/1
17%
Millwall / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Draw / Millwall
16%
15/419/5
Draw / Cardiff
11%
13/2
12%
6/1
7%
Draw / Draw
23%
11/4
21%
5/2
13%
Cardiff / Millwall
3%
33/1
31%
25/1
13%
Cardiff / Cardiff
13%
11/2
7%
5/1
4%
Cardiff / Draw
5%
16/1
13%
12/1
Win / draw / win Championship table

Millwall have played 26 matches so far this season and lay in 17th place in the Championship league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 7 games against teams below in the table, having won 1, drawn 3 and lost 3 matches. They have kept 2 clean sheets and have failed to score in 4 fixtures. They have been outscored by their opponents by 29 goals to 24 goals.

Home League Performance

Millwall have played 14 games at home winning 6, drawing 2 and losing 6 games. They have scored 14 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and conceded 11 goals at home.

Cardiff are in 20th position in the Championship on 27 points having played 27 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

5 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 23 goals and kept 1 clean sheet. They have scored 13 goals in total and failed to score in 4 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

23 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 10 games, drawn 9 and won 4. Cardiff have conceded 36 goals, scored 21, failed to score in 9 fixtures and have kept 3 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Millwall
Cardiff
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Leeds2817833459 
w
 
1-0F
Mar 12
l
 
0-2A
Feb 1
2
Sheff Utd2818642258 
l
 
0-1A
Apr 8
l
 
0-2A
Apr 18
3
Burnley28151122756 
w
 
1-0F
May 3
Mar 1
l
 
5-0A
4
Sunderland2815941854 
d
 
1-1A
Mar 29
l
 
0-2A
Mar 8
5
M'Boro2812881244 
Apr 12
l
 
1-0A
l
 
0-2A
d
 
1-1A
6
Blackburn2812610542 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 18
l
 
1-3A
Mar 15
7
West Brom289145941 
Feb 15
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 26
d
 
0-00-0
8
Watford2812511041 
l
 
2-3A
Mar 8
d
 
1-1F
w
 
1-2F
9
Bristol C289118238 
Mar 1
l
 
4-3A
Feb 15
d
 
1-1F
10
QPR289118-338 
Feb 1
d
 
1-1F
l
 
0-2A
Apr 5
11
Sheff Wed2810810-538 
w
 
3-0F
d
 
2-2A
Mar 29
d
 
1-1F
12
Norwich289910236 
Apr 21
l
 
2-1A
w
 
2-1A
May 3
13
Coventry289811035 
l
 
0-1A
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1F
d
 
2-2F
14
Oxford Utd289811-1035 
l
 
0-1A
d
 
1-1F
Apr 21
l
 
3-2A
15
Swansea289712-434 
Apr 26
w
 
0-1F
w
 
3-0F
d
 
1-1A
16
Preston287138-534 
w
 
3-1F
Feb 18
l
 
0-2A
Apr 8
17
Millwall Home2771010031 
-
-
w
 
1-0F
d
 
2-2A
18
Portsmouth277812-1129 
Apr 5
Jan 28
w
 
2-0F
Feb 11
19
Stoke2861012-1028 
Mar 15
d
 
1-1F
Apr 12
d
 
2-2A
20
Cardiff Away2861012-1228 
d
 
2-2F
l
 
1-0A
-
-
21
Derby287615-727 
d
 
1-1A
Feb 22
Jan 25
l
 
1-0A
22
Hull286814-1126 
l
 
0-1A
d
 
0-00-0
-
l
 
4-1F
23
Luton287516-1826 
l
 
0-1A
Jan 25
Mar 11
l
 
1-0A
24
Plymouth284915-3521 
w
 
1-0F
Feb 12
w
 
5-0F
Feb 22
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Millwall 17TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
13
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
11
D
3
Lost
6
Goals: Scored
15
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
6
Draw
7
Lost
7
Cardiff 19TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
38
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
W
4
Draw
7
Lost
9
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
6
Draw
8
Lost
6
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Millwall have beaten Cardiff in 3 consecutive home league meetings
7
Millwall have not lost to Cardiff in 7 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Millwall since 2004
Millwall
Cardiff
Goals: Scored
17
13
Games: Scored
9 / 13
8 / 13
Clean sheets
5 / 13
4 / 13
MIL
4
D
8
CAR
1
League games at Cardiff since 1999
Cardiff
Millwall
Goals: Scored
13
11
Games: Scored
10 / 15
9 / 15
Clean sheets
6 / 15
5 / 15
MIL
3
D
7
CAR
5
Goal Statistics

Cardiff City's defensive record is very strong, Metin Diyadin's men having conceded 1 or less in 5 consecutive Championship matches. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.1 for Millwall makes sense in this context.

Millwall 17th Cardiff 19th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.1
goals
0.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
33%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 70% probability that Millwall will score no more than 1 goal
0
42%
1
36%
2
16%
3
4+
There is a 78% probability of Cardiff scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-16
Millwall have scored 16% fewer goals at home than predicted
+2
Cardiff’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.1
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
0.7
conceded
1.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/280417/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Millwall
PG (predicted goals)
Cardiff
1.1
0.9
Attack rating
MIL
CAR
9%
better
view stats
Games scored16
17
Failed to score10
10
Scored first10
11
Goals scored24
29
Avg. goals scored0.9
1.1
Avg. shots per game8
9
Avg. shots per goal9
8
Conversion rate for11
12
Avg. XG for1.1
1.1
KickOff rating
+9%
Defence rating
26%
better
MIL
CAR
view stats
Games conceded17
22
Clean sheets9
5
Conceded first13
15
Goals conceded24
41
Avg. goals conceded0.9
1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded7
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
6
Conversion rate against14%
18%
Avg. XG against1.1
1.3
KickOff rating
+26%

Millwall v Cardiff Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Millwall Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
28538
L JensenD WatmoreG HoneymanR Leonard
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Jensen GLK28
1
-
R Leonard DEF271
8
-
J Tanganga DEF252
6
-
J Cooper DEF1721
3
-
J Bryan DEF251
5
-
C Norre MID2821
5
-
G Saville MID282
5
-
D Watmore MID2251
-
R. Bangura-Williams MID21
-
C. Scanlon MID31
-
M Langstaff FWD2612
-
Subs
L Roberts GLK
-
T Crama DEF1
-
D McNamara DEF13
1
-
M Wallace DEF11
-
S Hutchinson DEF9
1
-
G Honeyman MID2523
5
-
B Mitchell MID4
1
-
A Connolly FWD1
-
M Ivanovic FWD172
2
-
Cardiff Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
261047
C ChambersC RobinsonR ColwillP Ng
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Alnwick GLK24
2
-
A Rinomhota DEF17
5
-
D Goutas DEF2511
1
-
J Daland DEF14
3
-
J Bagan DEF18
3
1
M Siopis MID21
6
-
C Chambers MID2611
6
-
R Colwill MID2714
2
-
C Willock MID2321
-
Y Méïté MID221
2
-
C Robinson FWD2110
1
2
Subs
E Horvath GLK4
-
W Fish DEF4
2
-
P Ng DEF2111
7
-
L. Giles DEF
-
J Ralls MID151
6
-
C. Ashford MID1222
-
L Pearce FWD
-
A Ghazi FWD1821
-
Y Salech FWD21
-