Norwich City's team badge Derby County's team badge

Norwich City v Derby County : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Carrow Road, Norwich

Norwich City and Derby County meet at the Carrow Road on Saturday afternoon, with both Johannes Hoff Thorup and Paul Warne seeking a win in the Championship. You'll find statistics supporting our top of over 2.5 goals below, but be sure to take a look at the 16 other betting markets we're covering too. We aim to give you as full a picture as possible, with Championship performances and head to heads (H2Hs) included, so that you're able to make the smartest bet choices. Finally, be sure to get the best odds and bet smart.

This match has now expired. Kickoff has all of the best football predictions for you to choose from, for all Championship Predictions. Kickoff constantly updates all 17 football betting markets to analyse and predict football scores – whether you choose football accumulator tips, both teams to score (BTTS tips), correct score, or if you are looking for free football tips – then make sure to sign up to Kickoff.co.uk today.

Norwich City's next match is v Hull at 15:00 on Saturday 15th February
Derby County's next match is v QPR at 20:00 on Friday 14th February
The last English Championship meeting between Norwich and Derby was on Saturday 8th February 2025
English Championship
February 8th 2025
Norwich 1
1 Derby
 
J. Sargent 68'89' J. Yates
 
NOR
DER
Shots On
3
2
Shots Off
4
1
Corners
2
4
Possession
65%
35%
Fouls
8
7
Yellow/red cards
2/0
2/0
 
NorwichDerby
 
A. Gunn
K. Fisher (J. Stacey 60')
L. Mahovo (B. Chrisene 84')
S. Duffy
C. Doyle
E. Marcondes Camargo Hansen (J. Wright 84')
K. McLean
M. Nuñez (A. Slimane 60')
J. Sargentfootball icon
A. Crnac (O. Schwartau 76')
L. Dobbin
J. Widell Zetterström
S. Langås
M. Clarke
N. Phillips
L. Thompson
(M. Harness 76') K. Goudmijn
(C. Elder 66') B. Osborn
(K. Jackson 76') D. Ozoh
E. Adams
(J. Yates 60') L. Salvesen
(H. Armstrong 65') N. Mendez-Laing

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Championship Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

In alignment, our prediction and the odds from the bookies suggest that this Championship tie is going to be entertaining, with at least 3 goals to scored in the fixture. As we don't have an obvious winner here given their recent form, we're going with the stats and past head-to-head (H2H) records below, both of which point to on over 2.5 goals top tip.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Norwich are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 60% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.80.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Norwich
60%
4/5
4%
4/5
4%
Draw
21%
27/10
3%
13/5
5%
Derby
19%
7/218/5
Norwich 2-1
10%
15/213/2
Draw 1-1
10%
6/1
7%
11/2
7%
Norwich 2-0
9%
7/1
6%
13/2
6%
Norwich 1-0
9%
11/2
19%
5/1
14%
Norwich 3-1
7%
14/1
15%
11/1
9%
Norwich 3-0
6%
14/1
15%
11/1
Draw 2-2
5%
16/1
13%
12/1
Derby 2-1
5%
14/112/1
8%
Derby 1-0
5%
10/1
15%
9/1
9%
Draw 0-0
4%
17/2
21%
15/2
15%
Norwich 3-2
4%
28/1
26%
20/1
24%
Norwich 4-1
4%
33/1
31%
22/1
21%
Norwich 4-0
3%
28/1
12%
20/1
11%
Derby 2-0
3%
20/1
9%
18/1
Derby 3-2
2%
40/128/1
12%
Over 2.5 Goals
61%
1/1
11%
19/20
11%
Under 2.5 Goals
39%
4/5
10%
4/5
10%
Home 1st Goal
55%
1/2-
Away 1st Goal
42%
15/8
5%
-
No 1st Goal
3%
17/2
21%
-
BTTS - Yes
58%
10/11
10%
10/11
9%
BTTS - No
42%
4/5
10%
5/6
9%
BTTS - Home Win
30%
3/1
14%
11/4
10%
BTTS - Draw
17%
4/119/5
BTTS - Away Win
11%
8/1
13%
7/1
7%
Home/draw
81%
2/111/5
Away/draw
40%
19/20
5%
1/1
2%
Home/away
79%
2/7
3%
2/7
3%
Over 1.5 Goals
82%
1/3
6%
1/3
6%
Under 1.5 Goals
18%
12/5
15%
11/5
14%
Over 3.5 Goals
38%
11/4
25%
23/10
15%
Under 3.5 Goals
62%
2/7
8%
2/7
8%
Over 4.5 Goals
21%
6/1
27%
11/2
24%
Under 4.5 Goals
79%
1/10
4%
1/10
4%
Over 5.5 Goals
10%
14/1
36%
12/1
30%
Under 5.5 Goals
90%
1/33
2%
1/40
2%
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1/16
2%
1/18
2%
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
9/1
17%
15/2
15%
Home DNB
74%
1/3
2%
3/10
1%
Away DNB
34%
9/4
4%
9/4
2%
Norwich win to nil
30%
7/4
8%
-
Derby win to nil
8%
6/1
13%
-
Norwich / Norwich
30%
15/8
5%
17/10
3%
Norwich / Derby
2%
40/1
21%
28/1
Norwich / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Draw / Norwich
18%
7/27/2
2%
Draw / Derby
9%
8/1
5%
8/1
Draw / Draw
15%
4/1
17%
19/5
13%
Derby / Norwich
4%
22/1
10%
18/1
12%
Derby / Derby
11%
13/26/1
Derby / Draw
5%
14/112/1
Win / draw / win Championship table

Norwich have played 30 matches so far this season and lay in 8th place in the Championship league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 21 games against teams below in the table, having won 11, drawn 4 and lost 6 matches. They have kept 5 clean sheets and have failed to score in 6 fixtures. Norwich have outscored their opponents by 49 goals to 32 goals.

Home League Performance

Norwich have played 14 games at home winning 7, drawing 5 and losing 2 games. They have scored 36 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and conceded 19 goals at home.

Derby are in 22nd position in the Championship on 27 points having played 30 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

10 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 26 goals and kept 1 clean sheet. They have scored 13 goals in total and failed to score in 5 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

28 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 16 games, drawn 5 and won 7. Derby have conceded 38 goals, scored 30, failed to score in 9 fixtures and have kept 6 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Norwich
Derby
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Leeds3220934769 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-0A
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-0A
2
Sheff Utd3221652367 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-0A
l
 
0-1A
l
 
1-0A
3
Burnley32171323064 
l
 
1-2F
Apr 12
Apr 9
d
 
0-00-0
4
Sunderland32171142162 
Apr 8
l
 
2-1F
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-0A
5
Blackburn3214612648 
d
 
2-2A
Mar 1
Mar 8
l
 
4-2A
6
West Brom32111471147 
Mar 29
d
 
2-2A
w
 
2-1F
Apr 21
7
Bristol C3211129445 
l
 
0-2A
Mar 15
w
 
3-0F
l
 
1-0A
8
Sheff Wed3212911-345 
Mar 12
l
 
2-0A
l
 
1-2F
l
 
4-2A
9
M'Boro3112811844 
d
 
3-3F
Apr 26
w
 
1-0F
Mar 1
10
Coventry3212812244 
w
 
2-1A
w
 
0-1F
Mar 11
w
 
1-2F
11
Norwich Home32111011643 
-
-
l
 
2-3A
d
 
1-1A
12
Watford3212614-642 
w
 
4-1F
w
 
0-1F
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-1F
13
QPR32101111-641 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
3-0A
w
 
2-0F
Feb 14
14
Millwall31101011-140 
w
 
2-1F
Apr 21
Feb 22
d
 
1-1F
15
Preston319139-440 
l
 
0-1A
d
 
2-2A
Mar 29
d
 
1-1A
16
Oxford Utd3291112-1138 
Mar 7
l
 
2-0A
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1A
17
Swansea3210715-1037 
w
 
5-1F
l
 
1-0A
l
 
1-2A
Apr 5
18
Portsmouth328915-1633 
Apr 18
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
4-0F
Apr 12
19
Stoke3171113-1132 
Feb 22
d
 
1-1A
May 3
l
 
2-1A
20
Cardiff3171014-1931 
May 3
l
 
2-1F
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-1A
21
Derby Away327817-929 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
2-3F
-
-
22
Hull317816-1129 
w
 
4-0F
Feb 15
d
 
1-1A
Apr 26
23
Plymouth3161015-3028 
w
 
6-1F
Apr 5
d
 
1-1F
Mar 15
24
Luton317618-2127 
w
 
4-2A
w
 
0-1F
Apr 18
l
 
2-1F
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Norwich 11TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
47
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
10
Draw
8
L
2
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
Derby 21ST
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
3
Draw
6
Lost
11
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
3
Draw
5
Lost
12
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Derby have beaten Norwich in 3 consecutive away league meetings
League games at Norwich since 1996
Norwich
Derby
Goals: Scored
19
15
Games: Scored
11 / 12
8 / 12
Clean sheets
4 / 12
1 / 12
NOR
6
D
1
DER
5
League games at Derby since 1996
Derby
Norwich
Goals: Scored
17
17
Games: Scored
10 / 13
10 / 13
Clean sheets
3 / 13
3 / 13
NOR
4
D
4
DER
5
Goal Statistics

Goals have been an issue for Derby County of late. It has been 5 Championship games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.1 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Saturday afternoon against Norwich City.

Norwich 11th Derby 21st
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.1
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
13%
1
26%
2
27%
3
19%
4+
15%
There is a 61% probability that Norwich will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 71% probability that Derby will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+33
Norwich have scored 33% more goals at home than predicted
-12
Derby have scored 12% fewer goals when away than predicted
2.4
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/280454/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Norwich
PG (predicted goals)
Derby
2.1
1.1
Attack rating
%
better
NOR
DER
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
%
better
NOR
DER
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

Norwich v Derby Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Norwich Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
328612
S DuffyJ SargentC DoyleC Doyle
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Gunn GLK26
1
-
K. Fisher DEF271
7
-
S Duffy DEF322
4
-
C Doyle DEF3216
12
-
L Mahovo DEF6
-
M Espinoza MID2141
6
-
K McLean MID233
4
1
E Marcondes MID2345
5
-
A. Crnac FWD3053
2
-
J Sargent FWD1885
1
-
L Dobbin FWD71
1
-
Subs
G Long GLK7
-
J Stacey DEF295
3
-
B Chrisene DEF231
2
-
J Córdoba DEF211
4
2
R. McConville DEF
-
M Jurásek MID1
-
J. Wright MID2
-
A Slimane MID202
7
-
O Schwartau FWD271
4
-
Derby Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
30749
J ZetterströmJ YatesN Mendez-LaingE Adams
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Zetterström GLK30
1
-
S Langas DEF2
-
N Phillips DEF21
3
-
M Clarke DEF3
-
L Thompson DEF18
3
-
B Osborn MID221
2
-
D Ozoh MID91
-
E Adams MID304
9
-
K Goudmijn MID3122
4
-
N Mendez-Laing FWD3224
2
-
L Salvesen FWD51
-
Subs
J Vickers GLK2
-
C Elder DEF231
8
-
R Nyambe DEF12
1
-
C Forsyth DEF2612
2
-
M Harness MID2711
9
-
H. Armstrong MID2
-
T Barkhuizen FWD13
1
-
J Yates FWD2973
1
-
K Jackson FWD3232
4
-