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Millwall v Portsmouth : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

The Den, London

Alex Neil welcomes John Mousinho to The Den on Saturday afternoon, as their Millwall and Portsmouth sides clash in the Championship. Our predictions for each betting market are based on the past 20 games each side has played (home, away and overall) with additional weight given to top teams. All the stats and graphics are designed specifically for the selected market. Head-to-head stats for this fixture are also given where our data allows. Odds are provided straight from from the UK's biggest bookmakers.

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Millwall's next match is v Hull at 12:30 on Saturday 7th March
Portsmouth's next match is v Blackburn at 12:30 on Saturday 7th March
The last English Championship meeting between Millwall and Portsmouth was on Saturday 21st February 2026
English Championship
February 21st 2026
Millwall 1
3 Portsmouth
 
C. De Norre 64'46' G. Caballero
55' J. Swift
67' M. Pack
 
MIL
POR
Shots On
3
8
Shots Off
2
3
Corners
6
4
Possession
53%
47%
Fouls
13
8
Yellow/red cards
1/0
2/0
 
MillwallPortsmouth
 
A. Patterson
T. Crama (R. Leonard 81')
J. Cooper
C. Taylor
B. Mitchell
F. Azeez (T. Ballo 81')
M. Ivanović
C. Neghli
A. Doughty (Z. Norton Sturge 81')
C. De Norrefootball icon (B. Bannan 81')
T. Watson (M. Langstaff 61')
N. Schmid
C. Ogilvie
R. Poole
football iconM. Pack
(A. Segečić 70') football iconJ. Swift
C. Bishop
Z. Swanson
T. Devlin
E. Adams
(I. Bowat 90') M. Alli
(J. Brown 86') football iconG. Caballero

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Championship Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We don't believe there is a clear favourite to to get the win in this one, but does appear clear is that the odds suggest it'll have a maximum of 3 goals. Our statistical analysis draws the same conclusion. Millwall and Portsmouth have delivered a lot of under 3.5 goal games of late, and key performance statistics point towards those records being extended. We're confidently predicting under 3.5 goals on Saturday afternoon, and the bookies have it priced at 1.25.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Millwall are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 58% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.85.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Millwall
58%
17/205/6
Draw
24%
12/512/5
3%
Portsmouth
19%
10/33/1
Millwall 1-0
13%
5/119/4
4%
Draw 1-1
11%
11/25/1
Millwall 2-0
11%
7/113/2
7%
Millwall 2-1
10%
8/17/1
Draw 0-0
7%
7/113/2
6%
Portsmouth 1-0
6%
10/18/1
Millwall 3-0
6%
14/111/1
Millwall 3-1
6%
16/112/1
8%
Portsmouth 2-1
5%
14/111/1
Draw 2-2
4%
16/114/1
15%
Portsmouth 2-0
3%
20/116/1
Millwall 4-0
3%
33/122/1
Millwall 3-2
2%
28/122/1
10%
Millwall 4-1
2%
33/125/1
10%
Portsmouth 3-1
1%
40/128/1
Over 2.5 Goals
48%
6/5
10%
11/10
5%
Under 2.5 Goals
52%
4/6
7%
4/6
6%
Home 1st Goal
56%
4/613/20
Away 1st Goal
39%
8/517/10
3%
No 1st Goal
5%
7/113/2
6%
BTTS - Yes
48%
1/11/1
5%
BTTS - No
52%
8/113/4
4%
BTTS - Home Win
23%
7/216/5
5%
BTTS - Draw
16%
15/419/5
BTTS - Away Win
8%
17/27/1
6%
Home/draw
81%
1/52/9
2%
Away/draw
42%
10/1110/11
3%
Home/away
76%
3/103/10
Over 1.5 Goals
73%
4/114/11
4%
Under 1.5 Goals
27%
11/519/10
6%
Over 3.5 Goals
26%
3/114/5
9%
Under 3.5 Goals
74%
1/41/4
3%
Over 4.5 Goals
12%
7/113/2
8%
Under 4.5 Goals
88%
1/121/14
2%
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
16/114/1
15%
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/401/80
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1/141/18
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
8/17/1
11%
Home DNB
74%
1/37/20
1%
Away DNB
35%
9/42/1
2%
Millwall win to nil
35%
2/1-
Portsmouth win to nil
10%
6/1-
Millwall / Millwall
28%
2/115/8
Millwall / Portsmouth
2%
40/128/1
Millwall / Draw
6%
14/112/1
8%
Draw / Millwall
17%
15/418/5
Draw / Portsmouth
9%
15/215/2
6%
Draw / Draw
17%
4/119/5
Portsmouth / Millwall
4%
25/118/1
Portsmouth / Portsmouth
12%
6/111/2
Portsmouth / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Win / draw / win Championship table

Millwall have played 32 matches so far this season and lay in 3rd place in the Championship league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 29 games against teams below in the table, having won 16, drawn 8 and lost 5 matches. They have kept 12 clean sheets and have failed to score in 5 fixtures. Millwall have outscored their opponents by 41 goals to 30 goals.

Home League Performance

Millwall have played 16 games at home winning 9, drawing 3 and losing 4 games. They have scored 22 goals, kept 7 clean sheets and conceded 18 goals at home.

Portsmouth are in 20th position in the Championship on 36 points having played 31 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

7 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 24 goals and kept 3 clean sheets. They have scored 12 goals in total and failed to score in 6 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

25 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 12 games, drawn 7 and won 6. Portsmouth have conceded 36 goals, scored 23, failed to score in 10 fixtures and have kept 4 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Millwall
Portsmouth
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Coventry3622863674 
l
 
0-4A
l
 
2-1A
l
 
1-2A
Apr 21
2
M'Boro3519971966 
l
 
0-3A
Apr 3
w
 
1-0F
Apr 11
3
Millwall361989965 
-
-
w
 
3-1F
w
 
1-3F
4
Ipswich35181072664 
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 21
-
l
 
2-1A
5
Hull3618612560 
l
 
1-3A
w
 
1-3F
l
 
0-1A
l
 
3-2F
6
Wrexham3515128957 
l
 
0-2A
w
 
0-2F
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-1A
7
Derby3615912754 
Mar 10
d
 
1-1F
Mar 16
d
 
1-1F
8
Southampton351411101153 
w
 
3-2A
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1A
d
 
0-00-0
9
Watford35131210451 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-2F
d
 
2-2F
d
 
1-1F
10
Bristol C3614814250 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-1F
l
 
0-1A
l
 
5-0A
11
Sheff Utd3615417249 
d
 
1-1A
w
 
0-1F
l
 
0-1A
l
 
3-0A
12
Birmingham36131013-149 
w
 
3-0F
l
 
4-0A
May 2
l
 
4-0A
13
Swansea3614715-149 
w
 
2-1F
d
 
1-1A
Mar 10
l
 
1-0A
14
Preston36121311-149 
d
 
1-1A
w
 
0-2F
w
 
1-0F
l
 
1-0A
15
Stoke3613815347 
w
 
2-0F
Apr 21
l
 
0-1A
Apr 25
16
QPR3513814-847 
Apr 18
w
 
1-2F
d
 
1-1F
Mar 21
17
Norwich3513616345 
Apr 6
w
 
1-2F
l
 
1-2A
Apr 3
18
Charlton36111114-1044 
w
 
4-0F
d
 
1-1A
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-3F
19
Portsmouth35101015-1040 
l
 
1-3A
l
 
3-1A
-
-
20
Blackburn3610917-1339 
Mar 14
l
 
2-0A
w
 
2-1A
d
 
1-1F
21
West Brom369918-1836 
w
 
3-0F
Apr 11
w
 
3-0F
d
 
1-1A
22
Leicester36101115-935 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 25
Apr 18
d
 
1-1A
23
Oxford Utd3681117-1435 
May 2
d
 
2-2F
Apr 6
w
 
0-1F
24
Sheff Wed361827-51-7 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-2A
l
 
0-2A
w
 
0-1F
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Millwall 3RD
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
13
D
3
L
4
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
Draw
6
Lost
5
Portsmouth 19TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
4
Draw
6
Lost
10
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
6
Draw
5
Lost
9
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Millwall since 2001
Millwall
Portsmouth
Goals: Scored
4
7
Games: Scored
3 / 5
3 / 5
Clean sheets
2 / 5
2 / 5
MIL
3
POR
2
League games at Portsmouth since 2002
Portsmouth
Millwall
Goals: Scored
8
4
Games: Scored
4 / 6
4 / 6
Clean sheets
2 / 6
2 / 6
MIL
2
D
1
POR
3
Goal Statistics

Millwall have been consistent in attack of late, finding the net in 7 consecutive Championship outings. Their PG of 1.7 against Portsmouth on Saturday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Millwall 3rd Portsmouth 19th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.7
goals
0.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
18%
1
31%
2
27%
3
15%
4+
10%
There is a 82% probability that Millwall will score 1 or more goals
0
42%
1
36%
2
16%
3
4+
There is a 78% probability of Portsmouth scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+11
Millwall have scored 11% more goals at home than predicted
=0
Portsmouth’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.5
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2025/2026 season
Millwall
PG (predicted goals)
Portsmouth
1.7
0.9
Attack rating
21%
better
MIL
POR
view stats
Games scored25
20
Failed to score7
11
Scored first16
13
Goals scored41
30
Avg. goals scored1.3
1
Avg. shots per game10
8
Avg. shots per goal8
9
Conversion rate for13
11
Avg. XG for1.6
1.3
KickOff rating
+21%
Defence rating
15%
better
MIL
POR
view stats
Games conceded20
24
Clean sheets12
7
Conceded first14
16
Goals conceded37
40
Avg. goals conceded1.2
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded9
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
7
Conversion rate against13%
15%
Avg. XG against1.3
1.3
KickOff rating
+15%

Millwall v Portsmouth Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Millwall Championship squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
35859
T CramaF AzeezA DoughtyT Crama
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Patterson GLK3
-
T Crama DEF3534
9
-
C Taylor DEF2232
1
-
J Cooper DEF3431
7
-
A Doughty DEF235
4
-
C Norre MID2213
3
-
B Mitchell MID231
5
-
F Azeez MID2485
2
1
C Neghli MID3532
3
-
T Watson MID4
1
-
M Ivanovic FWD3371
1
-
Subs
M Crocombe GLK23
-
Z. Norton Sturge DEF271
8
-
R Leonard MID2111
4
-
L Cundle MID183
-
D Mazou-Sacko MID13
-
B Bannan MID5
1
-
M Langstaff FWD2731
2
-
R. Bangura-Williams FWD1411
2
-
T Ballo FWD2514
4
-
Portsmouth Championship squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
31628
R PooleA SegecicJ SwiftJ Swift
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
N Schmid GLK24
-
T Devlin DEF2951
1
1
R Poole DEF311
5
-
C Ogilvie DEF23
3
-
Z Swanson DEF292
4
-
M Pack MID242
6
-
E Adams MID1021
2
-
G Caballero MID51
-
J Swift MID2322
8
-
M Alli MID1012
1
-
C Bishop FWD312
2
-
Subs
J Bursik GLK9
1
-
M. Dia DEF2
-
J Williams DEF2311
3
-
I Bowat DEF121
1
-
A Segecic MID2861
1
-
L Roux MID10
3
-
R. Swann MID
-
H Blair FWD9
-
J Brown FWD5
-
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