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Millwall v Luton Town : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

The Den, London

Neil Harris's Millwall side will have home backing in the Championship on Saturday lunch time, as Rob Edwards's Luton Town travel to The Den. Stats power the algorithmic predictions below for all the markets, and flipping between them shows bespoke analysis, including head-to-head, form and much more besides. Odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers are also provided. Click on the tabs below to see it all.

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Millwall's next match is v QPR at 15:00 on Saturday 21st September
Luton Town's next match is v Sheff Wed at 15:00 on Saturday 21st September
The last English Championship meeting between Millwall and Luton was on Saturday 14th September 2024
English Championship
September 14th 2024
Millwall 0
1 Luton
 
10' T. Mengi
 
MIL
LUT
Shots On
3
6
Shots Off
5
3
Corners
6
4
Possession
51%
49%
Fouls
8
20
Yellow/red cards
2/0
3/0
 
MillwallLuton
 
L. Jensen
J. Cooper (S. Hutchinson 46')
J. Tanganga
J. Bryan (C. Scanlon 79')
G. Saville
R. Esse (A. Emakhu 79')
C. De Norre
G. Honeyman (F. Azeez 67')
R. Leonard
D. Watmore
J. Coburn (M. Langstaff 34')
T. Kaminski
A. Bell
R. Burke
football iconT. Mengi
M. McGuinness
(P. Ruddock Mpanzu 69') M. Nakamba
T. Chong
J. Clark
(T. Holmes 90') L. Walsh
A. Doughty
(C. Morris 67') E. Adebayo
Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

It's our view that there's not a clear favourite to to get the win in this one, but what is clear is that the odds are pointing towards it'll have 3 goals or less. Our statistical analysis draws the same conclusion. Millwall and Luton have taken part in a host of under 3.5 goal games lately, and key performance statistics point towards more of the same. We have confidence in predicting under 3.5 goals on Saturday lunch time, and the bookies have it priced at 1.29.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Millwall are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 40% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.60.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Millwall
40%
29/20
13%
29/20
9%
Draw
27%
11/5
6%
11/5
9%
Luton
33%
2/1
25%
2/1
20%
Draw 1-1
13%
5/1
8%
5/1
Millwall 1-0
11%
6/1
18%
11/2
13%
Luton 1-0
10%
7/113/2
Draw 0-0
9%
7/1
16%
6/1
18%
Millwall 2-1
8%
9/1
9%
8/1
Luton 2-1
7%
10/1
10%
9/1
11%
Millwall 2-0
7%
10/1
15%
9/1
9%
Luton 2-0
6%
12/1
8%
11/1
9%
Draw 2-2
5%
16/1
13%
12/1
Millwall 3-1
4%
20/1
9%
16/1
Millwall 3-0
3%
22/1
21%
18/1
10%
Luton 3-1
3%
25/1
24%
18/1
12%
Luton 3-0
2%
33/1
48%
22/1
21%
Millwall 3-2
2%
33/125/1
13%
Luton 3-2
2%
40/1
41%
25/1
13%
Over 2.5 Goals
44%
13/10
15%
6/5
10%
Under 2.5 Goals
56%
8/13
10%
8/13
7%
Home 1st Goal
49%
5/6
17%
-
Away 1st Goal
46%
13/10
26%
-
No 1st Goal
5%
7/1
16%
-
BTTS - Yes
50%
10/11
6%
19/20
8%
BTTS - No
50%
4/5
6%
4/5
6%
BTTS - Home Win
17%
9/24/1
BTTS - Draw
19%
7/217/5
BTTS - Away Win
14%
11/2
30%
5/1
25%
Home/draw
67%
4/11
11%
2/5
7%
Away/draw
60%
8/15
9%
8/15
6%
Home/away
73%
4/11
5%
1/3
2%
Over 1.5 Goals
70%
2/5
5%
2/5
5%
Under 1.5 Goals
30%
2/1
12%
7/4
11%
Over 3.5 Goals
23%
10/3
24%
3/1
18%
Under 3.5 Goals
77%
2/9
6%
2/9
5%
Over 4.5 Goals
10%
8/1
29%
7/1
23%
Under 4.5 Goals
90%
1/14
3%
1/16
3%
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
18/1
27%
16/1
31%
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/40
1%
1/80
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
91%
1/12
2%
1/12
2%
Under 0.5 Goals
9%
7/1
16%
6/1
18%
Home DNB
59%
4/6
17%
7/10
11%
Away DNB
52%
11/10
21%
21/20
14%
Millwall win to nil
23%
11/4
17%
-
Luton win to nil
19%
7/2
13%
-
Millwall / Millwall
21%
3/1
11%
14/5
10%
Millwall / Luton
3%
33/1
31%
25/1
24%
Millwall / Draw
6%
14/111/1
Draw / Millwall
15%
9/2
15%
9/2
4%
Draw / Luton
12%
11/2
8%
11/2
13%
Draw / Draw
18%
7/2
10%
10/3
10%
Luton / Millwall
3%
28/122/1
10%
Luton / Luton
17%
4/1
25%
18/5
15%
Luton / Draw
6%
14/111/1
bet365
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Win / draw / win Championship table
Millwall
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
Luton
HOME AWAY TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY
Feb 15
Oct 5
 West Brom5410713 
Nov 1
May 3
Nov 23
Mar 29
 Sunderland5401812 
Oct 23
Feb 12
Dec 21
Apr 18
 Blackburn5320611 
Apr 12
Dec 14
Nov 3
May 3
 Burnley5311810 
l
 
1-4A
Mar 8
l
 
2-3A
Mar 8
 Watford5311410 
Oct 19
Feb 22
Dec 11
Apr 8
 Sheff Utd532059 
Feb 15
Oct 5
Jan 1
Nov 30
 Oxford Utd530239 
Oct 1
Jan 21
Oct 19
Feb 22
 Derby530229 
Dec 20
Apr 18
Nov 6
Mar 12
 Leeds522138 
Apr 5
Nov 27
Apr 12
Dec 14
 M'Boro522128 
Mar 15
Nov 9
Apr 26
Oct 26
 Swansea521227 
Dec 7
Dec 29
Feb 1
Sep 21
 QPR5131-16 
l
 
1-2F
Jan 6
Mar 15
Nov 9
 Stoke5203-36 
Dec 10
Apr 8
Dec 7
Dec 29
 Coventry5122-15 
Apr 26
Oct 26
Apr 21
Dec 26
 Norwich5122-25 
Jan 1
Nov 30
Oct 23
Feb 11
 Plymouth5122-45 
Feb 8
Sep 27
Mar 1
l
 
4-3A
 Bristol C5122-55 
Apr 21
Dec 26
-
-
 Millwall Home511304 
Jan 25
w
 
0-1F
l
 
0-1A
Jan 25
 Luton Away5113-44 
-
-
w
 
3-0F
Jan 4
 Sheff Wed5113-54 
Sep 21
Feb 1
Sep 28
Feb 8
 Preston5113-64 
Jan 18
l
 
1-0A
Jan 18
d
 
0-00-0
 Hull5032-43 
Nov 23
Mar 29
Apr 5
Nov 27
 Portsmouth5032-53 
Mar 1
d
 
0-00-0
Jan 21
Oct 1
 Cardiff5014-101 
Nov 6
Mar 11
Win / draw / win form
Millwall 18TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
7
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Millwall3 - 0Sheff Wed
Millwall2 - 3Watford
Millwall1 - 0Plymouth
Millwall3 - 1Cardiff
Millwall1 - 0Leicester
Millwall1 - 1West Brom
Millwall1 - 0Birmingham
Millwall1 - 0Watford
Millwall0 - 2Sheff Wed
Millwall0 - 4Ipswich
Millwall1 - 1Preston
Millwall1 - 3M'Boro
Millwall1 - 0Norwich
Millwall2 - 0QPR
Millwall1 - 1Huddersfield
Millwall1 - 1Sunderland
Millwall0 - 3Coventry
Millwall0 - 1Southampton
Millwall1 - 2Blackburn
Millwall2 - 2Hull
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
9
D
3
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HMillwall3 - 0Sheff Wed
AMillwall0 - 0Hull
AMillwall3 - 4Bristol C
HMillwall2 - 3Watford
AMillwall1 - 0Swansea
HMillwall1 - 0Plymouth
AMillwall1 - 0Sunderland
HMillwall3 - 1Cardiff
HMillwall1 - 0Leicester
AMillwall0 - 1Huddersfield
AMillwall1 - 2Rotherham
HMillwall1 - 1West Brom
AMillwall0 - 2Leeds
HMillwall1 - 0Birmingham
AMillwall1 - 1Blackburn
HMillwall1 - 0Watford
AMillwall2 - 1Southampton
HMillwall0 - 2Sheff Wed
HMillwall0 - 4Ipswich
AMillwall1 - 2Coventry
Luton 19TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
45
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
W
2
Draw
5
Lost
13
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Preston1 - 0Luton
Portsmouth0 - 0Luton
West Ham3 - 1Luton
Wolves2 - 1Luton
Man City5 - 1Luton
Arsenal2 - 0Luton
Spurs2 - 1Luton
Bournemouth4 - 3Luton
C Palace1 - 1Luton
Liverpool4 - 1Luton
Newcastle4 - 4Luton
Burnley1 - 1Luton
Sheff Utd2 - 3Luton
Brentford3 - 1Luton
Man Utd1 - 0Luton
A Villa3 - 1Luton
Nottm Forest2 - 2Luton
Everton1 - 2Luton
Fulham1 - 0Luton
Chelsea3 - 0Luton
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
50
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
W
1
D
4
Lost
15
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HLuton1 - 2QPR
ALuton0 - 1Preston
ALuton0 - 0Portsmouth
HLuton1 - 4Burnley
HLuton2 - 4Fulham
ALuton1 - 3West Ham
HLuton1 - 1Everton
ALuton1 - 2Wolves
HLuton1 - 5Brentford
ALuton1 - 5Man City
HLuton2 - 1Bournemouth
ALuton0 - 2Arsenal
ALuton1 - 2Spurs
HLuton1 - 1Nottm Forest
ALuton3 - 4Bournemouth
ALuton1 - 1C Palace
HLuton2 - 3A Villa
ALuton1 - 4Liverpool
HLuton1 - 2Man Utd
HLuton1 - 3Sheff Utd
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Millwall have drawn with Luton in 3 consecutive league meetings
5
Luton have not lost to Millwall in 5 consecutive league meetings
League games at Millwall since 2006
Millwall
Luton
Goals: Scored
7
4
Games: Scored
3 / 6
3 / 6
Clean sheets
3 / 6
3 / 6
MIL
3
D
2
LUT
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Millwall
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 2Luton
Millwall2 - 0
Millwall3 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
Millwall2 - 1
League games at Luton since 2005
Luton
Millwall
Goals: Scored
9
8
Games: Scored
6 / 6
6 / 6
Clean sheets
0 / 6
0 / 6
D
5
LUT
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Luton
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Luton2 - 1
Goal Statistics
Millwall 18th Luton 19th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 62% probability that Millwall will score no more than 1 goal
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 67% probability that Luton will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-9
Millwall’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-6
Luton’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.2
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
2.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/280142/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Millwall
PG (predicted goals)
Luton
1.3
1.2
Attack rating
45%
better
MIL
LUT
view stats
Games scored3
2
Failed to score1
2
Scored first1
1
Goals scored8
2
Avg. goals scored2
0.5
Avg. shots per game11
8
Avg. shots per goal5
15
Conversion rate for19
7
Avg. XG for1.9
1.3
KickOff rating
+45%
Defence rating
12%
better
MIL
LUT
view stats
Games conceded2
3
Clean sheets2
1
Conceded first2
2
Goals conceded7
7
Avg. goals conceded1.8
1.8
Avg. shots/game conceded8
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded4
4
Conversion rate against23%
23%
Avg. XG against1.3
1
KickOff rating
+12%

Millwall v Luton Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Millwall Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
5422
L JensenD WatmoreG SavilleJ Tanganga
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Jensen GLK5
1
-
R Leonard DEF5
1
-
J Cooper DEF51
-
J Tanganga DEF3
2
-
J Bryan DEF5
-
G Saville MID52
1
-
C Norre MID51
2
-
R Esse MID51
1
-
G Honeyman MID51
-
D Watmore MID54
-
J Coburn FWD21
-
Subs
L Roberts GLK
-
D McNamara DEF2
-
S Hutchinson DEF3
1
-
C. Scanlon DEF1
-
R Wintle MID1
-
D. Kelly MID
-
F Azeez FWD2
-
M Langstaff FWD5
-
A Emakhu FWD4
-
Luton Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
5113
A DoughtyT MengiA DoughtyT Chong
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
T Kaminski GLK4
2
-
R Burke DEF2
-
M McGuinness DEF3
-
T Mengi DEF51
1
-
A Doughty MID51
2
-
M Nakamba MID1
-
L Walsh  MID31
-
A Bell MID4
-
J Clark MID4
2
-
T Chong MID51
3
-
E Adebayo FWD5
-
Subs
J Shea  GLK2
-
T Holmes DEF1
-
M Andersen DEF
-
P Mpanzu MID3
-
Z Nelson MID3
1
-
V Moses  MID
-
J Taylor FWD3
-
C Morris FWD5
-
C Woodrow FWD1
-