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Millwall v Stoke City : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

The Den, London

Cenk Laleci welcomes Mark Warburton to The Den on Saturday lunch time, as their Millwall and Stoke City teams clash in the Championship. You'll find stats supporting our top of under 3.5 goals below, but don't forget to explore 16 other betting markets we cover too. We aim to give you as full a picture as possible, with Championship performances and head-to-heads included, so that you can make a smart bet. Finally, be sure to get the best odds and bet smart.

This match has now expired. Kickoff has all of the best football predictions for you to choose from, for all Championship Predictions. Kickoff constantly updates all 17 football betting markets to analyse and predict football scores – whether you choose football accumulator tips, both teams to score (BTTS tips), correct score, or if you are looking for free football tips – then make sure to sign up to Kickoff.co.uk today.

Millwall's next match is v Sunderland at 15:00 on Saturday 29th March
Stoke City's next match is v QPR at 15:00 on Saturday 29th March

The last English Championship meeting between Millwall and Stoke was on Saturday 15th March 2025

English Championship

March 15th 2025

Millwall 1	0 Stoke

M. Ivanović 90'

	MIL STK
Shots On	4 1
Shots Off	4 3
Corners	7 5
Possession	57% 43%
Fouls	8 13
Yellow/red cards	2/0 5/0

Millwall	Stoke

L. Jensen J. Cooper T. Crama (W. Harding 74') J. Bryan J. Tanganga B. Mitchell C. De Norre J. Coburn A. Emakhu (A. Connolly 74') M. Ivanović R. Bangura-Williams (L. Cundle 90')	V. Johansson A. Phillips J. Tchamadeu E. Bocat B. Wilmot J. Thompson (M. Manhoef 79') J. Bae (A. Moran 78') L. Baker W. Burger L. Koumas (S. Gallagher 63') A. Al-Hamadi

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Championship Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

It's our view that there's not a clear favourite to to get the win in this one, but what is clear is that the odds are pointing towards it'll have 3 goals or less. Our statistical analysis draws the same conclusion. Millwall and Stoke have taken part in a host of under 3.5 goal games lately, and key performance stats point towards those records being extended. We're confidently predicting under 3.5 goals on Saturday lunch time, and the bookmakers have it priced at 1.29.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Millwall are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 42% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.10.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Millwall 42%	7/5 23%	29/20 26%
Draw 28%	2/1 12%	2/1 14%
Stoke 30%	21/10 21%	9/4 14%
Draw 1-1 13%	5/1 8%	19/4 12%
Millwall 1-0 12%	5/1 14%	19/4 12%
Stoke 1-0 10%	6/1 36%	6/1 22%
Draw 0-0 10%	11/2 28%	19/4 28%
Millwall 2-1 8%	9/1 11%	17/2 19%
Millwall 2-0 8%	9/1 11%	17/2 19%
Stoke 2-1 7%	11/1 8%	10/1
Stoke 2-0 5%	12/1 32%	11/1 20%
Draw 2-2 4%	18/1 27%	14/1 15%
Millwall 3-1 4%	22/1 35%	18/1 46%
Millwall 3-0 4%	22/1 35%	18/1 46%
Stoke 3-1 2%	33/1	22/1
Millwall 3-2 2%	40/1 41%	28/1 38%
Stoke 3-0 2%	33/1 17%	25/1 10%
Stoke 3-2 2%	40/1	33/1 17%
Over 2.5 Goals 42%	7/4 31%	8/5 27%
Under 2.5 Goals 58%	4/9 17%	4/9 17%
Home 1st Goal 50%	5/6 13%	-
Away 1st Goal 44%	7/5 8%	-
No 1st Goal 6%	11/2 28%	-
BTTS - Yes 47%	6/5 20%	23/20 13%
BTTS - No 53%	8/13 11%	8/13 11%
BTTS - Home Win 17%	11/2 50%	19/4 37%
BTTS - Draw 18%	15/4	18/5
BTTS - Away Win 12%	7/1	6/1
Home/draw 70%	4/11 9%	1/3 6%
Away/draw 58%	8/15 15%	11/20 14%
Home/away 72%	4/11 5%	2/5 8%
Over 1.5 Goals 68%	4/7 18%	8/15 13%
Under 1.5 Goals 32%	11/8 30%	11/8 21%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%	9/2 47%	4/1 43%
Under 3.5 Goals 79%	1/7 12%	2/13 8%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%	12/1 86%	9/1 43%
Under 4.5 Goals 91%	1/25 5%	1/25 4%
Over 5.5 Goals 3%	25/1 73%	20/1 62%
Under 5.5 Goals 97%	1/80 2%	1/300 2%
Over 0.5 Goals 90%	1/8 5%	1/9 5%
Under 0.5 Goals 10%	5/1 33%	19/4 28%
Home DNB 62%	4/6 19%	8/13 16%
Away DNB 49%	11/10 24%	23/20 20%
Millwall win to nil 26%	5/2 8%	-
Stoke win to nil 18%	7/2 31%	-
Millwall / Millwall 21%	3/1 25%	14/5 23%
Millwall / Stoke 2%	40/1 21%	28/1 12%
Millwall / Draw 6%	14/1	12/1
Draw / Millwall 15%	9/2 16%	17/4 14%
Draw / Stoke 12%	11/2 19%	11/2 13%
Draw / Draw 21%	3/1 20%	14/5 21%
Stoke / Millwall 3%	33/1 48%	25/1 37%
Stoke / Stoke 15%	9/2 15%	17/4 13%
Stoke / Draw 6%	14/1	12/1

Win / draw / win Championship table

Millwall have played 37 matches so far this season and lay in 13th place in the Championship league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 19 games against teams below in the table, having won 7, drawn 7 and lost 5 matches. They have kept 6 clean sheets and have failed to score in 5 fixtures. They have been outscored by their opponents by 37 goals to 36 goals.

Home League Performance

Millwall have played 18 games at home winning 7, drawing 4 and losing 7 games. They have scored 19 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and conceded 17 goals at home.

Stoke are in 19th position in the Championship on 39 points having played 37 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

11 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 29 goals and kept 4 clean sheets. They have scored 14 goals in total and failed to score in 8 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

30 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 14 games, drawn 9 and won 7. Stoke have conceded 44 goals, scored 31, failed to score in 11 fixtures and have kept 8 clean sheets.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Millwall Stoke
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Leeds	38	23	11	4	51	80	w 1-0F	l 2-0A	l 0-2A	Apr 21
2	Sheff Utd	38	25	7	6	25	80	l 0-1A	Apr 8	Apr 26	l 2-0A
3	Burnley	38	21	15	2	41	78	w 1-0F	May 3	l 0-2A	d 0-00-0
4	Sunderland	38	19	12	7	18	69	d 1-1A	Mar 29	w 1-0F	l 2-1F
5	Coventry	38	17	8	13	7	59	l 0-1A	d 0-00-0	w 1-0F	l 3-2A
6	West Brom	38	13	18	7	14	57	d 1-1F	d 0-00-0	l 1-2A	d 1-1F
7	Bristol C	38	14	15	9	8	57	l 0-2A	l 4-3A	d 2-2F	l 2-0A
8	M'Boro	38	15	9	14	9	54	Apr 12	l 1-0A	l 1-3A	l 2-0A
9	Blackburn	38	15	7	16	2	52	w 1-0F	Apr 18	w 1-0F	w 0-2F
10	Watford	38	15	7	16	-4	52	l 2-3A	w 1-2A	d 0-00-0	l 3-0A
11	Millwall Home	38	13	12	13	-2	51	-	-	d 1-1A	l 1-0A
12	Sheff Wed	38	14	9	15	-6	51	w 3-0F	d 2-2A	Apr 18	l 2-0A
13	Norwich	38	12	13	13	6	49	Apr 21	l 2-1A	d 1-1F	l 4-2A
14	Preston	38	10	17	11	-5	47	w 3-1F	d 1-1F	d 0-00-0	Apr 5
15	QPR	38	11	12	15	-6	45	w 2-1F	d 1-1F	Mar 29	d 1-1F
16	Swansea	38	12	8	18	-11	44	Apr 26	w 0-1F	w 3-1A	d 0-00-0
17	Portsmouth	38	11	9	18	-15	42	Apr 5	w 0-1F	w 6-1F	l 3-1A
18	Oxford Utd	38	10	12	16	-16	42	l 0-1A	d 1-1F	d 0-00-0	l 1-0A
19	Hull	38	10	11	17	-8	41	l 0-1A	d 0-00-0	l 1-3F	w 1-2A
20	Stoke Away	38	9	12	17	-14	39	w 1-0F	d 1-1F	-	-
21	Cardiff	38	9	12	17	-20	39	d 2-2F	l 1-0A	d 2-2F	Apr 12
22	Derby	38	10	8	20	-11	38	d 1-1A	w 0-1F	w 2-1F	May 3
23	Luton	38	9	8	21	-26	35	l 0-1A	w 0-1F	Apr 8	l 2-1F
24	Plymouth	38	7	12	19	-37	33	w 1-0F	l 5-1A	d 0-00-0	w 0-1F

	Promotion
	Promotion Play Off
	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Millwall	0 - 2	Bristol C
Millwall	1 - 1	West Brom
Millwall	2 - 1	QPR
Millwall	2 - 2	Cardiff
Millwall	0 - 1	Hull
Millwall	0 - 1	Oxford Utd
Millwall	1 - 0	Blackburn
Millwall	0 - 1	Sheff Utd
Millwall	0 - 1	Coventry
Millwall	1 - 1	Sunderland
Millwall	1 - 0	Leeds
Millwall	1 - 0	Burnley
Millwall	1 - 0	Plymouth
Millwall	1 - 1	Derby
Millwall	3 - 1	Preston
Millwall	0 - 1	Luton
Millwall	3 - 0	Sheff Wed
Millwall	2 - 3	Watford
Millwall	1 - 0	Plymouth
Millwall	3 - 1	Cardiff

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Millwall	0 - 2	Leeds
A	Millwall	2 - 1	Watford
H	Millwall	0 - 2	Bristol C
A	Millwall	1 - 0	Derby
A	Millwall	1 - 1	Preston
H	Millwall	1 - 1	West Brom
A	Millwall	1 - 5	Plymouth
H	Millwall	2 - 1	QPR
A	Millwall	1 - 0	Portsmouth
A	Millwall	1 - 0	Luton
H	Millwall	2 - 2	Cardiff
H	Millwall	0 - 1	Hull
A	Millwall	2 - 2	Sheff Wed
H	Millwall	0 - 1	Oxford Utd
A	Millwall	0 - 0	Coventry
A	Millwall	1 - 2	Norwich
H	Millwall	1 - 0	Blackburn
A	Millwall	0 - 1	M'Boro
H	Millwall	0 - 1	Sheff Utd
H	Millwall	0 - 1	Coventry

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Coventry	3 - 2	Stoke
Norwich	4 - 2	Stoke
Bristol C	2 - 0	Stoke
Hull	1 - 2	Stoke
Portsmouth	3 - 1	Stoke
West Brom	1 - 1	Stoke
Burnley	0 - 0	Stoke
Sheff Wed	2 - 0	Stoke
Luton	2 - 1	Stoke
Sunderland	2 - 1	Stoke
QPR	1 - 1	Stoke
Blackburn	0 - 2	Stoke
Sheff Utd	2 - 0	Stoke
Swansea	0 - 0	Stoke
M'Boro	2 - 0	Stoke
Oxford Utd	1 - 0	Stoke
Plymouth	0 - 1	Stoke
Watford	3 - 0	Stoke
Southampton	0 - 1	Stoke
Sheff Wed	1 - 1	Stoke

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Stoke	1 - 0	Blackburn
A	Stoke	2 - 3	Coventry
H	Stoke	0 - 0	Watford
H	Stoke	1 - 3	M'Boro
A	Stoke	2 - 4	Norwich
H	Stoke	3 - 1	Swansea
A	Stoke	0 - 2	Bristol C
A	Stoke	2 - 1	Hull
H	Stoke	0 - 0	Oxford Utd
A	Stoke	1 - 3	Portsmouth
A	Stoke	1 - 1	West Brom
H	Stoke	0 - 0	Plymouth
A	Stoke	0 - 0	Burnley
H	Stoke	1 - 0	Sunderland
H	Stoke	0 - 2	Leeds
A	Stoke	0 - 2	Sheff Wed
H	Stoke	2 - 2	Cardiff
A	Stoke	1 - 2	Luton
A	Stoke	1 - 2	Sunderland
H	Stoke	0 - 2	Burnley

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Millwall have beaten Stoke in 3 consecutive home league meetings

Millwall have not lost to Stoke in 6 consecutive home league meetings

Millwall

Stoke

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

6 / 10

5 / 10

Clean sheets

5 / 10

4 / 10

MIL

STK

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Millwall
Millwall	1 - 0
Millwall	2 - 0
Millwall	2 - 1
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Millwall	2 - 0
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
	0 - 1	Stoke
	0 - 1	Stoke
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Millwall	3 - 1

Stoke

Millwall

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

7 / 12

6 / 12

Clean sheets

6 / 12

5 / 12

MIL

STK

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Stoke
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
	0 - 1	Millwall
Stoke	2 - 0
	1 - 2	Millwall
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Stoke	1 - 0
Stoke	2 - 1
Stoke	1 - 0
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
	0 - 1	Millwall
Stoke	3 - 1

Goal Statistics

	Millwall 11th	Stoke 20th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.3 goals	1.0 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 27% 1 35% 2 23% 3 10% 4+ There is a 62% probability that Millwall will score no more than 1 goal	0 35% 1 37% 2 19% 3 4+ There is a 72% probability that Stoke will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-10 Millwall’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	-20 Stoke have scored 20% fewer goals when away than predicted
	1.2 average goals scored	0.8 average goals scored
	0.9 conceded	1.5 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2024/2025 season

better

MIL

STK

view stats

Games scored	25		23
Failed to score	12		14
Scored first	17		14
Goals scored	36		37
Avg. goals scored	1		1
Avg. shots per game	8		8
Avg. shots per goal	8		8
Conversion rate for	12		13
Avg. XG for	1.1		1.2
KickOff rating		+4%

better

MIL

STK

view stats

Games conceded	25		26
Clean sheets	12		11
Conceded first	17		17
Goals conceded	39		50
Avg. goals conceded	1.1		1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded	7		11
Avg. shots/goal conceded	7		8
Conversion rate against	14%		12%
Avg. XG against	1.1		1.6
KickOff rating		+6%

Millwall v Stoke Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Millwall Championship squad statistics 2024/2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
37	6	3	8
L Jensen	M Ivanovic	R. Bangura-Williams	G Saville

Line-up	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
L Jensen GLK	37			1 -
T Crama DEF	12		2	1 -
J Tanganga DEF	35	2		7 -
J Cooper DEF	28	3	1	4 -
J Bryan DEF	35	1	1	6 -
R. Bangura-Williams MID	10		3	2 -
C Norre MID	38	3	1	5 -
B Mitchell MID	14			1 -
A Emakhu MID	17		2	2 1
J Coburn FWD	13	4		-
M Ivanovic FWD	28	6		2 -
Subs
G. Evans GLK				-
W Harding DEF	2			-
Z. Sturge DEF	1			-
G Saville MID	37		2	8 -
L Cundle MID	9	1		1 -
R Wintle MID	18	1		3 -
A Connolly FWD	10	1		2 -
S. Kendall FWD				-
A. Matthews FWD				-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
6	18	3	31
M Ivanovic	M Ivanovic	R. Bangura-Williams	G Saville

Line-up	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
M Ivanovic FWD	6	18		2
J Coburn FWD	4	9		1
C Norre MID	3	7	1	12
J Cooper DEF	3	10	1	8
J Tanganga DEF	2	8		4
J Bryan DEF	1	6	1	21
T Crama DEF		1	2	7
R. Bangura-Williams MID		2	3	3
B Mitchell MID				1
A Emakhu MID			2	3
Subs
L Cundle MID	1	1		1
R Wintle MID	1	2		5
A Connolly FWD	1	6		3
G Saville MID		4	2	31

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1248	91	211
C Norre	C Norre	J Tanganga

Line-up	passes	tackles	duels won
C Norre MID	1248	91	140
J Tanganga DEF	1206	54	211
J Bryan DEF	1136	80	175
J Cooper DEF	1082	29	191
L Jensen GLK	948	1	7
T Crama DEF	343	16	64
M Ivanovic FWD	296	10	115
B Mitchell MID	276	13	31
R. Bangura-Williams MID	139	23	41
A Emakhu MID	94	10	45
J Coburn FWD	76	7	48
Subs
G Saville MID	1032	88	208
L Cundle MID	182	9	25
R Wintle MID	146	12	22
A Connolly FWD	98	6	37
W Harding DEF	33	1	5
Z. Sturge DEF	19	3	6

Stoke Championship squad statistics 2024/2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
38	4	5	12
V Johansson	L Baker	J. Bae	J Tchamadeu

Line-up	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
V Johansson GLK	38			3 -
J Tchamadeu DEF	34		1	12 -
A Phillips DEF	16			3 -
B Wilmot DEF	31	2		7 -
E Bocat DEF	25		1	1 -
J Thompson MID	18			6 -
W Burger MID	31	1	1	10 -
L. Koumas MID	37	3	2	6 -
L Baker MID	13	1		2 -
J. Bae MID	37	2	5	4 -
A Al-Hamadi FWD	8	2		-
Subs
J Bonham GLK				-
M Rose DEF	22			3 -
M Lawal DEF	3			-
B Pearson MID	6			2 -
T Seko MID	24			1 -
A Moran MID	34	4	3	9 -
S Gallagher FWD	15	3	1	4 -
N Lowe FWD	8	1		2 -
M Manhoef FWD	27	3	5	1 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
4	20	5	31
L Baker	M Manhoef	J. Bae	J. Bae

Line-up	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
L. Koumas MID	3	14	2	11
B Wilmot DEF	2	4		6
J. Bae MID	2	11	5	31
A Al-Hamadi FWD	2	3		1
W Burger MID	1	5	1	10
L Baker MID	1	4		5
V Johansson GLK				1
J Tchamadeu DEF		2	1	12
A Phillips DEF		1
E Bocat DEF		3	1	10
J Thompson MID				1
Subs
A Moran MID	4	8	3	21
S Gallagher FWD	3	4	1	5
M Manhoef FWD	3	20	5	25
N Lowe FWD	1	2
M Rose DEF				1
B Pearson MID				1
T Seko MID		1		7

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1408	69	179
B Wilmot	A Moran	J. Bae

Line-up	passes	tackles	duels won
B Wilmot DEF	1408	51	128
V Johansson GLK	1246	1	27
W Burger MID	1040	57	132
J. Bae MID	877	66	179
J Tchamadeu DEF	868	36	93
E Bocat DEF	664	38	86
A Phillips DEF	646	14	58
J Thompson MID	507	12	39
L. Koumas MID	311	50	101
L Baker MID	222	12	20
A Al-Hamadi FWD	101	5	34
Subs
A Moran MID	840	69	134
T Seko MID	824	45	87
M Rose DEF	767	14	59
M Manhoef FWD	423	17	79
B Pearson MID	127	8	12
S Gallagher FWD	95	5	55
N Lowe FWD	70	5	21
M Lawal DEF	15	1	2

English Championship match betting previews, predictions and odds

Sunderland v Millwall

Sat 29th Mar, 15:00

Stoke v QPR

Sat 29th Mar, 15:00

Portsmouth v Blackburn

Millwall v Stoke City : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Millwall have played 37 matches so far this season and lay in 13th place in the Championship league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

Home League Performance

Stoke are in 19th position in the Championship on 39 points having played 37 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

Performance against teams above them in the league

Millwall v Stoke Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

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